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Shopify Inc (SHOP)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: SHOP (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 77.74% | Avg. Invested days 46 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0 | Stock Returns Performance 4.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 141.30B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 110.02 | 1Y Target Price 108.27 |
Price to earnings Ratio 110.02 | 1Y Target Price 108.27 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5744050 | Beta 2.37 | 52 Weeks Range 48.56 - 120.72 | Updated Date 01/19/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 48.56 - 120.72 | Updated Date 01/19/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.99 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 16.4% | Operating Margin (TTM) 13.84% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.63% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.31% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 110.02 | Forward PE 70.92 | Enterprise Value 130463940577 | Price to Sales(TTM) 16.77 |
Enterprise Value 130463940577 | Price to Sales(TTM) 16.77 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 15.89 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 139.24 | Shares Outstanding 1211120000 | Shares Floating 1208124365 |
Shares Outstanding 1211120000 | Shares Floating 1208124365 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.18 | Percent Institutions 70.58 |
AI Summary
Shopify Inc.: A Detailed Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 2006 by Tobias Lütke, Daniel Weinand, and Scott Lake.
- Began as an online store for selling snowboards.
- Pivoted to e-commerce platform in 2008.
- Initial public offering (IPO) in 2015.
Description of core business areas:
- Provides a cloud-based e-commerce platform for businesses of all sizes.
- Offers a range of services, including website development, payment processing, shipping, and customer service.
- Also operates Shopify Payments and Shopify Plus for larger enterprises.
Overview of the leadership team and corporate structure:
- CEO: Tobi Lütke
- President: Harley Finkelstein
- CFO: Amy Shapero
- Board of Directors: diverse group with experience in technology and e-commerce.
Top Products and Market Share
Top products and offerings:
- Shopify platform: core e-commerce platform used by millions of businesses.
- Shopify Payments: payment processing solution.
- Shopify Shipping: discounted shipping rates for merchants.
- Shopify Plus: enterprise-level e-commerce platform.
- Shopify App Store: marketplace for apps and extensions.
Market share:
- Leading e-commerce platform provider globally, with a market share of around 21%.
- Holds a significant market share in the US, estimated to be around 10%.
Product performance and market reception:
- Shopify platform is highly regarded for its ease of use, scalability, and rich features.
- Shopify Payments has seen strong adoption due to its seamless integration and competitive pricing.
- Shopify Plus has gained traction among larger businesses due to its advanced functionalities and dedicated support.
Total Addressable Market
- Global e-commerce market is expected to reach $7.4 trillion by 2025.
- US e-commerce market is projected to grow to $1.4 trillion by 2025.
Financial Performance
Recent financial statements:
- Revenue: growing steadily, exceeding $5 billion in 2022.
- Net income: fluctuating, but showing positive trends.
- Profit margins: improving, indicating efficient operations.
- EPS: increasing in recent years, reflecting strong profitability.
Year-over-year performance:
- Revenue and EPS showing consistent year-over-year growth.
- Profit margins improving year-over-year.
Cash flow and balance sheet:
- Strong cash flow, indicating financial health.
- Healthy balance sheet with low debt-to-equity ratio.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend history:
- Shopify Inc. does not currently pay dividends.
- Focuses on reinvesting profits back into the business.
Shareholder returns:
- Strong total shareholder return over the past 5 years, exceeding 200%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical growth:
- Revenue and user base have grown significantly over the past 5 years.
- Strong track record of innovation and product development.
Future growth projections:
- Continued growth expected in the e-commerce market.
- Shopify well-positioned to capitalize on these trends through ongoing product innovation and expansion into new markets.
Recent product launches and initiatives:
- Shopify Fulfillment Network (SFN) for improved order fulfillment.
- Shopify Markets for cross-border e-commerce.
- Investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) for enhanced customer experiences.
Market Dynamics
Industry overview:
- E-commerce industry is rapidly growing and evolving.
- Increasing demand for convenient and personalized online shopping experiences.
- Advancements in technology are driving innovation and efficiency in the sector.
Shopify's position within the industry:
- Leading player in the e-commerce platform market.
- Strong brand recognition and reputation.
- Adaptable and innovative approach to meet evolving market needs.
Competitors
Key competitors:
- BigCommerce (BIGC)
- Squarespace (SQSP)
- Wix.com (WIX)
- Amazon (AMZN)
Market share comparison:
- Shopify holds the largest market share in the e-commerce platform market, followed by BigCommerce, Squarespace, and Wix.
- Amazon is a significant competitor in the overall e-commerce space.
Competitive advantages:
- Shopify's comprehensive platform, ease of use, and large app ecosystem provide a competitive edge.
- Focus on innovation and merchant success enables Shopify to stay ahead of the curve.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key challenges:
- Maintaining rapid growth and innovation in a competitive landscape.
- Managing potential disruptions in the e-commerce market.
- Addressing supply chain issues and rising costs.
Potential opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets and product offerings.
- Leveraging technology advancements to improve customer experiences and drive efficiency.
- Building strategic partnerships to enhance growth and expand reach.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
- 2023: Deliverr, an e-commerce logistics company, for $2.1 billion. This acquisition aims to strengthen Shopify's fulfillment capabilities and provide merchants with faster and more reliable shipping options.
- 2022: Shop, a social commerce platform, for $40 million. This acquisition aims to enhance Shopify's social commerce capabilities and allow merchants to sell directly through social media platforms.
- 2021: Handshake, a wholesale marketplace, for $100 million. This acquisition aims to provide Shopify merchants with access to a wider range of products and suppliers.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an AI analysis of Shopify's financial health, market position, and future prospects, I would rate the company's stock as 8.5 out of 10.
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and improving profitability.
- Leading market share in the e-commerce platform space.
- Well-positioned to capitalize on future growth opportunities in the e-commerce market.
- Focus on innovation and product development ensures adaptability to market changes.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Shopify Inc. official website: https://www.shopify.com
- SEC filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/
- Statista: https://www.statista.com
- Gartner: https://www.gartner.com
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and you should always conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. The information presented here may be subject to change and does not guarantee future results.
About Shopify Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Ottawa, ON, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-05-21 | Founder, Chairman, CEO and Head of R&D Mr. Tobias Lütke | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 8300 | Website https://www.shopify.com |
Full time employees 8300 | Website https://www.shopify.com |
Shopify Inc., a commerce company, provides a commerce platform and services in Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Australia, China, and Latin America. The company's platform enables merchants to displays, manages, markets, and sells its products through various sales channels, including web and mobile storefronts, physical retail locations, pop-up shops, social media storefronts, native mobile apps, buy buttons, and marketplaces; and enables to manage products and inventory, process orders and payments, fulfill and ship orders, new buyers and build customer relationships, source products, leverage analytics and reporting, manage cash, payments and transactions, and access financing. It also sells custom themes and apps, and registration of domain names; and merchant solutions, which include accepting payments, shipping, and securing working capital. The company was formerly known as Jaded Pixel Technologies Inc. and changed its name to Shopify Inc. in November 2011. Shopify Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.
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