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Shake Shack Inc (SHAK)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: SHAK (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 23.46% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.25B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 618.05 | 1Y Target Price 134.55 |
Price to earnings Ratio 618.05 | 1Y Target Price 134.55 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1454312 | Beta 1.86 | 52 Weeks Range 77.50 - 139.89 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 77.50 - 139.89 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.2 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-02-13 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.2452 | Actual 0.26 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.72% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.5% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.02% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.9% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 618.05 | Forward PE 88.5 | Enterprise Value 4946132919 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.34 |
Enterprise Value 4946132919 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.34 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.09 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 45.77 | Shares Outstanding 40027400 | Shares Floating 38139267 |
Shares Outstanding 40027400 | Shares Floating 38139267 | ||
Percent Insiders 6.04 | Percent Institutions 101.29 |
AI Summary
Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Shake Shack Inc. began as a hot dog cart in Madison Square Park back in 2001. Founded by Danny Meyer, the cart was a project of the non-profit Madison Square Park Conservancy. The success of the cart led to the opening of the first permanent Shake Shack location in the park in 2004.
The company has since grown rapidly, expanding across the United States and internationally. As of November 2023, Shake Shack operates over 400 restaurants in more than 30 countries. The company went public in 2015 and is currently a member of the S&P 500.
Core Business Areas:
Shake Shack's core business area is the operation of fast-casual restaurants offering a variety of burgers, fries, shakes, and other food and beverage items. The company focuses on high-quality ingredients and a premium dining experience.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Randy Garutti
- President: Peter B. Shack
- CFO: Katherine Fogertey
- Executive Chairman: Danny Meyer
- Board of Directors: 11 members, including Danny Meyer and representatives from various financial and investment firms.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- ShackBurger: Shake Shack's signature burger, featuring a blend of Angus beef and Niman Ranch pork.
- Fries: Crinkle-cut fries made with Idaho potatoes.
- Shack-cago Dog: A Chicago-style hot dog with all the trimmings.
- Concrete: A frozen custard dessert with various mix-ins.
Market Share:
- Shake Shack holds a small market share in the global fast-food industry, estimated to be less than 1%.
- In the US burger market, Shake Shack competes with major players like McDonald's, Burger King, and Wendy's. Shake Shack's market share in this segment is also relatively small but growing.
Competitor Comparison:
Shake Shack differentiates itself from competitors by focusing on fresh, high-quality ingredients, a premium dining experience, and a commitment to sustainability. The company's competitive advantages include its strong brand reputation, loyal customer base, and experienced management team. However, Shake Shack faces challenges from larger competitors with greater scale and resources.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for Shake Shack is estimated to be the global fast-food market, which was valued at approximately $700 billion in 2022. This market is expected to continue growing in the coming years, driven by factors such as population growth and urbanization.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements (2022):
- Revenue: $915 million
- Net Income: $54 million
- Profit Margin: 5.9%
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $0.82
Year-over-Year Performance:
Shake Shack's revenue and net income have grown steadily in recent years. However, the company's profit margin has been under pressure due to rising costs.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Shake Shack has a strong cash flow position and a healthy balance sheet. The company has a low level of debt and is generating positive free cash flow.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Shake Shack has not paid dividends since its IPO in 2015.
Shareholder Returns:
Shake Shack's stock has performed well since its IPO, providing investors with a total return of over 200%. However, the stock has been volatile in recent years.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Shake Shack has experienced strong historical growth, with revenue increasing at a CAGR of over 30% between 2015 and 2022.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts expect Shake Shack's growth to slow down in the coming years, but the company is still expected to grow at a healthy rate. Key growth drivers include international expansion, new restaurant openings, and digital initiatives.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
Shake Shack is investing in several initiatives to drive future growth, including:
- Expanding into new international markets
- Opening new restaurants in the US
- Developing its digital ordering and delivery channels
- Launching new menu items
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The fast-food industry is characterized by intense competition and consolidation. Consumers are increasingly demanding healthier and more sustainable food options. Technological advancements are also playing a major role in the industry, with the rise of online ordering and delivery platforms.
Shake Shack's Positioning:
Shake Shack is well-positioned within the industry due to its focus on high-quality ingredients, a premium dining experience, and a strong brand reputation. The company is also adapting to market changes by investing in digital initiatives and expanding into new markets.
Key Competitors:
- McDonald's (MCD)
- Burger King (QSR)
- Wendy's (WEN)
- Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)
- Five Guys
- In-N-Out Burger
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Intense competition in the fast-food industry
- Rising costs
- Labor shortages
- Economic uncertainty
Potential Opportunities:
- International expansion
- New restaurant openings
- Digital initiatives
- New menu items
- Partnerships
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years):
Shake Shack has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7/10
Justification:
Shake Shack has a strong brand reputation, loyal customer base, and experienced management team. The company is also well-positioned within the fast-food industry. However, Shake Shack faces challenges from larger competitors and rising costs. The company's future growth prospects are uncertain.
Sources:
- Shake Shack Inc. website
- Yahoo Finance
- Google Finance
- SEC filings
- Industry reports
Disclaimer:
This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About Shake Shack Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-01-30 | CEO & Director Mr. Robert M. Lynch | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 12196 | Website https://www.shakeshack.com |
Full time employees 12196 | Website https://www.shakeshack.com |
Shake Shack Inc. owns, operates, and licenses Shake Shack restaurants (Shacks) in the United States and internationally. Its Shacks offers hamburgers, chicken, hot dogs, crinkle cut fries, shakes, frozen custard, beer, wine, and other products. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
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