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Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: RIVN (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 20.51% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 14.03B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 32945459 | Beta 2.04 | 52 Weeks Range 8.26 - 18.86 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.26 - 18.86 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.69 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -95.51% | Operating Margin (TTM) -38.12% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -18.21% | Return on Equity (TTM) -60.45% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 12114395089 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.82 |
Enterprise Value 12114395089 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.82 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.44 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.96 | Shares Outstanding 1122889984 | Shares Floating 854062557 |
Shares Outstanding 1122889984 | Shares Floating 854062557 | ||
Percent Insiders 24.01 | Percent Institutions 44.27 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.71 | Target Price 14.92 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 9 |
Buy 3 | Strong Buy 9 | ||
Hold 15 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Rivian Automotive Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Rivian Automotive Inc. was founded in 2009 by Robert 'RJ' Scaringe. Initially named Mainstream Motors, it rebranded to Rivian in 2011. The company spent several years in stealth mode developing its electric vehicle technology. Significant milestones include unveiling the R1T pickup and R1S SUV in 2018, securing major investments from Amazon and Ford, and commencing production in 2021 at its Normal, Illinois factory.
Core Business Areas
- Electric Vehicle Production and Sales: This segment involves the design, development, manufacturing, and sale of electric vehicles, primarily the R1T pickup truck and the R1S SUV. Rivian also produces electric delivery vans (EDV) for Amazon.
- Service and Accessories: This includes after-sales services, such as vehicle maintenance and repair, as well as the sale of accessories for Rivian vehicles.
- Commercial Vehicle Partnerships: Rivian has partnerships with companies like Amazon to develop and manufacture electric delivery vans (EDVs) tailored to their specific needs.
Leadership and Structure
RJ Scaringe is the founder and CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with departments such as Engineering, Manufacturing, Sales & Marketing, and Finance. Claire McDonough is CFO.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- R1T: The R1T is an all-electric pickup truck known for its off-road capabilities, innovative storage solutions (like the Gear Tunnel), and performance. Market share is growing rapidly but is still a small percentage of the overall pickup truck market. Competitors include Ford F-150 Lightning, GMC Hummer EV, and Tesla Cybertruck (when released).
- R1S: The R1S is an all-electric SUV sharing many components with the R1T. It offers similar performance and features in an SUV form factor. Competitors include Tesla Model X, Cadillac Lyriq, and GMC Hummer EV SUV.
- Electric Delivery Van (EDV): Rivian produces custom EDVs for Amazon, featuring various configurations for last-mile delivery. Amazon has ordered 100,000 EDVs. Competitors include BrightDrop (GM's EV delivery van division) and Ford E-Transit.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The automotive industry is undergoing a major transformation towards electric vehicles. Increasing environmental awareness, government regulations favoring EVs, and technological advancements in battery technology are driving this shift. The market is highly competitive, with established automakers and new entrants vying for market share.
Positioning
Rivian is positioned as a premium electric vehicle manufacturer focusing on adventure and outdoor lifestyles. Its competitive advantages include innovative vehicle design, strong off-road capabilities, and a partnership with Amazon. Rivian is also working on building a direct-to-consumer sales and service model.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for electric vehicles is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars globally over the next decade. Rivian is positioned to capture a significant portion of the electric pickup truck and SUV market, focusing on a niche segment of affluent, environmentally conscious consumers. TAM for Commercial EV is in the billions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Innovative vehicle design and technology
- Strong off-road capabilities
- Partnership with Amazon
- Focus on premium electric adventure vehicles
- Direct-to-consumer sales model
Weaknesses
- Limited production capacity
- High cash burn rate
- Dependence on Amazon for EDV revenue
- Relatively high vehicle prices
- Unproven long-term reliability
Opportunities
- Expanding production capacity
- Developing new vehicle models
- Entering new markets (international expansion)
- Increasing battery technology advancements
- Growing demand for electric vehicles
Threats
- Intense competition from established automakers and new EV entrants
- Supply chain disruptions
- Rising raw material costs
- Changes in government regulations
- Economic downturn affecting consumer spending
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- TSLA
- F
- GM
- LCID
Competitive Landscape
Rivian faces intense competition from established automakers like Ford and GM, as well as EV pure-plays like Tesla and Lucid. Rivian's advantages include its focus on adventure vehicles and its partnership with Amazon. Its disadvantages include its limited production capacity and high cash burn.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Rivian has experienced rapid revenue growth in recent years as it ramped up production. However, profitability remains a challenge.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth as Rivian increases production capacity and expands its product line. However, profitability is not expected until 2027. Key growth drivers include expanding production capacity, launching new vehicle models (R2), and increasing EDV sales to Amazon and other customers.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include streamlining production processes, cutting costs, raising additional capital, developing the R2 platform, and exploring new partnerships.
Summary
Rivian is an innovative EV company with strong products and partnerships, but it faces significant challenges in scaling production and achieving profitability. The company's relationship with Amazon provides a stable revenue stream, but it also creates dependence. Successfully launching the R2 platform and managing costs are critical for Rivian's long-term success. Rivian will need to continue to manage their finances as profitability is not expected until 2027.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Rivian Automotive Inc. SEC Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry News
- Company Press Releases
- Company Investor Relations
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change. Actual results may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Rivian Automotive Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Irvine, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-11-10 | Founder, CEO, Chairman of the Board & Chairman of Also Inc. Mr. Robert Joseph Scaringe Ph.D. | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto Manufacturers | Full time employees 14861 | Website https://www.rivian.com |
Full time employees 14861 | Website https://www.rivian.com |
Rivian Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles and accessories. The company offers consumer vehicles, including a two-row, five-passenger pickup truck under the R1T brand, a three-row, seven-passenger sport utility vehicle under the R1S name. It provides software and services, such as remarketing, vehicle repair and maintenance services, and vehicle electrical architecture and software development services. In addition, the company designs, develops, manufactures, and operates the Rivian Adventure Network Direct Current fast chargers, and offers access to Combined Charging Standard, as well as FleetOS, a proprietary, end-to-end centralized fleet management subscription platform. Further, it offers Rivian Commercial Van platform for Electric Delivery Van with collaboration with Amazon.com, Inc. It sells its products directly to customers in the consumer and commercial markets. Rivian Automotive, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in Irvine, California.
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