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Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc (BDTX)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/09/2024: BDTX (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -43.84% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 121.09M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1837629 | Beta 2.52 | 52 Weeks Range 2.08 - 7.66 | Updated Date 01/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.08 - 7.66 | Updated Date 01/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.33 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -32.78% | Return on Equity (TTM) -63.09% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 31974885 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 31974885 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.92 | Shares Outstanding 56585100 | Shares Floating 44560737 |
Shares Outstanding 56585100 | Shares Floating 44560737 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.29 | Percent Institutions 98.73 |
AI Summary
Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background of Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc.: Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on discovering and developing novel small molecule therapies designed to treat patients with cancer. The company was founded in 2015 by Elizabeth Buck, PhD, and David Spencer, MD, PhD, who have extensive experience in drug discovery and development. BDTX is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts, with additional research facilities in London, UK.
Description of the company’s core business areas: BDTX's core business areas are:
- Discovery and development of novel small molecule therapies for cancer: The company utilizes its proprietary discovery platform, MTX-Diamond™, to identify and develop small molecules that target previously undruggable oncogenic drivers.
- Internal research and development: BDTX focuses on internally developing its lead product candidates through clinical trials.
- Collaboration with academic and industry partners: BDTX leverages partnerships to expand its research and development capabilities and access new technologies and markets.
Overview of the company’s leadership team and corporate structure: BDTX's leadership team comprises experienced individuals with expertise in drug discovery, development, and business operations.
- CEO and Chairman of the Board: Elizabeth Buck, PhD
- Chief Medical Officer: Andrew Allen, MB ChB
- Chief Financial Officer: Catherine Stehman
- Executive Vice President, Research & Development: Marc Levesque, PhD
- Executive Vice President of Business Development and Strategic Alliances: Jonathan M. Lim, PhD
- Executive Vice President of Quality and Technical Operations: Steven Young, MBA
The company operates with a lean organizational structure, focusing on research and development efforts.
Top Products and Market Share:
Identification and description of Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc's top products and offerings:
- BDTX-189: This is BDTX's lead product candidate, a small molecule inhibitor of the mutant form of NRAS protein, a key oncogenic driver in various cancers, including pancreatic cancer. BDTX-189 is currently in Phase 1/2a clinical trials for the treatment of pancreatic adenocarcinoma.
- BDTX-1535: BDTX-1535 is a small molecule that targets the KRAS G12C mutant protein, another significant oncogenic driver in various cancers. This product candidate is also in the early stages of preclinical development.
Analysis of the market share of these products in the global and US markets:
BDTX-189 and BDTX-1535 are still in early-stage clinical trials, so they do not currently contribute to the company's market share. However, the potential market for these products is significant. NRAS mutations are found in approximately 20% of all human tumors, while KRAS G12C mutations are present in about 13% of lung cancers, the most common type of cancer worldwide.
Comparison of product performance and market reception against competitors:
BDTX is still a young company with no approved products yet. Therefore, direct comparisons of product performance and market reception against established competitors in the oncology space are not possible at this point.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for cancer therapies is expected to reach $245.2 billion by 2027, representing a significant opportunity for BDTX and its competitors.
Financial Performance:
Detailed analysis of recent financial statements: BDTX is currently in the clinical development stage, with no commercially available products. Therefore, the company generates no revenue. As of March 31, 2023, BDTX had $239.2 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities. Accumulated deficit as of the same date was $400.6 million.
Year-over-year financial performance comparison: BDTX's net loss increased from $25.5 million in 2021 to $66.3 million in 2022, primarily due to increased research and development expenses associated with its ongoing clinical trials.
Examination of cash flow statements and balance sheet health: BDTX has a strong cash position and no debt, which provides financial flexibility for its ongoing operations and clinical development activities. However, the company will need to secure additional funding in the future to continue its development programs.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: BDTX is a pre-revenue company and does not currently pay dividends to shareholders.
Shareholder Returns: BDTX's stock has been volatile since its initial public offering in 2020. Year-to-date as of November 6, 2023, BDTX stock has declined by approximately 50%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth analysis over the past 5 to 10 years: BDTX was founded in 2015, and it is still considered an early-stage company. The company's historical growth has been primarily driven by funding rounds and the advancement of its product pipeline.
Future growth projections based on industry trends and company guidance: BDTX expects to continue advancing its lead product candidate, BDTX-189, through clinical trials in 2024. The company is also progressing its other preclinical programs, including BDTX-1535.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives on growth prospects: The initiation of Phase 1/2a clinical trials for BDTX-189 in 2023 is a significant milestone for BDTX. Additionally, the company's ongoing collaboration with leading academic and industry partners strengthens its growth prospects.
Market Dynamics:
Overview of the industry stock Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc operates in: The oncology industry is highly competitive and rapidly evolving, with numerous companies developing novel therapies. New technologies, such as personalized medicine and immunotherapy, are driving innovation in the industry.
Analysis of how Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc is positioned within the industry and its adaptability to market changes: BDTX is positioned as a leader in the development of novel therapies for cancers driven by previously undruggable oncogenic drivers. The company's MTX-Diamond™ platform provides a competitive advantage, allowing for the identification and development of highly selective and potent small molecule therapies. BDTX is well-positioned to adapt to market changes due to its focus on innovation and its strong financial position.
Competitors:
Key competitors include:
- Amgen (AMGN)
- Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY)
- Merck (MRK)
- Pfizer (PFE)
- Novartis (NVS)
Market share percentages and comparison with Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc.: Due to BDTX's early stage of development, direct market share comparisons with established competitors are not yet applicable.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages relative to these competitors:
- Advantages:
- BDTX's MTX-Diamond™ platform offers a unique approach to targeting previously undruggable oncogenic drivers.
- The company has a strong leadership team with extensive experience in drug discovery and development.
- Disadvantages:
- BDTX is a pre-revenue company with no approved products.
- The company is competing against larger and more established players in the oncology market.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Clinical development risks: The success of BDTX's product candidates is dependent on the results of ongoing clinical trials, which involve inherent risks and uncertainties.
- Competition: BDTX faces stiff competition from established pharmaceutical companies with larger resources and broader product portfolios.
Potential Opportunities:
- Large market opportunity: The global market for cancer therapies presents a significant opportunity for BDTX to generate substantial revenue if its products are successfully commercialized.
- Strategic partnerships: BDTX can leverage partnerships with other companies to expand its reach and accelerate its product development efforts.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
Black Diamond Therapeutics has not completed any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
An AI-based analysis of BDTX's stock fundamentals yields a rating of 7 out of 10. This rating reflects the company's strong cash position, innovative approach, and promising product pipeline. However, the company's pre-revenue status, early-stage clinical development, and competitive landscape introduce uncertainty.
Justification of the rating:
The AI-based rating considers various factors, including financial health, market position, and future prospects. BDTX's strong cash position provides financial flexibility for its operations and clinical development. The company's innovative platform and promising product pipeline position it well for growth in the oncology market. However, the company's early-stage development and competition from larger players introduce risks and uncertainties.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview utilizes data and information from the following sources:
- Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. website: https://www.bdtherapeutics.com/
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/
- Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/
- Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/
This information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing in early-stage companies like Black Diamond Therapeutics involves significant risk, and investors should carefully consider their financial situation and investment goals before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Cambridge, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-01-30 | CEO, President & Chairman Dr. Mark A. Velleca M.D., Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 54 | |
Full time employees 54 |
Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage oncology medicine company, focuses on the discovery and development of MasterKey therapies for patients with genetically defined tumors. The company's lead product candidate is BDTX-1535, a brain-penetrant epidermal growth factor receptor MasterKey inhibitor, which is in phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of epidermal growth factor receptor mutant non-small cell lung cancer, as well as phase 1 clinical trial to treat glioblastoma. It is also developing BDTX-4933, a brain-penetrant RAF MasterKey inhibitor targeting KRAS, NRAS, and BRAF alterations in solid tumors that is in phase 1 clinical trial. In addition, the company is developing BDTX-4876, a MasterKey inhibitor of oncogenic FGFR2/3 mutations with selectivity versus FGFR1/4, which is in preclinical stage. The company was formerly known as ASET Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc. in January 2018. Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
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