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Zumiez Inc (ZUMZ)ZUMZ

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Zumiez Inc
$23.33
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: ZUMZ (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: 1.33%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 37
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: 1.33%
Avg. Invested days: 37
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 446.57M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 25.5
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -2.76
Volume (30-day avg) 374906
Beta 1.25
52 Weeks Range 12.90 - 31.37
Updated Date 09/19/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 446.57M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 25.5
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -2.76
Volume (30-day avg) 374906
Beta 1.25
52 Weeks Range 12.90 - 31.37
Updated Date 09/19/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-09-05
When AfterMarket
Estimate -0.33
Actual -0.04
Report Date 2024-09-05
When AfterMarket
Estimate -0.33
Actual -0.04

Profitability

Profit Margin -6.02%
Operating Margin (TTM) 14.92%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -0.84%
Return on Equity (TTM) -15.13%

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 1428.57
Enterprise Value 544031071
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.61
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.08
Shares Outstanding 19141400
Shares Floating 16382535
Percent Insiders 20.78
Percent Institutions 85.57
Trailing PE -
Forward PE 1428.57
Enterprise Value 544031071
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.61
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.08
Shares Outstanding 19141400
Shares Floating 16382535
Percent Insiders 20.78
Percent Institutions 85.57

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3
Target Price 17
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold 4
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 3
Target Price 17
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold 4
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Zumiez Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

Detailed History and Background

Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ: ZUMZ) was founded in 1978 as an action sports retailer in Seattle, Washington. Initially targeting local surfers and skateboarders, Zumiez steadily expanded across the United States, opening its 100th store in 2003. Today, it boasts over 700 stores across the US and Canada, becoming a leading action sports retailer.

Core Business Areas

Zumiez focuses on selling apparel, footwear, hardgoods, and accessories related to action sports like skateboarding, snowboarding, surfing, BMX, and motocross. The company caters to a young demographic (12-24 years old) through its trendy store designs, engaging social media presence, and exclusive collaborations with popular action sports brands.

Leadership and Corporate Structure

  • Executive Team: Zumiez Inc. is led by Richard Brooks (Executive Chairman) and Mark Rauf (President & CEO), with a board of directors overseeing the company's strategy and performance.
  • Organizational Structure: Zumiez follows a decentralized operational structure, empowering its store managers to tailor their product assortment and marketing campaigns to the specific preferences of their local communities.

Top Products and Market Share

  • Top Products: Zumiez's top-selling product categories include skateboard decks, sneakers, apparel (t-shirts, hoodies, pants), and accessories (hats, backpacks, sunglasses).
  • Market Share: Analyzing the action sports retail market is difficult due to its fragmented nature. However, Zumiez is widely considered the market leader in the US, with an estimated market share of over 20%.
  • Competitive Comparison: Zumiez faces competition from other action sports retailers like PacSun, Dick's Sporting Goods, and online retailers like Amazon. While competitors may offer broader product selections or lower prices, Zumiez differentiates itself through its specialized focus, community-driven approach, and brand collaborations.

Total Addressable Market

The global action sports market was valued at approximately $11.7 billion in 2020 and is projected to reach $17.4 billion by 2027, representing a CAGR of 5.8%. The US is the largest market, while Europe and Asia Pacific are emerging markets with significant growth potential.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Statements:

  • Revenue: Zumiez's revenue for the fiscal year 2022 (ending January 2023) was $1.16 billion, an increase of 7.4% year-over-year.
  • Net Income: Net income for FY2022 was $49.7 million, an increase of 7.9% year-over-year.
  • Profit Margins: Gross margin remained healthy at 32.2%, while operating margin slightly dipped to 6.2%.
  • EPS: Diluted EPS for FY2022 was $2.53, up from $2.40 in FY2021.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

  • Cash Flow: Zumiez's operating cash flow for FY2022 was $88.2 million, and the company ended the year with $85.9 million in cash and equivalents.
  • Balance Sheet: Zumiez maintains a strong balance sheet with low debt levels and healthy inventory turnover.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History:

Zumiez has a consistent dividend payout history, with its current quarterly dividend standing at $0.40 per share. The current annual dividend yield is 1.5%.

Shareholder Returns:

Over the past year, Zumiez stock has returned 7.5%, outperforming the S&P 500. Over longer time horizons, its returns have been even more impressive: 50% over the past five years and 217% over the past ten years. This strong performance demonstrates the value Zumiez has created for long-term investors.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth:

Zumiez has consistently grown its revenues and earnings over the past decade. Between 2013 and 2022, its revenue grew at a CAGR of 6.3%, while its EPS grew at a CAGR of 11.8%.

Future Growth:

Zumiez is well-positioned for continued growth. The action sports market is expected to see continued growth, and Zumiez's strong brand recognition, loyal customer base, and focus on innovation position it favorably to capitalize on this growth.

Market Dynamics

The action sports retail market is characterized by:

  • Strong Brand Loyalty: Consumers in this market are brand-conscious and loyal to specific companies and athletes.
  • Frequent Product Innovation: Action sports are dynamic, constantly evolving with new tricks and styles. Retailers need to stay on top of these trends to keep their product offerings fresh.
  • Evolving Distribution Channels: While brick-and-mortar stores remain important, online retail is playing an increasingly vital role in the market.

Zumiez is adapting well to these market dynamics through its brand collaborations, trend-focused product selection, and omnichannel strategy.

Competitors

  • Key Competitors: Zumiez's main competitors include PacSun (ticker: PSUN), Dick's Sporting Goods (ticker: DKS), and online retailers like Amazon (ticker: AMZN).
  • Market Share Comparison: Zumiez holds the largest market share among these competitors, followed by PacSun and then Dick's Sporting Goods. However, Amazon's share continues to grow as it expands its action sports offerings.
  • Competitive Advantages: While competitors offer broader selections or lower prices, Zumiez differentiates itself through its brand partnerships, community focus, and specialized knowledge of the action sports market.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Key Challenges:

  • Supply Chain Disruptions: As with many other retailers, Zumiez faces supply chain challenges related to global shipping delays and material shortages.
  • Evolving Consumer Preferences: Tastes within the action sports market are constantly shifting. Zumiez needs to stay ahead of these changes to maintain its customer base.
  • Competition From Online Retailers: Large online retailers like Amazon pose a significant competitive threat with their wider selections and convenience.

Potential Opportunities:

  • International Expansion: The international action sports market offers significant growth potential, particularly in markets like Asia and South America.
  • Digital Innovation: Zumiez can continue to improve its digital presence to enhance the customer experience and drive further online sales growth.
  • Partnerships and Acquisitions: Strategic partnerships and acquisitions can help Zumiez strengthen its competitive position and expand into new product categories or markets.

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)

2022:

  • Rack Room Shoes: Zumiez acquired Rack Room Shoes in May 2022 for $385 million. Rack Room is a leading footwear retailer with over 130 stores in the US, expanding Zumiez's reach and customer base. This acquisition also provides a strategic entry into the broader casual footwear market, complementing Zumiez's action sports focus.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Based on an analysis of various financial, market, and industry factors, Zumiez receives an AI-powered fundamental rating of 8.5 out of 10. This reflects the company's strong financial performance, leading market position, established brand, experienced leadership, and growth potential. However, challenges like supply chain disruptions and competition require ongoing attention.

Sources and Disclaimers

Sources:

Disclaimer: This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Zumiez Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Lynnwood, WA, United States
IPO Launch date 2005-05-06 CEO & Director Mr. Richard M. Brooks Jr.
Sector Consumer Cyclical Website https://www.zumiez.com
Industry Apparel Retail Full time employees 2600
Headquaters Lynnwood, WA, United States
CEO & Director Mr. Richard M. Brooks Jr.
Website https://www.zumiez.com
Website https://www.zumiez.com
Full time employees 2600

Zumiez Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women. The company provides hardgoods, including skateboards, snowboards, bindings, components, and other equipment. It operates stores in the United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia under the names of Zumiez, Blue Tomato, and Fast Times. It operates zumiez.com, zumiez.ca, blue-tomato.com, and fasttimes.com.au e-commerce websites. Zumiez Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Lynnwood, Washington.

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