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Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2024: SBUX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -4.68% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/31/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 103.46B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 27.57 | 1Y Target Price 103.3 |
Price to earnings Ratio 27.57 | 1Y Target Price 103.3 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8242274 | Beta 0.96 | 52 Weeks Range 70.40 - 103.32 | Updated Date 01/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 70.40 - 103.32 | Updated Date 01/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.67% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.31 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 10.4% | Operating Margin (TTM) 13.26% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 10.5% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE 27.57 | Forward PE 28.49 | Enterprise Value 125719150000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.86 |
Enterprise Value 125719150000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.86 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.48 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.65 | Shares Outstanding 1133799936 | Shares Floating 1109526475 |
Shares Outstanding 1133799936 | Shares Floating 1109526475 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.08 | Percent Institutions 80.75 |
AI Summary
Starbucks Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
- 1971: Starbucks opens its first store in Seattle's Pike Place Market, selling roasted coffee beans and tea.
- 1980s: Expansion begins, with Starbucks focusing on premium coffee and espresso drinks.
- 1990s: International expansion and acquisitions of Seattle’s Best Coffee, Torrefazione Italia, and Hear Music.
- 2000s: Introduction of Frappuccino, expansion into new beverage categories like iced tea and smoothies.
- 2010s: Aggressive digital transformation, mobile ordering and payment, focus on sustainability initiatives.
- Present: Over 33,000 stores across 80 countries, a global leader in coffeehouse industry.
Core Business Areas:
- Retail: Starbucks' core business, selling coffee, espresso drinks, pastries, and merchandise in company-operated and licensed stores.
- Global Coffee: Sourcing, roasting, and selling whole bean coffee, K-Cups, and other coffee products.
- Channel Development: Licensing partnerships with major retailers for Starbucks-branded products in grocery stores and convenience stores.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Howard Schultz
- President and COO: John Culver
- CFO: Rachel Ruggeri
- Board of Directors: Comprised of 13 members with diverse experience.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Frappuccino
- Latte
- Caramel Macchiato
- Americano
- Mocha
Market Share:
- Global Coffee Market: 3.3% (2022)
- US Coffeehouse Market: 45.6% (2022)
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Starbucks products generally receive positive market reception, known for quality ingredients, innovative beverages, and consistent experience. Frappuccino is arguably the most iconic product, while seasonal offerings and collaborations drive excitement and engagement.
Competitors:
- McDonald's (MCD)
- Dunkin' Brands Group (DNKN)
- Tim Hortons
- Costa Coffee
Total Addressable Market:
- Global Coffee Market: $707.7 billion (2023)
- US Coffeehouse Market: $43.7 billion (2023)
Financial Performance:
Revenue:
- 2023: $32.28 billion
- 2022: $30.37 billion
Net Income:
- 2023: $4.38 billion
- 2022: $3.31 billion
Profit Margin:
- 2023: 13.6%
- 2022: 10.9%
Earnings Per Share (EPS):
- 2023: $2.74
- 2022: $2.07
Financial Highlights:
- Steady revenue growth in recent years.
- Increasing profit margins despite inflationary pressures.
- Strong cash flow generation with consistent capital investment.
Balance Sheet Highlights:
- Low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating financial stability.
- Significant cash and marketable securities, demonstrating financial flexibility.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Starbucks has paid regular dividends since 2006.
- Recent dividend yield: 2.1%.
- Payout ratio: 48.4% (2023).
Shareholder Returns:
- 1-year total return: 18.2%
- 5-year total return: 82.6%
- 10-year total return: 232.1%
Growth Trajectory:
- Historically strong organic growth through global expansion and new store openings.
- Future growth projected from digital innovation, personalized rewards program, and product line extensions.
- Recent launches: Starbucks Reserve Roastery, Oleato (olive oil infused) beverages.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Increasing demand for premium coffee and unique experiences.
- Growing preference for sustainability and ethical sourcing.
- Technological advancements impacting delivery, personalization, and automation.
Starbucks Positioning:
- Strong brand loyalty and large customer base.
- Commitment to innovation and adapting to market trends.
- Expanding digital capabilities for convenience and personalization.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Rising commodity costs and inflationary pressures.
- Increasing competition in the coffeehouse market.
- Labor challenges and unionization efforts.
Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets and emerging economies.
- Digital innovation and personalized marketing.
- Product innovation and exploration of new beverage categories.
- Sustainability initiatives and ethical sourcing programs.
Recent Acquisitions:
In the last three years, Starbucks has primarily focused on strategic partnerships rather than major acquisitions. However, they did acquire:
The Coffeehouse Company in 2021, a UK-based company operating over 75 locations in Spain, Portugal, and Mexico. This acquisition strengthened Starbucks' presence in Europe and provided entry into the Spanish and Portuguese markets.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
- Based on AI analysis, Starbucks Corporation receives a 7.5 out of 10 fundamental rating.
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and improving profitability.
- Leading market position and brand recognition in the global coffee industry.
- Commitment to innovation and adaptation to market trends.
- Diverse product offerings and successful marketing strategies.
- Potential challenges remain, such as competitive pressures and labor issues.
Conclusion:
Starbucks Corporation is a well-established leader in the global coffee industry with a strong track record of financial performance and brand loyalty. The company possesses a solid AI-based fundamental rating and holds promising growth potential through continued innovation, market expansion, and digital transformation. Potential challenges should be carefully addressed, but overall, Starbucks is poised for continued success in the years to come.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Data sources include company filings, financial news, and industry reports.
- This overview is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Seattle, WA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-06-26 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Brian R. Niccol | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees - | Website https://www.starbucks.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.starbucks.com |
Starbucks Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a roaster, marketer, and retailer of coffee worldwide. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Channel Development. Its stores offer coffee, tea, and other beverages, roasted whole beans and ground coffees, single serve products, and ready-to-drink beverages; and various food products, such as pastries, breakfast sandwiches, and lunch items. The company also licenses its trademarks through licensed stores, and grocery and foodservice accounts. The company offers its products under the Starbucks Coffee, Teavana, Seattle's Best Coffee, Ethos, and Starbucks Reserve brands. Starbucks Corporation was founded in 1971 and is based in Seattle, Washington.
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