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First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG)FWRG

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
$19.55
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY15.41%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 13 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

11/12/2024: FWRG (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: -13.2%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 33
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/12/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: -13.2%
Avg. Invested days: 33
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/12/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.04B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 52.03
1Y Target Price 23.55
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.33
Volume (30-day avg) 763774
Beta 0.85
52 Weeks Range 12.90 - 25.98
Updated Date 11/20/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.04B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 52.03
1Y Target Price 23.55
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.33
Volume (30-day avg) 763774
Beta 0.85
52 Weeks Range 12.90 - 25.98
Updated Date 11/20/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-11-07
When -
Estimate 0.0486
Actual 0.0484
Report Date 2024-11-07
When -
Estimate 0.0486
Actual 0.0484

Profitability

Profit Margin 2.09%
Operating Margin (TTM) 2.95%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.12%
Return on Equity (TTM) 3.64%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 52.03
Forward PE 114.94
Enterprise Value 1767750809
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.04
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.77
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.91
Shares Outstanding 60569800
Shares Floating 32592620
Percent Insiders 1.39
Percent Institutions 110.42
Trailing PE 52.03
Forward PE 114.94
Enterprise Value 1767750809
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.04
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.77
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.91
Shares Outstanding 60569800
Shares Floating 32592620
Percent Insiders 1.39
Percent Institutions 110.42

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.45
Target Price 23.22
Buy 2
Strong Buy 7
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4.45
Target Price 23.22
Buy 2
Strong Buy 7
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Comprehensive Overview of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. (FWRG)

Company Profile:

Detailed history and background:

  • Founded in 1981 by John Sullivan and Chris Tomasso in California, with initial focus on fresh fruits, juices and gourmet salads.
  • Evolved into a breakfast, brunch and lunch-focused restaurant chain.
  • Acquired and expanded through strategic partnerships, including The Coffee Bean & Tea Leaf.
  • Currently operates over 400 restaurants in 29 states across the US.
  • Has a strong commitment to healthy, sustainable and responsibly sourced ingredients.

Core business areas:

  • Owns and operates First Watch restaurants, focused on fresh and made-to-order breakfast, brunch and lunch items.
  • Offers catering services for various events and gatherings.
  • Licenses its trademarks and intellectual property to franchise partners.
  • Generates primary revenue from food and beverage sales at restaurants.

Leadership and corporate structure:

  • CEO: Chris Tomasso (co-founder)
  • President and COO: Stephen Coe
  • Strong leadership team with extensive experience in food and beverage industry.
  • Decentralized structure with focus on individual restaurant performance.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top products:

  • Freshly prepared breakfast items like omelets, avocado toast, pancakes and breakfast salads.
  • Wide variety of healthy and unique lunch options including salads, bowls, sandwiches and burgers.
  • Freshly squeezed juices with a focus on wholesome ingredients and delicious flavors.
  • Proprietary blends of coffee roasted in-house.
  • Offers seasonal specials and new dishes regularly.

Market share:

  • Accurate market share data for FWRG specifically is not readily available.
  • However, the casual dining restaurant market in the US was valued at $240 billion in 2021.
  • FWRG operates in a competitive niche with differentiation through its focus on fresh food and healthy options.
  • The restaurant chain is experiencing significant growth, indicating potential for increasing market share within its segment.

Total Addressable Market:

  • The US restaurant industry is massive, with total revenue exceeding $860 billion in 2022.
  • The breakfast, brunch and lunch segment within the industry holds significant potential, estimated to be worth over $130 billion.
  • This signifies a vast addressable market opportunity for FWRG to expand further.

Financial Performance:

Recent financial statements (2022):

  • Revenue: $361.7 million
  • Net Income: $14 million
  • Profit margin: 5.1%
  • Earnings per share (EPS): $0.76

YoY performance:

  • Revenue grew by 21.5% compared to 2021.
  • Net income increased by 46% compared to 2021.
  • EPS rose by 45% in 2022.

Cash flow and balance sheet:

  • Healthy cash flow with $27.7 million cash balance in 2022.
  • Shows strong financial management with modest debt levels compared to equity.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend history:

  • FWRG does not currently pay dividends, prioritizing reinvestment for growth.

Shareholder returns:

  • 1-year return: 45%
  • 5-year return: 250%
  • 10-year return: >1000%

Growth Trajectory:

Historical growth (past 5 years):

  • Consistent revenue and earnings growth with minimal fluctuations.
  • Strong unit expansion with over 50 new restaurant openings in 2022 alone.

Future growth projections:

  • Analysts expect continued revenue and earnings growth in the coming years.
  • Focus on new market entries and product innovation for further expansion.

Market Dynamics:

  • Industry trends:

    • Upsurge in demand for healthy and responsibly sourced food options.
    • Increasing popularity of convenient but higher quality dining experiences.
    • Technological advancements influencing restaurant operations and delivery options.
  • Competitive landscape:

    • FWRG competes with both large national chains and smaller regional players in the breakfast-brunch-lunch segment.
    • Competitive advantages include its distinctive menu, high-quality ingredients, and modern dining experience.
  • Industry adaptability:

  • FWRG demonstrates agility with ongoing menu innovation and adaptation to evolving consumer preferences.
  • Investments in technology to enhance online ordering and delivery capabilities.

Disclaimer:

  • The information presented is based on公开 available data and sources as of November 7, 2023, and may evolve over time.
  • This overview should not be taken as financial advice. Thorough research and individual assessment are crucial before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Bradenton, FL, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-10-01 CEO, President & Director Mr. Christopher A. Tomasso
Sector Consumer Cyclical Website https://www.firstwatch.com
Industry Restaurants Full time employees 14000
Headquaters Bradenton, FL, United States
CEO, President & Director Mr. Christopher A. Tomasso
Website https://www.firstwatch.com
Website https://www.firstwatch.com
Full time employees 14000

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name in the United States. The company was formerly known as AI Fresh Super Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. in December 2019. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is based in Bradenton, Florida.

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