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Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
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Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$51.67
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: CMG (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 28.73%
Avg. Invested days 51
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 70.50B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 46.86
1Y Target Price 64.35
Price to earnings Ratio 46.86
1Y Target Price 64.35
Volume (30-day avg) 13955494
Beta 1.27
52 Weeks Range 47.55 - 69.26
Updated Date 04/2/2025
52 Weeks Range 47.55 - 69.26
Updated Date 04/2/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.11

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 13.56%
Operating Margin (TTM) 14.99%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 14.16%
Return on Equity (TTM) 45.67%

Valuation

Trailing PE 46.86
Forward PE 40.32
Enterprise Value 73147965790
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.23
Enterprise Value 73147965790
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.23
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.47
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 31.53
Shares Outstanding 1355340032
Shares Floating 1344846692
Shares Outstanding 1355340032
Shares Floating 1344846692
Percent Insiders 0.7
Percent Institutions 88.14

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.23
Target Price 65.9
Buy 3
Strong Buy 21
Buy 3
Strong Buy 21
Hold 10
Sell -
Strong Sell 1
Strong Sell 1

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. was founded in 1993 by Steve Ells in Denver, Colorado. Initially focused on high-quality, responsibly sourced ingredients, Chipotle rapidly expanded, becoming a publicly traded company in 2006. Significant milestones include menu innovation, expansion into new markets, and overcoming food safety challenges.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Restaurant Operations: Chipotle operates and manages fast-casual restaurants serving customizable Mexican cuisine, including burritos, bowls, tacos, and salads.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Brian Niccol serves as the Chairman and CEO. The organizational structure is based on functional departments, including operations, marketing, finance, and supply chain, with regional managers overseeing restaurant operations.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Burritos: Customizable burritos are a core offering, allowing customers to choose their fillings. Competitors include Qdoba, Moe's Southwest Grill, and other fast-casual Mexican restaurants. Limited market share data available per specific product; however, burrito market TAM is significant within the broader fast-casual sector.
  • Bowls: Similar to burritos but served in a bowl format, catering to health-conscious consumers. Competitors are the same as burritos, but extend to healthier options across the wider restaurant landscape. Limited market share data.
  • Tacos: Tacos are another customizable menu item. Competitors mirror those of burritos and bowls. Limited market share data.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The fast-casual restaurant industry is characterized by high competition, evolving consumer preferences, and a focus on convenience and quality. Growth is driven by health trends, digital ordering, and delivery services.

Positioning

Chipotle positions itself as a leader in the fast-casual sector, emphasizing fresh, sustainably sourced ingredients. Its competitive advantages include brand recognition, a loyal customer base, and a commitment to ethical sourcing.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The fast-casual restaurant market is estimated at several hundred billion USD globally. Chipotle is positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM through expansion, menu innovation, and digital strategies.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Loyal customer base
  • Focus on fresh ingredients
  • Efficient operations
  • Digital innovation

Weaknesses

  • Past food safety issues impact brand image
  • Relatively high prices compared to competitors
  • Menu limitations
  • Dependence on a single cuisine type
  • Vulnerability to supply chain disruptions

Opportunities

  • Menu expansion with new ingredients and cuisines
  • International expansion
  • Increased digital ordering and delivery
  • Loyalty program enhancements
  • Partnerships with complementary businesses

Threats

  • Intense competition in the fast-casual sector
  • Rising labor and food costs
  • Changing consumer preferences
  • Economic downturns
  • Potential for future food safety incidents

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • YUM (YUM)
  • WENDYS (WEN)
  • MCDONALDS (MCD)

Competitive Landscape

Chipotle differentiates itself through fresh ingredients and customizable options, but faces competition from larger chains with broader menus and lower prices. Its smaller scale presents both advantages (agility) and disadvantages (less marketing power).

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Chipotle has experienced significant revenue growth over the past decade, driven by new restaurant openings and same-store sales increases.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates project continued revenue growth, driven by expansion, digital initiatives, and menu innovation.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include menu innovation (e.g., carne asada), expansion of digital ordering and delivery, and restaurant redesigns to improve efficiency.

Summary

Chipotle is a strong brand with a loyal following, but it faces challenges in a highly competitive market. Its focus on fresh ingredients and digital innovation is working well. However, the company needs to address food safety concerns, manage costs, and adapt to evolving consumer preferences.

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Reports
  • Market Research Data

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on thorough research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market share data are estimates and may vary.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Newport Beach, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2006-01-26
CEO & Director Mr. Scott Boatwright
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 130504
Full time employees 130504

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. It sells food and beverages through offering burritos, burrito bowls, quesadillas, tacos, and salads, as well as lifestyle bowls, kids's meal, chips, sides, and drinks. The company also provides delivery and related services its app and website. It has operations in the United States, Canada, France, Germany, Dubai, and the United Kingdom. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California.

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