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Moderna Inc (MRNA)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: MRNA (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 52.44% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0 | Stock Returns Performance 3.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 13.81B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 68.01 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 68.01 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9697863 | Beta 1.69 | 52 Weeks Range 31.94 - 170.47 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 31.94 - 170.47 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -5.81 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -43.77% | Operating Margin (TTM) -3.76% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.55% | Return on Equity (TTM) -17.52% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 32.47 | Enterprise Value 7594894642 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.72 |
Enterprise Value 7594894642 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.72 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.5 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.64 | Shares Outstanding 384817984 | Shares Floating 347528965 |
Shares Outstanding 384817984 | Shares Floating 347528965 | ||
Percent Insiders 9.52 | Percent Institutions 71.64 |
AI Summary
Moderna Inc. (MRNA): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 by Derrick Rossi, Noubar Afeyan, Timothy A. Springer, and Robert Langer with a vision to use messenger RNA (mRNA) technology to develop transformative therapies and vaccines. The company initially focused on personalized cancer vaccines but later expanded to infectious diseases and other areas. Moderna's mRNA technology allows for rapid development and production of vaccines and treatments, making it particularly valuable in responding to emerging public health threats.
Core Business Areas:
mRNA Vaccines: Moderna's flagship product is its mRNA-based vaccines, including the highly successful COVID-19 vaccines Spikevax and mRNA-1273. The company is also developing mRNA vaccines for other infectious diseases like influenza, HIV, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV).
mRNA Therapeutics: Moderna is actively developing mRNA-based therapies for various diseases, including rare genetic disorders, cardiovascular diseases, and autoimmune diseases.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
Moderna's leadership team comprises experienced individuals with expertise in various fields, including medicine, biotechnology, and business. Stéphane Bancel serves as the Chief Executive Officer, leading the company's overall strategy and operations. The Board of Directors provides oversight and guidance to the leadership team.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Spikevax: Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine, approved for use in adults and adolescents.
- mRNA-1273: Another COVID-19 vaccine candidate, currently in Phase 3 clinical trials.
- mRNA Vaccines for Other Diseases: Moderna's pipeline includes mRNA vaccines for influenza, HIV, and RSV.
Market Share:
- COVID-19 Vaccines: Moderna held a significant market share in the global COVID-19 vaccine market during the pandemic.
- Other Products: Moderna's other products are still in the development stage and do not have a significant market share yet.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Spikevax has been well-received by the medical community and has demonstrated high efficacy and safety in clinical trials.
- Moderna's other mRNA vaccines are still in development, but they have shown promising results in early-stage trials.
Total Addressable Market
Moderna's total addressable market includes the global markets for vaccines and mRNA-based therapies. The global vaccine market is estimated to be worth over $60 billion, while the mRNA-based therapy market is expected to grow significantly in the coming years.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
Moderna's recent financial statements show strong revenue growth due to the success of its COVID-19 vaccines. The company has also reported significant net income and profit margins.
Year-over-Year Financial Performance:
Moderna's financial performance has improved significantly in recent years, driven by the COVID-19 pandemic. The company's revenue, net income, and profit margins have all increased substantially.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Moderna has a strong cash flow position and a healthy balance sheet. The company has significant cash reserves and low debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
Moderna does not currently pay dividends.
Shareholder Returns:
Moderna's stock price has increased significantly in recent years, providing strong returns to shareholders.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
Moderna has experienced rapid growth in recent years, driven by the success of its COVID-19 vaccines.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts expect Moderna to continue growing in the coming years, driven by the launch of new products and expansion into new markets.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
Moderna is actively developing new products and pursuing strategic partnerships to expand its business.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
The pharmaceutical industry is a highly competitive and dynamic industry. Moderna is facing competition from established pharmaceutical companies and emerging biotech companies.
Market Position:
Moderna is a leading player in the mRNA vaccine market and is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for mRNA-based therapies.
Adaptability to Market Changes:
Moderna's mRNA technology allows the company to respond quickly to emerging public health threats and market changes.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Pfizer (PFE)
- BioNTech (BNTX)
- Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
- Merck (MRK)
Market Share Comparison:
Moderna has a significant market share in the COVID-19 vaccine market, but it faces stiff competition from other companies.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Moderna's competitive advantages include its mRNA technology, its strong financial position, and its experienced leadership team. However, the company faces challenges from established pharmaceutical companies and the need to continuously innovate and develop new products.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain issues
- Technological changes
- Competitive pressures
Potential Opportunities:
- New markets
- Product innovations
- Strategic partnerships
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
Moderna has not made any significant acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
Moderna has strong fundamentals, including a robust financial position, a leading position in the mRNA vaccine market, and a promising pipeline of new products. However, the company faces challenges from competition and the need to continuously innovate.
Disclaimer:
This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
Sources
About Moderna Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Cambridge, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-12-07 | CEO & Director Mr. Stephane Bancel | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 5600 | Website https://www.modernatx.com |
Full time employees 5600 | Website https://www.modernatx.com |
Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, discovers, develops, and commercializes messenger RNA therapeutics and vaccines for the treatment of infectious diseases, immuno-oncology, rare diseases, autoimmune, and cardiovascular diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. Its respiratory vaccines include COVID-19, influenza, and respiratory syncytial virus, spikevax, and hMPV/PIV3 vaccines; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, herpes simplex virus, varicella zoster virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; public health vaccines consists of Zika, Nipah, Mpox vaccines; and infectious diseases vaccines, such as lyme and norovirus vaccines. The company also offers systemic secreted and cell surface therapeutics; cancer vaccines, such as personalized cancer, KRAS, and checkpoint vaccines; intratumoral immuno-oncology products; rare disease intracellular therapeutics; and inhaled pulmonary therapeutics. It has strategic alliances and collaborations with AstraZeneca; Merck & Co., Inc; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; Chiesi Farmaceutici S.p.A.; Metagenomi, Inc.; Carisma Therapeutics, Inc.; CytomX Therapeutics; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and OpenAI. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
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