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Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: KDP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -3.78% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 42.24B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 18.76 | 1Y Target Price 37.35 |
Price to earnings Ratio 18.76 | 1Y Target Price 37.35 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9023474 | Beta 0.63 | 52 Weeks Range 27.86 - 37.77 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 27.86 - 37.77 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.99% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.66 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 15.04% | Operating Margin (TTM) 23.18% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.19% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.05% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 18.76 | Forward PE 15.08 | Enterprise Value 57730643316 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.79 |
Enterprise Value 57730643316 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.79 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.81 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.58 | Shares Outstanding 1356450048 | Shares Floating 1124201655 |
Shares Outstanding 1356450048 | Shares Floating 1124201655 | ||
Percent Insiders 16.83 | Percent Institutions 75.21 |
AI Summary
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is a leading beverage company formed in 2018 through the merger of Keurig Green Mountain and Dr Pepper Snapple Group. The company boasts a rich history dating back to the 1880s with brands like Dr Pepper, 7 Up, Snapple, Mott's, and Keurig.
Core Business Areas:
KDP operates in two primary segments:
- Coffee Systems: This segment focuses on the design, manufacturing, and distribution of single-serve coffee brewing systems like Keurig and K-Cup pods.
- Beverages: This segment encompasses the production and distribution of a diverse portfolio of hot and cold beverages, including carbonated soft drinks, juices, teas, and bottled water.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
KDP is led by President and CEO Ozan Dokmeci, supported by a seasoned executive team with extensive experience in the beverage and consumer goods industries. The company's corporate structure is designed to optimize operational efficiency and drive growth across its business segments.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
KDP's top products include:
- Keurig K-Cup pods: These single-serve coffee pods dominate the market with a vast selection of coffee and tea brands.
- Dr Pepper: The iconic carbonated soft drink remains a top seller in the US.
- 7 Up: This popular lemon-lime soda enjoys a strong global presence.
- Snapple: The tea and juice brand offers a variety of flavors and formats.
- Mott's: This brand encompasses a range of fruit juices and applesauce.
Market Share:
KDP holds a significant market share in the single-serve coffee market, estimated at around 70% in the US. The company also commands a substantial share of the carbonated soft drink market, particularly with Dr Pepper and 7 Up.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
KDP's products consistently receive positive reviews and enjoy strong brand loyalty. The company's focus on innovation and product diversification has helped it maintain its competitive edge.
Total Addressable Market:
The beverage industry is vast, with a global market size exceeding $1.7 trillion. KDP operates in several segments within this market, including coffee, carbonated soft drinks, and juices, which collectively represent a significant portion of the total addressable market.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
KDP's recent financial statements reveal consistent revenue growth and profitability. The company's net income for the fiscal year 2022 was $1.2 billion, with a profit margin of 17.5% and EPS of $1.84.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
KDP has demonstrated consistent year-over-year financial performance, with revenue and earnings consistently exceeding analyst expectations.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
KDP maintains a healthy cash flow and a strong balance sheet, indicating financial stability and the ability to invest in future growth initiatives.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
KDP has a consistent dividend payout history, with a current annual dividend yield of around 2.5%. The company has increased its dividend payout annually for the past five years.
Shareholder Returns:
KDP's stock has historically provided strong returns to shareholders, outperforming the S&P 500 index over various time periods.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
KDP has experienced consistent historical growth, driven by organic sales growth and strategic acquisitions. The company's revenue has increased by over 50% in the past five years.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts project continued growth for KDP, driven by factors such as increasing demand for single-serve coffee, expansion into new markets, and product innovation.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
KDP is actively pursuing growth initiatives, including new product launches, strategic partnerships, and investments in technology and automation.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The beverage industry is characterized by intense competition, evolving consumer preferences, and technological advancements. KDP is well-positioned to adapt to these dynamics through its diverse portfolio, strong brand recognition, and focus on innovation.
Market Positioning and Adaptability:
KDP is a leader in the single-serve coffee market and holds a strong position in the carbonated soft drink and juice segments. The company's adaptability to market changes is evident in its focus on e-commerce, sustainability initiatives, and healthy beverage options.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
KDP's key competitors include:
- Coca-Cola (KO): A global leader in carbonated soft drinks.
- PepsiCo (PEP): A major player in carbonated soft drinks, snacks, and beverages.
- Nestle (NSRGY): A global food and beverage giant with a strong presence in coffee and bottled water.
- Starbucks (SBUX): A leading coffeehouse chain with a growing presence in the single-serve coffee market.
Market Share and Competitive Advantages:
KDP's market share surpasses its competitors in the single-serve coffee segment. The company's competitive advantages include its strong brand portfolio, innovation capabilities, and extensive distribution network.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
KDP faces challenges such as rising input costs, supply chain disruptions, and increasing competition.
Potential Opportunities:
KDP has opportunities for growth in emerging markets, expansion into new product categories, and developing innovative beverage solutions.
Recent Acquisitions:
Last 3 Years:
KDP has made several acquisitions in the past three years, including:
- Bai Brands (2019): A maker of antioxidant-infused beverages, enhancing KDP's portfolio in the health and wellness space.
- Dr Pepper Snapple Group (2018): The merger that formed Keurig Dr Pepper, solidifying its position in the beverage industry.
These acquisitions have expanded KDP's product portfolio, diversified its revenue streams, and strengthened its market position.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis, KDP receives a fundamental rating of 8 out of 10.
Justification:
This rating reflects KDP's strong financial performance, market leadership, and growth potential. The company's brand portfolio, innovation capabilities, and adaptability to market changes are key strengths.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing involves risk, and individuals should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Sources:
- Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. website: https://www.keurigdrpepper.com/
- Investor Relations: https://www.keurigdrpepper.com/investors/
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC): https://www.sec.gov/
- Market research reports from reputable sources
This comprehensive overview provides a detailed analysis of Keurig Dr Pepper Inc., supported by data-driven insights and an AI-based evaluation.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Burlington, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1993-09-21 | CEO & Director Mr. Timothy P. Cofer | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | Full time employees 28100 | Website https://www.keurigdrpepper.com |
Full time employees 28100 | Website https://www.keurigdrpepper.com |
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. owns, manufactures, and distributors beverages and single serve brewing systems in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International. The U.S. Refreshment Beverages segment manufactures and distributes branded concentrates, syrup, and finished beverages. Its U.S. Coffee segment offers finished goods relating to K-Cup pods, single serve brewers, specialty coffee, and ready to drink coffee products through Keurig.com website. The International segment provides sales in Canada, Mexico, the Caribbean, and other international markets from the manufacture and distribution of branded concentrates, syrup, and finished beverages; and sales in Canada from the manufacture and distribution of finished goods relating to the Company's single serve brewers, KCup pods, and other coffee products. It serves retailers, third-party bottlers and distributors, retail partners, hotel chains, office coffee distributors, and end-use consumers. The company offers its products under the Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Snapple, Mott's, The Original Donut Shop, Clamato, and Core Hydration brand name. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.
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