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Herbalife Nutrition Ltd (HLF)HLF
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: HLF (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -22.2% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 23 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -22.2% | Avg. Invested days: 23 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 847.66M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.89 | 1Y Target Price 9.7 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.85 |
Volume (30-day avg) 2389825 | Beta 1.18 |
52 Weeks Range 6.59 - 15.66 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 847.66M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.89 | 1Y Target Price 9.7 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.85 | Volume (30-day avg) 2389825 | Beta 1.18 |
52 Weeks Range 6.59 - 15.66 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-30 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 0.35 | Actual 0.57 |
Report Date 2024-10-30 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 0.35 | Actual 0.57 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.73% | Operating Margin (TTM) 10.47% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.88% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.89 | Forward PE 3.68 |
Enterprise Value 2846314077 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.17 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.22 |
Shares Outstanding 100792000 | Shares Floating 78848557 |
Percent Insiders 1.77 | Percent Institutions 108.94 |
Trailing PE 9.89 | Forward PE 3.68 | Enterprise Value 2846314077 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.17 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.22 | Shares Outstanding 100792000 | Shares Floating 78848557 |
Percent Insiders 1.77 | Percent Institutions 108.94 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.5 | Target Price 20.7 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold 3 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.5 | Target Price 20.7 | Buy - | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold 3 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. (HLF): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1980 by Mark Hughes, Herbalife started as a single storefront in Los Angeles.
- Focused on weight management products, it adopted a multi-level marketing (MLM) model for distribution.
- The company faced criticisms and legal challenges over its business practices, including allegations of being a pyramid scheme.
- Herbalife maintains it is a legitimate MLM company and has settled multiple lawsuits with regulatory bodies.
- It currently operates in over 90 countries, offering a range of nutrition, weight management, and personal care products.
Core business areas:
- Weight Management: Protein shakes, meal replacement bars, thermogenic supplements, and other products aiding weight management.
- Nutrition: Vitamins, minerals, protein powders, and other dietary supplements for overall health and wellness.
- Personal Care: Skin care, hair care, and other personal care products with botanical ingredients.
Leadership and corporate structure:
- CEO: John Agwunobi
- President: John DeSimone
- Chairman: Michael O. Johnson
- The company operates a global network of distributors who sell its products and recruit new members.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products:
- Formula 1 Nutritional Shake Mix
- Herbalife Tea Concentrate
- Cell-U-Loss
- Herbal Aloe Concentrate
- Niteworks
- Protein Drink Mix
- Personalized Protein Powder
Market Share:
- Global market share in the weight management industry: 9.8% (Euromonitor International, 2022)
- US market share in the weight management industry: 8% (Euromonitor International, 2022)
- The company faces competition from other MLM companies like Amway and Nu Skin, as well as traditional retailers and online platforms selling similar products.
Total Addressable Market:
The global weight management market is estimated at USD 283.1 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 394.2 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 5.7% during the forecast period (Fortune Business Insights, 2023).
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: USD 5.8 billion (2022)
- Net Income: USD 249.5 million (2022)
- Profit Margin: 4.3% (2022)
- Earnings per Share (EPS): USD 2.06 (2022)
Year-over-year performance: Revenue and EPS have shown consistent growth in recent years.
Cash Flow: Strong cash flow from operations, enabling investments in marketing and expansion.
Balance Sheet: Solid financial position with low debt and ample cash reserves.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Irregular dividend payments in the past, currently focused on reinvesting profits for growth.
- Shareholder Returns: Total shareholder return of 28.5% over the past 5 years (as of October 26, 2023).
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Revenue and EPS have grown at a CAGR of 8.3% and 12.5%, respectively, over the past 5 years.
- Future Growth Projections: The company expects continued growth driven by expanding its global reach, product innovation, and digital initiatives.
- Recent Initiatives: Focus on e-commerce, social selling, and expanding product portfolio into new categories like sports nutrition.
Market Dynamics:
- The weight management industry is highly competitive with multiple players and evolving consumer preferences.
- Increasing health awareness and demand for convenient and personalized nutrition solutions drive market growth.
- Technological advancements and digital marketing play a crucial role in reaching customers and influencing purchasing decisions.
- Regulatory scrutiny on MLM companies and potential changes in consumer perception remain potential challenges.
Competitors:
- Amway (AMWAY)
- Nu Skin Enterprises (NUS)
- GNC Holdings (GNC)
- Glanbia Plc (GLB)
- Nestlé S.A. (NSRGY)
Competitive Advantages: Established brand recognition, global footprint, MLM distribution network, and focus on product innovation.
Disadvantages: Negative perception associated with the MLM business model, regulatory risks, and intense competition.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Maintaining brand reputation and addressing negative perceptions about MLMs.
- Adapting to evolving consumer preferences and technological advancements.
- Managing regulatory risks and potential changes in MLM regulations.
Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets and product categories.
- Leveraging technology for enhanced customer engagement and digital marketing.
- Collaborating with strategic partners to broaden reach and product offerings.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- 1. PhytAge Labs (2022): Acquired for USD 26 million to strengthen Herbalife's product portfolio in the anti-aging and cognitive health segment.
- 2. Leanify (2021): Acquired for USD 30 million to enhance its digital capabilities and personalized nutrition offerings.
- 3. Bright Cellars (2020): Acquired for USD 110 million to diversify into the wine subscription market and leverage its data-driven marketing approach.
These acquisitions demonstrate Herbalife's commitment to innovation, expanding its product portfolio, and leveraging digital technologies to drive growth.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
- Based on an AI-powered analysis of various financial and market data points, Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. receives a score of 7.5 out of 10.
- This rating considers the company's strong brand recognition, consistent financial performance, growth potential, and focus on product innovation.
- However, factors like regulatory risks, negative perceptions, and intense competition are also taken into account.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Sources: Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. annual reports, company websites, investor presentations, industry reports from Euromonitor International and Fortune Business Insights, financial news websites.
- Disclaimer: The information provided in this overview is for general knowledge and educational purposes only, and does not constitute financial advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
This comprehensive overview provides a holistic understanding of Herbalife Nutrition Ltd.'s business, financial performance, market positioning, and future prospects. It highlights the company's strengths and weaknesses, potential challenges, and opportunities, enabling informed investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Herbalife Nutrition Ltd
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Los Angeles, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2004-12-16 | Chairman & CEO | Mr. Michael O. Johnson |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://www.herbalife.com |
Industry | Packaged Foods | Full time employees | 9200 |
Headquaters | Los Angeles, CA, United States | ||
Chairman & CEO | Mr. Michael O. Johnson | ||
Website | https://www.herbalife.com | ||
Website | https://www.herbalife.com | ||
Full time employees | 9200 |
Herbalife Ltd. provides health and wellness products in North America, Mexico, South and Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, China, and the Asia Pacific. It offers products in the areas of weight management; targeted nutrition; energy, sports, and fitness; outer nutrition; and literature and promotional items. The company also provides weight management products, including meal replacement products, protein shakes, drink mixes, weight loss supplements, healthy snacks, and metabolism boosting teas; targeted nutrition products, which comprise functional beverages, and dietary and nutritional supplements that contain herbs, vitamins, minerals, and other natural ingredients; outer nutrition products, such as facial skin, body, and hair care products; and energy, sports, and fitness products, including N-R-G tea and energy drink products. In addition, it offers literature, promotional, and other materials that comprise start-up kits, sales tools, and educational materials. The company sells its products through sales representatives, independent service providers, and company-operated retail platforms. Herbalife Ltd. was formerly known as Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. and changed its name to Herbalife Ltd. in April 2023. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
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