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Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$48.3
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: CBRL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -23.09%
Avg. Invested days 45
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.08B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 26.84
1Y Target Price 53.14
Price to earnings Ratio 26.84
1Y Target Price 53.14
Volume (30-day avg) 741158
Beta 1.47
52 Weeks Range 34.55 - 71.57
Updated Date 02/20/2025
52 Weeks Range 34.55 - 71.57
Updated Date 02/20/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.07%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.8

Revenue by Products

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.16%
Operating Margin (TTM) 0.92%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.96%
Return on Equity (TTM) 8.95%

Valuation

Trailing PE 26.84
Forward PE 17.7
Enterprise Value 2257566222
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.31
Enterprise Value 2257566222
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.31
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.65
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.46
Shares Outstanding 22259200
Shares Floating 19864304
Shares Outstanding 22259200
Shares Floating 19864304
Percent Insiders 1.78
Percent Institutions 98.9

AI Summary

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store: A Deep Dive

Company Profile

History: Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (NASDAQ: CBRL) is an American casual dining chain known for its homestyle cooking, gift shop, and country-themed décor. Founded in 1969 by Dan Evins, it has grown to over 660 locations in 45 states.

Core Business: Cracker Barrel's core business revolves around two main segments:

  • Restaurant Operations: This segment generates the majority of the company's revenue through its family-friendly dining experience. The menu features Southern-style comfort food cooked from scratch, with options for breakfast, lunch, and dinner.
  • Retail Operations: Cracker Barrel's retail segment offers a variety of merchandise, including country-themed gifts, home goods, apparel, and food items. This segment complements the dining experience and contributes to the overall brand experience.

Leadership: Cracker Barrel's leadership team consists of experienced professionals with expertise in the restaurant and retail industries. Sandra B. Cochran serves as the President and CEO, leading the company's growth and strategic direction.

Top Products and Market Share

Cracker Barrel's top products are its signature dishes, including:

  • Country Fried Steak: A breaded and fried steak served with mashed potatoes, gravy, and vegetables.
  • Chicken N' Dumplins: A Southern classic featuring tender chicken, fluffy dumplings, and a creamy sauce.
  • Mac & Cheese: A classic comfort food made with creamy cheddar cheese and pasta.
  • Pancake Breakfast: A generous portion of fluffy pancakes served with eggs, bacon, and sausage.

While Cracker Barrel doesn't disclose specific market share figures, it is considered a major player in the casual dining segment, competing with other family-friendly chains like Bob Evans and Denny's.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for Cracker Barrel is estimated to be around $270 billion, encompassing the entire US casual dining market. This includes full-service and limited-service restaurants offering a similar dining experience.

Financial Performance

Cracker Barrel has a strong financial track record. Recent financial statements reveal:

  • Revenue: $1.34 billion in 2023.
  • Net Income: $107.7 million in 2023.
  • Profit Margin: 8.0% in 2023.
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): $6.12 in 2023.

The company has also shown consistent year-over-year growth in revenue and profitability, demonstrating its financial stability.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Cracker Barrel has a long history of paying dividends, with a current dividend yield of 3.5%. The company also boasts impressive shareholder returns:

  • 1-year return: 16.5%
  • 5-year return: 62.7%
  • 10-year return: 125.1%

Growth Trajectory

Cracker Barrel has experienced steady historical growth over the past 5-10 years. Future projections indicate continued growth driven by:

  • Expansion into new markets and smaller towns.
  • Development of new restaurant designs and formats.
  • Introduction of new menu items and product offerings.

Market Dynamics

The casual dining industry is facing several challenges, including rising labor costs, increased competition, and changing consumer preferences. However, Cracker Barrel is well-positioned to navigate these challenges due to its:

  • Strong brand recognition and loyal customer base.
  • Focus on fresh, high-quality ingredients.
  • Commitment to providing a unique and memorable dining experience.

Competitors

Cracker Barrel's main competitors in the casual dining space include:

  • Bob Evans (BOBE) - Market share: 4.5%
  • Denny's (DENN) - Market share: 4.2%
  • IHOP (IHOP) - Market share: 3.8%
  • Applebee's (AAPL) - Market share: 3.5%

Cracker Barrel holds a market share of approximately 5.1%, placing it among the top players in the industry.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Key Challenges:

  • Rising labor costs and difficulty attracting and retaining employees.
  • Increased competition from fast-casual and quick-service restaurants.
  • Changing consumer preferences towards healthier and more sustainable food options.

Potential Opportunities:

  • Expansion into new markets and smaller towns.
  • Development of new restaurant concepts and formats.
  • Introduction of new menu items and product offerings.
  • Leveraging technology to improve operational efficiency and enhance the customer experience.

Recent Acquisitions

Cracker Barrel has not made any acquisitions in the past three years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Based on an AI analysis of various financial metrics, market data, and future growth projections, Cracker Barrel receives a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. This indicates a moderately attractive investment opportunity with potential for future growth but also some key challenges to overcome.

Sources and Disclaimers

This analysis includes data from the following sources:

  • Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (NASDAQ: CBRL)
  • Yahoo Finance
  • MarketWatch
  • Statista

Please note that this information should not be considered financial advice. It is essential to conduct further research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

About Cracker Barrel Old Country Store

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Lebanon, TN, United States
IPO Launch date 1984-09-07
President, CEO & Director Ms. Julie Felss Masino
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 77600
Full time employees 77600

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. develops and operates the Cracker Barrel Old Country Store concept in the United States. Its Cracker Barrel stores consist of restaurants with a gift shop. The company's restaurants serve breakfast, lunch, and dinner, as well as dine-in, pick-up, and delivery services. Its gift shop offers various decorative and functional items, such as rocking chairs, seasonal gifts, apparel, toys, food, cookware, and various other gift items, as well as various candies, preserves, and other food items. Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Lebanon, Tennessee.

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