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Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
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JM Smucker Company (SJM)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$102.17
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss
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Upturn Advisory Summary

01/13/2025: SJM (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -2.67%
Avg. Invested days 65
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 01/13/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 10.87B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 20.35
1Y Target Price 125.93
Price to earnings Ratio 20.35
1Y Target Price 125.93
Volume (30-day avg) 1147226
Beta 0.25
52 Weeks Range 100.77 - 129.77
Updated Date 01/14/2025
52 Weeks Range 100.77 - 129.77
Updated Date 01/14/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.80%
Basic EPS (TTM) 5.02

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 8.77%
Operating Margin (TTM) 16.91%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.38%
Return on Equity (TTM) 10.09%

Valuation

Trailing PE 20.35
Forward PE 9.67
Enterprise Value 19205619450
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.28
Enterprise Value 19205619450
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.28
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.17
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.15
Shares Outstanding 106416000
Shares Floating 102539420
Shares Outstanding 106416000
Shares Floating 102539420
Percent Insiders 2.86
Percent Institutions 83.24

AI Summary

J.M. Smucker Company: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Founded in 1897 by J.M. Smucker as a coffee roaster in Orrville, Ohio, The J.M. Smucker Company has grown into a leading marketer and manufacturer of food and beverage products. Over the years, the company has expanded through acquisitions and organic growth, building a diverse portfolio of popular brands. Today, Smucker is a Fortune 500 company with over 7,000 employees and global operations.

Core Business Areas:

J.M. Smucker operates in four primary segments:

  • U.S. Retail Coffee: This segment includes leading brands like Folgers, Dunkin' Donuts, and Cafe Bustelo.
  • U.S. Retail Consumer Foods: This segment focuses on popular food products like peanut butter (Jif), jelly (Smucker's), and syrups (Mrs. Butterworth's).
  • International: This segment markets Smucker's products outside the U.S.
  • Natural & Organic Foods: This segment caters to growing consumer demand for natural and organic products with brands like Smucker's Uncrustables and R.W. Knudsen Family.

Leadership and Structure:

J.M. Smucker is led by President and CEO, Mark Smucker, the great-grandson of the founder. The company operates under a Board of Directors and an Executive Leadership Team responsible for strategic direction and day-to-day operations.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Folgers Coffee: The leading brand in the U.S. coffee market with a 17.4% share.
  • Jif Peanut Butter: The #1 peanut butter brand in the U.S. with a 35.7% share.
  • Smucker's Jelly: The #1 jelly brand in the U.S. with a 33.7% share.
  • Uncrustables: A leading brand in the frozen sandwiches category with a significant market share.

Market Share:

J.M. Smucker holds a strong market presence in its core categories. Folgers leads the U.S. coffee market, followed by Starbucks and Dunkin' Donuts. In peanut butter, Jif boasts the largest share, with Skippy and Peter Pan trailing behind. Smucker's dominates the jelly market, followed by Welch's and Kraft.

Product Performance and Competition:

While J.M. Smucker enjoys leadership positions in various categories, it faces intense competition from established brands and emerging players. In coffee, the company is challenged by Starbucks' premium positioning and the increasing popularity of single-serve options. In peanut butter, competition comes from private label brands and the growing demand for natural and organic alternatives. Nevertheless, Smucker's strong brand recognition and product quality continue to drive its market share.

Total Addressable Market:

The US food and beverage market is vast, with a value estimated at over $2 trillion. Within this market, Smucker operates in specific segments like coffee, peanut butter, and jelly, which represent sizeable markets themselves. The coffee market alone is valued at over $100 billion, while the peanut butter and jelly market combined is worth over $5 billion.

Financial Performance:

Revenue and Net Income:

In the recent fiscal year (ending April 30, 2023), J.M. Smucker generated revenue of $7.9 billion, resulting in a net income of $585 million.

Profit Margins and EPS:

Smucker's operating margin stood at 12.3%, while the net profit margin was 7.4%. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $4.23.

Financial Health:

Smucker maintains a healthy financial position with a strong cash flow and moderate debt levels. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 1.24, indicating a manageable debt burden.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

J.M. Smucker has a consistent track record of dividend payments. The company currently offers a quarterly dividend of $0.82 per share, resulting in an annual dividend yield of approximately 3.1%.

Shareholder Returns:

Smucker has delivered modest shareholder returns over the past years. Over the past year, the stock price has increased by 5%, while the total shareholder return, including dividends, stands at 8%.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

Over the past five years, J.M. Smucker has shown modest organic growth, with revenue increasing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.5%.

Future Growth Projections:

Analysts expect Smucker's growth to remain moderate in the coming years, driven by continued demand for its core brands and innovation in new categories. The company expects to achieve organic sales growth of 1% to 2% in the next fiscal year.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

The food and beverage industry is facing several trends, including increasing demand for healthier products, convenience, and sustainability. Companies like Smucker must adapt to these changes to remain competitive.

Smucker's Positioning:

Smucker is strategically positioned to capitalize on these trends through its portfolio of brands. The company offers a range of natural and organic products, convenient single-serve options, and is exploring sustainable packaging solutions.

Competitors:

Key Competitors:

  • The Coca-Cola Company (KO)
  • PepsiCo (PEP)
  • Kraft Heinz (KHC)
  • General Mills (GIS)
  • Kellogg's (K)

Market Share and Positioning:

While Smucker is a leader in specific categories, it faces competition from larger food and beverage giants with broader portfolios and more resources. However, Smucker's strong brand recognition and focus on specific categories provide a competitive edge.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Intense competition from larger players and private label brands.
  • Volatile commodity prices impacting input costs.
  • Changing consumer preferences and evolving trends.

Opportunities:

  • Growth in the natural and organic food market.
  • Expansion into new categories and emerging markets.
  • Innovation in product offerings and packaging.

Recent Acquisitions:

In the past three years, J.M. Smucker has made several acquisitions to strengthen its portfolio and expand its reach. These include:

  • Big Heart Pet Brands (2020): This acquisition expanded Smucker's pet food business with brands like Milk-Bone and Meow Mix.
  • Diamond Foods (2020): This acquisition brought leading snack nut brands like Emerald and Diamond of California under Smucker's umbrella.
  • R.W. Knudsen Family (2021): This acquisition strengthened Smucker's presence in the natural and organic food market with its popular line of juice and beverage products.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Evaluation:

Based on an AI-powered fundamental analysis, J.M. Smucker Company receives a rating of 6.5 out of 10.

Justification:

The rating considers factors such as financial performance, market position, and future growth prospects. Smucker's strong brand portfolio, consistent dividend payout, and moderate debt levels are positive factors. However, the company's modest growth trajectory and competition from larger players impact its overall rating.

Sources and Disclaimers:

This analysis utilizes data from J.M. Smucker Company's website, SEC filings, and financial news sources. It is essential to note that this information should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct further research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.

About NVIDIA Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Orrville, OH, United States
IPO Launch date 1994-10-31
CEO, President & Chairman Captain Mark T. Smucker
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Packaged Foods
Full time employees 9000
Full time employees 9000

The J. M. Smucker Company manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products worldwide. It operates in four segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads, U.S. Retail Pet Foods, and Sweet Baked Snacks. The company offers coffee, pet snacks, peanut butter, cat food, frozen handheld products, sweet baked goods, fruit and specialty spreads, portion control products, baking mixes and ingredients, toppings and syrups, dog food, cookies, frozen sandwiches and snacks, hot beverages, frozen handheld products, and flour. It provides its products under the Folgers, Café Bustelo, Dunkin', Jif, Smucker's, Smucker's Uncrustables, Meow Mix, Milk-Bone, Pup-Peroni, Canine Carry Outs, Hostess, Voortman, 1850, Robin Hood, and Five Roses brands. The company sells its products through direct sales and brokers to food retailers, club stores, discount and dollar stores, online retailers, pet specialty stores, distributors, drug stores, military commissaries, mass merchandisers, supermarket chains, national mass retailers, convenience stores, vending channels, and foodservice distributors and operators. The J. M. Smucker Company was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Orrville, Ohio.

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