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Upturn AI SWOT - About
POST 
Post Holdings Inc (POST)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: POST (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
AI Based Fundamental Rating
Moderate Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 11.72% | Avg. Invested days 49 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 04/01/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.62B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 19.3 | 1Y Target Price 128.7 |
Price to earnings Ratio 19.3 | 1Y Target Price 128.7 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 637195 | Beta 0.61 | 52 Weeks Range 99.62 - 125.84 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 99.62 - 125.84 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.07 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.94% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.06% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.08% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.99% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 19.3 | Forward PE 28.74 | Enterprise Value 12697918464 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.83 |
Enterprise Value 12697918464 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.83 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.59 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.61 | Shares Outstanding 56481800 | Shares Floating 45781362 |
Shares Outstanding 56481800 | Shares Floating 45781362 | ||
Percent Insiders 10.91 | Percent Institutions 95.01 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.1 | Target Price 128.8 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 4 |
Buy 3 | Strong Buy 4 | ||
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Post Holdings Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Post Holdings, Inc. originated from the Postum Cereal Company, founded in 1895 by C.W. Post. It evolved through various acquisitions and divestitures, becoming a holding company focused on consumer packaged goods and foodservice. A significant milestone was the spin-off from Ralcorp in 2012, marking its independent focus on breakfast cereals and related products.
Core Business Areas
- Post Consumer Brands: Manufactures and markets ready-to-eat (RTE) cereal products, including well-known brands like Honey Bunches of Oats, Grape-Nuts, and Pebbles.
- Weetabix: A UK-based manufacturer of breakfast cereals, primarily Weetabix and Alpen brands.
- Refrigerated Retail: Focuses on refrigerated side dishes and egg products, including brands like Michael Foods and Bob Evans Farms.
- Foodservice: Supplies egg and potato products to the foodservice industry.
- Active Nutrition: Provides protein shakes and powders through brands like Premier Protein and Dymatize.
Leadership and Structure
Robert V. Vitale serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer. Post Holdings operates with a decentralized organizational structure, with each business segment having its own management team and operational autonomy.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Honey Bunches of Oats: A popular RTE cereal brand. Market share varies but is typically within the top 5 RTE cereals in the US. Competitors include General Mills' Cheerios and Kellogg's Frosted Flakes.
- Premier Protein: Ready-to-drink protein shakes and bars. Holds a significant market share in the protein beverage category. Competitors include Abbott's Ensure and Glanbia's Optimum Nutrition.
- Michael Foods: Offers egg products, potato products, and dairy case items. Holds a leading position in egg products for foodservice. Competitors include Cal-Maine Foods.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The consumer packaged goods industry is highly competitive and influenced by changing consumer preferences, health trends, and economic conditions. The RTE cereal market is mature, while the protein beverage market is experiencing growth. The foodservice industry is affected by economic cycles and consumer spending habits.
Positioning
Post Holdings is positioned as a diversified food company with a focus on both center-of-the-store packaged goods and value-added foodservice products. Its competitive advantages include a portfolio of well-known brands, efficient operations, and a focus on acquisitions.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The combined TAM of RTE cereals, protein beverages, and foodservice egg and potato products is estimated at over $100 billion annually. Post Holdings is well-positioned to capture a portion of this TAM through its various brands and distribution channels.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified product portfolio
- Strong brand recognition
- Efficient operations
- Experienced management team
- Successful acquisition strategy
Weaknesses
- High debt levels
- Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
- Dependence on key retailers
- Limited organic growth
Opportunities
- Expansion into new product categories
- Increased focus on health and wellness trends
- International expansion
- Further acquisitions
- Innovation in product offerings
Threats
- Intense competition
- Changing consumer preferences
- Economic downturn
- Rising input costs
- Supply chain disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- GIS
- K
- CAG
- HSY
Competitive Landscape
Post Holdings' competitive advantages include its diversified product portfolio and strong brand recognition. Disadvantages include its high debt levels and reliance on acquisitions for growth. GIS and K have larger market capitalization.
Major Acquisitions
TreeHouse Foods RTE Cereal Business
- Year: 2019
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 860
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Post's presence in the RTE cereal category and added manufacturing capacity.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Post Holdings has grown both organically and through acquisitions. The company's growth has been driven by increased demand for its products and successful integration of acquired businesses.
Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on analyst estimates and company guidance. Check financial news and analyst reports for updated projections.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include acquisitions in the RTE cereal and protein beverage categories, as well as investments in operational efficiency and innovation.
Summary
Post Holdings is a diversified food company with a solid presence in various segments. Its strength lies in its brand portfolio and acquisition strategy. High debt and competitive pressures require close monitoring, but strategic initiatives and expansion into new categories offer growth opportunities. They are reliant on acquisitions for growth so that should continue to be successful in the future.
Similar Companies
- GIS
- K
- CAG
- HSY
- SMPL
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Analyst reports
- Industry reports
- Company website
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on available information and general industry knowledge and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Real-time data required for precise figures.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Post Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Saint Louis, MO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2012-01-27 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Robert V. Vitale | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Packaged Foods | Full time employees 11480 | Website https://www.postholdings.com |
Full time employees 11480 | Website https://www.postholdings.com | ||
Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail. The Post Consumer Brands segment manufactures, markets, and sells branded and private label ready-to-eat (RTE) cereals under Honey Bunches of Oats, Pebbles, and Malt-O-Meal brands; hot cereal; peanut butter under the Peter Pan brand; and branded and private label pet food under Rachael Ray Nutrish, Nature's Recipe, 9Lives, Kibbles 'n Bits and Gravy Train brands. The Weetabix segment manufactures, markets, and distributes branded and private label RTE cereal under Weetabix and Alpen brands; hot cereals and other cereal-based food products; private label cereals; and protein-based shakes under the UFIT brand, and nutritional snacks. The Foodservice segment produces and distributes egg products primarily under Papetti's and Abbotsford Farms brands, as well as potato products in the foodservice and food ingredient channels. The segment also manufactures certain meat products. The Refrigerated Retail segment produces and distributes side dish, potato, sausage products under Bob Evans, Bob Evans Farms, and Simply Potatoes brands; eggs and egg products under Bob Evans Egg Whites and Egg Beaters brands; and cheese and other dairy products under Crystal Farms brand. It serves grocery stores, mass merchandise customers, supercenters, club stores, natural/specialty stores, dollar stores, discounters, wholesalers, convenience stores, pet supply retailers, drug store customers, foodservice distributors, and national restaurant chains, as well as sells its products in the military, ecommerce, and foodservice channels. The company was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
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