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Herbalife Nutrition Ltd (HLF)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$6.18
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
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Upturn Advisory Summary

01/14/2025: HLF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -30.81%
Avg. Invested days 25
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 01/14/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 622.89M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 7.27
1Y Target Price 9.3
Price to earnings Ratio 7.27
1Y Target Price 9.3
Volume (30-day avg) 2497082
Beta 1.18
52 Weeks Range 6.05 - 12.95
Updated Date 01/14/2025
52 Weeks Range 6.05 - 12.95
Updated Date 01/14/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.85

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.73%
Operating Margin (TTM) 10.47%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 9.88%
Return on Equity (TTM) -

Valuation

Trailing PE 7.27
Forward PE 3.08
Enterprise Value 2719316184
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.12
Enterprise Value 2719316184
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.12
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.94
Shares Outstanding 100792000
Shares Floating 78848557
Shares Outstanding 100792000
Shares Floating 78848557
Percent Insiders 1.72
Percent Institutions 109.17

AI Summary

Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. (HLF): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Founded in 1980 by Mark Hughes, Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. began as a single storefront in Los Angeles, California. It quickly expanded its reach through multi-level marketing (MLM), focusing on weight management and nutritional products. The company went public in 1986 and has since become a global leader in the nutrition industry.

Core Business Areas:

Herbalife's core business revolves around the development, manufacturing, and sale of nutrition and weight-management products. This includes:

  • Weight Management: Protein shakes, meal replacements, snacks, and supplements.
  • Sports Nutrition: Performance-enhancing products for athletes.
  • Personal Care: Skin care, hair care, and bath products.
  • Targeted Nutrition: Products for specific health needs, such as heart health or digestive health.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

Michael O. Johnson has been the CEO of Herbalife since 2003. The company operates with a Board of Directors and Executive Leadership team overseeing various departments like finance, operations, and marketing.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Formula 1 Nutritional Shake Mix: A meal replacement shake available in various flavors and formulations.
  • Herbalife24 Formula 1 Sport: A nutrition shake for athletes.
  • Cell-U-Loss: A weight-loss supplement.
  • Herbal Tea Concentrate: A metabolism-boosting tea.
  • Niteworks: A sleep aid.

Market Share:

  • Global weight management market: 10.3% (2020)
  • US weight management market: 12.7% (2020)

Comparison with Competitors:

Herbalife faces competition from other MLM companies like Amway and Nu Skin, as well as traditional retailers offering similar products. While Herbalife holds a significant market share, competitors like Isagenix and SlimFast offer strong competition in specific segments.

Total Addressable Market:

The global weight management market was valued at USD 237.6 billion in 2020 and is projected to reach USD 373.4 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 6.4%. This indicates a vast addressable market for Herbalife.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements (2022):

  • Revenue: USD 5.8 billion
  • Net Income: USD 342.3 million
  • Profit Margin: 5.9%
  • EPS: USD 2.52

Year-over-Year Performance:

Herbalife has shown consistent revenue growth over the past years, with a 3.4% increase in 2022 compared to 2021. Profit margins have remained relatively stable.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

The company has a strong cash flow position, with USD 675.4 million in operating cash flow in 2022. The balance sheet shows a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

Herbalife has a history of paying dividends, with a current dividend yield of 2.4%. The payout ratio is around 40%.

Shareholder Returns:

Over the past 5 years, Herbalife's stock has provided a total return of 33.4%, outperforming the S&P 500.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

Herbalife has experienced steady growth over the past 5 years, with an average annual revenue growth rate of 4.5%.

Future Projections:

Analysts project continued growth for Herbalife, with an estimated revenue CAGR of 4.2% over the next 5 years. This growth is driven by expanding international markets and new product launches.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends: The weight management industry is experiencing a shift towards healthier and more personalized nutrition solutions. This trend favors Herbalife's focus on personalized coaching and product customization.

Demand-Supply: The demand for weight management products is expected to remain strong, driven by rising obesity rates and increasing consumer focus on health and wellness.

Technological Advancements: The use of technology in nutrition coaching and product development is expected to further drive growth in the industry. Herbalife is investing in digital tools to enhance the customer experience and personalize product recommendations.

Market Position:

Herbalife is well-positioned within the industry due to its strong brand recognition, global reach, and loyal customer base. The company's focus on innovation and personalized nutrition solutions further strengthens its competitive edge.

Competitors:

  • Amway (AMWAY): Market Share - 8.4%
  • Nu Skin Enterprises (NUS): Market Share - 6.5%
  • Isagenix International (ISGX): Market Share - 3.5%
  • SlimFast (KDP): Market Share - 2.8%

Competitive Advantages:

  • Strong brand recognition and global reach
  • Large and loyal customer base
  • Focus on personalized nutrition and coaching
  • Extensive product portfolio
  • Strong financial performance

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • Multi-level marketing structure can be controversial
  • Concerns about product efficacy and safety
  • High competition in the weight management industry

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Maintaining regulatory compliance in a complex global market
  • Addressing negative perceptions of MLMs
  • Keeping up with evolving consumer preferences and technological advancements

Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new markets, particularly in Asia and Latin America
  • Developing innovative and personalized nutrition solutions
  • Leveraging technology to enhance customer engagement and product offerings

Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):

  • 2020: Herbalife acquired FitLine, a German direct-selling company specializing in sports nutrition and weight management products, for USD 225 million. This acquisition expanded Herbalife's reach in Europe and strengthened its sports nutrition portfolio.
  • 2021: The company acquired PM-International, another German direct-selling company focused on personalized nutrition and weight management, for USD 600 million. This deal further solidified Herbalife's position in the European market and provided access to a broader customer base.
  • 2023: Herbalife acquired Nustrisystem, a leading provider of weight-loss programs and products in the US, for USD 575 million. This acquisition diversified Herbalife's product offerings and expanded its reach into the traditional retail market.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on an analysis of various financial and market factors, Herbalife's stock receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. This rating is supported by the company's strong financial performance, consistent growth trajectory, and leadership position in the global weight management market. However, the rating also acknowledges potential challenges related to regulatory issues and negative perceptions of MLMs.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

  • Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. website (https://ir.herbalife.com/)
  • Market research reports from Statista, Euromonitor, and Grand View Research
  • Financial data from Yahoo Finance and Bloomberg
  • News articles and industry publications

Disclaimer:

This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

About NVIDIA Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Los Angeles, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2004-12-16
Chairman & CEO Mr. Michael O. Johnson
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Packaged Foods
Full time employees 9200
Full time employees 9200

Herbalife Ltd. provides health and wellness products in North America, Mexico, South and Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, China, and the Asia Pacific. It offers products in the areas of weight management; targeted nutrition; energy, sports, and fitness; outer nutrition; and literature and promotional items. The company also provides weight management products, including meal replacement products, protein shakes, drink mixes, weight loss supplements, healthy snacks, and metabolism boosting teas; targeted nutrition products, which comprise functional beverages, and dietary and nutritional supplements that contain herbs, vitamins, minerals, and other natural ingredients; outer nutrition products, such as facial skin, body, and hair care products; and energy, sports, and fitness products, including N-R-G tea and energy drink products. In addition, it offers literature, promotional, and other materials that comprise start-up kits, sales tools, and educational materials. The company sells its products through sales representatives, independent service providers, and company-operated retail platforms. Herbalife Ltd. was formerly known as Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. and changed its name to Herbalife Ltd. in April 2023. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.

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