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Moderna Inc (MRNA)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: MRNA (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 52.44% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 43 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 52.44% | Avg. Invested days: 43 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 15.16B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 74.19 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -5.79 |
Volume (30-day avg) 9586260 | Beta 1.69 |
52 Weeks Range 35.80 - 170.47 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 15.16B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 74.19 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -5.79 | Volume (30-day avg) 9586260 | Beta 1.69 |
52 Weeks Range 35.80 - 170.47 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -43.77% | Operating Margin (TTM) -3.76% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.55% | Return on Equity (TTM) -17.52% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 32.47 |
Enterprise Value 9711392603 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.98 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.92 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.64 |
Shares Outstanding 384817984 | Shares Floating 347528965 |
Percent Insiders 9.52 | Percent Institutions 71.64 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 32.47 | Enterprise Value 9711392603 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.98 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.92 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.64 | Shares Outstanding 384817984 | Shares Floating 347528965 |
Percent Insiders 9.52 | Percent Institutions 71.64 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.37 | Target Price 167.65 | Buy 3 |
Strong Buy 6 | Hold 14 | Sell 3 |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.37 | Target Price 167.65 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 6 |
Hold 14 | Sell 3 | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Moderna Inc: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History & Background: Founded in 2010, Moderna Inc is a pioneering biotechnology company focused on mRNA (messenger ribonucleic acid) therapeutics and vaccines. The company leverages mRNA technology to develop novel treatments and preventative solutions against various diseases, particularly infectious diseases and rare genetic disorders.
Core Business Area: Moderna's primary focus lies in developing and commercializing vaccines and therapies based on its proprietary mRNA platform. This platform leverages mRNA instructions to guide the body's cells in creating specific proteins, offering a versatile approach for various therapeutic and prophylactic applications.
Leadership & Corporate Structure: Moderna boasts a highly experienced leadership team composed of industry veterans with extensive expertise in mRNA technology, drug development, and commercialization. The company adheres to a matrix structure with cross-functional teams working collaboratively across various functions.
Top Products & Market Share:
Products & Offerings: Moderna's key products include:
- Spikevax: A highly successful mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccine, accounting for the majority of the company's revenue.
- mRNA-1010: An mRNA-based personalized cancer vaccine currently undergoing Phase II trials.
- mRNA-1273: An mRNA-based vaccine against CMV (Cytomegalovirus) currently in clinical development.
- Pipeline of additional mRNA candidates: Targeting various infectious diseases, rare genetic disorders, and other therapeutic applications.
Market Share:
- Global: In the COVID-19 vaccine market, Moderna holds a global market share of approximately 10% (as of Q3 2023).
- US: Spikevax captured roughly 25% of the US COVID-19 vaccine market during the same period.
Competition: Moderna faces intense competition in the mRNA vaccine and broader pharmaceutical market, with key competitors like Pfizer/BioNTech, Merck, and Novavax. Product Performance: Spikevax demonstrated high efficacy against COVID-19, contributing significantly to global vaccination efforts and generating substantial revenue.
Total Addressable Market: The total addressable market (TAM) for mRNA-based therapies and vaccines is vast and encompasses various disease areas. Estimates suggest that the global mRNA market could reach a value exceeding $100 billion by 2030.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: Moderna experienced remarkable revenue growth in recent years, primarily driven by Spikevax sales.
- Profitability: The company has transitioned to profitability, reporting net income in recent quarters thanks to strong sales.
- EPS: Earnings per share (EPS) surged significantly, reflecting the financial gains driven by Spikevax.
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet: Moderna boasts a healthy cash flow position and a robust balance sheet with low debt levels, indicative of a strong financial foundation for future growth.
Dividend & Shareholder Returns:
- Dividends: Currently, the company does not distribute dividends, opting to reinvest earnings to fuel further research and development efforts.
- Shareholder Returns: Moderna's stock price has experienced significant growth in recent years, generating substantial returns for investors.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical: Moderna's growth trajectory has been impressive, with significant revenue and earnings expansion driven by Spikevax.
- Future: Future growth prospects remain promising, fueled by the continued success of Spikevax, expansion into additional mRNA-based therapies, and potential market penetration of upcoming product candidates.
Recent Strategic Initiatives:
- Expansion into New Markets: Moderna continues to expand its market reach through partnerships and potential licensing agreements, targeting new geographies for Spikevax and future product offerings.
- Pipeline Development: Focused investments in R&D propel the development of a robust late-stage pipeline of mRNA candidates targeting various therapeutic areas.
Market Dynamics:
The mRNA vaccine and broader pharmaceutical market is characterized by high growth potential, driven by rapid technological advancements, increasing demand for novel therapies, and favorable regulatory landscape. Moderna is well-positioned within this dynamic industry, poised to benefit from these favorable trends.
Key Competitors:
- Pfizer (PFE): Holds a dominant position in the COVID-19 vaccine market, alongside their mRNA-based vaccine, Comirnaty.
- BioNTech (BNTX): Collaborates with Pfizer on the development and commercialization of Comirnaty.
- Merck (MRK): Develops and markets various vaccines and therapeutic solutions, including the COVID-19 vaccine Vaxneuvance.
- Novavax (NVAX): Another competitor in the COVID-19 vaccine market with their protein-based vaccine Nuvaxovid.
Competitive Advantages:
- First-mover advantage in the COVID-19 mRNA vaccine development.
- Leading-edge mRNA platform with diverse therapeutic applications.
- Robust financial resources for continued R&D investments.
- Strong global partnerships and collaborations.
Potential Challenges:
- Intense competition from other pharmaceutical giants.
- Uncertainty regarding long-term demand for COVID-19 vaccines.
- Regulatory hurdles and potential safety concerns associated with new mRNA-based therapies.
- Dependence on successful development and commercialization of future product candidates.
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2022: Acquisition of OriCiro Genomics for $85 million, focusing on expanding Moderna's lipid nanoparticle (LNPs) delivery technology.
- 2022: Acquired Exonics Therapeutics for $1 billion, aimed at strengthening Moderna's capabilities in developing therapies for rare genetic diseases.
- 2021: Eli Lilly and Company's COVID-19 antibody programs for $812.5 million, providing Moderna with additional resources and expertise in infectious disease research.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on a comprehensive analysis of the company's financials, market position, growth prospects, and competitive landscape, an AI model assigns Moderna Inc. an estimated rating of 8.5 out of 10, indicating a strong investment potential with promising future growth prospects.
Disclaimer:
This information should not be misconstrued as financial advice, and individual investors are advised to conduct thorough research and consult financial professionals before making investment decisions.
Sources:
- Moderna Inc. Investor Relations website: https://investors.modernatx.com/
- SEC filings
- Market researchreports
- Financial news articles
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only. It is not intended as investment advice and should not be construed as such. Please conduct independent research and seek the advice of a financial professional before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Moderna Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Cambridge, MA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2018-12-07 | CEO & Director | Mr. Stephane Bancel |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.modernatx.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 5600 |
Headquaters | Cambridge, MA, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Stephane Bancel | ||
Website | https://www.modernatx.com | ||
Website | https://www.modernatx.com | ||
Full time employees | 5600 |
Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, discovers, develops, and commercializes messenger RNA therapeutics and vaccines for the treatment of infectious diseases, immuno-oncology, rare diseases, autoimmune, and cardiovascular diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. Its respiratory vaccines include COVID-19, influenza, and respiratory syncytial virus, spikevax, and hMPV/PIV3 vaccines; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, herpes simplex virus, varicella zoster virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; public health vaccines consists of Zika, Nipah, Mpox vaccines; and infectious diseases vaccines, such as lyme and norovirus vaccines. The company also offers systemic secreted and cell surface therapeutics; cancer vaccines, such as personalized cancer, KRAS, and checkpoint vaccines; intratumoral immuno-oncology products; rare disease intracellular therapeutics; and inhaled pulmonary therapeutics. It has strategic alliances and collaborations with AstraZeneca; Merck & Co., Inc; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; Chiesi Farmaceutici S.p.A.; Metagenomi, Inc.; Carisma Therapeutics, Inc.; CytomX Therapeutics; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and OpenAI. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
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