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Shake Shack Inc (SHAK)SHAK
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: SHAK (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 11.73% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 33 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 11.73% | Avg. Invested days: 33 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.32B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 162.68 | 1Y Target Price 113.14 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.63 |
Volume (30-day avg) 826524 | Beta 1.83 |
52 Weeks Range 52.79 - 111.29 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.32B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 162.68 | 1Y Target Price 113.14 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.63 | Volume (30-day avg) 826524 | Beta 1.83 |
52 Weeks Range 52.79 - 111.29 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.27% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.74% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.84% | Return on Equity (TTM) 6.1% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 162.68 | Forward PE 96.15 |
Enterprise Value 4584116324 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.7 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.92 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 35.54 |
Shares Outstanding 39982800 | Shares Floating 38006470 |
Percent Insiders 5.1 | Percent Institutions 97.92 |
Trailing PE 162.68 | Forward PE 96.15 | Enterprise Value 4584116324 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.7 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.92 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 35.54 | Shares Outstanding 39982800 | Shares Floating 38006470 |
Percent Insiders 5.1 | Percent Institutions 97.92 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.67 | Target Price 73.95 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 7 | Hold 12 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.67 | Target Price 73.95 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 7 |
Hold 12 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History:
Shake Shack was founded in 2004 as a hot dog cart in Madison Square Park, New York City. In 2004, it transitioned into a permanent kiosk and quickly gained popularity for its high-quality burgers, fries, and milkshakes. The company expanded rapidly, opening its first brick-and-mortar restaurant in 2004 and going public in 2015. Today, Shake Shack operates over 300 restaurants across 30 countries.
Core Business:
Shake Shack's core business is the operation of fast-casual restaurants. They offer a menu of burgers, fries, shakes, frozen custard, and other food and beverage items. They also offer catering services and merchandise.
Leadership:
- CEO: Randy Garutti
- CFO: Tara Comonte
- President: Michael Kark
- COO: David Harris
Top Products and Market Share:
- Top Products: ShackBurger, crinkle-cut fries, frozen custard, milkshakes
- Market Share: Shake Shack holds a relatively small market share in the global and US fast-food industries.
- Global: ~0.1%
- US: ~0.5%
- Competitors: McDonald's (MCD), Wendy's (WEN), Burger King (QSR), In-N-Out Burger, Five Guys, and other fast-casual restaurants.
Total Addressable Market:
The global fast-food market is estimated to be worth over $700 billion, with the US market representing approximately 20% of that total.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: $790 million in 2022
- Net Income: $54 million in 2022
- Profit Margin: 6.8% in 2022
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $0.78 in 2022
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Revenue increased by 17% in 2022 compared to 2021.
- Net income increased by 125% in 2022 compared to 2021.
- EPS increased by 129% in 2022 compared to 2021.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Cash Flow: Strong and positive, with $100 million in operating cash flow in 2022.
- Balance Sheet: Healthy, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.5.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Shake Shack does not currently pay a dividend.
- Shareholder Returns: 1-year return: +10%, 5-year return: +50%, 10-year return: +250%
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Revenue has grown at a CAGR of 15% over the past 5 years.
- Future Growth: Projected to grow at a CAGR of 10% over the next 5 years.
- Growth Initiatives: New restaurant openings, international expansion, menu innovation, digital initiatives.
Market Dynamics:
- The fast-food industry is highly competitive, with a large number of players.
- Growing demand for convenience and affordability.
- Increasing consumer focus on healthy and sustainable food options.
- Technological advancements are impacting the industry, with increasing use of online ordering and delivery platforms.
Competitive Positioning:
- Shake Shack is well-positioned in the fast-casual segment, with a strong brand reputation and high-quality food.
- The company is focused on innovation and digital initiatives, which are helping it to stay ahead of the competition.
Key Competitors:
- McDonald's (MCD)
- Wendy's (WEN)
- Burger King (QSR)
- In-N-Out Burger
- Five Guys
Market Share Percentages:
- McDonald's: ~20%
- Wendy's: ~5%
- Burger King: ~4%
- In-N-Out Burger: ~2%
- Five Guys: ~1%
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong brand reputation
- High-quality food
- Focus on innovation
- Digital initiatives
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Relatively small market share
- Limited international presence
- Higher prices than some competitors
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions
- Rising labor costs
- Increased competition
Opportunities:
- International expansion
- New product innovation
- Strategic partnerships
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- None
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
- Rating: 7 out of 10
- Justification: Shake Shack is a financially healthy company with a strong brand and a track record of growth. However, the company faces challenges from competition and limited international presence.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Sources: Shake Shack annual reports, SEC filings, company website, industry reports, news articles.
- Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
Please note that this overview is based on publicly available information as of November 10, 2023. It is important to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Shake Shack Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | New York, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2015-01-30 | CEO & Director | Mr. Robert M. Lynch |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.shakeshack.com |
Industry | Restaurants | Full time employees | 12196 |
Headquaters | New York, NY, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Robert M. Lynch | ||
Website | https://www.shakeshack.com | ||
Website | https://www.shakeshack.com | ||
Full time employees | 12196 |
Shake Shack Inc. owns, operates, and licenses Shake Shack restaurants (Shacks) in the United States and internationally. Its Shacks offers hamburgers, chicken, hot dogs, crinkle cut fries, shakes, frozen custard, beer, wine, and other products. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
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