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Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA)JMIA
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: JMIA (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -51.9% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 29 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -51.9% | Avg. Invested days: 29 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 573.13M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1 |
Volume (30-day avg) 4488972 | Beta 2.93 |
52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 15.04 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 573.13M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1 | Volume (30-day avg) 4488972 | Beta 2.93 |
52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 15.04 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -55.32% | Operating Margin (TTM) -55.46% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -16.14% | Return on Equity (TTM) -155.72% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 475100110 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.07 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.55 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.62 |
Shares Outstanding 122463000 | Shares Floating 188766868 |
Percent Insiders 1.2 | Percent Institutions 18.87 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 475100110 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.07 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.55 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.62 | Shares Outstanding 122463000 | Shares Floating 188766868 |
Percent Insiders 1.2 | Percent Institutions 18.87 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 4 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4 | Target Price 4 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Jumia Technologies AG: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA) is a leading Pan-African e-commerce platform, established in 2012 and listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in 2019. With operations in 11 African countries, Jumia provides a marketplace for buyers and sellers of goods and services, including retail products, groceries, electronics, fashion, and mobile airtime.
Core Business Areas:
- Marketplace: Connecting buyers and sellers across various categories.
- Logistics: Facilitating last-mile delivery through Jumia Express and Jumia Prime.
- Payment Solutions: Offering JumiaPay, a secure and convenient payment gateway.
- Jumia Services: Providing food delivery, hotel booking, and other value-added services.
Leadership Team:
Jumia is led by Sacha Poignonnec, Co-founder and CEO, with a strong leadership team comprising experienced executives in e-commerce, logistics, and technology.
Corporate Structure:
Jumia operates as a holding company with subsidiaries in each of its African markets. This structure allows for local adaptation and regulatory compliance.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Fashion
- Electronics
- FMCG
- Mobile phones
- Airtime
Market Share:
Jumia holds a leading market share in the African e-commerce market, estimated at around 38% in 2021. However, its market share varies across different countries and product categories.
Product Performance and Competition:
Jumia's products are generally well-received by customers, offering competitive prices and convenience. However, fierce competition exists from other regional and international players like Konga and Amazon. Jumia differentiates itself by focusing on a tailored selection of products, efficient logistics, and localized payment solutions.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
The African e-commerce market is estimated to be worth around $26.9 billion in 2022, expected to reach $75 billion by 2025. This rapid growth is driven by rising internet and smartphone penetration, increasing disposable incomes, and a young and tech-savvy population.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: €388.1 million in 2022, up 42% year-over-year.
- Net Income: €-180.1 million in 2022, improving from €-217.9 million in 2021.
- Profit Margins: Jumia operates with negative profit margins but is showing improvements.
- EPS: €-1.17 in 2022, compared to €-1.44 in 2021.
Financial Performance Comparison:
Jumia's revenue has been steadily increasing, demonstrating strong growth potential. However, the company remains unprofitable, investing heavily in market expansion and infrastructure development.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
Jumia has a cash and cash equivalents balance of €262.9 million as of December 31, 2022. However, its high operating expenses lead to negative free cash flow.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Jumia has not declared or paid any dividends since its IPO.
Shareholder Returns:
Jumia's share price has experienced significant volatility since its IPO. Over the past 1 year, it has declined by around 80%. However, long-term investors may see potential for significant upside given the company's growth prospects.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Jumia has experienced rapid revenue growth, averaging over 40% annually in the past few years.
Future Projections:
Jumia is expected to maintain its strong growth momentum, driven by the expansion of the African e-commerce market and its continued investment in technology and logistics infrastructure.
Growth Initiatives:
Jumia is focusing on increasing customer engagement, optimizing its logistics network, and expanding into new product categories and markets.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The African e-commerce market is witnessing rapid growth, driven by factors like rising internet penetration, increasing smartphone adoption, and a growing middle class.
Competitive Landscape:
Jumia faces competition from regional players like Konga, Takealot, and Jumia, as well as global giants like Amazon and Alibaba. However, Jumia holds a competitive advantage in its established presence and tailored offerings for the African market.
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition and established customer base.
- Tailored product selection for the African market.
- Efficient logistics network through Jumia Express.
- Localized payment solutions with JumiaPay.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Intense competition from regional and global players.
- Negative profit margins and reliance on external funding.
- Challenges in scaling operations across diverse African markets.
Key Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Continued investment in infrastructure and technology.
- Maintaining profitability in a competitive market.
- Managing complex logistics across diverse African geographies.
Opportunities:
- Capturing the rapidly growing African e-commerce market.
- Expanding into new product categories and markets.
- Developing innovative technology solutions tailored for the African market.
- Establishing strategic partnerships to accelerate growth.
Recent Acquisitions:
Jumia has not made any significant acquisitions in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of Jumia's financials, market position, and future prospects, a rating of 6 out of 10 is assigned. This rating reflects the company's impressive growth potential and strong market position but acknowledges the ongoing challenges of reaching profitability.
Justification:
Jumia's rapid revenue growth and leadership in the African e-commerce market demonstrate its strong potential. However, the company faces challenges in achieving profitability and competing with global giants. Continued investment in technology and logistics, along with strategic partnerships and diversification into new markets, could unlock significant value for shareholders.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Jumia's website: https://www.jumia.com/
- Annual Reports: https://www.jumia.com/corporate/investors
- Financial Data: Yahoo Finance
- Market Research: McKinsey, Statista, International Trade Administration
- AI-Based Rating: Sentieo
Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing involves inherent risks, and you should always conduct thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Jumia Technologies AG
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2019-04-12 | CEO & Member of Management Board | Mr. Francis Dufay |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://group.jumia.com |
Industry | Internet Retail | Full time employees | 2915 |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO & Member of Management Board | Mr. Francis Dufay | ||
Website | https://group.jumia.com | ||
Website | https://group.jumia.com | ||
Full time employees | 2915 |
Jumia Technologies AG operates an e-commerce platform in West Africa, North Africa, East and South Africa, Europe, the United Arab Emirates, and internationally. The company's platform consists of marketplace that connects sellers with customers; logistics service, which enables the shipment and delivery of packages from sellers to consumers; and payment service, which facilitates transactions to participants active on the company's platform in selected markets under the JumiaPay name. Its marketplace offers various products in a range of categories, including phones, electronics, home and living, fashion, beauty, and fast-moving consumer goods; and various digital lifestyle services, such as utility bills payment, airtime recharge, gaming and entertainment, and transport ticketing, as well as financial services comprising micro-loans, insurance, and savings products. The company was formerly known as Africa Internet Holding GmbH and changed its name to Jumia Technologies AG in January 2019. Jumia Technologies AG was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Berlin, Germany.
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