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McDonald’s Corporation (MCD)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: MCD (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 13.87% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 43 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 13.87% | Avg. Invested days: 43 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 209.74B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 25.7 | 1Y Target Price 321.51 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.42% | Basic EPS (TTM) 11.39 |
Volume (30-day avg) 3009173 | Beta 0.73 |
52 Weeks Range 240.66 - 316.00 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 209.74B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 25.7 | 1Y Target Price 321.51 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.42% | Basic EPS (TTM) 11.39 | Volume (30-day avg) 3009173 | Beta 0.73 |
52 Weeks Range 240.66 - 316.00 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 31.79% | Operating Margin (TTM) 46.97% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 13.63% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 25.7 | Forward PE 22.94 |
Enterprise Value 260174531467 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.09 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.03 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.79 |
Shares Outstanding 716620032 | Shares Floating 714949962 |
Percent Insiders 0.18 | Percent Institutions 73.18 |
Trailing PE 25.7 | Forward PE 22.94 | Enterprise Value 260174531467 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.09 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.03 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.79 | Shares Outstanding 716620032 | Shares Floating 714949962 |
Percent Insiders 0.18 | Percent Institutions 73.18 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.94 | Target Price 300.26 | Buy 6 |
Strong Buy 14 | Hold 14 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.94 | Target Price 300.26 | Buy 6 | Strong Buy 14 |
Hold 14 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
McDonald's Corporation Stock Overview (As of November 10, 2023)
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
McDonald's Corporation, founded in 1940 by Richard and Maurice McDonald, is a global fast-food chain known for its burgers, fries, and McCafe beverages. The company has grown from a single restaurant in San Bernardino, California, to over 39,000 restaurants in over 100 countries. McDonald's has become one of the most recognized brands worldwide, serving millions of customers daily.
Core Business Areas:
McDonald's focuses primarily on the quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry. They offer a menu of burgers, chicken, fries, desserts, and beverages. Additionally, they have expanded into breakfast offerings and McCafé outlets. Their business model primarily operates through franchising, with over 93% of restaurants being franchised.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Chris Kempczinski serves as the current CEO of McDonald's Corporation. The company's leadership team includes various executives responsible for functions like Operations, Finance, Marketing, and HR. The board of directors, led by Enrique Hernandez Jr., provides governance and oversight.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
McDonald's iconic products include:
- Big Mac
- Quarter Pounder
- Chicken McNuggets
- French Fries
- McCafe beverages
Market Share:
McDonald's is the global leader in the burger market, with a global market share of approximately 21%. In the US, they hold the largest market share in the burger segment with around 31.3%. They also maintain a significant market share in the broader QSR industry.
Product Performance and Competition:
While McDonald's remains a leader in the burger market, they face increasing competition from other fast-food chains and healthier food options. Recent product launches like the McPlant burger cater to changing consumer preferences.
Total Addressable Market:
The global fast-food market is estimated to be worth over $570 billion in 2023, with the US market contributing significantly. This market is expected to grow steadily due to rising disposable incomes and urbanization.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Highlights:
- Revenue (2022): $23.22 billion
- Net Income (2022): $6.19 billion
- Profit Margin (2022): 26.68%
- EPS (2022): $9.31
Year-over-Year Comparison:
McDonald's has shown consistent revenue and profit growth in recent years. Compared to 2021, 2022 saw a revenue increase of 11% and a net income increase of 18%.
Financial Health:
McDonald's boasts a strong financial position with a healthy cash flow and low debt-to-equity ratio. Their balance sheet indicates sufficient liquidity and long-term solvency.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
McDonald's has a long history of dividend payouts, with a current annual dividend yield of around 2.2%. The company has increased its dividend payout annually for 46 consecutive years.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, McDonald's stock has generated shareholder returns of around 15%, outperforming the S&P 500. Over longer timeframes, like 5 and 10 years, the stock has delivered impressive returns, exceeding 80% and 140%, respectively.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
McDonald's has witnessed consistent historical growth, expanding its global footprint and increasing same-store sales. Over the past 5 years, revenue has grown at a CAGR of 9.5%.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts project continued growth for McDonald's, with revenue expected to reach $25 billion by 2025. This growth is anticipated to be driven by international expansion, technological advancements, and menu innovation.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The fast-food industry is characterized by intense competition, evolving consumer preferences, and technological advancements. Health and sustainability concerns are influencing consumer choices, leading to an increased demand for healthier menu options.
Market Positioning:
McDonald's strong brand recognition, global presence, and efficient franchise model position them favorably within the industry. The company continuously adapts to changing consumer trends and leverages technology to enhance the customer experience.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Yum! Brands (YUM)
- Restaurant Brands International (QSR)
- Wendy's (WEN)
- The Coca-Cola Company (KO)
- PepsiCo (PEP)
Market Share Comparison:
While McDonald's leads the burger market, competitors like Yum! Brands (with KFC and Pizza Hut) and Restaurant Brands International (with Burger King) hold significant market shares in other segments of the QSR industry.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
McDonald's competitive advantages include brand recognition, global reach, economies of scale, and a strong franchise model. However, intense competition, changing consumer preferences, and potential economic downturns pose challenges.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Maintaining global brand consistency amidst cultural differences.
- Adapting to changing consumer preferences for healthier options.
- Managing labor costs and supply chain disruptions.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets, especially emerging economies.
- Introducing innovative and healthier menu options.
- Leveraging technology to personalize customer experiences.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- Apprente (2021): This AI-powered voice-activated ordering technology aims to enhance customer experience and drive operational efficiency.
- Dynamic Yield (2021): This customer experience personalization platform helps tailor offers and personalize the digital experience for customers.
- McD Tech Labs (2020): This acquisition of a Silicon Valley innovation hub provides access to cutting-edge technologies and talent, fostering innovation within the company.
These acquisitions demonstrate McDonald's commitment to technology and innovation to drive future growth.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of various financial and market factors, McDonald's Corporation stock receives a rating of 8.5 out of 10.
Justification:
This rating is supported by the company's strong financial performance, consistent dividend payments, robust growth trajectory, and favorable market position. However, potential challenges like competition and evolving consumer preferences necessitate ongoing adaptation.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- McDonald's Corporation Investor Relations
- Yahoo Finance
- Statista
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in stocks involves inherent risks, and you should always conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
This overview provides a comprehensive picture of McDonald's Corporation's stock, considering its financial performance, market position, growth potential, and competitive landscape. While the company boasts numerous strengths, understanding potential challenges and opportunities helps assess its future prospects.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About McDonald’s Corporation
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Chicago, IL, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1965-04-21 | Chairman & CEO | Mr. Christopher J. Kempczinski |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.mcdonalds.com |
Industry | Restaurants | Full time employees | 100000 |
Headquaters | Chicago, IL, United States | ||
Chairman & CEO | Mr. Christopher J. Kempczinski | ||
Website | https://www.mcdonalds.com | ||
Website | https://www.mcdonalds.com | ||
Full time employees | 100000 |
McDonald's Corporation operates and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, desserts, sundaes, cookies, pies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages; and full or limited breakfast, as well as sells various other products during limited-time promotions. The company owns and operates under various structures comprising conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate. McDonald's Corporation was founded in 1940 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
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