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POST 
Post Holdings Inc (POST)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/08/2025: POST (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 5 days. Profits (-5.06%). Updated daily EoD!
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
AI Based Fundamental Rating
Moderate Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 10.32% | Avg. Invested days 52 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/08/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.25B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 19.09 | 1Y Target Price 128.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio 19.09 | 1Y Target Price 128.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 639657 | Beta 0.6 | 52 Weeks Range 91.09 - 125.84 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 91.09 - 125.84 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.63 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.46% | Operating Margin (TTM) 10.71% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.33% | Return on Equity (TTM) 8.86% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 19.09 | Forward PE 28.74 | Enterprise Value 12494466544 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.8 |
Enterprise Value 12494466544 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.8 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.58 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.87 | Shares Outstanding 58180600 | Shares Floating 41520937 |
Shares Outstanding 58180600 | Shares Floating 41520937 | ||
Percent Insiders 19.4 | Percent Institutions 96.14 |
AI Summary
Post Holdings Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
Post Holdings Inc. (NYSE: POST) is a leading consumer packaged goods company founded in 1895 as Postum Cereal Company. Initially focused on coffee substitutes, they later acquired the Post Cereal Company in 1929, marking the beginning of the brand's journey as we know it today. Through strategic acquisitions and mergers, Post diversified its product portfolio, including iconic brands like Malt-O-Meal, MOM Brands, and Peter Pan. In 2012, Post Foods was spun off as a separate entity, leaving Post Holdings with its current portfolio of breakfast cereals, refrigerated foods, and active nutrition products.
Core Business Areas:
- Breakfast Cereals: Post holds leading market positions in the cereal category with brands like Malt-O-Meal, Honey Bunches of Oats, and Grape-Nuts.
- Refrigerated Foods: They offer refrigerated food products under the Michael Angelo's, PB&CO, and Willamette Valley Fruit Company brands.
- Active Nutrition: This segment includes protein bars, shakes, and powders under brands like PowerBar and Dymatize.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Robert V. Vitale
- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer: Jeffrey R. Zadoks
- President, Active Nutrition & Foodservice: Jennifer L. Botelho
- Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer: Lisa A. Krikawa
- President, Refrigerated Foods: Steven A. Boutell
Top Products and Market Share:
- Top Products: Malt-O-Meal, Honey Bunches of Oats, Grape-Nuts, MOM Brands, Michael Angelo's, PowerBar, Dymatize
- Market Share: Post Holdings holds a significant market share in the cereal category, particularly in the hot cereal segment. However, the exact numbers vary depending on the specific product and market.
Total Addressable Market:
- Global Cereal Market: Estimated to be worth over $45 billion in 2021 and projected to reach $53 billion by 2028.
- US Cereal Market: Valued at approximately $14 billion in 2021 and predicted to reach $17 billion by 2028.
- Active Nutrition Market: Estimated to be worth over $42 billion globally in 2022 and projected to reach $60 billion by 2028.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: Steady growth in recent years, reaching $6.1 billion in 2022.
- Net Income: Consistent profitability, with net income exceeding $400 million in 2022.
- Profit Margins: Stable profit margins, with operating margins hovering around 10%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): Strong EPS growth in recent years, with an EPS of $2.63 in 2022.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Post Holdings has a consistent dividend payout history, with a current annual dividend of $0.80 per share and a dividend yield of approximately 2.5%.
- Shareholder Returns: Total shareholder returns have been positive in recent years, with a 3-year return of over 20%.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Post Holdings has experienced steady organic growth in recent years, driven by product innovation and market share gains.
- Future Growth Projections: Projected to experience continued moderate growth in the coming years, fueled by new product launches and strategic acquisitions.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: The cereal industry faces challenges from changing consumer preferences and competition from other breakfast options. However, the active nutrition market presents promising growth opportunities.
- Post Holdings' Positioning: The company is well-positioned to navigate these trends through its diversified portfolio, strong brands, and focus on innovation.
Competitors:
- Cereal: Kellogg's (K), General Mills (GIS), Quaker Oats (KO)
- Refrigerated Foods: Conagra Brands (CAG), Kraft Heinz (KHC), Campbell Soup (CPB)
- Active Nutrition: Clif Bar & Company, The Hershey Company (HSY), PepsiCo (PEP)
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
- Challenges: Maintaining market share in a competitive environment, managing rising input costs, and adapting to changing consumer preferences.
- Opportunities: Expanding into new markets, developing innovative products, and leveraging strategic partnerships.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- 2021:
- 80% stake in Almark Foods: Expands Post's presence in the health and wellness space with protein bars and supplements.
- Sunbelt Baking Company: Acquisition of bakery assets strengthens Post's hold in the private label bread market.
- 2022:
- MOM Brands: Expands portfolio in the refrigerated dough category with cookie dough and other baking products.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
- Rating: 7.5 out of 10
- Justification: Post Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance, a diversified portfolio, and positive growth prospects. However, challenges like competition and changing consumer preferences must be addressed.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Data sources: Post Holdings Inc. annual reports, investor presentations, SEC filings, market research reports.
- Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion:
Post Holdings is a well-established consumer packaged goods company with a strong brand portfolio, financial stability, and promising growth opportunities. However, navigating industry challenges and adapting to changing consumer preferences are crucial for its continued success.
This overview provides a comprehensive analysis of Post Holdings Inc., offering valuable insights into its business, market positioning, and future potential.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Saint Louis, MO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2012-01-27 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Robert V. Vitale | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Packaged Foods | Full time employees 11430 | Website https://www.postholdings.com |
Full time employees 11430 | Website https://www.postholdings.com | ||
Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail. The Post Consumer Brands segment manufactures, markets, and sells branded and private label ready-to-eat (RTE) cereals under Honey Bunches of Oats, Pebbles, and Malt-O-Meal brand names; hot cereal; peanut butter under the Peter Pan brand; and branded and private label dog and cat food products under Rachael Ray Nutrish, Nature's Recipe, 9Lives, Kibbles 'n Bits and Gravy Train brand names. The Weetabix segment primarily manufactures, markets, and distributes branded and private label RTE cereal under Weetabix and Alpen brands; hot cereals and other cereal-based food products; breakfast drinks; protein-based shakes under the UFIT brand, and nutritional snacks, such as muesli. The Foodservice segment produces and distributes egg products primarily under Papetti's and Abbotsford Farms brands, as well as potato products in the foodservice and food ingredient channels. The segment also manufactures certain meat products. The Refrigerated Retail segment produces and distributes side dish, potato, sausage products under Bob Evans, Bob Evans Farms, and Simply Potatoes brands; eggs and egg products under Bob Evans Egg Whites and Egg Beaters brands; and cheese, and other dairy and refrigerated products under Crystal Farms brand. It serves grocery stores, mass merchandise customers, supercenters, club stores, natural/specialty stores, dollar stores, discounters, wholesalers, convenience stores, pet supply retailers, drug store customers, foodservice distributors, and national restaurant chains, as well as sells its products in the military, ecommerce, and foodservice channels. The company was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
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