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Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
$54.22
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY4.37%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 20 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

12/24/2024: CBRL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: -16.52%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 39
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 12/24/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: -16.52%
Avg. Invested days: 39
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/24/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.21B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 30.12
1Y Target Price 51.71
Dividends yield (FY) 1.80%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.8
Volume (30-day avg) 782224
Beta 1.42
52 Weeks Range 34.70 - 80.39
Updated Date 12/25/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.21B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 30.12
1Y Target Price 51.71
Dividends yield (FY) 1.80%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.8
Volume (30-day avg) 782224
Beta 1.42
52 Weeks Range 34.70 - 80.39
Updated Date 12/25/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-12-04
When -
Estimate 0.45
Actual 0.45
Report Date 2024-12-04
When -
Estimate 0.45
Actual 0.45

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.18%
Operating Margin (TTM) 2.48%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.08%
Return on Equity (TTM) 8.86%

Revenue by Products

Valuation

Trailing PE 30.12
Forward PE 19.34
Enterprise Value 2336363677
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.35
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.67
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.93
Shares Outstanding 22259200
Shares Floating 19822455
Percent Insiders 1.4
Percent Institutions 93.38
Trailing PE 30.12
Forward PE 19.34
Enterprise Value 2336363677
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.35
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.67
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.93
Shares Outstanding 22259200
Shares Floating 19822455
Percent Insiders 1.4
Percent Institutions 93.38

Analyst Ratings

Rating 2.7
Target Price 79.63
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 6
Sell 1
Strong Sell 2
Rating 2.7
Target Price 79.63
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 6
Sell 1
Strong Sell 2

AI Summarization

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History:

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (NASDAQ: CBRL) was founded in 1969 by Dan Evins in Lebanon, Tennessee. Evins envisioned a restaurant chain that evoked a nostalgic feeling of home-cooked meals and Southern hospitality. The first restaurant featured a country store atmosphere, offering gifts, souvenirs, and pantry staples alongside classic Southern comfort food.

Core Business Areas:

  • Restaurant Operations: Cracker Barrel operates over 660 full-service, family dining restaurants across 45 states. The restaurants are known for their hearty, home-style meals, friendly service, and nostalgic atmosphere.
  • Retail Operations: Each restaurant features an adjoining retail store offering an eclectic mix of products, including gifts, souvenirs, home goods, apparel, and food items.
  • Franchise Operations: Cracker Barrel also operates a small franchise program, with 10 franchised locations currently in operation.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • Sandra B. Cochran, President and Chief Executive Officer
  • Mathew W. Walls, Chief Financial Officer
  • R. Bruce Matteson, Vice President, Chief Information Officer
  • Gordon A. Daugherty, Vice President, Chief Human Resources Officer
  • William A. Whitaker, Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Signature dishes: Chicken n' Dumplins, Country Fried Steak, Macaroni & Cheese
  • Homestyle sides: Buttermilk Biscuits, Fried Apples, Mashed Potatoes with Gravy
  • Retail items: Rocking chairs, candles, jams and jellies, kitchenware

Market Share:

  • Family dining restaurant market: Approximately 2% (U.S.)
  • Casual dining restaurant market: Approximately 1% (U.S.)
  • Nostalgic gift and souvenir market: Significant market share, but difficult to quantify

Product Performance and Market Reception:

Cracker Barrel enjoys a loyal customer base and positive brand perception. However, competition in the restaurant industry is fierce, with newer entrants offering more contemporary dining experiences.

Total Addressable Market:

The total addressable market for Cracker Barrel encompasses:

  • Restaurant industry: Estimated at $899 billion (U.S.)
  • Casual dining segment: Estimated at $174 billion (U.S.)
  • Nostalgic gift and souvenir market: Estimated at $12 billion (U.S.)

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

  • Revenue: $1.3 billion (fiscal year 2023)
  • Net Income: $96.1 million (fiscal year 2023)
  • Profit Margin: 7.4% (fiscal year 2023)
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): $7.61 (fiscal year 2023)

Year-over-Year Performance:

Revenue and net income have grown steadily over the past few years. Profit margins have remained relatively stable.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

  • Cash Flow: $171 million (fiscal year 2023)
  • Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.52 (fiscal year 2023)

Cracker Barrel maintains a healthy cash flow and a reasonably conservative debt-to-equity ratio.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

Cracker Barrel has paid dividends consistently since 1985. The current annual dividend is $1.56 per share, with a yield of approximately 3.5%.

Shareholder Returns:

Total shareholder returns have consistently outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 10 years.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

Cracker Barrel has experienced steady growth over the past decade, with average annual revenue growth of 5.4%.

Future Growth Projections:

Analysts project continued moderate growth for Cracker Barrel, with revenue expected to reach $1.4 billion by 2025.

Growth Initiatives:

  • Expansion of breakfast menu
  • Development of new restaurant concepts
  • Enhanced online ordering and delivery capabilities

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

  • Growing demand for convenience and value
  • Increasing popularity of ethnic and plant-based cuisine
  • Rise of online ordering and delivery services

Cracker Barrel's Positioning:

  • Strong brand recognition and loyal customer base
  • Focus on providing a unique and nostalgic dining experience
  • Limited exposure to online ordering and delivery trends

Competitors:

Key Competitors:

  • Darden Restaurants (DRI)
  • Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)
  • Bob Evans (BOBE)
  • Denny's (DENN)

Market Share:

Cracker Barrel's market share is dwarfed by larger competitors like Darden and Texas Roadhouse. However, the company holds a significant share within the casual dining segment.

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:

  • Advantages: Strong brand recognition, loyal customer base, unique dining experience
  • Disadvantages: Limited geographic reach, exposure to online ordering and delivery trends

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Maintaining relevance in a changing dining landscape
  • Keeping up with technological advancements
  • Managing rising labor and food costs

Opportunities:

  • Expanding breakfast menu
  • Developing new restaurant concepts
  • Growing online ordering and delivery capabilities

Recent Acquisitions:

No acquisitions have been made by Cracker Barrel Old Country Store in the past 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7 out of 10

Justification:

Cracker Barrel possesses a strong brand, loyal customer base, and consistent financial performance. However, the company's limited geographic reach and exposure to online ordering and delivery trends pose potential challenges.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

  • Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Investor Relations website
  • SEC filings
  • Market research reports

Disclaimer:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Cracker Barrel Old Country Store

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Lebanon, TN, United States
IPO Launch date 1984-09-07 President, CEO & Director Ms. Julie Felss Masino
Sector Consumer Cyclical Website https://www.crackerbarrel.com
Industry Restaurants Full time employees 77600
Headquaters Lebanon, TN, United States
President, CEO & Director Ms. Julie Felss Masino
Website https://www.crackerbarrel.com
Website https://www.crackerbarrel.com
Full time employees 77600

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. develops and operates the Cracker Barrel Old Country Store concept in the United States. Its Cracker Barrel stores consist of restaurants with a gift shop. The company's restaurants serve breakfast, lunch, and dinner, as well as dine-in, pick-up, and delivery services. Its gift shop offers various decorative and functional items, such as rocking chairs, seasonal gifts, apparel, toys, food, cookware, and various other gift items, as well as various candies, preserves, and other food items. Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Lebanon, Tennessee.

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