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Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2024: JMIA (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -51.9% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/31/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 467.81M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.78 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.78 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3606472 | Beta 2.96 | 52 Weeks Range 2.88 - 15.04 | Updated Date 12/31/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 2.88 - 15.04 | Updated Date 12/31/2024 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.81 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -53.64% | Operating Margin (TTM) -55.21% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -15.17% | Return on Equity (TTM) -101.56% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 326696274 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.58 |
Enterprise Value 326696274 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.58 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.74 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.62 | Shares Outstanding 122463000 | Shares Floating 186950539 |
Shares Outstanding 122463000 | Shares Floating 186950539 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.45 | Percent Institutions 31.65 |
AI Summary
Jumia Technologies AG: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA) is a leading pan-African e-commerce platform, founded in 2012 by Sacha Poignonnec and Jeremy Hodara. Initially operating under the name Kaymu, the company rebranded as Jumia in 2016. Jumia expanded rapidly across Africa, establishing a presence in 11 countries and becoming the continent's largest e-commerce platform. In 2019, Jumia made its debut on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Core Business Areas:
Jumia's primary business areas include:
- Marketplace: Connects buyers and sellers, offering a wide range of products across various categories, including electronics, fashion, homeware, and groceries.
- Logistics: Provides last-mile delivery services for marketplace orders through its own network and partnerships.
- Payment Solutions: Facilitates online payments through JumiaPay, a mobile wallet and payment platform.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Jumia's leadership team comprises:
- Sacha Poignonnec: Co-founder and CEO
- Jeremy Hodara: Co-founder and Executive Chairman
- Francis Dufay: Chief Operating Officer
- Antoine Maillet: Chief Financial Officer
The company operates through a decentralized structure, with regional hubs in each of its operating countries.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Electronics: Smartphones, laptops, TVs, and other electronic devices.
- Fashion: Clothing, shoes, and accessories for men, women, and children.
- Homeware: Furniture, appliances, and other household items.
- Groceries: Everyday essentials, including food, beverages, and personal care products.
Market Share:
Jumia is the leading e-commerce platform in Africa, with an estimated market share of 38.7%. While the company faces competition from international players like Amazon and Alibaba, it enjoys a significant advantage through its established logistics network and local market expertise.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Jumia's product offering and market reception are generally positive. The company boasts a wide selection of products at competitive prices, supported by a convenient online shopping experience and reliable delivery services. However, Jumia continues to face challenges in certain areas, including product quality control and counterfeit products.
Total Addressable Market
The African e-commerce market is estimated to be worth $75 billion and is projected to grow to $180 billion by 2025. This rapid growth presents a significant opportunity for Jumia as it seeks to expand its reach and market share.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
In its most recent quarter (Q2 2023), Jumia reported:
- Revenue: $55.1 million
- Net Income: -$24.7 million
- Gross Profit: $24.7 million
- EPS: -$0.51
Year-over-Year Performance:
Jumia's revenue grew by 44% year-over-year, while its net loss narrowed. This demonstrates the company's progress in scaling its operations and improving its financial performance.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
Jumia's cash flow from operations remains negative, reflecting its ongoing investments in growth initiatives. However, the company has a strong balance sheet with over $180 million in cash and equivalents.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
Jumia does not currently pay dividends, as it is focused on investing its profits back into the business for future growth.
Shareholder Returns:
Jumia's stock price has been volatile, experiencing significant fluctuations since its IPO. Overall, shareholders have experienced negative returns over the past year and since the IPO.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
Jumia has experienced strong historical growth, with its gross merchandise value (GMV) increasing from $412 million in 2019 to $1.4 billion in 2022.
Future Growth Projections:
Jumia is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with analysts projecting GMV to reach $3.4 billion by 2025. This growth will be driven by increasing internet penetration and rising consumer spending in Africa.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
Jumia has been actively launching new products and initiatives to drive growth, including:
- Expansion into new product categories, such as health and beauty.
- Partnerships with leading brands and retailers.
- Investments in technology and logistics infrastructure.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
The African e-commerce market is characterized by high growth potential, driven by increasing internet and smartphone penetration, a young and growing population, and rising disposable incomes. However, the market is also fragmented and competitive, with numerous players vying for market share.
Jumia's Positioning:
Jumia is well-positioned within the African e-commerce market, leveraging its first-mover advantage, established logistics network, and local market expertise. The company is also actively adapting to market changes by investing in technology and expanding its product offerings.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Amazon (AMZN)
- Alibaba (BABA)
- Takealot (TKL)
- Konga
Market Share and Comparison:
Jumia faces competition from both international and regional players. While it enjoys a leading market share in Africa, Amazon and Alibaba pose significant threats with their global reach and resources. Takealot and Konga are also strong competitors within specific regional markets.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Jumia's competitive advantages include its established logistics network, local market expertise, and brand recognition. However, its disadvantages include its limited product range compared to global players and its ongoing financial losses.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Maintaining profitability in a highly competitive market.
- Addressing counterfeit products and quality control issues.
- Expanding into new markets and product categories.
Potential Opportunities:
- Capitalizing on the growth of the African e-commerce market.
- Partnering with leading brands and retailers.
- Investing in technology and data analytics to improve customer experience.
Recent Acquisitions
No recent acquisitions have been made by Jumia Technologies AG in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 6/10
Jumia exhibits strong growth potential and a leading market position within the African e-commerce market. However, its profitability challenges and competitive landscape warrant some caution. The AI-based rating of 6 reflects a balance between these positive and negative factors.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Jumia Technologies AG Investor Relations website
- Statista
- McKinsey & Company
- World Bank
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion
Jumia Technologies AG is a leading player in the rapidly growing African e-commerce market. The company boasts a strong market position, established logistics network, and local market expertise. However, it faces challenges in maintaining profitability and addressing counterfeit products. Jumia's future success will depend on its ability to execute its growth strategy, improve its financial performance, and adapt to the evolving market landscape.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2019-04-12 | CEO & Member of Management Board Mr. Francis Dufay | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Internet Retail | Full time employees 2915 | Website https://group.jumia.com |
Full time employees 2915 | Website https://group.jumia.com |
Jumia Technologies AG operates an e-commerce platform in West Africa, North Africa, East Africa, Europe, the United Arab Emirates, and internationally. The company's platform consists of marketplace that connects sellers with customers; logistics service, which enables the shipment and delivery of packages from sellers to consumers; and payment service, which facilitates transactions to participants active on the company's platform in selected markets under the JumiaPay name. Its marketplace offers various products in a range of categories, including phones, electronics, home and living, fashion, beauty, and fast-moving consumer goods; and various digital lifestyle services, such as utility bills payment, airtime recharge, gaming and entertainment, and transport ticketing, as well as financial services comprising micro-loans, insurance, and savings products. The company was formerly known as Africa Internet Holding GmbH and changed its name to Jumia Technologies AG in January 2019. Jumia Technologies AG was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Berlin, Germany.
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