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MRNA logo MRNA
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
MRNA logo

Moderna Inc (MRNA)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$32.45
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

03/20/2025: MRNA (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 52.44%
Avg. Invested days 43
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 03/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 12.42B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 54.22
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 54.22
Volume (30-day avg) 11133361
Beta 1.86
52 Weeks Range 29.25 - 170.47
Updated Date 03/27/2025
52 Weeks Range 29.25 - 170.47
Updated Date 03/27/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -9.47

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -110.04%
Operating Margin (TTM) -128.99%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -15.14%
Return on Equity (TTM) -28.77%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 32.47
Enterprise Value 6140318040
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.84
Enterprise Value 6140318040
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.84
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.92
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.64
Shares Outstanding 386623008
Shares Floating 360000937
Shares Outstanding 386623008
Shares Floating 360000937
Percent Insiders 7.27
Percent Institutions 72.75

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.31
Target Price 73.64
Buy 3
Strong Buy 5
Buy 3
Strong Buy 5
Hold 14
Sell 3
Strong Sell 1
Strong Sell 1

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Moderna Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

History and Background

Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 as ModeRNA Therapeutics. It pioneered messenger RNA (mRNA) therapeutics and vaccines. Its initial focus was on developing personalized cancer vaccines. The company gained prominence during the COVID-19 pandemic with its mRNA-based vaccine.

Core Business Areas

  • mRNA Therapeutics and Vaccines: Focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing mRNA-based therapeutics and vaccines for infectious diseases, cancer, and other indications.

Leadership and Structure

Moderna is led by CEO Stu00e9phane Bancel. Its organizational structure includes research and development, manufacturing, and commercial operations.

Top Products and Market Share

Key Offerings

  • Spikevax (COVID-19 Vaccine): mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccine. Revenue in 2023 was around $6.8 billion. Competitors include Pfizer/BioNTech (PFE/BNTX), Novavax (NVAX).

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview

The pharmaceutical industry is highly competitive and research-intensive, with a focus on developing new drugs and vaccines. It is subject to strict regulatory oversight.

Positioning

Moderna is a leading company in mRNA technology, with a first-mover advantage in mRNA vaccines. Its competitive advantage lies in its proprietary mRNA platform.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global vaccine market is estimated at $59 Billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 96.9 Billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 6.5%. Moderna is well-positioned to capture a significant share of this market with its mRNA technology across various disease areas.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Proprietary mRNA Technology
  • Rapid Vaccine Development Capability
  • Strong Financial Position
  • Established Manufacturing Capacity

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on COVID-19 Vaccine Revenue
  • Limited Commercial Track Record Beyond Vaccines
  • Manufacturing complex mRNA products can be costly
  • High dependency on partnerships

Opportunities

  • Expanding mRNA Platform to New Therapies
  • Developing Vaccines for Other Infectious Diseases
  • Personalized Cancer Vaccines
  • Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations

Threats

  • Competition from Established Pharmaceutical Companies
  • Patent Disputes
  • Regulatory Challenges
  • Declining COVID-19 Vaccine Demand

Competitors and Market Share

Key Competitors

  • Pfizer (PFE)
  • BioNTech (BNTX)
  • Novavax (NVAX)

Competitive Landscape

Moderna competes with established pharmaceutical companies and other biotech firms. Its mRNA platform provides a competitive advantage.

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Moderna experienced rapid growth during the pandemic due to its COVID-19 vaccine. However, growth has slowed as vaccine demand has decreased.

Future Projections: Analysts project revenue growth as Moderna expands its mRNA platform into new therapies. Future growth relies on pipeline execution.

Recent Initiatives: Expanding pipeline of mRNA therapeutics, investing in manufacturing capacity, and pursuing strategic partnerships.

Summary

Moderna is a pioneering mRNA therapeutics company that saw tremendous growth during the pandemic. However, the company now needs to diversify its revenue streams beyond the COVID-19 vaccine. Its strong balance sheet, and advanced mRNA technology position it well for future opportunities. Declining COVID-19 vaccine sales and competition pose significant challenges.

Similar Companies

  • PFE
  • BNTX
  • NVAX
  • LLY

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Publications
  • Company Website

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Moderna Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Cambridge, MA, United States
IPO Launch date 2018-12-07
CEO & Director Mr. Stephane Bancel
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 5800
Full time employees 5800

Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, provides messenger RNA medicines in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's respiratory vaccines include spikevax, mRESVIA, COVID, RSV, seasonal influenza, combination, and pandemic influenza vaccine; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, herpes simplex virus, varicella zoster virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; enteric viruses include norovirus; public health vaccines consist of Zika, Nipah, and Mpox vaccines; and bacterial diseases vaccines, such as lyme vaccines. It also provides oncology therapeutics, such as individualized neoantigen and checkpoint adaptive immune modulation therapy; and rare disease products, including propionic and methylmalonic acidemia, glycogen storage disease type 1a, ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency, phenylketonuria, crigler-najjar syndrome type 1, and cystic fibrosis. It has strategic alliances and collaborations with AstraZeneca; Merck & Co., Inc; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; Generation Bio Co.; immatics N.V.; Life Edit Therapeutics; Carisma Therapeutics, Inc.; CytomX Therapeutics; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and OpenAI. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

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