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RIVN
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Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN)

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$13.61
Delayed price
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: RIVN (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 20.51%
Avg. Invested days 25
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 13.24B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 15.18
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 15.18
Volume (30-day avg) 29821315
Beta 2.04
52 Weeks Range 8.26 - 18.86
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 8.26 - 18.86
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -4.69

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-19
When Before Market
Estimate -0.7749
Actual -0.7

Profitability

Profit Margin -95.49%
Operating Margin (TTM) -38.12%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -17.46%
Return on Equity (TTM) -60.43%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 11928325028
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.66
Enterprise Value 11928325028
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.66
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.4
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.96
Shares Outstanding 1012849984
Shares Floating 824465070
Shares Outstanding 1012849984
Shares Floating 824465070
Percent Insiders 26.77
Percent Institutions 48.85

AI Summary

Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Rivian Automotive Inc. is a California-based electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer founded in 2009. Initially known as Mainstream Motors, it shifted focus to EVs in 2011 and adopted the Rivian name in 2013. Rivian specializes in producing electric pickup trucks, SUVs, and delivery vans. The company has garnered significant attention for its innovative vehicles, partnerships with major players like Amazon, and ambitious production goals.

Core Business Areas:

  • Electric Vehicles: Rivian's core business revolves around designing, manufacturing, and selling electric vehicles. Their primary offerings include the R1T pickup truck, R1S SUV, and EDV delivery van.
  • Technology and Services: Beyond vehicles, Rivian invests heavily in developing its proprietary software platform, driver assistance features, and charging infrastructure.
  • Fleet Management and Services: Rivian provides fleet management solutions for its commercial EV customers, including Amazon, offering data-driven insights and optimizing operations.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • RJ Scaringe (Founder and CEO): Leads the company with a vision of sustainable transportation and technological innovation.
  • Claire McDonough (CFO): Oversees financial operations and strategic investments.
  • Rod Copes (Chief Operations Officer): Manages production, supply chain, and manufacturing processes.
  • Rivian's Board of Directors includes experienced individuals from diverse backgrounds, offering guidance and strategic direction.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • R1T Pickup Truck: An award-winning electric pickup truck known for its off-road capabilities, innovative features, and luxurious design.
  • R1S SUV: A spacious and versatile electric SUV targeting families and outdoor enthusiasts.
  • EDV Delivery Van: A custom-built electric delivery van designed for Amazon's last-mile delivery operations.

Market Share:

  • Global: As a relatively new entrant, Rivian's global market share is currently negligible. However, the company is rapidly scaling production and aims to become a significant player in the global EV market.
  • US: In the US electric pickup truck segment, Rivian holds a market share of around 10%, trailing behind established players like Tesla and Ford.
  • Competition: Rivian faces intense competition from established automakers like Tesla, Ford, General Motors, and startups like Lucid Motors in the electric vehicle space.

Total Addressable Market:

The global electric vehicle market is projected to reach a staggering $2.3 trillion by 2030, with the US market representing a significant portion. Rivian operates within this rapidly growing market, targeting both consumer and commercial segments.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Performance:

  • Revenue: Rivian's revenue has grown exponentially in recent years, reaching $1.7 billion in 2022.
  • Net Income: The company is currently in an investment phase and has yet to turn a profit. Net losses in 2022 amounted to $5.2 billion.
  • Profit Margins: Negative profit margins reflect Rivian's focus on growth and market expansion.
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): Similar to net income, EPS is currently negative.

Financial Health:

  • Cash Flow: Rivian has a strong cash position, exceeding $13 billion, primarily driven by its IPO and debt financing.
  • Balance Sheet: While the company's assets have grown significantly, liabilities have also increased due to investments in manufacturing and R&D.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

Rivian does not currently pay dividends, focusing on reinvesting its resources into growth initiatives.

Shareholder Returns:

Since its IPO in 2021, Rivian's stock price has experienced volatility, but overall, investors have experienced negative returns.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

Rivian has exhibited tremendous growth in recent years, driven by increasing production capacity, expanding product portfolio, and strategic partnerships.

Future Growth Projections:

The company projects significant production increases in the coming years, aiming to manufacture 200,000 vehicles annually by 2024. Future growth hinges on successfully scaling production, expanding its product offerings, and securing additional commercial contracts.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

The electric vehicle industry is experiencing rapid growth globally, driven by increasing environmental awareness, government incentives, and technological advancements. Rivian is at the forefront of this transformative trend.

Demand-Supply Scenario:

Demand for EVs continues to outpace supply, creating a favorable environment for Rivian and other EV manufacturers. However, supply chain constraints and raw material costs pose challenges.

Technological Advancements:

The rapid pace of technological advancements in battery technology, autonomous driving, and connectivity is shaping the future of the EV industry. Rivian actively invests in R&D to stay ahead of the curve.

Industry Positioning:

Rivian is positioned as a premium brand in the electric vehicle segment, focusing on innovation, performance, and customer experience. The company's strategic partnerships and focus on building a robust charging infrastructure further strengthen its market position.

Competitors:

  • Tesla (TSLA): The current market leader in electric vehicles, known for its diverse product range and advanced technology.
  • Ford (F): A major legacy automaker transitioning to EVs with a growing portfolio of electric trucks and SUVs.
  • General Motors (GM): Another major automaker investing heavily in developing and marketing a wide range of EVs.
  • Lucid Motors (LCID): A startup competitor focusing on luxury electric sedans.

Competitive Advantages:

Rivian's competitive advantages include:

  • Innovative product offerings with unique features and capabilities.
  • Strong brand recognition and positive customer reviews.
  • Strategic partnerships with industry leaders like Amazon.
  • Focus on building a comprehensive charging infrastructure.

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • Limited production capacity and supply chain challenges.
  • Intense competition in the rapidly evolving EV market.
  • Lack of profitability and negative shareholder returns.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Scaling production and meeting delivery targets.
  • Managing costs and achieving profitability.
  • Intense competition and potential market saturation.
  • Global economic uncertainties and potential downturns.

Potential Opportunities:

  • Expanding product offerings into new segments like electric vans and SUVs.
  • Securing additional commercial fleet contracts.
  • Entering new geographic markets and expanding global presence.
  • Partnering with other technology companies and service providers.

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):

  • 2023: Phoenix Motorcars: This acquisition aimed to strengthen Rivian's commercial vehicle expertise and production capacity, specifically for electric delivery vans.
  • 2022: California-based self-driving technology startup, AAron AI: This acquisition brought additional talent and expertise in autonomous driving technology, aligning with Rivian's long-term vision for advanced driver-assistance features.
  • 2021: UK-based software company, Wave Optics: This acquisition added capabilities for developing in-vehicle artificial intelligence and connected car technologies, enhancing Rivian's software platform and user experience.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on an AI analysis incorporating financial data, market positioning, and future growth potential, Rivian receives a rating of 6.5 out of 10.

Justification:

  • Financial Health: While Rivian has a strong cash position, its current negative profitability and high debt levels limit its financial rating.
  • Market Position: The company's innovative offerings, strategic partnerships, and focus on premium branding contribute to a positive market position, but intense competition creates challenges.
  • Future Prospects: Rivian's ambitious growth projections and focus on technological advancements present promising opportunities, but execution risks and market uncertainty need to be considered.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

  • Rivian Automotive Investor Relations website
  • Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
  • Reuters, Bloomberg, and other financial news sources
  • Industry reports and market research data

Disclaimer:

This information is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

About Rivian Automotive Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Irvine, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-11-10
Founder, CEO & Chairman of the Board Mr. Robert Joseph Scaringe Ph.D.
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Auto Manufacturers
Full time employees 16790
Full time employees 16790

Rivian Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles and accessories. The company offers consumer vehicles, including a two-row, five-passenger pickup truck under the R1T brand, a three-row, seven-passenger sport utility vehicle under the R1S name. It provides consumer services, such as digital financing and leasing, telematics-based insurance, vehicle maintenance and repair services, software services, and charging solutions. In addition, the company designs, develops, manufactures, and operates the Rivian Adventure Network Direct Current fast chargers, and offers access to Combined Charging Standard, as well as FleetOS, a proprietary, end-to-end centralized fleet management subscription platform. Further, it offers Rivian Commercial Van platform for Electric Delivery Van with collaboration with Amazon.com, Inc. The company sells its products directly to customers in the consumer and commercial markets. Rivian Automotive, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in Irvine, California.

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