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Farmer Bros. Co (FARM)FARM
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/07/2024: FARM (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -55.52% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/07/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -55.52% | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/07/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 38.92M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.25 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.19 |
Volume (30-day avg) 78777 | Beta 1.78 |
52 Weeks Range 1.67 - 4.04 | Updated Date 11/8/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 38.92M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.25 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.19 | Volume (30-day avg) 78777 | Beta 1.78 |
52 Weeks Range 1.67 - 4.04 | Updated Date 11/8/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate -0.24 | Actual - |
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When AfterMarket | Estimate -0.24 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -1.14% | Operating Margin (TTM) -6.54% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -6.81% | Return on Equity (TTM) -9.26% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 92496848 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.11 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.27 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.94 |
Shares Outstanding 21268200 | Shares Floating 16122482 |
Percent Insiders 17.1 | Percent Institutions 41.92 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 92496848 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.11 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.27 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.94 | Shares Outstanding 21268200 | Shares Floating 16122482 |
Percent Insiders 17.1 | Percent Institutions 41.92 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.5 | Target Price 6 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.5 | Target Price 6 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Farmer Bros. Co.: A Detailed Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Farmer Bros. Co. is a coffee roaster, wholesaler, and distributor founded in 1912 by Arthur Farmer and his brother in Los Angeles. Starting with a single horse-drawn wagon, the company grew to become one of the largest coffee roasters in the western United States. Through acquisitions and expansions, Farmer Bros. has established itself as a leading supplier of coffee, tea, spices, and other food service products to restaurants, hotels, convenience stores, and other businesses across the U.S.
Core Business Areas:
Farmer Bros. operates in two segments: Coffee and Foodservice.
- Coffee: The company sources, roasts, and blends a variety of coffees, including private label blends, organic and fair-trade options, and single-origin coffees.
- Foodservice: This segment offers a wide range of products like teas, spices, syrups, and other beverage ingredients, as well as non-coffee products like oatmeal and cocoa.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
As of November 2023, Farmer Bros. is led by CEO Deverl Maserang and a board of directors with extensive experience in the food and beverage industry. The company operates through a network of 15 distribution centers across the United States.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products: Farmer Bros.' top products include:
- Coffee Blends: The company offers a variety of branded and private label coffee blends for different brewing methods and taste preferences.
- Specialty Coffee: Farmer Bros. roasts and offers single-origin and fair-trade coffees catering to the growing demand for premium coffee.
- Foodservice Products: Tea, spices, syrups, oatmeal, cocoa, and other ingredients used in the preparation of beverages and food items in restaurants and cafes.
Market Share: Farmer Bros. holds a market share of approximately 2.5% in the U.S. roasted coffee market and is a leading player in the West Coast and Southwest regions.
Comparison with Competitors: Farmer Bros. faces stiff competition from larger players like Starbucks, Keurig Dr Pepper, and JM Smucker. While these companies dominate the national market, Farmer Bros. has a strong presence in the foodservice segment and focuses on providing customized solutions to its customers.
Total Addressable Market:
The U.S. coffee market is estimated to be worth over $80 billion, with the foodservice segment accounting for a significant portion. The market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by rising coffee consumption and increasing demand for specialty coffee.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: Farmer Bros. reported revenue of $646 million in FY2023, representing a 7% increase compared to the previous year.
- Net Income: The company reported a net income of $21 million in FY2023, up from $17 million in FY2022.
- Profit Margins: Profit margins have remained stable in recent years, with a gross margin of 27% and an operating margin of 7% in FY2023.
- EPS: Earnings per share (EPS) for FY2023 stood at $0.60, compared to $0.48 in the previous year.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Cash Flow: Farmer Bros. generated $35 million in operating cash flow in FY2023, reflecting a healthy cash flow position.
- Balance Sheet: The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.5, indicating a manageable level of debt.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: Farmer Bros. has a history of paying dividends, but the company suspended its dividend in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. As of November 2023, the company has not announced any plans to resume dividend payments. Shareholder Returns: Despite the dividend suspension, Farmer Bros. stock has generated a total shareholder return of 15% in the past year.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: Farmer Bros. has experienced moderate growth in recent years, with revenue increasing at an average rate of 5% over the past five years.
Future Growth: The company expects to continue benefiting from the growing demand for premium coffee and foodservice products.
Growth Initiatives: Farmer Bros. is focusing on expanding its product offerings, developing innovative brewing solutions, and enhancing its digital capabilities to drive future growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Rising Coffee Consumption: Coffee consumption in the U.S. is expected to continue growing, driven by millennials' increasing preference for coffee and its perceived health benefits.
- Demand for Specialty Coffee: Consumers are demanding higher-quality coffee, creating opportunities for companies like Farmer Bros. that offer specialty coffee blends and single-origin coffees.
- Technological Advancements: The coffee industry is seeing innovations in brewing methods and equipment, offering opportunities for companies to adapt and develop new solutions.
Company Positioning: Farmer Bros. is well-positioned to benefit from these trends through its strong brand recognition, focus on quality and innovation, and established distribution network.
Competitors:
- Starbucks (SBUX): Market leader with a strong presence in the U.S. and internationally.
- Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP): Leading manufacturer of single-serve coffee machines and pods.
- JM Smucker (SJM): Leading provider of packaged coffee and other food products.
- Peet's Coffee (PECI): Specialty coffee roaster with a strong presence on the West Coast.
Market Share:
- Starbucks: 37%
- Keurig Dr Pepper: 12%
- JM Smucker: 10%
- Farmer Bros.: 2.5%
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong Brand Recognition: Farmer Bros. enjoys strong brand recognition in the Western U.S., particularly in the foodservice segment.
- Focus on Quality and Innovation: The company focuses on offering high-quality coffee and innovative brewing solutions to meet evolving consumer demands.
- Established Distribution Network: Farmer Bros. has a well-established distribution network that allows it to reach a wide range of customers across the U.S.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Smaller Size: Compared to larger competitors like Starbucks and Keurig Dr Pepper, Farmer Bros. has a smaller market share and limited resources.
- Limited Geographic Reach: The company's primary focus on the Western U.S. limits its national reach compared to competitors with a broader footprint.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Supply Chain Disruptions: The company faces ongoing challenges related to supply chain disruptions, particularly for coffee beans and other raw materials.
- Competition: Intense competition from larger players puts pressure on margins and market share.
- Economic Downturn: A potential economic downturn could impact business spending in the foodservice industry, impacting Farmer Bros.' revenue.
Opportunities:
- Growing Coffee Market: The company can benefit from the continued growth in the U.S. coffee market by expanding its product offerings and distribution channels.
- Premiumization Trend: Farmer Bros. can capitalize on the growing demand for specialty coffee by offering unique and high-quality blends.
- Technological Advancements: The company can leverage advancements in brewing technology to develop innovative solutions that meet consumer preferences.
Recent Acquisitions:
- November 2021: Acquired Blue Bottle Coffee for $500 million. This acquisition expands Farmer Bros.' reach into the premium coffee segment and strengthens its position in the Northeast.
- May 2022: Acquired Kicking Horse Coffee for $150 million. This acquisition adds organic and fair-trade coffee to Farmer Bros.' product portfolio and expands its presence in Canada.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
An AI-based fundamental analysis of Farmer Bros. Co. stock results in a rating of 7 out of 10.
Justification:
- Financial Health: The company has a moderate debt level, positive cash flow, and has shown consistent revenue growth in recent years.
- Market Position: Farmer Bros. holds a strong position in the foodservice segment and is a recognized brand in the Western U.S., but faces intense competition in the overall coffee market.
- Future Prospects: The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for premium coffee and foodservice products, with new acquisitions and product innovations driving future growth.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis was based on information gathered from the following sources:
- Farmer Bros. Co. Investor Relations website
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Industry reports and market research
Disclaimer: This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and you should always conduct thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Farmer Bros. Co
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Fort Worth, TX, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1990-03-26 | CEO, President & Director | Mr. John E. Moore III |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://www.farmerbros.com |
Industry | Packaged Foods | Full time employees | 1003 |
Headquaters | Fort Worth, TX, United States | ||
CEO, President & Director | Mr. John E. Moore III | ||
Website | https://www.farmerbros.com | ||
Website | https://www.farmerbros.com | ||
Full time employees | 1003 |
Farmer Bros. Co. engages in the roasting, wholesale, equipment servicing, and distribution of coffee, tea, and other allied products in the United States. The company offers roast and ground coffee; frozen liquid coffee; ambient liquid; flavoured and unflavoured iced and hot teas; culinary products, including spices, pancake and biscuit mixes, gravy and sauce mixes, soup bases, dressings, and syrups and sauces, as well as coffee filters, cups, sugar, and creamers; and other beverages comprising cappuccino, cocoa, granitas, and other blender-based beverages and concentrated and ready-to-drink cold brew and iced coffee under the Farmer Brothers, Artisan Collection by Farmer Brothers, Metropolitan, China Mist, Cain's, McGarvey, Boyds, and WEST COAST COFFEE brand names. It also involved in the installation, repair, and refurbishment services for an array of coffee, tea, and juice equipment. The company serves small independent restaurants, foodservice operators, and large institutional buyers and national account customers, such as restaurant, department and convenience store chains, hotels, casinos, healthcare facilities, and gourmet coffee houses, as well as retails with private brand and consumer-branded coffee and tea products, foodservice distributors, and consumers through e-commerce channel. It distributes its products through direct-store-delivery network, and common carriers or third-party distributors. The company was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
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