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Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/07/2025: BABA (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 4.1% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 327.96B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 27.98 | 1Y Target Price 123.74 |
Price to earnings Ratio 27.98 | 1Y Target Price 123.74 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 19174259 | Beta 0.31 | 52 Weeks Range 67.78 - 145.30 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 67.78 - 145.30 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.59% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.86 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-02-05 | When Before Market | Estimate 19.3757 | Actual 21.39 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.98% | Operating Margin (TTM) 14.9% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.61% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.11% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 27.98 | Forward PE 13.02 | Enterprise Value 277788088627 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34 |
Enterprise Value 277788088627 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.1 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.67 | Shares Outstanding 2375950080 | Shares Floating 16997080800 |
Shares Outstanding 2375950080 | Shares Floating 16997080800 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.04 | Percent Institutions 14.52 |
AI Summary
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.: A Comprehensive Overview
Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Company Profile
History and Background:
- Founded in 1999 by Jack Ma and 17 other partners, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA) started as an online platform for businesses to conduct domestic wholesale trade.
- Today, it has grown into a vast global ecosystem encompassing various subsidiaries and business units, including B2B marketplaces, retail platforms, cloud services, digital media and entertainment, and logistics.
- Alibaba went public in 2014 with a record-breaking initial public offering (IPO), raising $25 billion on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Core Businesses:
- Core E-commerce Platforms:
- Taobao: China's largest consumer-to-consumer marketplace.
- Tmall: Platform for established brands and businesses to sell directly to consumers.
- Ali Express: Focused on online international sales.
- Digital Media and Entertainment:
- Youku Tudou: A video streaming platform similar to YouTube.
- Alipay: A leading digital payments platform.
- Cainiao Network: A logistics and supply chain management system.
- Alibaba Cloud: A cloud computing platform providing services similar to Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Chairman and CEO: Daniel Zhang
- President: J. Michael Evans
- Chief Financial Officer: Toby Xu
- The company has several corporate structures including Alibaba Partnership, Alibaba Group, and Alibaba.com. The Alibaba Partnership controls the majority voting power and is responsible for appointing the Board of Directors.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Alibaba's core e-commerce platforms are its most prominent offerings, capturing a significant share of the Chinese e-commerce market.
- Taobao holds the largest share in the consumer-to-consumer segment, while Tmall dominates the business-to-consumer segment.
- Ali Express is a significant player in the international e-commerce space, catering to buyers outside of China.
- Alipay has become the leading digital payments solution in China, surpassing other platforms like WeChat Pay.
Market Share:
- China: Alibaba dominates the Chinese e-commerce market with a combined share of over 50% for its core platforms.
- Global: Alibaba holds a significant share in the global B2B e-commerce space, but faces competition from Amazon and other international players in the B2C segment.
- US: Alibaba's presence in the US market is limited compared to its dominance in China and other regions.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Alibaba's platforms have enjoyed considerable success and customer satisfaction, evidenced by their dominant market share.
- However, they face competition not only from other international players but also from rising domestic rivals within China.
- Alibaba continues to invest in technological advancements and user experience improvements to maintain its competitive edge.
Total Addressable Market
- The total addressable market for e-commerce globally is estimated to reach $5.55 trillion by 2027.
- Alibaba focuses on the vast Chinese market, where the online retail sector alone is expected to reach a value of $3.3 trillion by 2025.
- Alibaba also targets international markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, India, and other emerging economies.
Financial Performance
Recent Performance:
- In 2022, Alibaba reported revenue of $134.57 billion, a year-over-year increase of 19%.
- Net income reached $18.73 billion, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) at $6.83.
- The company experienced growth in most segments, including its core commerce businesses and cloud computing services.
- However, the growth rate has slowed down compared to previous years, partially due to macroeconomic headwinds and regulatory challenges.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Alibaba maintains a strong cash flow position with $47.64 billion in cash and equivalents as of March 31, 2023.
- The balance sheet exhibits a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49, indicating moderate financial leverage.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
- Alibaba initiated dividend payments in 2014 and has maintained a consistent payout ratio of around 30%.
- The latest annual dividend was $3.54 per share, representing a yield of approximately 2%.
Shareholder Returns:
- Over the past year, Alibaba's stock price has declined by approximately 25%.
- However, investors who held shares during the past five years have enjoyed an average annual return of over 15%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
- Over the past five years, Alibaba's revenue has grown at an average annual rate of 40%.
- This growth has been driven by expanding e-commerce operations, increasing cloud computing adoption, and strategic acquisitions.
Future Growth Prospects:
- The e-commerce market is expected to continue growing in China and other emerging economies, offering significant opportunities for Alibaba.
- Alibaba's cloud computing business has the potential to be a major growth driver, capitalizing on the increasing demand for cloud services globally.
- The company's investments in new technologies, such as artificial intelligence and logistics automation, could further drive future growth.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
- The global e-commerce industry is characterized by rapid growth and intense competition.
- Technological advancements and changing consumer behavior are shaping market dynamics.
- The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the shift towards online shopping, creating both opportunities and challenges for industry players.
Alibaba's Position and Adaptability:
- Alibaba is a dominant player in the Chinese e-commerce market and is well-positioned to benefit from its continued growth.
- The company is constantly innovating and adapting its business model to keep pace with changing market dynamics.
- Alibaba faces competition from domestic rivals like JD.com and Pinduoduo, as well as international players like Amazon.
Key Competitors
Main Competitors:
- JD.com (JD)
- Pinduoduo (PDD)
- Amazon.com (AMZN)
- eBay (EBAY)
Market Share Comparison:
Company | Market Share (China, as of Q2 2023) |
---|---|
Alibaba Group | 51.8% |
JD.com | 16.9% |
Pinduoduo | 13.0% |
Competitive Advantages:
- Dominant market share in China: This provides Alibaba with significant economies of scale and network effects.
- Diverse portfolio of businesses: This diversification reduces reliance on any single business segment.
- Strong technology infrastructure and data capabilities: These assets provide Alibaba insights into consumer behavior and enable targeted marketing and product development.
- Extensive logistics network: Alibaba's Cainiao Network is a major logistics asset in China.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Competition: Alibaba faces intense competition from domestic rivals and global players, which puts pressure on margins and market share.
- Regulatory environment: The Chinese government has increased regulatory scrutiny on the technology sector, posing potential challenges for Alibaba's business model.
- Economic slowdown: The global economic slowdown could affect consumer spending and impact Alibaba's growth prospects.
Potential Opportunities:
- International expansion: Expanding into new international markets, particularly in Southeast Asia and India, could provide significant growth opportunities for Alibaba.
- Cloud computing: The cloud computing market offers high growth potential, and Alibaba's cloud business is well-positioned to capitalize on this.
- Technology innovation: Investing in artificial intelligence, logistics automation, and other technological advancements can create new revenue streams and improve operational efficiency.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023)
- Sun Art Retail Group: A leading omnichannel retailer in China, acquired in 2020 for $3.6 billion. This acquisition strengthens Alibaba's presence in offline retail and integrates online and offline shopping experiences.
- Ant Financial: A fintech giant that operates Alipay and other financial services. The acquisition was finalized in 2021 but was restructured to meet regulatory requirements. This integration bolsters Alibaba's financial services capabilities and its ecosystem approach.
- LogisTech: A leading developer of smart warehousing solutions, acquired in 2021. This acquisition supports Alibaba's logistics ambitions and improves warehouse automation and efficiency.
- Zomato: A leading Indian food delivery platform, invested in 2021 with plans to acquire a controlling stake in 2023. This move strengthens Alibaba's position in the growing online food delivery market in India.
- Global Fashion Group: An online fashion platform with a strong presence in emerging markets, acquired in 2023. This acquisition expands Alibaba's reach in the international fashion e-commerce market.
About Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-09-19 | CEO, Head of Core E-Commerce Business & Director Mr. Yongming Wu | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Internet Retail | Full time employees 197991 | Website https://www.alibabagroup.com |
Full time employees 197991 | Website https://www.alibabagroup.com |
Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through seven segments: China Commerce, International Commerce, Local Consumer Services, Cainiao, Cloud, Digital Media and Entertainment, and Innovation Initiatives and Others. It operates Taobao and Tmall, which are digital retail platforms; Alimama, a proprietary monetization platform; 1688.com and Alibaba.com, which are online wholesale marketplaces; AliExpress, a retail marketplace; Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz that are e-commerce platforms; Freshippo, a retail platform for groceries and fresh goods; and Tmall Global, an import e-commerce platform. The company also operates Cainiao Network logistic services platform; Ele.me, an on-demand delivery and local services platform; Koubei, a restaurant and local services guide platform; and Fliggy, an online travel platform. In addition, it offers pay-for-performance, in-feed, and display marketing services; and Taobao Ad Network and Exchange, a real-time online bidding marketing exchange. Further, the company provides elastic computing, storage, network, security, database, big data, and IoT services; and hardware, software license, software installation, and application development and maintenance services. Additionally, it operates Youku, an online video platform; Quark, a platform for information search, storage, and consumption; Alibaba Pictures and other content platforms that provide online videos, films, live events, news feeds, literature, music, and others; Amap, a mobile digital map, navigation, and real-time traffic information app; DingTalk, a business efficiency mobile app; Tmall Genie smart speaker; and Qwen, an artificial intelligence chatbot. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
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