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Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB)RRGB
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/14/2024: RRGB (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: -28.08% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/14/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: -28.08% | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/14/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 78.41M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.88 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.29 |
Volume (30-day avg) 455923 | Beta 2.72 |
52 Weeks Range 2.97 - 12.80 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 78.41M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.88 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.29 | Volume (30-day avg) 455923 | Beta 2.72 |
52 Weeks Range 2.97 - 12.80 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-06 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate -0.96 | Actual -1.13 |
Report Date 2024-11-06 | When AfterMarket | Estimate -0.96 | Actual -1.13 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -4.05% | Operating Margin (TTM) -4.13% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -2.17% | Return on Equity (TTM) -238.31% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 646229275 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.51 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.02 |
Shares Outstanding 15777000 | Shares Floating 13847912 |
Percent Insiders 11.24 | Percent Institutions 60.02 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 646229275 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.51 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.02 | Shares Outstanding 15777000 | Shares Floating 13847912 |
Percent Insiders 11.24 | Percent Institutions 60.02 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.2 | Target Price 15.5 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold 2 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.2 | Target Price 15.5 | Buy - | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (NASDAQ: RRGB) is an American casual dining restaurant chain specializing in hamburgers. Founded in 1969 in Seattle, Washington, the company has grown to over 570 company-owned and franchised restaurants across the United States and Canada. Red Robin is known for its signature gourmet burgers, bottomless fries, and casual atmosphere.
Core Business Areas:
- Casual Dining Restaurants: Red Robin operates over 570 restaurants offering a variety of menu items, including burgers, sandwiches, salads, appetizers, and desserts.
- Franchise Operations: The company operates both company-owned and franchised restaurants. As of November 2023, Red Robin has over 270 franchised restaurants.
- Catering and Delivery: Red Robin offers catering services for events and also partners with third-party delivery platforms for convenient home delivery.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- President and CEO: Paul J. Moran
- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer: Lynn Schweinfurth
- Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer: Kevin Caulfield
- Board of Directors: Comprised of 10 members with diverse experience in the restaurant and food service industry.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Gourmet Burgers: Red Robin offers a wide selection of gourmet burgers made with premium ingredients and unique flavor combinations.
- Bottomless Steak Fries: Unlimited refills of their signature seasoned steak fries are a popular customer favorite.
- Salads and Sandwiches: The menu includes various salads and sandwiches catering to different dietary preferences.
- Milkshakes and Desserts: Red Robin offers a variety of milkshakes, ice cream desserts, and other sweet treats.
Market Share:
- The US casual dining restaurant market is highly competitive, with numerous national and regional chains.
- Red Robin holds a market share of approximately 2.5% in the US casual dining burger segment.
- While facing competition from other burger chains like McDonald's and Wendy's, Red Robin differentiates itself by focusing on a more upscale dining experience with premium ingredients and a broader menu.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for Red Robin encompasses the entire US casual dining restaurant industry, estimated to be worth over $170 billion in 2023. This market includes all restaurants offering sit-down dining experiences with a focus on full meals and table service.
Financial Performance
(Based on publicly available information as of November 2023)
- Revenue: Red Robin's total revenue for the fiscal year 2022 was $475.5 million, with a slight decrease compared to the previous year.
- Net Income: The company reported a net income of $12.3 million in fiscal year 2022, indicating profitability despite facing industry challenges.
- Profit Margin: Red Robin's operating profit margin was around 4.5% in 2022, demonstrating a moderate level of profitability.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): The company's diluted EPS for 2022 was $0.44, indicating a decrease compared to the previous year.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Red Robin's financial performance has been relatively stable in recent years, with modest revenue fluctuations and improving profitability.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
- The company's cash flow from operations has been positive in recent years, indicating sufficient liquidity to cover operating expenses and invest in growth initiatives.
- Red Robin's balance sheet shows a moderate level of debt, but the company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
- Red Robin has a history of paying dividends to shareholders, although the company suspended dividend payments in 2020 due to the pandemic's impact.
- The recent dividend yield was approximately 0%, and the payout ratio was 0%.
Shareholder Returns:
- Red Robin's stock price has experienced significant fluctuations in recent years, reflecting the overall market volatility and challenges faced by the restaurant industry.
- Over the past year, RRGB stock has underperformed the broader market, with a total return of approximately -15%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
- Red Robin experienced modest growth in the years leading up to 2020, with an average annual revenue growth rate of around 2%.
- The pandemic significantly impacted the company's growth trajectory, leading to temporary closures and a decline in revenue.
- However, Red Robin has shown signs of recovery in 2022 and 2023, with gradual revenue increases and improving profitability.
Future Growth Projections:
- Industry analysts project moderate growth for the casual dining restaurant market in the coming years, driven by increasing consumer spending and a return to normalcy post-pandemic.
- Red Robin's growth prospects are tied to its ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences, invest in technology and innovation, and expand its market presence.
- The company's recent initiatives in off-premise dining, loyaltyプログラム, and digital ordering suggest potential for future growth.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
- The casual dining industry is facing challenges such as increased competition, rising labor costs, and changing consumer preferences.
- Trends like increased demand for convenience, personalized experiences, and healthier menu options are influencing the industry.
- Technological advancements, such as online ordering and delivery platforms, are playing a significant role in shaping the industry landscape.
Positioning and Adaptability:
- Red Robin is adapting to these market dynamics by focusing on enhancing its digital presence, offering convenient delivery and takeout options, and introducing new menu items catering to evolving consumer preferences.
- The company's investments in technology and loyalty programs demonstrate its commitment to adapting to the changing market landscape.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Darden Restaurants (DRI): Owns and operates several casual dining chains, including Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse.
- Bloomin' Brands (BLMN): Operates Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, and Bonefish Grill.
- Brinker International (EAT): Owns and operates Chili's Grill & Bar and Maggiano's Little Italy.
- McDonald's (MCD): Leading global fast-food chain with a significant market share in the burger segment.
- Wendy's (WEN): Another major fast-food chain specializing in burgers and other quick-service menu items.
Market Share and Comparison:
- Red Robin's market share within the casual dining burger segment is approximately 2.5%.
- Darden Restaurants and Bloomin' Brands hold larger market shares within the broader casual dining industry.
- McDonald's and Wendy's dominate the fast-food burger segment, with significantly higher market shares compared to Red Robin.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Competitive Advantages: Red Robin's focus on gourmet burgers, bottomless fries, and a casual dining experience differentiates it from fast-food chains. Additionally, the company's loyalty program and investments in technology provide a competitive edge.
- Competitive Disadvantages: Red Robin faces stiff competition from established casual dining chains and fast-food giants with larger market shares and broader brand recognition. Additionally, the company's higher pricing compared to fast-food options can be a disadvantage for some consumers.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Competition: Maintaining market share and profitability amidst intense competition from established players in the casual dining and fast-food industries.
- Rising Costs: Managing increasing labor costs, food costs, and other operational expenses.
- Changing Consumer Preferences: Adapting to evolving consumer preferences for convenience, healthier menu options, and personalized experiences.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding Off-Premise Dining: Increasing revenue through delivery, takeout, and catering services to cater to the growing demand for convenience.
- Leveraging Technology: Utilizing technology to enhance the customer experience, improve operational efficiency, and personalize marketing efforts.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Englewood, CO, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2002-07-19 | CEO, Director & President | Mr. Gerard J. Hart |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.redrobin.com |
Industry | Restaurants | Full time employees | 22516 |
Headquaters | Englewood, CO, United States | ||
CEO, Director & President | Mr. Gerard J. Hart | ||
Website | https://www.redrobin.com | ||
Website | https://www.redrobin.com | ||
Full time employees | 22516 |
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises casual-dining restaurants, in North America and one Canadian province. Its restaurants primarily offer burgers and pizza, appetizers, salads, soups, other entrees, desserts, wings, milkshakes, alcoholic and non-alcoholic specialty drinks, cocktails, wine, and beers. The company was founded in 1969 and is based in Englewood, Colorado.
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