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JM Smucker Company (SJM)SJM
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: SJM (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -2.67% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 65 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -2.67% | Avg. Invested days: 65 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 11.91B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 15.81 | 1Y Target Price 123.74 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.86% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.08 |
Volume (30-day avg) 932106 | Beta 0.25 |
52 Weeks Range 103.71 - 129.77 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 11.91B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 15.81 | 1Y Target Price 123.74 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.86% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.08 | Volume (30-day avg) 932106 | Beta 0.25 |
52 Weeks Range 103.71 - 129.77 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.77% | Operating Margin (TTM) 16.91% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.38% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.09% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 15.81 | Forward PE 11.64 |
Enterprise Value 20474020304 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.4 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.41 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.33 |
Shares Outstanding 106406000 | Shares Floating 102539420 |
Percent Insiders 2.86 | Percent Institutions 83.26 |
Trailing PE 15.81 | Forward PE 11.64 | Enterprise Value 20474020304 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.4 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.41 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.33 | Shares Outstanding 106406000 | Shares Floating 102539420 |
Percent Insiders 2.86 | Percent Institutions 83.26 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.39 | Target Price 136.82 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 13 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.39 | Target Price 136.82 | Buy - | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 13 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
J.M. Smucker Company: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
- Founded in 1897 by Jerome Monroe Smucker as a single-horse-and-wagon operation selling apple butter in Orrville, Ohio.
- Evolved from selling apple butter to producing jams, jellies, and fruit butters.
- Acquired numerous brands over the years, including Folgers coffee, Jif peanut butter, and Pillsbury baking mixes.
- Today, J.M. Smucker Company is a leading manufacturer and marketer of food and beverage products in North America.
Core Business Areas:
- Consumer Foods: Spreads, peanut butter, jellies, preserves, syrups, baking mixes, shortening, oils, beverages (including coffee, tea, and juice), and pet food.
- Coffee: Folgers, Dunkin' Donuts, Café Bustelo, and other brands.
- International: Focuses on coffee and peanut butter in select international markets.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Current CEO: John Brase
- Board of Directors: Composed of 11 members with diverse experience in food, consumer products, and finance.
- Corporate Structure: Decentralized with four operating segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Consumer Foods, International, and Away From Home.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Folgers coffee (leading the U.S. roast and ground coffee market)
- Jif peanut butter (leading the U.S. peanut butter market)
- Smucker's jams and jellies
- Pillsbury baking mixes
- Dunkin' Donuts coffee
- Milk-Bone pet treats
Market Share:
- Coffee: Approximately 17% of the U.S. market share (behind Starbucks and Keurig Dr Pepper)
- Peanut Butter: Approximately 30% of the U.S. market share
- Jams and Jellies: Approximately 30% of the U.S. market share
Comparison with Competitors:
- Folgers faces strong competition from Starbucks and Keurig Dr Pepper in the coffee market.
- Jif competes with Nutella and other peanut butter brands.
- Smucker's jams and jellies encounter competition from private label brands and other national brands.
Total Addressable Market:
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
- U.S. Food and Beverage Market: Approximately $2.2 trillion (2022)
- Global Coffee Market: Approximately $100 billion (2022)
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $8.2 billion (2022)
- Net Income: $667 million (2022)
- Profit Margin: 8.1% (2022)
- Earnings Per Share (EPS): $5.53 (2022)
Year-Over-Year Performance:
- Revenue and net income have grown slightly in the past year.
- Profit margin has remained relatively stable.
- EPS has increased slightly.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Healthy cash flow from operations allows for investments in growth initiatives.
- Solid balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- J.M. Smucker Company has a long history of paying dividends, currently yielding approximately 3.4%.
- It has increased its dividend annually for 21 consecutive years.
- Payout ratio is around 60%.
Shareholder Returns:
- Total shareholder returns have been positive over the past 1, 5, and 10 years, outperforming the S&P 500 in recent years.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Revenue and net income have grown modestly over the past 5-10 years.
- Acquisitions have contributed to growth.
Future Growth Projections:
- J.M. Smucker Company expects low single-digit organic sales growth in the coming years.
- Focus on innovation, cost efficiency, and portfolio optimization to drive growth.
Recent Initiatives:
- Investing in coffee innovation and marketing.
- Expanding its pet food business.
- Implementing cost-saving measures.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Growing demand for convenient and ready-to-eat food products.
- Increasing consumer preference for healthier and natural ingredients.
- Rise of private label brands and discount retailers.
Positioning:
- Strong brand portfolio and diverse product offerings.
- Established distribution network.
- Focus on cost efficiency and innovation.
Competitors:
- Key Competitors:
- The Coca-Cola Company (KO)
- PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP)
- Kellogg Company (K)
- General Mills, Inc. (GIS)
- Kraft Heinz Company (KHC)
- Market Share Comparison:
- J.M. Smucker Company has a smaller market share than most of its competitors in the overall food and beverage industry.
- However, it holds leading positions in key categories like coffee and peanut butter.
- Competitive Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition
- Established manufacturing and distribution capabilities
- Focus on innovation and product quality
- Competitive Disadvantages:
- Limited international presence
- Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Managing rising input costs.
- Maintaining market share in a competitive landscape.
- Adapting to changing consumer preferences.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding internationally
- Developing new product categories
- Investing in strategic partnerships
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- Big Heart Pet Brands (2022): Acquired for $5.8 billion. This acquisition expands J.M. Smucker's pet food portfolio and strengthens its position in the growing pet care market.
- Diamond Foods (2020): Acquired for approximately $1.27 billion. This acquisition adds popular snack brands like Emerald and Pop Secret popcorn to J.M. Smucker's portfolio.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
AI-Based Rating: 7/10
Justification:
- While J.M. Smucker Company faces challenges in the dynamic food and beverage industry, it has a strong brand portfolio, good financial health, and opportunities for growth.
- The company's focus on innovation, cost efficiency, and its expanding pet food business are positive factors.
- However, its limited international presence and exposure to commodity price fluctuations present potential risks.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- J.M. Smucker Company website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
- Stock analysis websites
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About JM Smucker Company
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Orrville, OH, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1994-10-31 | CEO, President & Chairman | Captain Mark T. Smucker |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://www.jmsmucker.com |
Industry | Packaged Foods | Full time employees | 9000 |
Headquaters | Orrville, OH, United States | ||
CEO, President & Chairman | Captain Mark T. Smucker | ||
Website | https://www.jmsmucker.com | ||
Website | https://www.jmsmucker.com | ||
Full time employees | 9000 |
The J. M. Smucker Company manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products worldwide. It operates in four segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads, U.S. Retail Pet Foods, and Sweet Baked Snacks. The company offers coffee, pet snacks, peanut butter, cat food, frozen handheld products, sweet baked goods, fruit and specialty spreads, portion control products, baking mixes and ingredients, toppings and syrups, dog food, cookies, frozen sandwiches and snacks, hot beverages, frozen handheld products, and flour. It provides its products under the Folgers, Café Bustelo, Dunkin', Jif, Smucker's, Smucker's Uncrustables, Meow Mix, Milk-Bone, Pup-Peroni, Canine Carry Outs, Hostess, Voortman, 1850, Robin Hood, and Five Roses brands. The company sells its products through direct sales and brokers to food retailers, club stores, discount and dollar stores, online retailers, pet specialty stores, distributors, drug stores, military commissaries, mass merchandisers, supermarket chains, national mass retailers, convenience stores, vending channels, and foodservice distributors and operators. The J. M. Smucker Company was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Orrville, Ohio.
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