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American Eagle Outfitters Inc (AEO)AEO
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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/29/2024: AEO (3-star) is a WEAK-BUY. BUY since 20 days. Profits (-8.74%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: 19.5% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 10/29/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: 19.5% | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/29/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.90B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 15.88 | 1Y Target Price 23.78 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.52% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.28 |
Volume (30-day avg) 3946649 | Beta 1.48 |
52 Weeks Range 15.55 - 25.98 | Updated Date 10/29/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.90B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 15.88 | 1Y Target Price 23.78 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.52% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.28 | Volume (30-day avg) 3946649 | Beta 1.48 |
52 Weeks Range 15.55 - 25.98 | Updated Date 10/29/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.58% | Operating Margin (TTM) 7.83% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.04% | Return on Equity (TTM) 14.73% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 15.88 | Forward PE 10.43 |
Enterprise Value 5035840703 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.72 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.93 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.59 |
Shares Outstanding 192064000 | Shares Floating 175928324 |
Percent Insiders 6.1 | Percent Institutions 104.97 |
Trailing PE 15.88 | Forward PE 10.43 | Enterprise Value 5035840703 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.72 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.93 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.59 | Shares Outstanding 192064000 | Shares Floating 175928324 |
Percent Insiders 6.1 | Percent Institutions 104.97 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.2 | Target Price 17.14 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold 6 | Sell - |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.2 | Target Price 17.14 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold 6 | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (AEO): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (AEO) is a leading global retailer offering on-trend clothing, accessories, and personal care products for men and women. Founded in 1977 as a single retail store in Michigan, AEO has grown to over 1,000 stores across the United States and Canada. The company operates under the American Eagle and Aerie brands, catering to different customer segments.
Core Business Areas:
AEO's core business areas are:
- Apparel: Offering a wide range of casual and trendy clothing for men and women, including jeans, tops, dresses, sweaters, and activewear.
- Accessories: Accessories complementing their apparel, such as bags, hats, jewelry, and footwear.
- Personal Care: Personal care products like fragrances, body care, and bath products under the Aerie brand.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
AEO is led by Jay Schottenstein as Executive Chairman and Chad Kessler as Chief Executive Officer. The company operates with a Board of Directors and an executive leadership team overseeing various departments like merchandising, marketing, finance, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Jeans: AEO is known for its denim, offering various styles and fits for men and women.
- Aerie undies and bralettes: Aerie is a leading brand in comfortable and stylish underwear and bralettes for young women.
- Other apparel: Shirts, sweaters, activewear, and accessories are also popular product categories for AEO.
Market Share:
- Global: AEO holds a significant market share in the teen and young adult apparel market.
- US: In the US, AEO is a major player in the denim and casual wear market, competing with brands like Gap, Levi's, and Abercrombie & Fitch.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
AEO's product performance and market reception are generally positive. The company has seen consistent growth in its Aerie brand, which resonates with young women seeking comfort and style. AEO also continues to be a popular choice for denim and casual wear. However, competition in the apparel market is fierce, and AEO needs to constantly adapt to changing trends and consumer preferences.
Total Addressable Market:
The global apparel market is vast, estimated at over $3 trillion in 2023. The US market represents a significant portion of this, with an estimated value of $360 billion. AEO operates in a competitive environment within this large and growing market.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
AEO's recent financial performance has been mixed.
- Revenue: The company's revenue has been growing steadily in recent years, reaching $4.4 billion in fiscal year 2023.
- Net Income: Net income has also seen growth, reaching $281 million in fiscal year 2023.
- Profit Margins: Profit margins have remained relatively stable, with a gross margin of 39% and an operating margin of 10% in fiscal year 2023.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS has fluctuated in recent years but reached $2.34 in fiscal year 2023.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
Compared to the previous fiscal year, AEO's revenue, net income, and EPS have all increased. However, profit margins have remained relatively flat.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
AEO has a strong cash flow position and a healthy balance sheet. The company generated $363 million in operating cash flow in fiscal year 2023 and has a low debt-to-equity ratio.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
AEO has a history of paying dividends, with a current dividend yield of approximately 1.5%. The company has increased its dividend payout in recent years.
Shareholder Returns:
Shareholder returns have been positive in recent years. Over the past year, AEO stock has returned approximately 20%, and over the past five years, it has returned over 100%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
AEO has experienced consistent growth over the past five to ten years, driven by the success of its Aerie brand and its focus on omnichannel retail.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts project continued growth for AEO in the coming years, fueled by continued expansion of the Aerie brand, investments in technology, and ongoing cost-saving initiatives.
Recent Initiatives:
AEO is investing in strategic initiatives to drive growth, including:
- Expanding its Aerie brand both domestically and internationally.
- Investing in omnichannel capabilities to provide a seamless shopping experience.
- Implementing cost-saving measures to improve profitability.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The apparel industry is constantly evolving, driven by changing consumer preferences, technological advancements, and economic factors. Key trends include:
- The rise of online shopping.
- The increasing importance of sustainability.
- The growing demand for personalized and omnichannel experiences.
AEO's Positioning:
AEO is well-positioned within the industry, with a strong brand portfolio, omnichannel capabilities, and a focus on ethical sourcing and sustainability. The company is also adapting to changing consumer preferences by offering more inclusive sizing and diverse product offerings.
Competitors:
AEO's key competitors include:
- Gap Inc. (GPS)
- Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF)
- Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI)
- Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN)
Market Share Percentages:
- AEO holds a market share of approximately 4% in the US teen and young adult apparel market.
- Its closest competitors, Gap and Abercrombie & Fitch, hold market shares of approximately 5% and 3%, respectively.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Advantages: Strong brand recognition, loyal customer base, omnichannel capabilities, focus on sustainability.
- Disadvantages: Intense competition, susceptibility to fashion trends, reliance on mall-based retail.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Maintaining profitability in a competitive market.
- Adapting to changing consumer preferences.
- Managing supply chain disruptions.
Opportunities:
- Expanding the Aerie brand internationally.
- Growing online sales.
- Capitalizing on the growing demand for sustainable fashion.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
AEO has not made any major acquisitions in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
An AI-based fundamental rating system, considering various factors like financial health, market position, and future growth prospects, could give AEO a rating of 7 out of 10. This indicates a moderately positive outlook for the company, with potential for further growth in the coming years.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- American Eagle Outfitters Inc. Investor Relations website
- Yahoo Finance
- MarketWatch
- Statista
Disclaimer:
This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About American Eagle Outfitters Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Pittsburgh, PA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1994-04-13 | Executive Chairman of the Board & CEO | Mr. Jay L. Schottenstein |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.aeo-inc.com |
Industry | Apparel Retail | Full time employees | 10300 |
Headquaters | Pittsburgh, PA, United States | ||
Executive Chairman of the Board & CEO | Mr. Jay L. Schottenstein | ||
Website | https://www.aeo-inc.com | ||
Website | https://www.aeo-inc.com | ||
Full time employees | 10300 |
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. operates as a multi-brand specialty retailer in the United States and internationally. The company provides jeans, apparel and accessories, and personal care products for women and men under the American Eagle brand; and intimates, apparel, activewear, and swim collections under the Aerie and OFFLINE by Aerie brands. It also offers menswear products under the Todd Snyder New York brand; and fashion clothing and accessories under the Unsubscribed brand. The company sells its products through own and licensed retail stores; concession-based shops-within-shops; and digital channels, such as www.ae.com, www.aerie.com, www.toddsnyder.com, and www.unsubscribed.com. American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
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