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Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA)JMIA

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Jumia Technologies AG
$4.63
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: JMIA (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -51.9%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3
Avg. Invested days: 29
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -51.9%
Avg. Invested days: 29
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 573.13M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 11
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1
Volume (30-day avg) 4488972
Beta 2.93
52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 15.04
Updated Date 09/18/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 573.13M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 11
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1
Volume (30-day avg) 4488972
Beta 2.93
52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 15.04
Updated Date 09/18/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -55.32%
Operating Margin (TTM) -55.46%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -16.14%
Return on Equity (TTM) -155.72%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 475100110
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.07
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.55
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.62
Shares Outstanding 122463000
Shares Floating 188766868
Percent Insiders 1.2
Percent Institutions 18.87
Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 475100110
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.07
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.55
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.62
Shares Outstanding 122463000
Shares Floating 188766868
Percent Insiders 1.2
Percent Institutions 18.87

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4
Target Price 4
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4
Target Price 4
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Jumia Technologies AG: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA) is a leading Pan-African e-commerce platform, established in 2012 and listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in 2019. With operations in 11 African countries, Jumia provides a marketplace for buyers and sellers of goods and services, including retail products, groceries, electronics, fashion, and mobile airtime.

Core Business Areas:

  • Marketplace: Connecting buyers and sellers across various categories.
  • Logistics: Facilitating last-mile delivery through Jumia Express and Jumia Prime.
  • Payment Solutions: Offering JumiaPay, a secure and convenient payment gateway.
  • Jumia Services: Providing food delivery, hotel booking, and other value-added services.

Leadership Team:

Jumia is led by Sacha Poignonnec, Co-founder and CEO, with a strong leadership team comprising experienced executives in e-commerce, logistics, and technology.

Corporate Structure:

Jumia operates as a holding company with subsidiaries in each of its African markets. This structure allows for local adaptation and regulatory compliance.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Fashion
  • Electronics
  • FMCG
  • Mobile phones
  • Airtime

Market Share:

Jumia holds a leading market share in the African e-commerce market, estimated at around 38% in 2021. However, its market share varies across different countries and product categories.

Product Performance and Competition:

Jumia's products are generally well-received by customers, offering competitive prices and convenience. However, fierce competition exists from other regional and international players like Konga and Amazon. Jumia differentiates itself by focusing on a tailored selection of products, efficient logistics, and localized payment solutions.

Total Addressable Market (TAM):

The African e-commerce market is estimated to be worth around $26.9 billion in 2022, expected to reach $75 billion by 2025. This rapid growth is driven by rising internet and smartphone penetration, increasing disposable incomes, and a young and tech-savvy population.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

  • Revenue: €388.1 million in 2022, up 42% year-over-year.
  • Net Income: €-180.1 million in 2022, improving from €-217.9 million in 2021.
  • Profit Margins: Jumia operates with negative profit margins but is showing improvements.
  • EPS: €-1.17 in 2022, compared to €-1.44 in 2021.

Financial Performance Comparison:

Jumia's revenue has been steadily increasing, demonstrating strong growth potential. However, the company remains unprofitable, investing heavily in market expansion and infrastructure development.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

Jumia has a cash and cash equivalents balance of €262.9 million as of December 31, 2022. However, its high operating expenses lead to negative free cash flow.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

Jumia has not declared or paid any dividends since its IPO.

Shareholder Returns:

Jumia's share price has experienced significant volatility since its IPO. Over the past 1 year, it has declined by around 80%. However, long-term investors may see potential for significant upside given the company's growth prospects.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

Jumia has experienced rapid revenue growth, averaging over 40% annually in the past few years.

Future Projections:

Jumia is expected to maintain its strong growth momentum, driven by the expansion of the African e-commerce market and its continued investment in technology and logistics infrastructure.

Growth Initiatives:

Jumia is focusing on increasing customer engagement, optimizing its logistics network, and expanding into new product categories and markets.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

The African e-commerce market is witnessing rapid growth, driven by factors like rising internet penetration, increasing smartphone adoption, and a growing middle class.

Competitive Landscape:

Jumia faces competition from regional players like Konga, Takealot, and Jumia, as well as global giants like Amazon and Alibaba. However, Jumia holds a competitive advantage in its established presence and tailored offerings for the African market.

Competitive Advantages:

  • Strong brand recognition and established customer base.
  • Tailored product selection for the African market.
  • Efficient logistics network through Jumia Express.
  • Localized payment solutions with JumiaPay.

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • Intense competition from regional and global players.
  • Negative profit margins and reliance on external funding.
  • Challenges in scaling operations across diverse African markets.

Key Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Continued investment in infrastructure and technology.
  • Maintaining profitability in a competitive market.
  • Managing complex logistics across diverse African geographies.

Opportunities:

  • Capturing the rapidly growing African e-commerce market.
  • Expanding into new product categories and markets.
  • Developing innovative technology solutions tailored for the African market.
  • Establishing strategic partnerships to accelerate growth.

Recent Acquisitions:

Jumia has not made any significant acquisitions in the past three years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on an AI-based analysis of Jumia's financials, market position, and future prospects, a rating of 6 out of 10 is assigned. This rating reflects the company's impressive growth potential and strong market position but acknowledges the ongoing challenges of reaching profitability.

Justification:

Jumia's rapid revenue growth and leadership in the African e-commerce market demonstrate its strong potential. However, the company faces challenges in achieving profitability and competing with global giants. Continued investment in technology and logistics, along with strategic partnerships and diversification into new markets, could unlock significant value for shareholders.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing involves inherent risks, and you should always conduct thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Jumia Technologies AG

Exchange NYSE Headquaters -
IPO Launch date 2019-04-12 CEO & Member of Management Board Mr. Francis Dufay
Sector Consumer Cyclical Website https://group.jumia.com
Industry Internet Retail Full time employees 2915
Headquaters -
CEO & Member of Management Board Mr. Francis Dufay
Website https://group.jumia.com
Website https://group.jumia.com
Full time employees 2915

Jumia Technologies AG operates an e-commerce platform in West Africa, North Africa, East and South Africa, Europe, the United Arab Emirates, and internationally. The company's platform consists of marketplace that connects sellers with customers; logistics service, which enables the shipment and delivery of packages from sellers to consumers; and payment service, which facilitates transactions to participants active on the company's platform in selected markets under the JumiaPay name. Its marketplace offers various products in a range of categories, including phones, electronics, home and living, fashion, beauty, and fast-moving consumer goods; and various digital lifestyle services, such as utility bills payment, airtime recharge, gaming and entertainment, and transport ticketing, as well as financial services comprising micro-loans, insurance, and savings products. The company was formerly known as Africa Internet Holding GmbH and changed its name to Jumia Technologies AG in January 2019. Jumia Technologies AG was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Berlin, Germany.

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