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SMPL
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Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$33.21
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
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Upturn Advisory Summary

03/25/2025: SMPL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -22.34%
Avg. Invested days 28
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 03/25/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.48B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 24.46
1Y Target Price 40.45
Price to earnings Ratio 24.46
1Y Target Price 40.45
Volume (30-day avg) 782596
Beta 0.66
52 Weeks Range 30.00 - 40.52
Updated Date 04/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 30.00 - 40.52
Updated Date 04/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.41

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-04-02
When Before Market
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 10.4%
Operating Margin (TTM) 17.92%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.53%
Return on Equity (TTM) 8.39%

Valuation

Trailing PE 24.46
Forward PE 17.61
Enterprise Value 3710839993
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.55
Enterprise Value 3710839993
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.55
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.72
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.34
Shares Outstanding 101032000
Shares Floating 92597245
Shares Outstanding 101032000
Shares Floating 92597245
Percent Insiders 8.34
Percent Institutions 96.09

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.27
Target Price 40.9
Buy -
Strong Buy 7
Buy -
Strong Buy 7
Hold 4
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

Upturn AI SWOT

Simply Good Foods Co.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

History and Background:

Simply Good Foods Co. (NASDAQ: SMPL) was founded in 2001 as a small bakery in Phoenix, Arizona. The company initially focused on producing and selling artisan breads under the Atkins brand. Over the years, Simply Good Foods expanded its product line and acquired several other brands, including Atkins, Quest Nutrition, and Atkins Endulge. Today, Simply Good Foods is a leading provider of healthy snacking and nutritional products in the United States.

Core Business Areas:

Simply Good Foods operates in three primary business segments:

  • Healthy Snacking: This segment includes products like protein bars, chips, cookies, and other healthy snacks, primarily under the Atkins and Quest бренд.
  • Nutritional Products: This segment offers meal replacement shakes, protein powders, and other nutritional supplements under the Atkins and Quest brands.
  • Bakery Products: This segment consists of artisan breads and other bakery items sold under various brands, including Atkins Endulge.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

Simply Good Foods is led by CEO Joseph Scalzo and a team of experienced executives. The company has a decentralized organizational structure with separate teams dedicated to each of its business segments.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Atkins Bars: These protein bars are a popular choice for people following a low-carb or ketogenic diet.
  • Quest Bars: These high-protein, low-carb bars are popular among athletes and fitness enthusiasts.
  • Atkins Shakes: These meal replacement shakes are designed to be a convenient and healthy way to lose weight or maintain a healthy weight.
  • Quest Protein Powder: This powder can be added to shakes, smoothies, or other recipes to boost protein intake.

Market Share:

Simply Good Foods is a leader in the healthy snacking and nutritional products market. The company holds a significant market share in the United States for protein bars, meal replacement shakes, and other nutritional products. However, the company faces stiff competition from other major players like Mondelez International (MDLZ), The Hershey Company (HSY), and Kellogg Company (K).

Total Addressable Market:

The global healthy snacking and nutritional products market is estimated to be worth over $300 billion. This market is expected to grow significantly in the coming years, driven by increasing consumer demand for healthy and convenient food options.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Performance:

Simply Good Foods' revenue has grown steadily over the past few years. In 2021, the company reported revenue of $509.4 million, a 14% increase from 2020. The company's net income for 2021 was $29.2 million, compared to a net loss of $20.1 million in 2020. Simply Good Foods' earnings per share (EPS) for 2021 was $0.69.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

Simply Good Foods has a solid financial position. The company generated $44.3 million in operating cash flow in 2021. The company also has a low level of debt and a healthy cash balance.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Simply Good Foods does not currently pay a dividend. However, the company has a history of repurchasing its own shares, which can benefit shareholders by increasing earnings per share. Over the past five years, Simply Good Foods' stock price has appreciated by over 100%.

Growth Trajectory:

Simply Good Foods is well-positioned for future growth. The company is benefiting from strong demand for its healthy snacking and nutritional products. The company is also investing in new product development and expansion into new markets.

Market Dynamics:

The healthy snacking and nutritional products market is highly competitive and dynamic. Consumers are increasingly demanding healthier and more convenient food options. Technological advancements are also creating new opportunities for innovation in this market.

Competitors:

Simply Good Foods' main competitors include:

  • Mondelez International (MDLZ): Mondelez is a global snacking company that offers a wide variety of brands, including Oreo cookies, Cadbury chocolate, and Triscuits crackers.
  • The Hershey Company (HSY): Hershey is a leading chocolate manufacturer in the United States, known for brands like Hershey's Kisses, Reese's, and Kit Kat.
  • Kellogg Company (K): Kellogg is a major cereal and snack company that offers products like Frosted Flakes, Special K, and Pringles.

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:

Simply Good Foods has several competitive advantages, including a strong brand portfolio, a focus on innovation, and a direct-to-consumer sales channel. However, the company also faces some disadvantages, such as its reliance on a few key customers and its exposure to commodity price fluctuations.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

  • Key Challenges:

    • Supply chain disruptions
    • Rising commodity costs
    • Intense competition
  • Potential Opportunities:

    • New product launches
    • Expansion into new markets
    • Strategic acquisitions

Recent Acquisitions:

  • 2020: Acquired Atkins Nutritionals, Inc. for $1.05 billion. This acquisition significantly expanded Simply Good Foods' product portfolio and distribution network.
  • 2021: Acquired Quest Nutrition, LLC for $1.05 billion. This acquisition added a leading brand of protein bars to Simply Good Foods' portfolio.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Simply Good Foods receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 8 out of 10. This rating is based on the company's strong financial performance, healthy balance sheet, and growth potential.

Sources and Disclaimers:

This analysis was compiled using data from the following sources:

  • Simply Good Foods Co. investor relations website
  • Bloomberg
  • Yahoo Finance

This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Simply Good Foods Co

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Denver, CO, United States
IPO Launch date 2016-07-15
CEO, President & Director Mr. Geoff E. Tanner
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Packaged Foods
Full time employees 316
Full time employees 316

The Simply Good Foods Company, a consumer-packaged food and beverage company, engages in the development, marketing, and sale of snacks and meal replacements, and other products in North America and internationally. The company offers protein bars, ready-to-drink shakes, sweet and salty snacks, cookies, muffins, protein chips and crackers, protein powders, and recipes under the Quest, Atkins, and OWYN brand names. It also provides confectionery products, such as full-size and mini peanut butter cups, brownies, caramel candy bites, chocolatey coated peanut candies, and caramel candy bars. In addition, the company licenses certain products that contain its brands and logos; and distributes its products to various retail channels, such as mass merchandise, grocery and drug stores, club and convenience stores, gas stations, and other channels. It also sells its products through e-commerce channels, including questnutrition.com, atkins.com, liveowyn.com, amazon.com and others. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

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