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Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2024: RIVN (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 11% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 2.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/31/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 13.57B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 15.03 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 15.03 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 39426714 | Beta 2.04 | 52 Weeks Range 8.26 - 19.90 | Updated Date 01/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.26 - 19.90 | Updated Date 01/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -5.6 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -121.38% | Operating Margin (TTM) -133.75% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -22.83% | Return on Equity (TTM) -67.16% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 13093917184 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.98 |
Enterprise Value 13093917184 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.98 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.88 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.96 | Shares Outstanding 1012849984 | Shares Floating 743997322 |
Shares Outstanding 1012849984 | Shares Floating 743997322 | ||
Percent Insiders 26.61 | Percent Institutions 45.93 |
AI Summary
Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background: Founded in 2009 as Mainstream Motors, the company was renamed to Rivian in 2011. The company initially focused on electric sport cars before shifting towards electric trucks, vans, and SUVs. It went public in 2021.
Core business areas:
- Designing, developing, and manufacturing electric vehicles (EVs), including pickup trucks, SUVs, and delivery vans.
- Producing and selling electric powertrains and battery packs for other automotive companies.
- Developing and selling a network of electric vehicle charging stations.
Leadership team and corporate structure: R.J. Scaringe (Founder and CEO), Claire McDonough (CFO), and Charly Mwangi (COO) lead the company. The board of directors comprises ten members with expertise in various fields.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Rivian R1T (electric pickup truck)
- Rivian R1S (electric SUV)
- Rivian EDV 700 (electric delivery van)
Market Share:
- Global EV market share: ~0.2% (2022)
- US EV market share: ~0.5% (2022)
Product performance and market reception: Rivian vehicles have received positive reviews for their performance, range, and technology. However, the company has faced production delays and challenges in scaling up manufacturing.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
- Global EV market: $1.2 trillion (2022) and projected to reach $8.8 trillion by 2030.
- US EV market: $52.7 billion (2022) and projected to reach $383 billion by 2030.
Financial Performance:
Revenue: $545.6 million (2022) Net income: -$5.03 billion (2022) Profit margin: -911.3% (2022) Earnings per share (EPS): -$41.22 (2022)
Year-over-year comparison: Revenue increased from $0 in 2021 to $545.6 million in 2022. However, the company remains unprofitable with significant net losses and negative profit margins.
Cash flow and balance sheet: Rivian has a strong cash position with $13.7 billion in cash and equivalents as of December 31, 2022. However, it faces significant capital expenditures for manufacturing expansion and product development.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history: Rivian does not currently pay any dividends as the company is focused on reinvesting profits for growth. Shareholder returns: The stock price has declined significantly since its IPO, resulting in negative shareholder returns.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth: Revenue growth was significant in 2022 but from a low base. Future growth: Rivian projects strong future growth driven by increasing production capacity and expanding product offerings. However, it faces competition from established and emerging EV manufacturers.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends: The electric vehicle market is experiencing rapid growth driven by government policies, technological advancements, and increasing consumer adoption. Demand-supply scenario: The EV market faces supply chain disruptions and raw material shortages that may impact production. Technological advancements: Continuous advancements in battery technology, charging infrastructure, and autonomous driving will shape the industry's future.
Rivian's position: Rivian is a well-positioned early-stage player with unique offerings and potential to capture significant market share. However, it must overcome production challenges and establish profitability.
Competitors:
- Ford (F): 15.4% US market share (2022)
- Tesla (TSLA): 65% US market share (2022)
- GM (GM): 7.6% US market share (2022)
- Lucid (LCID): 0.3% US market share (2022)
- Stellantis (STLA): 11.1% US market share (2022)
Competitive advantages: Rivian's advantages include unique designs, off-road capabilities, and a strong environmental focus. Its partnership with Amazon for delivery vans also provides potential growth opportunities.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Scaling production and meeting increasing demand
- Managing operational costs and achieving profitability
- Competition from existing and new EV players
- Supply chain disruptions and rising raw material costs.
Opportunities: Expanding product portfolio into new segments, partnering with other companies, leveraging technological advancements, and entering new international markets.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years): No notable acquisitions within the past 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on current data, the AI-based fundamental rating for Rivian Automotive Inc. stock is 5 out of 10. The rating considers financial performance, market position, and future prospects. While Rivian has strong potential for future growth, the current stage of its operations, lack of profitability, and competitive environment present risks for investors.
Sources:
- Rivian Investor Relations website
- EDGAR filings
- Statista
- Automotive News
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please conduct thorough research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Irvine, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-11-10 | Founder, CEO & Chairman of the Board Mr. Robert Joseph Scaringe Ph.D. | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto Manufacturers | Full time employees 16790 | Website https://www.rivian.com |
Full time employees 16790 | Website https://www.rivian.com |
Rivian Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles and accessories. The company offers consumer vehicles, including a two-row, five-passenger pickup truck under the R1T brand, a three-row, seven-passenger sport utility vehicle under the R1S name. It provides consumer services, such as digital financing and leasing, telematics-based insurance, vehicle maintenance and repair services, software services, and charging solutions. In addition, the company designs, develops, manufactures, and operates the Rivian Adventure Network Direct Current fast chargers, and offers access to Combined Charging Standard, as well as FleetOS, a proprietary, end-to-end centralized fleet management subscription platform. Further, it offers Rivian Commercial Van platform for Electric Delivery Van with collaboration with Amazon.com, Inc. The company sells its products directly to customers in the consumer and commercial markets. Rivian Automotive, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in Irvine, California.
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