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Guess? Inc. (GES)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: GES (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -9.65% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 574.77M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.15 | 1Y Target Price 16 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.15 | 1Y Target Price 16 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1940812 | Beta 1.92 | 52 Weeks Range 9.24 - 27.73 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 9.24 - 27.73 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 10.84% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.37 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-03-18 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.98 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.19% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.76% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.2% | Return on Equity (TTM) 20.36% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.15 | Forward PE 5.53 | Enterprise Value 1901740229 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.19 |
Enterprise Value 1901740229 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.19 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.64 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.58 | Shares Outstanding 51456800 | Shares Floating 26865102 |
Shares Outstanding 51456800 | Shares Floating 26865102 | ||
Percent Insiders 38.3 | Percent Institutions 69.85 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.5 | Target Price 18 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 1 | ||
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Guess? Inc.

Company Overview
History and Background
Guess? Inc. was founded in 1981 by brothers Paul and Maurice Marciano. It started with a line of stonewashed jeans and has since expanded into a global lifestyle brand with a wide range of apparel and accessories.
Core Business Areas
- Americas Retail: Operates retail stores and e-commerce sites in North and South America, selling apparel, handbags, shoes, and accessories.
- Europe Retail: Operates retail stores and e-commerce sites in Europe, offering a similar product range as the Americas Retail segment.
- Asia Retail: Operates retail stores and e-commerce sites in Asia, selling apparel, handbags, shoes, and accessories.
- Licensing: Grants licenses to third parties to manufacture and distribute Guess?-branded products, such as eyewear, watches, and fragrances.
- Wholesale: Sells products to department stores and specialty retailers.
Leadership and Structure
Carlos Alberini is the Chief Executive Officer. The company has a board of directors overseeing its operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Apparel (Denim, Dresses, Tops): Apparel, particularly denim jeans, remains a core product. Market share data is difficult to pinpoint exactly, but Guess? competes with brands like Levi's (LEVI) and Wrangler. Revenue contributed significantly, particularly in branded denim.
- Handbags and Accessories: Handbags and other accessories contribute a significant portion of revenue. Competitors include Coach (TPR), Michael Kors (CPRI), and Kate Spade (TAP).
- Footwear: Guess? also sells a range of footwear. Competitors include Steve Madden (SHOO) and Vince Camuto.
- Eyewear: Guess? licenses out its eyewear operations to partners such as Marcolin and competes with brands such as Rayban and Oakley
- Fragrances: Guess? licenses out its fragrance operations to partners and competes with brands such as Dolce & Gabbana and Dior
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The apparel and accessories industry is highly competitive and subject to changing fashion trends and consumer preferences. E-commerce is playing an increasingly important role.
Positioning
Guess? Inc. is positioned as a global lifestyle brand targeting younger consumers with a focus on fashion-forward designs and accessible price points.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global apparel market is estimated to be worth trillions of dollars. Guess? Inc. captures a small percentage of this TAM, focusing on specific demographics and style segments.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Global distribution network
- Diversified product portfolio
- Established licensing agreements
- Strong brand awareness among younger demographics
Weaknesses
- Susceptible to changing fashion trends
- Intense competition
- Inconsistent brand image perceptions
- Dependence on licensing partners
- Supply chain vulnerabilities
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Growth of e-commerce
- Development of sustainable products
- Increased focus on digital marketing
- Leveraging social media influence
Threats
- Economic downturns
- Increased competition from fast fashion brands
- Fluctuations in currency exchange rates
- Changes in consumer spending habits
- Disruptions to supply chain
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- LEVI
- PVH
- VFC
- COTY
Competitive Landscape
Guess? Inc. faces competition from established apparel brands, fast fashion retailers, and online retailers. It differentiates itself through its brand image, design, and global presence.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Review Guess? Inc.'s past financial reports to identify growth trends. This includes revenue growth, expansion into new markets, and product innovation.
Future Projections: Consult analyst reports and financial news articles for future growth projections. Analyst estimates typically consider factors like market trends, competitive landscape, and company strategy.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expansion into new markets, focus on digital marketing and e-commerce growth, and sustainability initiatives.
Summary
Guess? Inc. is a well-established global lifestyle brand with strong brand recognition. It is focusing on digital growth and expansion into new markets. Intense competition and fluctuating fashion trends remain key challenges, with managing the supply chain and inventory as top priorities. Managing licensing partners is also critical.
Similar Companies
- LEVI
- PVH
- VFC
- COTY
- URBN
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Financial News Websites
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share estimates may vary based on data sources and methodologies. Financial data should be verified with the company's official reports.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Guess? Inc.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Los Angeles, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1996-08-07 | CEO & Director Mr. Carlos E. Alberini | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Apparel Retail | Full time employees 12000 | Website https://www.guess.com |
Full time employees 12000 | Website https://www.guess.com |
Guess", Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. It operates through five segments: Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and Licensing. The company's clothing collection includes jeans, pants, skirts, dresses, shorts, blouses, shirts, jackets, activewear, knitwear, and intimate apparel. It also grants licenses to design, manufacture, and distribute various products that complement its apparel lines, such as eyewear, watches, handbags, footwear, kids' and infants' apparel, outerwear, fragrance, jewelry, and other fashion accessories, as well as to wholesale partners to operate and sell products through licensed retail stores. The company markets its products under the GUESS, GUESS", GUESS U.S.A., GUESS Jeans, GUESS" and Triangle Design, MARCIANO, Question Mark and Triangle Design, a stylized G and a stylized M, GUESS Kids, Baby GUESS, YES, G by GUESS, GUESS by MARCIANO, and Gc brand names. It sells its products through direct-to-consumer, wholesale, and licensing distribution channels, as well as through its retail websites. Guess", Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
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