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The Wendy’s Co (WEN)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: WEN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -2.44% | Avg. Invested days 42 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.08B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 16.1 | 1Y Target Price 20.07 |
Price to earnings Ratio 16.1 | 1Y Target Price 20.07 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3713304 | Beta 0.78 | 52 Weeks Range 14.73 - 20.32 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 14.73 - 20.32 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 6.61% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.94 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.76% | Operating Margin (TTM) 16.18% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.34% | Return on Equity (TTM) 64.34% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 16.1 | Forward PE 14.12 | Enterprise Value 6675568725 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.39 |
Enterprise Value 6675568725 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.39 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.02 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.08 | Shares Outstanding 203844992 | Shares Floating 169705110 |
Shares Outstanding 203844992 | Shares Floating 169705110 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.95 | Percent Institutions 89.03 |
AI Summary
The Wendy's Co.: A Detailed Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
- Founded in 1969 by Dave Thomas in Columbus, Ohio, as a single restaurant.
- Rapid expansion throughout the 1970s and 1980s through franchising.
- Publicly traded since 1971.
- Acquired by Arby's Restaurant Group in 2008, forming the Wendy's/Arby's Group.
- Spun off as The Wendy's Company in 2011.
- Sold Arby's in 2013.
Core Business Areas:
- Franchising: Operates a global franchise system with over 6,500 restaurants in 30 countries and U.S. territories.
- Company-operated restaurants: Manages approximately 360 company-owned restaurants.
- International segment: Represents approximately 10% of total system-wide sales.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- President & CEO: Todd Penegor.
- CFO: Gunther Plagens.
- Chief People Officer: Sharron Woods.
- Board of Directors: 11 members with diverse expertise.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Dave's Single: Signature hamburger with fresh beef, lettuce, tomato, pickle, onion, and mayo.
- Spicy Chicken Sandwich: Breaded chicken breast with lettuce, tomato, mayo, and spicy pepper sauce.
- Frosty: Soft-serve vanilla ice cream dessert.
- French Fries: Crinkle-cut fries.
Market Share:
- US hamburger market share: Approximately 2.5%.
- Global hamburger market share: Less than 1%.
- Trailing competitors: McDonald's (17.3%), Burger King (4.3%), and Yum! Brands (4.1%).
Product Performance:
- Dave's Single: Consistent best-seller, driving positive reviews and customer loyalty.
- Spicy Chicken Sandwich: Contributes significantly to sales growth, fueled by popularity and limited-time offers.
- Breakfast menu: Performing well, expanding market share in the growing breakfast segment.
Total Addressable Market
- The global fast-food market is estimated at over $600 billion.
- The US fast-food market is valued at approximately $270 billion.
- Within the burger segment, the US market size is around $80 billion.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: 2022 - $2.1 billion; 2021 - $1.9 billion.
- Net Income: 2022 - $143 million; 2021 - $136 million.
- Profit Margin: 2022 - 6.8%; 2021 - 7.2%.
- EPS: 2022 - $0.67; 2021 - $0.63.
Year-over-Year Performance:
- Revenue and net income increased in 2022 compared to 2021.
- Profit margin slightly declined.
- EPS showed marginal growth.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Strong cash flow from operations, indicating financial stability.
- Healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
- The Wendy's Co. has a history of paying dividends, but recently suspended the dividend in 2022 to prioritize reinvestment in growth initiatives.
- Prior to suspension, dividend yield was approximately 1.8%.
- Payout ratio was around 30%.
Shareholder Returns:
- Total shareholder return over the past year: -13.4%
- Total shareholder return over the past five years: 39.4%
- Total shareholder return over the past ten years: 133.3%
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
- Steady revenue growth over the past five years, driven by menu innovation and franchise expansion.
- Same-restaurant sales have increased consistently, indicating strong customer demand.
Future Growth Projections:
- The Wendy's Co. expects continued same-restaurant sales growth and international expansion.
- Company is focusing on digital initiatives and loyalty programs to drive customer engagement.
- New restaurant openings and strategic partnerships are expected to contribute to growth.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
- Growing demand for convenience and value-oriented meal options.
- Increasing focus on digital ordering and delivery platforms.
- Sustainability and ethical sourcing becoming increasingly important for consumers.
Competitive Landscape:
- The Wendy's Co. faces stiff competition from major players like McDonald's, Burger King, and Yum! Brands.
- Differentiation through product quality, customer service, and marketing strategies is crucial.
Competitors
- McDonald's (MCD)
- Burger King (QSR)
- Yum! Brands (YUM)
- Restaurant Brands International (QSR)
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition and reputation for quality.
- Differentiated menu offerings, particularly the Dave's Single and Spicy Chicken Sandwich.
- Successful franchise model driving global expansion.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Smaller market share compared to major competitors.
- Limited breakfast menu offerings.
- Higher average check size than some competitors.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Challenges:
- Intense competition in the fast-food industry.
- Rising food and labor costs.
- Maintaining brand relevance and attracting new customer segments.
Opportunities:
- Expanding international presence, particularly in emerging markets.
- Capitalizing on the growing demand for digital ordering and delivery.
- Introducing innovative menu items and catering to changing consumer preferences.
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years)
- 2023: Acquired a 20% stake in Ghost Kitchen Brands, a virtual restaurant platform, for strategic expansion into the growing ghost kitchen segment.
- 2021: No acquisitions reported.
- 2020: Acquired Quality Food Centers, Inc., a franchisee operating 41 Wendy's restaurants in the Atlanta, Georgia area, to strengthen its presence in the region.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating: 7/10
Justification:
The Wendy's Co. demonstrates solid financial performance, a recognizable brand, and growth potential, but faces stiff competition. Its strategic initiatives and commitment to innovation could drive future success.
Factors contributing to the rating:
- Financial Health: Stable financials, consistent revenue growth, and healthy balance sheet.
- Market Position: Strong brand recognition and established franchise network.
- Future Prospects: Growth potential through menu innovation, digital initiatives, and international expansion.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- The Wendy's Co. company website and investor relations page.
- YCharts financial data platform.
- Statista market research reports.
- Macrotrends economic data.
Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Dublin, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-03-17 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Kirk Tanner | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 5100 | Website https://www.wendys.com |
Full time employees 5100 | Website https://www.wendys.com |
The Wendy's Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a quick-service restaurant company in the United States and internationally. It operates through Wendy's U.S., Wendy's International, and Global Real Estate & Development segments. The company is involved in operating, developing, and franchising a system of quick-service restaurants specializing in hamburger sandwiches. It owns and leases real estate properties. The company was formerly known as Wendy's/Arby's Group, Inc. and changed its name to The Wendy's Company in July 2011. The Wendy's Company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ohio.
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