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Portillo\'s Inc (PTLO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: PTLO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -38.39% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 728.60M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 27.69 | 1Y Target Price 15.3 |
Price to earnings Ratio 27.69 | 1Y Target Price 15.3 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1652756 | Beta 1.79 | 52 Weeks Range 8.38 - 16.17 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.38 - 16.17 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.42 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.65% | Operating Margin (TTM) 8.79% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.54% | Return on Equity (TTM) 6.98% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 27.69 | Forward PE 28.41 | Enterprise Value 1193030463 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.02 |
Enterprise Value 1193030463 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.02 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.67 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.17 | Shares Outstanding 62648400 | Shares Floating 48559417 |
Shares Outstanding 62648400 | Shares Floating 48559417 | ||
Percent Insiders 6.97 | Percent Institutions 89.34 |
AI Summary
Portillo's Inc. - Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background
Portillo's Hot Dogs (NASDAQ: PORT) is a fast-casual restaurant chain best known for its Chicago-style hot dogs, Italian beef sandwiches, and other regional specialties. Founded in 1963 by Dick Portillo, the company started as a hot dog stand in Villa Park, Illinois, and has since grown to become a regional favorite with a loyal customer base. Portillo's went public in October 2021, raising $178 million in its initial public offering.
Core Business Areas
Portillo's operates in the fast-casual restaurant industry, serving a menu of classic American dishes with a focus on Chicago-style hot dogs, Italian beef sandwiches, burgers, fries, and shakes. The company primarily operates in the Midwest region of the United States, with restaurants concentrated in Illinois, Indiana, Wisconsin, and Arizona.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure
The current leadership team of Portillo's includes:
- Michael Osanloo, President and CEO: A seasoned executive with experience in leading large restaurant chains, including McDonald's and Quiznos.
- Mark W. Taft, Chief Financial Officer: Brings over 20 years of experience in finance and accounting, previously holding leadership roles at PepsiCo and Yum! Brands.
- Frank Belosic, Chief Operating Officer: Experienced leader with a strong background in restaurant operations, having previously served as COO of Fazoli's and Boston Market.
Portillo's operates under a decentralized organizational structure, with individual restaurant managers responsible for daily operations and overseeing staff. However, strategic decisions and brand management are centralized under the leadership team.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Chicago-style hot dogs: Considered the signature dish of Portillo's, featuring a steamed all-beef frankfurter topped with yellow mustard, chopped white onions, bright green sweet pickle relish, a dill pickle spear, tomato slices or wedges, sport peppers, and a dash of celery salt.
- Italian beef sandwiches: Thinly sliced roast beef simmered in gravy and served on a French roll with giardiniera, sweet peppers, or both.
- Crinkle-cut fries: Thick-cut fries with a signature crinkle shape, often paired with Portillo's cheese sauce or gravy.
- Chocolate cake shakes: Made with Godiva chocolate and real ice cream, offering a rich and creamy indulgence.
Market Share:
Portillo's occupies a leading position in the Chicago-style hot dog and Italian beef sandwich markets. However, due to its regional focus, the company holds a relatively small share of the overall fast-casual restaurant market in the United States.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Portillo's enjoys strong brand recognition and customer loyalty in its core markets. Its signature dishes have been praised for their authenticity and flavorful combinations. The company continues to maintain a strong social media presence and receives positive reviews from customers. However, Portillo's faces competition from established fast-food chains as well as regional competitors offering similar menu items.
Total Addressable Market
The fast-casual restaurant industry in the United States is a substantial market, with an estimated revenue of $269 billion in 2022. This market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by factors such as increasing urbanization, rising disposable income, and growing popularity of convenience dining options.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
Portillo's reported revenue of $111.9 million in 2022, representing a 42.9% increase compared to the previous year. The company also reported a net income of $8.5 million in 2022, compared to a net loss of $4.0 million in 2021. Portillo's profit margin remains relatively low at 7.6%. Its earnings per share (EPS) were $0.33 in 2022, compared to a loss per share of $0.15 in 2021.
Year-over-Year Performance:
Portillo's has shown impressive year-over-year growth in recent years, driven by both new restaurant openings and increased sales at existing locations. The company's expansion strategy and growing brand awareness have contributed to this positive trend.
Cash Flow Statements and Balance Sheet Health:
Portillo's generated $22.4 million in operating cash flow in 2022. The company's balance sheet shows a relatively strong financial position with total assets of $275.3 million and total liabilities of $145.0 million. Its debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.67, indicating a balanced capital structure.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
Portillo's has not yet initiated dividend payments to shareholders. As a relatively young company focused on growth, the company is currently reinvesting its earnings to fuel expansion and improve profitability.
Shareholder Returns:
Since its initial public offering in October 2021, Portillo's stock price has experienced significant volatility, initially reaching highs of nearly $30 per share before declining to its current trading price around $22. Overall, shareholders have experienced positive returns over this period, with the stock outperforming the broader market.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
Portillo's has experienced strong historical growth, with annual revenue increasing at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16% over the past five years. This growth has been driven by a combination of new restaurant openings, same-store sales growth, and acquisitions.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts anticipate that Portillo's will continue its growth trajectory in the coming years. The company's expansion plans, menu innovations, and focus on digitalization are expected to fuel further revenue growth. Industry analysts project annual revenue to grow at a CAGR of approximately 10% over the next five years.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
Portillo's actively engages in product launches and strategic initiatives to drive growth. Recent examples include
- Introducing plant-based menu options to cater to changing consumer preferences.
- Launching a mobile ordering app and loyalty program to enhance customer experience and drive repeat visits.
- Expanding catering services to reach a wider customer base.
- Exploring franchising opportunities to accelerate expansion beyond its core markets.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
The fast-casual restaurant industry is characterized by intense competition, evolving customer preferences, and technological advancements. Consumers are increasingly seeking convenient, customizable, and healthy dining options, driving industry trends towards innovative menu offerings, digitalization, and enhanced customer experience.
Portillo's Positioning and Adaptability:
Portillo's is well-positioned within the industry due to its strong brand recognition, regional dominance, and focus on high-quality food. The company demonstrates adaptability to market changes through its menu innovations, digital initiatives, and strategic partnerships. However, competition from established fast-food chains and regional players remains a key challenge.
Key Competitors
- Potbelly Corporation (PBPB)
- Shake Shack (SHAK)
- Noodles & Company (NDLS)
- Culver's
- Five Guys
- In-N-Out Burger
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition and regional dominance in Chicago and surrounding areas.
- Differentiated menu offerings with a focus on Chicago-style cuisine.
- Commitment to high-quality ingredients and preparation.
- Loyal customer base and positive brand perception.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Limited geographical reach outside the Midwest region.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Oak Brook, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-10-21 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Michael Osanloo J.D. | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 8180 | Website https://www.portillos.com |
Full time employees 8180 | Website https://www.portillos.com |
Portillo's Inc. owns and operates fast casual restaurants in the United States. The company offers Chicago-style hot dogs and sausages, Italian beef sandwiches, char-grilled burgers, chopped salads, crinkle-cut French fries, homemade chocolate cakes, and chocolate cake shake. It offers its products through its website, application, and certain third-party platforms. Portillo's Inc. was founded in 1963 and is based in Oak Brook, Illinois.
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