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Zumiez Inc (ZUMZ)ZUMZ
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: ZUMZ (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 1.33% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 1.33% | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 410.97M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 25.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.76 |
Volume (30-day avg) 202926 | Beta 1.24 |
52 Weeks Range 12.90 - 31.37 | Updated Date 11/21/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 410.97M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 25.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.76 | Volume (30-day avg) 202926 | Beta 1.24 |
52 Weeks Range 12.90 - 31.37 | Updated Date 11/21/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -6.02% | Operating Margin (TTM) 14.92% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.84% | Return on Equity (TTM) -15.13% |
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 40.49 |
Enterprise Value 508428051 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.46 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.08 |
Shares Outstanding 19141400 | Shares Floating 16348789 |
Percent Insiders 20.83 | Percent Institutions 85.9 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 40.49 | Enterprise Value 508428051 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.46 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.08 | Shares Outstanding 19141400 | Shares Floating 16348789 |
Percent Insiders 20.83 | Percent Institutions 85.9 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 17 | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold 4 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3 | Target Price 17 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold 4 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Zumiez Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background
Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ: ZUMZ) was founded in 1978 as an action sports retailer in Seattle, Washington. Initially targeting local surfers and skateboarders, Zumiez steadily expanded across the United States, opening its 100th store in 2003. Today, it boasts over 700 stores across the US and Canada, becoming a leading action sports retailer.
Core Business Areas
Zumiez focuses on selling apparel, footwear, hardgoods, and accessories related to action sports like skateboarding, snowboarding, surfing, BMX, and motocross. The company caters to a young demographic (12-24 years old) through its trendy store designs, engaging social media presence, and exclusive collaborations with popular action sports brands.
Leadership and Corporate Structure
- Executive Team: Zumiez Inc. is led by Richard Brooks (Executive Chairman) and Mark Rauf (President & CEO), with a board of directors overseeing the company's strategy and performance.
- Organizational Structure: Zumiez follows a decentralized operational structure, empowering its store managers to tailor their product assortment and marketing campaigns to the specific preferences of their local communities.
Top Products and Market Share
- Top Products: Zumiez's top-selling product categories include skateboard decks, sneakers, apparel (t-shirts, hoodies, pants), and accessories (hats, backpacks, sunglasses).
- Market Share: Analyzing the action sports retail market is difficult due to its fragmented nature. However, Zumiez is widely considered the market leader in the US, with an estimated market share of over 20%.
- Competitive Comparison: Zumiez faces competition from other action sports retailers like PacSun, Dick's Sporting Goods, and online retailers like Amazon. While competitors may offer broader product selections or lower prices, Zumiez differentiates itself through its specialized focus, community-driven approach, and brand collaborations.
Total Addressable Market
The global action sports market was valued at approximately $11.7 billion in 2020 and is projected to reach $17.4 billion by 2027, representing a CAGR of 5.8%. The US is the largest market, while Europe and Asia Pacific are emerging markets with significant growth potential.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: Zumiez's revenue for the fiscal year 2022 (ending January 2023) was $1.16 billion, an increase of 7.4% year-over-year.
- Net Income: Net income for FY2022 was $49.7 million, an increase of 7.9% year-over-year.
- Profit Margins: Gross margin remained healthy at 32.2%, while operating margin slightly dipped to 6.2%.
- EPS: Diluted EPS for FY2022 was $2.53, up from $2.40 in FY2021.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Cash Flow: Zumiez's operating cash flow for FY2022 was $88.2 million, and the company ended the year with $85.9 million in cash and equivalents.
- Balance Sheet: Zumiez maintains a strong balance sheet with low debt levels and healthy inventory turnover.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
Zumiez has a consistent dividend payout history, with its current quarterly dividend standing at $0.40 per share. The current annual dividend yield is 1.5%.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, Zumiez stock has returned 7.5%, outperforming the S&P 500. Over longer time horizons, its returns have been even more impressive: 50% over the past five years and 217% over the past ten years. This strong performance demonstrates the value Zumiez has created for long-term investors.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
Zumiez has consistently grown its revenues and earnings over the past decade. Between 2013 and 2022, its revenue grew at a CAGR of 6.3%, while its EPS grew at a CAGR of 11.8%.
Future Growth:
Zumiez is well-positioned for continued growth. The action sports market is expected to see continued growth, and Zumiez's strong brand recognition, loyal customer base, and focus on innovation position it favorably to capitalize on this growth.
Market Dynamics
The action sports retail market is characterized by:
- Strong Brand Loyalty: Consumers in this market are brand-conscious and loyal to specific companies and athletes.
- Frequent Product Innovation: Action sports are dynamic, constantly evolving with new tricks and styles. Retailers need to stay on top of these trends to keep their product offerings fresh.
- Evolving Distribution Channels: While brick-and-mortar stores remain important, online retail is playing an increasingly vital role in the market.
Zumiez is adapting well to these market dynamics through its brand collaborations, trend-focused product selection, and omnichannel strategy.
Competitors
- Key Competitors: Zumiez's main competitors include PacSun (ticker: PSUN), Dick's Sporting Goods (ticker: DKS), and online retailers like Amazon (ticker: AMZN).
- Market Share Comparison: Zumiez holds the largest market share among these competitors, followed by PacSun and then Dick's Sporting Goods. However, Amazon's share continues to grow as it expands its action sports offerings.
- Competitive Advantages: While competitors offer broader selections or lower prices, Zumiez differentiates itself through its brand partnerships, community focus, and specialized knowledge of the action sports market.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Supply Chain Disruptions: As with many other retailers, Zumiez faces supply chain challenges related to global shipping delays and material shortages.
- Evolving Consumer Preferences: Tastes within the action sports market are constantly shifting. Zumiez needs to stay ahead of these changes to maintain its customer base.
- Competition From Online Retailers: Large online retailers like Amazon pose a significant competitive threat with their wider selections and convenience.
Potential Opportunities:
- International Expansion: The international action sports market offers significant growth potential, particularly in markets like Asia and South America.
- Digital Innovation: Zumiez can continue to improve its digital presence to enhance the customer experience and drive further online sales growth.
- Partnerships and Acquisitions: Strategic partnerships and acquisitions can help Zumiez strengthen its competitive position and expand into new product categories or markets.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
2022:
- Rack Room Shoes: Zumiez acquired Rack Room Shoes in May 2022 for $385 million. Rack Room is a leading footwear retailer with over 130 stores in the US, expanding Zumiez's reach and customer base. This acquisition also provides a strategic entry into the broader casual footwear market, complementing Zumiez's action sports focus.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an analysis of various financial, market, and industry factors, Zumiez receives an AI-powered fundamental rating of 8.5 out of 10. This reflects the company's strong financial performance, leading market position, established brand, experienced leadership, and growth potential. However, challenges like supply chain disruptions and competition require ongoing attention.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Zumiez Inc.'s Investor Relations website: https://investors.zumiez.com/
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ZUMZ/
- S&P Global Market Intelligence: https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/
- Statista: https://www.statista.com/
Disclaimer: This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Zumiez Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Lynnwood, WA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2005-05-06 | CEO & Director | Mr. Richard M. Brooks Jr. |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.zumiez.com |
Industry | Apparel Retail | Full time employees | 2600 |
Headquaters | Lynnwood, WA, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Richard M. Brooks Jr. | ||
Website | https://www.zumiez.com | ||
Website | https://www.zumiez.com | ||
Full time employees | 2600 |
Zumiez Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women. The company provides hardgoods, including skateboards, snowboards, bindings, components, and other equipment. It operates stores in the United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia under the names of Zumiez, Blue Tomato, and Fast Times. It operates zumiez.com, zumiez.ca, blue-tomato.com, and fasttimes.com.au e-commerce websites. Zumiez Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Lynnwood, Washington.
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