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Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc(RRGB)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RRGB
09/14/2026: RRGB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc is a casual-dining restaurant chain widely recognized for its diverse burger menu and 'bottomless' side offerings. The company is currently focused on a turnaround strategy aimed at optimizing menu operations and improving unit-level profitability. Its primary growth opportunity lies in leveraging digital sales channels to enhance off-premise demand. However, the company faces significant risks from intense competition, inflationary pressures on labor and food costs, and a complex operational structure. It may suit investors who are comfortable with turnaround situations, as it currently lacks dividend payments and exhibits sensitivity to broader consumer economic trends.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company currently focuses on turnaround and operational stability rather than rapid revenue or market expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | This style is conditional on sustained positive share price movement and earnings momentum. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Value investors may be interested if they perceive the stock is undervalued relative to potential long-term operational improvement. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not currently offer a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company's exposure to volatile consumer discretionary spending and operational challenges carries significant risk. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is susceptible to significant price swings based on earnings reports and macroeconomic data. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuation fluctuates based on the market's assessment of the company's ability to execute its turnaround strategy. |
| Competition risk (casual dining) | High | Fierce competition from other casual and fast-casual chains limits pricing power and market share growth. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company faces challenges in maintaining consistent operating margins across its restaurant footprint. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors should not expect income from dividends given the current capital allocation strategy. |
| Execution risk | High | Success depends heavily on management's ability to improve operational efficiency and menu appeal. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 32.56% | Avg. Invested days 40 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/14/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 146.69M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 402.4K shares | Beta 2.44 | 52 Weeks Range 2.46 - 10.95 | Updated Date 09/14/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 2.46 - 10.95 | Updated Date 09/14/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.71 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Company-Operated Restaurants | Revenue generated from food and beverage sales at corporate-managed locations. | This is the main engine of the company, where success depends on getting customers in the door. |
| Franchise Operations | Royalties and fees paid by third-party operators of Red Robin restaurants. | This provides a steadier stream of income with less direct operational responsibility for the company. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 18.69 | Enterprise Value 621.22M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.12 |
Enterprise Value 621.22M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.12 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.52 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.89 | Shares Outstanding 18.90M | Shares Floating 14.42M |
Shares Outstanding 18.90M | Shares Floating 14.42M | ||
Percent Insiders 9.19 | Percent Institutions 70.57 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquarters Englewood, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2002-07-19 | President, CEO & Director Mr. David A. Pace | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 18852 | Website https://www.redrobin.com |
Full time employees 18852 | Website https://www.redrobin.com | ||
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises casual dining restaurants in North America and one Canadian province. Its restaurants primarily offer burgers and pizza, appetizers, salads, other entrees, desserts, wings, milkshakes, alcoholic and non-alcoholic specialty drinks, cocktails, wine, and beers. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
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