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McDonald’s Corporation (MCD)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: MCD (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 13.87% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 2.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 202.52B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 24.68 | 1Y Target Price 322.97 |
Price to earnings Ratio 24.68 | 1Y Target Price 322.97 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2996777 | Beta 0.73 | 52 Weeks Range 240.66 - 316.00 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 240.66 - 316.00 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.52% | Basic EPS (TTM) 11.45 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 31.79% | Operating Margin (TTM) 46.97% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 13.63% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE 24.68 | Forward PE 22.22 | Enterprise Value 253524300781 | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.81 |
Enterprise Value 253524300781 | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.81 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.77 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.31 | Shares Outstanding 716620032 | Shares Floating 714949962 |
Shares Outstanding 716620032 | Shares Floating 714949962 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.18 | Percent Institutions 73.25 |
AI Summary
McDonald's Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
McDonald's Corporation, founded in 1940, has a rich history rooted in innovation and franchising. The company, initially a hamburger stand operated by the McDonald brothers, transformed into a global fast-food empire under Ray Kroc's leadership in the 1950s. Kroc emphasized standardized operations, mass production, and franchising, propelling McDonald's to become the world's leading fast-food chain.
Core Business Areas:
McDonald's core business revolves around operating and franchising fast-food restaurants. The company offers a diverse menu of burgers, fries, chicken, beverages, and desserts, catering to a broad customer base. Additionally, McDonald's generates revenue through real estate leasing and licensing agreements.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Chris Kempczinski serves as McDonald's President and CEO, leading a diverse executive team with extensive experience in the food and beverage industry. The company operates a decentralized structure, with franchised restaurants constituting a significant portion of its operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
McDonald's signature offerings include Big Macs, Chicken McNuggets, Quarter Pounders, McFlurry desserts, and Happy Meals. These products are recognized globally and contribute significantly to the company's sales.
Market Share:
McDonald's holds a dominant position in the global fast-food market, with an estimated 21.7% share as of 2022. In the United States, the company maintains a leading market share of 14.9%.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
McDonald's products consistently rank high in customer satisfaction surveys, indicating strong market reception. The company maintains its relevance by introducing new menu items and adapting to evolving consumer preferences. However, it faces competition from emerging fast-food chains and evolving consumer trends towards healthier options.
Total Addressable Market
The global fast-food market is estimated to reach a value of $791.12 billion by 2027, representing a significant market size for McDonald's. The increasing demand for convenience and affordability drives market growth, creating ample opportunities for McDonald's expansion.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
McDonald's has demonstrated consistent financial performance in recent years. In 2022, the company reported $23.22 billion in revenue, $6.84 billion in net income, a 23.1% profit margin, and $10.47 in earnings per share.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
Compared to 2021, McDonald's experienced revenue growth of 10.9% and a net income increase of 15.6%. This positive trend indicates a robust financial performance.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
McDonald's maintains a healthy balance sheet with a $7.74 billion cash balance and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.87. The company's strong cash flow generation allows for strategic investments and dividend payouts.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
McDonald's has a consistent dividend payout history, with an annualized dividend of $5.81 per share as of November 2023. The company's current dividend yield stands at 2.28%.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, McDonald's stock has delivered a total return of 6.53%, outperforming the broader market. Over 5 and 10-year periods, shareholder returns have averaged 14.6% and 12.9% annually, respectively, indicating a strong value proposition for investors.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
McDonald's has experienced consistent historical growth, expanding its global footprint and increasing revenue and profitability. Over the past five years, the company's revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.3%.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts project moderate future growth for McDonald's, with revenue expected to increase at a CAGR of 4.3% over the next five years. The company's focus on global expansion, menu innovation, and digital initiatives is expected to drive this growth.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
McDonald's has launched several growth initiatives, including expanding its delivery and drive-thru services, introducing plant-based menu options, and embracing technology advancements. These initiatives aim to enhance customer experience, cater to evolving preferences, and drive sales growth.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
The fast-food industry is characterized by increasing demand for convenience, affordability, and technological integration. Health and sustainability concerns are also shaping consumer preferences.
McDonald's Positioning:
McDonald's strong brand recognition, global presence, and adaptability to market trends position it well within the industry. The company's focus on digital initiatives and menu innovation allows it to stay competitive.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
McDonald's faces competition from other fast-food giants like Yum! Brands (YUM), Restaurant Brands International (QSR), and Wendy's (WEN). These competitors offer similar menu items and compete for market share.
Market Share Comparison:
Yum! Brands holds a market share of 14.8%, Restaurant Brands International has 6.6%, and Wendy's captures 5.5% of the market. McDonald's maintains its leadership position with a significant market share advantage.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages
Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition
- Global presence
- Standardized operations
- Economies of scale
- Digital and technological capabilities
**Disadvantages
About McDonald’s Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Chicago, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1965-04-21 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Christopher J. Kempczinski | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 100000 | Website https://www.mcdonalds.com |
Full time employees 100000 | Website https://www.mcdonalds.com |
McDonald's Corporation operates and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, desserts, sundaes, cookies, pies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages; and full or limited breakfast, as well as sells various other products during limited-time promotions. The company owns and operates under various structures comprising conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate. McDonald's Corporation was founded in 1940 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
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