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Gap Inc (GPS)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/20/2024: GPS (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 46.61% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 32 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 08/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 46.61% | Avg. Invested days: 32 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 9.21B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.64 | 1Y Target Price 27.69 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.45% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.8 |
Volume (30-day avg) 6667716 | Beta 2.37 |
52 Weeks Range 9.48 - 30.39 | Updated Date 08/29/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 9.21B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.64 | 1Y Target Price 27.69 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.45% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.8 | Volume (30-day avg) 6667716 | Beta 2.37 |
52 Weeks Range 9.48 - 30.39 | Updated Date 08/29/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-08-22 | When After Market |
Estimate 0.41 | Actual - |
Report Date 2024-08-22 | When After Market | Estimate 0.41 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.52% | Operating Margin (TTM) 6.05% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.59% | Return on Equity (TTM) 27.72% |
Revenue by Products
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.64 | Forward PE 13.04 |
Enterprise Value 12181744152 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.61 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.81 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.82 |
Shares Outstanding 375067008 | Shares Floating 189719945 |
Percent Insiders 40.91 | Percent Institutions 64.56 |
Trailing PE 13.64 | Forward PE 13.04 | Enterprise Value 12181744152 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.61 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.81 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.82 | Shares Outstanding 375067008 | Shares Floating 189719945 |
Percent Insiders 40.91 | Percent Institutions 64.56 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.65 | Target Price 10.83 | Buy 3 |
Strong Buy 6 | Hold 10 | Sell - |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.65 | Target Price 10.83 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 6 |
Hold 10 | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Gap Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background
Gap Inc., founded in San Francisco in 1969, started as a single store selling denim jeans. The company's expansion began with the introduction of GapKids in 1986, followed by BabyGap in 1990. Gap Inc. went public in 1976 and has since acquired several other brands, including Banana Republic (1983), Old Navy (1994), and Athleta (2008).
Core Business Areas
Gap Inc. operates through five primary brands: Gap, Banana Republic, Old Navy, Athleta, and Intermix. These brands cater to various demographics and offer a wide range of clothing, accessories, and personal care products.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure
Sonia Syngal serves as the CEO of Gap Inc., leading a team of experienced executives responsible for overseeing the company's operations and strategic direction. The board of directors provides guidance and oversight to the leadership team.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products and Offerings
Gap Inc.'s top products include casual apparel, denim, activewear, and accessories. The company's brands cater to different customer segments, with Gap focusing on everyday essentials, Banana Republic offering more sophisticated apparel, Old Navy targeting budget-conscious shoppers, Athleta specializing in athletic wear, and Intermix providing high-end contemporary fashion.
Market Share Analysis
Gap Inc. is a major player in the apparel industry, with a significant market share in several categories. As of 2023, the company holds the following market share positions:
- Women's apparel: 5.1% (US)
- Men's apparel: 4.1% (US)
- Children's apparel: 7.2% (US)
- Activewear: 3.2% (US)
While Gap Inc. faces stiff competition from other major retailers like Walmart, Target, and Amazon, it maintains a strong position in the market due to its brand recognition, diverse product offerings, and loyal customer base.
Product Performance and Market Reception
Gap Inc.'s product performance varies across its brands. Old Navy consistently outperforms the other brands, thanks to its competitive pricing and on-trend designs. Athleta has also experienced strong growth in recent years, driven by the increasing demand for activewear. However, Gap and Banana Republic have struggled to maintain market share in a competitive landscape.
Total Addressable Market
The global apparel market is estimated to be worth $3.3 trillion in 2023 and is expected to reach $4.9 trillion by 2028. The US apparel market represents a significant portion of this global market, valued at $381 billion in 2023 and projected to reach $447 billion by 2028. This indicates a vast potential market for Gap Inc. to tap into.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Analysis
Gap Inc.'s financial performance has been mixed in recent years. The company reported a revenue of $16.4 billion in 2022, with a net income of $238 million. However, the company's profit margins have been under pressure due to rising costs and increased competition.
Year-over-Year Comparison
Gap Inc.'s revenue has grown slightly in recent years, but its net income has been volatile. The company's earnings per share (EPS) were $1.06 in 2022, compared to $1.67 in 2021.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health
Gap Inc.'s cash flow from operations has been positive in recent years, indicating the company's ability to generate cash from its business operations. However, the company's debt levels have increased, raising concerns about its financial health.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History
Gap Inc. has a history of paying dividends to shareholders. However, the company suspended its dividend in 2020 due to the pandemic. As of November 2023, the company has not yet reinstated its dividend.
Shareholder Returns
Gap Inc.'s stock price has been volatile in recent years. The company's total shareholder returns over the past year have been negative, but over the past five years, they have been positive.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth Analysis
Gap Inc.'s historical growth has been uneven. The company experienced strong growth in the 1990s and 2000s, but its growth has slowed in recent years.
Future Growth Projections
Gap Inc.'s future growth prospects are uncertain. The company faces challenges from increased competition, rising costs, and changing consumer preferences. However, the company is implementing several initiatives to improve its performance, including store closures, cost-cutting measures, and new product launches.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The apparel industry is highly competitive, with numerous players vying for market share. The industry is also characterized by rapid changes in fashion trends and consumer preferences.
Gap Inc.'s Positioning
Gap Inc. is well-positioned within the industry due to its strong brand recognition, diverse product offerings, and loyal customer base. However, the company needs to adapt to changing market dynamics to maintain its market share.
Competitors
Key Competitors
Gap Inc.'s key competitors include:
- Walmart (WMT)
- Target (TGT)
- Amazon (AMZN)
- Inditex (ITX) (parent company of Zara)
- Fast Retailing (FRCO) (parent company of Uniqlo)
Market Share Comparison
- Walmart: 13.9% (US apparel market)
- Target: 9.2% (US apparel market)
- Amazon: 7.8% (US apparel market)
- Gap Inc.: 5.1% (US apparel market)
- Inditex: 3.7% (US apparel market)
- Fast Retailing: 2.5% (US apparel market)
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages
Gap Inc.'s competitive advantages include its strong brand recognition, diverse product offerings, and loyal customer base. However, the company also faces disadvantages, such as its high operating costs and its vulnerability to changes in consumer preferences.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Challenges
Gap Inc. faces several challenges, including:
- Supply chain issues: The company has been impacted by supply chain disruptions, which have led to product shortages and increased costs.
- Technological changes: The rise of e-commerce has challenged traditional retailers like Gap Inc.
- Competitive pressures: Gap Inc. faces intense competition from other major retailers and online players.
Opportunities
Gap Inc. also has several potential opportunities, including:
- New markets: The company is expanding into new markets, such as China and India.
- Product innovations: Gap Inc. is introducing new product categories and expanding its omnichannel capabilities.
- Strategic partnerships: The company is partnering with other brands and retailers to expand its reach and improve its efficiency.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 6.5/10
Gap Inc. receives a moderate rating of 6.5 out of 10 based on an AI-based fundamental analysis. The company's strong brand recognition, diverse product offerings, and loyal customer base are positive factors, but its high operating costs and vulnerability to market changes are concerns.
Justification
The AI-based rating considers various factors, including financial health, market position, and future prospects. Gap Inc.'s financial performance has been mixed in recent years, and its market share has been declining. However, the company has a strong brand and is implementing several initiatives to improve its performance. The AI model projects that Gap Inc. has the potential to improve its financial performance and market position in the long term, but it faces significant challenges.
Sources and Disclaimers
This analysis is based on information from the following sources:
- Gap Inc. Investor Relations website: https://investors.gapinc.com/
- S&P Global Market Intelligence: https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/
- Statista: https://www.statista.com/
- YCharts: https://ycharts.com/
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and you could lose money. Please conduct your research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Gap Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | San Francisco, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1987-07-23 | CEO, President & Director | Mr. Richard Dickson |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.gapinc.com |
Industry | Apparel Retail | Full time employees | 85000 |
Headquaters | San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
CEO, President & Director | Mr. Richard Dickson | ||
Website | https://www.gapinc.com | ||
Website | https://www.gapinc.com | ||
Full time employees | 85000 |
The Gap, Inc. operates as an apparel retail company. The company offers apparel, accessories, and personal care products for men, women, and children under the Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta brands. Its products include adult apparel and accessories; and fitness and lifestyle products for use in yoga, training, sports, travel, and everyday activities for women and girls. The company offers its products through company-operated stores, franchise stores, websites, and third-party arrangements. It has franchise agreements to operate Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta stores and websites in Asia, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa. The Gap, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
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