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First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG)FWRG
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/12/2024: FWRG (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -13.2% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 33 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/12/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -13.2% | Avg. Invested days: 33 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/12/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.04B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 52.03 | 1Y Target Price 23.55 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.33 |
Volume (30-day avg) 763774 | Beta 0.85 |
52 Weeks Range 12.90 - 25.98 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.04B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 52.03 | 1Y Target Price 23.55 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.33 | Volume (30-day avg) 763774 | Beta 0.85 |
52 Weeks Range 12.90 - 25.98 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When - |
Estimate 0.0486 | Actual 0.0484 |
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When - | Estimate 0.0486 | Actual 0.0484 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.09% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.95% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.12% | Return on Equity (TTM) 3.64% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 52.03 | Forward PE 114.94 |
Enterprise Value 1767750809 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.04 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.77 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.91 |
Shares Outstanding 60569800 | Shares Floating 32592620 |
Percent Insiders 1.39 | Percent Institutions 110.42 |
Trailing PE 52.03 | Forward PE 114.94 | Enterprise Value 1767750809 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.04 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.77 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.91 | Shares Outstanding 60569800 | Shares Floating 32592620 |
Percent Insiders 1.39 | Percent Institutions 110.42 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.45 | Target Price 23.22 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 7 | Hold 2 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.45 | Target Price 23.22 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 7 |
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Comprehensive Overview of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. (FWRG)
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1981 by John Sullivan and Chris Tomasso in California, with initial focus on fresh fruits, juices and gourmet salads.
- Evolved into a breakfast, brunch and lunch-focused restaurant chain.
- Acquired and expanded through strategic partnerships, including The Coffee Bean & Tea Leaf.
- Currently operates over 400 restaurants in 29 states across the US.
- Has a strong commitment to healthy, sustainable and responsibly sourced ingredients.
Core business areas:
- Owns and operates First Watch restaurants, focused on fresh and made-to-order breakfast, brunch and lunch items.
- Offers catering services for various events and gatherings.
- Licenses its trademarks and intellectual property to franchise partners.
- Generates primary revenue from food and beverage sales at restaurants.
Leadership and corporate structure:
- CEO: Chris Tomasso (co-founder)
- President and COO: Stephen Coe
- Strong leadership team with extensive experience in food and beverage industry.
- Decentralized structure with focus on individual restaurant performance.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products:
- Freshly prepared breakfast items like omelets, avocado toast, pancakes and breakfast salads.
- Wide variety of healthy and unique lunch options including salads, bowls, sandwiches and burgers.
- Freshly squeezed juices with a focus on wholesome ingredients and delicious flavors.
- Proprietary blends of coffee roasted in-house.
- Offers seasonal specials and new dishes regularly.
Market share:
- Accurate market share data for FWRG specifically is not readily available.
- However, the casual dining restaurant market in the US was valued at $240 billion in 2021.
- FWRG operates in a competitive niche with differentiation through its focus on fresh food and healthy options.
- The restaurant chain is experiencing significant growth, indicating potential for increasing market share within its segment.
Total Addressable Market:
- The US restaurant industry is massive, with total revenue exceeding $860 billion in 2022.
- The breakfast, brunch and lunch segment within the industry holds significant potential, estimated to be worth over $130 billion.
- This signifies a vast addressable market opportunity for FWRG to expand further.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements (2022):
- Revenue: $361.7 million
- Net Income: $14 million
- Profit margin: 5.1%
- Earnings per share (EPS): $0.76
YoY performance:
- Revenue grew by 21.5% compared to 2021.
- Net income increased by 46% compared to 2021.
- EPS rose by 45% in 2022.
Cash flow and balance sheet:
- Healthy cash flow with $27.7 million cash balance in 2022.
- Shows strong financial management with modest debt levels compared to equity.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history:
- FWRG does not currently pay dividends, prioritizing reinvestment for growth.
Shareholder returns:
- 1-year return: 45%
- 5-year return: 250%
- 10-year return: >1000%
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth (past 5 years):
- Consistent revenue and earnings growth with minimal fluctuations.
- Strong unit expansion with over 50 new restaurant openings in 2022 alone.
Future growth projections:
- Analysts expect continued revenue and earnings growth in the coming years.
- Focus on new market entries and product innovation for further expansion.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends:
- Upsurge in demand for healthy and responsibly sourced food options.
- Increasing popularity of convenient but higher quality dining experiences.
- Technological advancements influencing restaurant operations and delivery options.
Competitive landscape:
- FWRG competes with both large national chains and smaller regional players in the breakfast-brunch-lunch segment.
- Competitive advantages include its distinctive menu, high-quality ingredients, and modern dining experience.
Industry adaptability:
- FWRG demonstrates agility with ongoing menu innovation and adaptation to evolving consumer preferences.
- Investments in technology to enhance online ordering and delivery capabilities.
Disclaimer:
- The information presented is based on公开 available data and sources as of November 7, 2023, and may evolve over time.
- This overview should not be taken as financial advice. Thorough research and individual assessment are crucial before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Bradenton, FL, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2021-10-01 | CEO, President & Director | Mr. Christopher A. Tomasso |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.firstwatch.com |
Industry | Restaurants | Full time employees | 14000 |
Headquaters | Bradenton, FL, United States | ||
CEO, President & Director | Mr. Christopher A. Tomasso | ||
Website | https://www.firstwatch.com | ||
Website | https://www.firstwatch.com | ||
Full time employees | 14000 |
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name in the United States. The company was formerly known as AI Fresh Super Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. in December 2019. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is based in Bradenton, Florida.
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