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Freshpet Inc (FRPT)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: FRPT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -7.23% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.16B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 119.54 | 1Y Target Price 164.34 |
Price to earnings Ratio 119.54 | 1Y Target Price 164.34 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 878448 | Beta 1.42 | 52 Weeks Range 97.48 - 164.07 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 97.48 - 164.07 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.89 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-02-24 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.6946 | Actual 0.364 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.75% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.75% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.43% | Return on Equity (TTM) 4.5% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 119.54 | Forward PE 111.11 | Enterprise Value 6487227234 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.57 |
Enterprise Value 6487227234 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.57 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.99 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 53.28 | Shares Outstanding 48536800 | Shares Floating 47785430 |
Shares Outstanding 48536800 | Shares Floating 47785430 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.36 | Percent Institutions 109.44 |
AI Summary
Freshpet Inc.: A Comprehensive Company Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Freshpet Inc. (FRPT) was founded in 2006 with the mission to provide fresh, nutritious pet food options. Since its inception, the company has experienced rapid growth and become a leader in the refrigerated pet food category.
Core Business Areas:
- Fresh, refrigerated dog and cat food
- Variety of recipes and formulas to cater to different needs
- Direct-to-consumer sales through online channels and partnerships with retailers
- Strong focus on pet health and sustainability
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Billy Cyr
- CFO: Andrew Feigenson
- Head of Sales & Marketing: Brian Vetter
- Board of Directors consists of experienced executives and industry leaders
- The company has a decentralized structure with various departments focusing on research & development, production, sales, marketing, and customer service.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Fresh From The Kitchen: A range of refrigerated dog and cat food recipes with real, whole ingredients
- Vital: Grain-free and protein-rich formulas for active dogs
- Select: Value-priced options for everyday feeding
Market Share:
- Freshpet is the leading brand in the US refrigerated pet food market with a 27.4% share (2022).
- It holds a 0.8% share of the total US pet food market, which is dominated by dry and wet food options.
- The company faces competition from major players like Mars, Nestle Purina, J.M. Smucker, and Blue Buffalo.
Total Addressable Market:
The global pet food market, valued at $136 billion in 2022, is expected to reach $189 billion by 2027, indicating significant growth potential. The US market alone represents $37.1 billion of this total.
Financial Performance:
(Data as of November 14, 2023):
Revenue: $588.1 million (2022) Net Income: $12.1 million (2022) Profit Margin: 2.1% (2022) Earnings per Share (EPS): $0.15 (2022) Year-over-Year Performance: Revenue has increased by 25.4% in the past year. Cash Flow: Operating cash flow was $28.3 million in 2022, indicating healthy cash generation. Balance Sheet: The company has a strong balance sheet with low debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: Freshpet does not currently pay dividends. Shareholder Returns: In the past year, the stock has generated a total return of 4.6%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: Freshpet has experienced consistent growth in recent years. Revenue has increased from $262.1 million in 2018 to $588.1 million in 2022. Future Growth Projections: The company expects continued growth in the coming years, driven by rising demand for fresh pet food and expansion into new channels and markets. Growth Drivers: New product launches, strategic partnerships, and increased consumer awareness of the benefits of fresh pet food.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends: The pet food industry is experiencing a shift towards premiumization and natural ingredients. Consumers are increasingly seeking healthier options for their pets, driving demand for fresh and refrigerated food. Demand and Supply: The demand for fresh pet food is expected to continue to outpace supply in the coming years, creating favorable conditions for Freshpet. Technological Advancements: Advancements in food preservation and packaging are enabling longer shelf life for fresh pet food, which is expected to further boost market growth.
Competition:
Major Competitors:
- Mars (MARS) - Market share: 25.3%
- Nestlé Purina (NSRGY) - Market share: 24.6%
- J.M. Smucker (SJM) - Market share: 10.4%
- Blue Buffalo (BUFF) - Market share: 9.1% Competitive Advantages: Freshpet has a first-mover advantage in the refrigerated pet food market and has built strong brand recognition. The company also benefits from its direct-to-consumer sales model, which allows for better control over product distribution and customer relationships. Competitive Disadvantages: Smaller scale compared to major players, limited geographic reach, and higher production costs.
Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Maintaining consistent product quality and freshness
- Increasing competition from established players
- Scaling production to meet rising demand
Opportunities:
- Expanding into new product categories and market segments
- Leveraging technology to improve efficiency and reach new customers
- Forming strategic partnerships to accelerate growth
Recent Acquisitions: Freshpet hasn't had any major acquisitions in the last 3 years. However, they acquired smaller companies like Stella & Chewy's in the past to broaden their product offerings and cater to different consumer segments.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification: Freshpet has strong fundamentals, with growing revenue, healthy margins, a strong balance sheet, and a significant market opportunity. However, the company faces stiff competition and needs to continuously invest in innovation and expansion to maintain its leadership position.
Sources:
- Freshpet Inc. Investor Relations: https://freshpet.com/investor-relations/
- Statista: https://www.statista.com/
- MarketWatch: https://www.marketwatch.com/
- Seeking Alpha: https://seekingalpha.com/
Disclaimer:
This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Please conduct your research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About Freshpet Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Secaucus, NJ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-11-07 | CEO & Executive Director Mr. William B. Cyr | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Packaged Foods | Full time employees - | Website https://www.freshpet.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.freshpet.com |
Freshpet, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats in the United States, Canada, and Europe. It sells dog food, cat food, and dog treats under the Freshpet brand name; and Dognation and Dog Joy labels through various classes of retail, including grocery, mass, club, pet specialty, and natural, as well as online. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Secaucus, New Jersey.
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