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Freshpet Inc (FRPT)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$106.39
Delayed price
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: FRPT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -7.23%
Avg. Invested days 43
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.16B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 119.54
1Y Target Price 164.34
Price to earnings Ratio 119.54
1Y Target Price 164.34
Volume (30-day avg) 878448
Beta 1.42
52 Weeks Range 97.48 - 164.07
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 97.48 - 164.07
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.89

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-24
When Before Market
Estimate 0.6946
Actual 0.364

Profitability

Profit Margin 4.75%
Operating Margin (TTM) 4.75%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.43%
Return on Equity (TTM) 4.5%

Valuation

Trailing PE 119.54
Forward PE 111.11
Enterprise Value 6487227234
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.57
Enterprise Value 6487227234
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.57
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.99
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 53.28
Shares Outstanding 48536800
Shares Floating 47785430
Shares Outstanding 48536800
Shares Floating 47785430
Percent Insiders 3.36
Percent Institutions 109.44

AI Summary

Freshpet Inc.: A Comprehensive Company Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Freshpet Inc. (FRPT) was founded in 2006 with the mission to provide fresh, nutritious pet food options. Since its inception, the company has experienced rapid growth and become a leader in the refrigerated pet food category.

Core Business Areas:

  • Fresh, refrigerated dog and cat food
  • Variety of recipes and formulas to cater to different needs
  • Direct-to-consumer sales through online channels and partnerships with retailers
  • Strong focus on pet health and sustainability

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

  • CEO: Billy Cyr
  • CFO: Andrew Feigenson
  • Head of Sales & Marketing: Brian Vetter
  • Board of Directors consists of experienced executives and industry leaders
  • The company has a decentralized structure with various departments focusing on research & development, production, sales, marketing, and customer service.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Fresh From The Kitchen: A range of refrigerated dog and cat food recipes with real, whole ingredients
  • Vital: Grain-free and protein-rich formulas for active dogs
  • Select: Value-priced options for everyday feeding

Market Share:

  • Freshpet is the leading brand in the US refrigerated pet food market with a 27.4% share (2022).
  • It holds a 0.8% share of the total US pet food market, which is dominated by dry and wet food options.
  • The company faces competition from major players like Mars, Nestle Purina, J.M. Smucker, and Blue Buffalo.

Total Addressable Market:

The global pet food market, valued at $136 billion in 2022, is expected to reach $189 billion by 2027, indicating significant growth potential. The US market alone represents $37.1 billion of this total.

Financial Performance:

(Data as of November 14, 2023):

Revenue: $588.1 million (2022) Net Income: $12.1 million (2022) Profit Margin: 2.1% (2022) Earnings per Share (EPS): $0.15 (2022) Year-over-Year Performance: Revenue has increased by 25.4% in the past year. Cash Flow: Operating cash flow was $28.3 million in 2022, indicating healthy cash generation. Balance Sheet: The company has a strong balance sheet with low debt levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History: Freshpet does not currently pay dividends. Shareholder Returns: In the past year, the stock has generated a total return of 4.6%.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth: Freshpet has experienced consistent growth in recent years. Revenue has increased from $262.1 million in 2018 to $588.1 million in 2022. Future Growth Projections: The company expects continued growth in the coming years, driven by rising demand for fresh pet food and expansion into new channels and markets. Growth Drivers: New product launches, strategic partnerships, and increased consumer awareness of the benefits of fresh pet food.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends: The pet food industry is experiencing a shift towards premiumization and natural ingredients. Consumers are increasingly seeking healthier options for their pets, driving demand for fresh and refrigerated food. Demand and Supply: The demand for fresh pet food is expected to continue to outpace supply in the coming years, creating favorable conditions for Freshpet. Technological Advancements: Advancements in food preservation and packaging are enabling longer shelf life for fresh pet food, which is expected to further boost market growth.

Competition:

Major Competitors:

  • Mars (MARS) - Market share: 25.3%
  • Nestlé Purina (NSRGY) - Market share: 24.6%
  • J.M. Smucker (SJM) - Market share: 10.4%
  • Blue Buffalo (BUFF) - Market share: 9.1% Competitive Advantages: Freshpet has a first-mover advantage in the refrigerated pet food market and has built strong brand recognition. The company also benefits from its direct-to-consumer sales model, which allows for better control over product distribution and customer relationships. Competitive Disadvantages: Smaller scale compared to major players, limited geographic reach, and higher production costs.

Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Maintaining consistent product quality and freshness
  • Increasing competition from established players
  • Scaling production to meet rising demand

Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new product categories and market segments
  • Leveraging technology to improve efficiency and reach new customers
  • Forming strategic partnerships to accelerate growth

Recent Acquisitions: Freshpet hasn't had any major acquisitions in the last 3 years. However, they acquired smaller companies like Stella & Chewy's in the past to broaden their product offerings and cater to different consumer segments.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 8/10

Justification: Freshpet has strong fundamentals, with growing revenue, healthy margins, a strong balance sheet, and a significant market opportunity. However, the company faces stiff competition and needs to continuously invest in innovation and expansion to maintain its leadership position.

Sources:

Disclaimer:

This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Please conduct your research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

About Freshpet Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Secaucus, NJ, United States
IPO Launch date 2014-11-07
CEO & Executive Director Mr. William B. Cyr
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Packaged Foods
Full time employees -
Full time employees -

Freshpet, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats in the United States, Canada, and Europe. It sells dog food, cat food, and dog treats under the Freshpet brand name; and Dognation and Dog Joy labels through various classes of retail, including grocery, mass, club, pet specialty, and natural, as well as online. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Secaucus, New Jersey.

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