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Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/29/2025: RRGB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $11.25
1 Year Target Price $11.25
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -51.71% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 73.65M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5 | Beta 2.21 | 52 Weeks Range 2.50 - 7.89 | Updated Date 12/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.50 - 7.89 | Updated Date 12/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.25 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -4.31% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.66% | Return on Equity (TTM) -238.31% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 579147215 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 |
Enterprise Value 579147215 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.47 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.9 | Shares Outstanding 17964459 | Shares Floating 13955510 |
Shares Outstanding 17964459 | Shares Floating 13955510 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.95 | Percent Institutions 72.59 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. was founded in 1969 by Gerry Kingen in Seattle, Washington. Initially a small tavern, it evolved into a full-service casual dining restaurant chain specializing in gourmet burgers. Key milestones include its expansion into a national chain, going public in 1995, and undergoing various ownership and management changes over the years. The company has focused on enhancing its dining experience, menu innovation, and operational efficiency to compete in the evolving restaurant industry.
Core Business Areas
- Restaurant Operations: Operates and franchises Red Robin restaurants, which are casual dining establishments known for their wide variety of gourmet burgers, appetizers, salads, desserts, and a full-service bar. The focus is on providing a family-friendly atmosphere with a premium burger experience.
- Franchising: Grants franchise licenses to independent operators to open and manage Red Robin restaurants, contributing to brand expansion and revenue streams.
Leadership and Structure
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. is led by a management team, typically including a CEO, CFO, and other executive officers responsible for strategy, operations, and financial management. The company's organizational structure involves regional management overseeing restaurant operations and corporate functions supporting marketing, supply chain, human resources, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gourmet Burgers: The signature product line, featuring a wide array of burger options with premium ingredients, unique toppings, and various patty types. Competitors include Five Guys, Shake Shack, In-N-Out Burger, and numerous other fast-casual and casual dining establishments. Specific market share for individual burger types is not publicly disclosed but is central to the company's revenue.
- Appetizers and Sides: Includes popular items like loaded fries, onion rings, and appetizers, complementing the burger offerings. These are standard offerings across casual dining, with competitors like Applebee's, Chili's, and TGI Fridays.
- Beverages and Desserts: A comprehensive beverage menu including alcohol, and a selection of desserts to enhance the dining experience. This segment competes broadly with the entire casual dining and QSR landscape.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The casual dining and fast-casual burger segment of the restaurant industry is highly competitive, characterized by evolving consumer preferences for health, convenience, and unique dining experiences. Key trends include the rise of digital ordering and delivery, demand for premium ingredients, and a focus on value for money. The industry is also subject to economic fluctuations and labor market challenges.
Positioning
Red Robin positions itself as a premium casual dining burger destination, emphasizing its extensive burger customization and a fun, family-friendly atmosphere. Its competitive advantages include brand recognition, a broad menu catering to diverse tastes, and a loyalty program. However, it faces intense competition from both established casual dining chains and rapidly growing fast-casual burger concepts.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the US burger market is substantial, estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars annually. Red Robin operates within the casual dining segment of this market. Its positioning is that of a mid-to-upper-tier casual dining burger chain, aiming to capture market share from consumers seeking a sit-down dining experience with a focus on gourmet burgers, rather than quick-service options.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and a loyal customer base.
- Extensive and customizable burger menu appealing to diverse preferences.
- Established franchise network contributing to brand reach.
- Focus on a family-friendly and engaging dining experience.
Weaknesses
- Higher price point compared to fast-food competitors can deter some price-sensitive customers.
- Operational complexities associated with a full-service model.
- Vulnerability to shifts in consumer spending on dining out.
- Reliance on dine-in traffic, which can be impacted by external factors.
Opportunities
- Expansion of digital ordering, delivery, and off-premise dining solutions.
- Menu innovation and introduction of healthier or plant-based options.
- Leveraging data analytics to personalize customer offers and improve marketing effectiveness.
- Streamlining operations to improve efficiency and reduce costs.
- Potential for strategic partnerships or acquisitions to expand market presence.
Threats
- Intense competition from fast-casual burger joints and other casual dining chains.
- Rising food and labor costs impacting profitability.
- Economic downturns affecting consumer discretionary spending on dining.
- Changing consumer dietary trends and preferences.
- Regulatory changes impacting the restaurant industry.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)
- Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK)
- The Habit Restaurants, Inc. (HABT) - Acquired by Yum! Brands
- Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. (PLAY)
- Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH)
Competitive Landscape
Red Robin's advantages lie in its established brand and extensive burger menu. However, it faces challenges from faster-growing fast-casual concepts like Chipotle and Shake Shack, which often appeal to younger demographics with their perceived healthfulness and convenience. Companies like Texas Roadhouse offer a strong value proposition in the casual dining space. Red Robin's success depends on its ability to differentiate its premium burger experience and adapt to evolving consumer tastes and technological advancements in the dining sector.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Red Robin's historical growth has been driven by restaurant expansion, menu development, and efforts to improve same-store sales. Performance has varied, influenced by competitive pressures and economic cycles.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Red Robin typically focus on revenue growth, same-store sales trends, and profitability improvements. These projections are contingent on the company's ability to execute its strategic plans and adapt to market dynamics.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely included efforts to enhance digital ordering capabilities, optimize the menu, improve in-restaurant guest experience, and manage operational costs effectively to drive profitability and traffic.
Summary
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. is a well-established casual dining chain with a strong brand identity centered on gourmet burgers. While it possesses strengths in menu variety and customer loyalty, it faces significant challenges from intense competition, rising costs, and evolving consumer preferences. The company needs to effectively leverage digital strategies, operational efficiencies, and menu innovation to drive traffic and profitability in a dynamic market landscape. Its future success hinges on its ability to adapt to these market shifts and maintain its competitive edge.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations Filings (SEC EDGAR)
- Financial News and Analysis Websites (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg)
- Industry Market Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Stock performance and market share data can fluctuate and are subject to various factors. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Englewood, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2002-07-19 | President, CEO & Director Mr. David A. Pace | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 21443 | Website https://www.redrobin.com |
Full time employees 21443 | Website https://www.redrobin.com | ||
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises casual dining restaurants in North America and one Canadian province. Its restaurants primarily offer burgers and pizza, appetizers, salads, soups, other entrees, desserts, wings, milkshakes, alcoholic and non-alcoholic specialty drinks, cocktails, wine, and beers. The company was founded in 1969 and is based in Englewood, Colorado.

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