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Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$31.13
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/05/2025: KDP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -3.78%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/05/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 46.17B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 20.51
1Y Target Price 36.76
Price to earnings Ratio 20.51
1Y Target Price 36.76
Volume (30-day avg) 8099586
Beta 0.62
52 Weeks Range 27.86 - 37.77
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 27.86 - 37.77
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.78%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.66

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-20
When Before Market
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 15.04%
Operating Margin (TTM) 23.18%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.19%
Return on Equity (TTM) 9.05%

Valuation

Trailing PE 20.51
Forward PE 16.23
Enterprise Value 60931873927
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.05
Enterprise Value 60931873927
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.05
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.02
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.33
Shares Outstanding 1356450048
Shares Floating 1123048670
Shares Outstanding 1356450048
Shares Floating 1123048670
Percent Insiders 17.24
Percent Institutions 81.2

AI Summary

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) was formed in 2018 through the merger of Keurig Green Mountain, Inc. and Dr Pepper Snapple Group, Inc. Keurig Green Mountain is known for its single-serve coffee machines, while Dr Pepper Snapple is a leading manufacturer and distributor of non-alcoholic beverages. The combined company boasts a rich history dating back to the 1880s with iconic brands like Dr Pepper, Snapple, 7Up, Mott's, and Keurig.

Core Business Areas: KDP operates in two main segments: Beverage Concentrates and Coffee Systems. The Beverage Concentrates segment manufactures and distributes non-alcoholic beverages, including carbonated soft drinks, juices, teas, and mixers. The Coffee Systems segment designs, manufactures, and markets single-serve coffee brewing systems and coffee pods.

Leadership and Structure: The company is led by Chairman and CEO O. Berkley Johnson and a team of experienced executives overseeing various functions like finance, operations, marketing, and innovation. KDP's Board of Directors comprises individuals with diverse expertise and experience, guiding the company's strategic direction.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Beverages: Dr Pepper, Snapple, 7Up, Mott's, Crush, Schweppes, Clamato
  • Coffee Systems: Keurig K-Cup pods, Keurig Brewers, Green Mountain Coffee Roasters

Market Share:

  • US Carbonated Soft Drinks: 17.2% (2nd largest)
  • US Coffee Pods: 34.3% (largest)
  • US Hot Beverages: 7.7% (3rd largest)

Competition: KDP's main competitors in the beverage market include Coca-Cola (KO), PepsiCo (PEP), and Nestle (NSRGY). In the coffee market, they compete with Nestle, Folgers (owned by JAB Holding Company), and Starbucks (SBUX).

Total Addressable Market:

  • Global Non-Alcoholic Beverage Market: $1.3 trillion
  • Global Coffee Market: $465 billion
  • US Coffee Pod Market: $14.4 billion

Financial Performance:

Recent Financials:

  • Revenue: $11.9 billion (2022)
  • Net Income: $1.3 billion (2022)
  • Profit Margin: 11.3% (2022)
  • EPS: $1.80 (2022)

Growth Trajectory: KDP has experienced steady growth in recent years, with revenue increasing by an average of 6.2% over the past five years. This growth can be attributed to successful product launches, expansion into new markets, and strategic acquisitions.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

  • Dividend History: KDP has a consistent dividend history, with a current annual dividend yield of 2.74%. The company has increased its dividend payout for the past ten consecutive years.
  • Shareholder Returns: KDP's total shareholder return over the past five years is 87.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 index by over 50%.

Market Dynamics:

  • Demand-Supply Scenario: The non-alcoholic beverage market is highly competitive, with constant innovation and product differentiation. The coffee market is also experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing demand for convenience and premium coffee experiences.
  • Technological Advancements: KDP invests heavily in research and development to create innovative beverage products and brewing technologies. The company is also leveraging digital platforms to enhance consumer engagement and personalize the coffee experience.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Intense competition: KDP faces stiff competition from major beverage and coffee companies with significant market share and resources.
  • Supply chain disruptions: The company's supply chain has been impacted by rising commodity costs and labor shortages.
  • Changing consumer preferences: Consumer preferences and trends are constantly evolving, requiring KDP to adapt its product offerings and marketing strategies accordingly.

Opportunities:

  • Emerging markets: KDP has significant growth potential in emerging markets like China and India, where demand for non-alcoholic beverages and coffee is rapidly increasing.
  • Product innovation: The company continues to invest in developing innovative beverage products and brewing technologies to cater to diverse consumer preferences.
  • Strategic partnerships: KDP can leverage partnerships with other companies to expand its distribution network and reach new customer segments.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • 2021:
    • California-based Dr. Smoothie: Expands KDP's portfolio of premium ready-to-drink smoothies.
    • Allied Brands: Strengthens the company's position in the fast-growing energy drink and functional beverage segment.
  • 2023:
    • The Lemon Perfect Company: Enters the growing functional beverage segment with Lemon Perfect's complete line of flavored lemonades.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

KDP receives a 7.8 out of 10 AI-based fundamental rating. This rating reflects the company's strong financial performance, leading market positions in key segments, consistent dividend payments, and potential for continued growth. However, the rating acknowledges the company's exposure to industry competition and potential challenges related to supply chain disruptions and changing consumer preferences.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • Sources: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. annual reports, investor presentations, financial news articles, industry reports
  • Disclaimer: This information is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Conclusion: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a leading beverage and coffee company with a diversified portfolio of strong brands, a solid financial foundation, and a commitment to innovation. While the company faces competitive and market-related challenges, its growth trajectory, strategic initiatives, and focus on shareholder returns position it favorably for future success.

About Keurig Dr Pepper Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Burlington, MA, United States
IPO Launch date 1993-09-21
CEO & Director Mr. Timothy P. Cofer
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Full time employees 28100
Full time employees 28100

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. owns, manufactures, and distributors beverages and single serve brewing systems in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International. The U.S. Refreshment Beverages segment manufactures and distributes branded concentrates, syrup, and finished beverages. Its U.S. Coffee segment offers finished goods relating to K-Cup pods, single serve brewers, specialty coffee, and ready to drink coffee products through Keurig.com website. The International segment provides sales in Canada, Mexico, the Caribbean, and other international markets from the manufacture and distribution of branded concentrates, syrup, and finished beverages; and sales in Canada from the manufacture and distribution of finished goods relating to the Company's single serve brewers, KCup pods, and other coffee products. It serves retailers, third-party bottlers and distributors, retail partners, hotel chains, office coffee distributors, and end-use consumers. The company offers its products under the Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Snapple, Mott's, The Original Donut Shop, Clamato, and Core Hydration brand name. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.

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