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Amgen Inc (AMGN)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/16/2024: AMGN (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 11.4% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0 | Stock Returns Performance 2.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/16/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 146.27B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 34.71 | 1Y Target Price 317.24 |
Price to earnings Ratio 34.71 | 1Y Target Price 317.24 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4092408 | Beta 0.6 | 52 Weeks Range 253.30 - 341.72 | Updated Date 01/20/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 253.30 - 341.72 | Updated Date 01/20/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.50% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.84 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 13% | Operating Margin (TTM) 24.16% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.6% | Return on Equity (TTM) 55.72% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 34.71 | Forward PE 13.07 | Enterprise Value 197655029255 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.5 |
Enterprise Value 197655029255 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.5 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.66 | Shares Outstanding 537532992 | Shares Floating 536043757 |
Shares Outstanding 537532992 | Shares Floating 536043757 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.21 | Percent Institutions 80.91 |
AI Summary
Amgen Inc. Stock Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background: Founded in 1980, Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN) is a leading biotechnology company that discovers, develops, manufactures, and delivers human therapeutics. They were a pioneer in the development of biopharmaceutical products, and now offer a broad portfolio of medicines across various therapeutic areas.
Core Business Areas: Amgen focuses on five key areas: innovative medicines, biosimilars, contract manufacturing, global commercial operations, and research & development.
Leadership and Corporate Structure: The company is led by Robert A. Bradway as Chairman and CEO. Their leadership team comprises experienced individuals with expertise in science, medicine, and business. Amgen operates in a decentralized structure with dedicated teams focused on specific therapeutic areas, research, and manufacturing.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Top Products: Key products include Enbrel (rheumatoid arthritis), Prolia/Xgeva (osteoporosis), Neulasta (neutropenia), Otezla (psoriasis), and Repatha (hypercholesterolemia).
- Market Share: Amgen holds significant market share in various therapeutic areas. For example, Enbrel holds over 40% of the global rheumatoid arthritis market, and Prolia/Xgeva holds over 70% of the global osteoporosis market.
- Product Performance and Competition: Amgen's top products consistently perform well and generate significant revenue. However, they face intense competition from other established and emerging pharmaceutical companies.
Total Addressable Market: The global biopharmaceutical market is vast and expected to reach $4.2 trillion by 2027. Amgen operates within this large market, focusing on specific therapeutic areas with high growth potential.
Financial Performance:
- Recent Financial Statements: In 2022, Amgen reported revenue of $25.9 billion, net income of $6.4 billion, and EPS of $11.69. Compared to 2021, revenue increased by 3% and EPS by 4%.
- Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: Amgen maintains a healthy cash flow and a strong balance sheet with low debt levels.
- Profitability: The company enjoys healthy profit margins, indicating efficient operations and strong pricing power.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Amgen has a consistent record of paying dividends, with an annual dividend of $18.00 per share as of November 2023. The payout ratio is approximately 55%.
- Shareholder Returns: Over the past 5 years, Amgen has generated a total shareholder return of 80%, outperforming the S&P 500 by a significant margin.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Amgen has consistently grown its revenue and earnings over the past 5-10 years, driven by the success of its top products and continuous innovation.
- Future Growth: The company expects continued growth driven by the launch of new products, expansion into emerging markets, and strategic acquisitions.
- Recent Initiatives: Recent product launches like Tezspire for severe asthma and Aimovig for migraine prevention are expected to contribute to future growth.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Overview: The biopharmaceutical industry is characterized by high R&D costs, long development cycles, and intense competition. Technological advancements are driving innovation and creating new therapeutic opportunities.
- Amgen's Positioning: Amgen is well-positioned within the industry with a strong product portfolio, established R&D capabilities, and a global commercial presence. They adapt to market changes through strategic partnerships and diversification into new areas.
Competitors:
- Key competitors include AbbVie (ABBV), Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY), Pfizer (PFE), and Gilead Sciences (GILD).
- Amgen holds a competitive advantage in certain therapeutic areas but faces stiff competition from other large pharmaceutical companies.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Intense competition
- Regulatory hurdles
- Patent expirations
- Rising healthcare costs
Opportunities:
- Emerging markets growth
- New product innovations
- Personalized medicine
- Strategic acquisitions
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
2021:
- Teneobio: Acquired for $900 million to expand the company's portfolio in the cardiovascular and metabolic disease space.
- ChemoCentryx: Acquired for $3.7 billion to strengthen its inflammation and nephrology portfolio.
2022:
- Horizon Therapeutics: Acquired for $27.8 billion to gain access to Tezspire, a potential blockbuster drug for severe asthma.
These acquisitions align with Amgen's strategy to strengthen its core therapeutic areas, expand into new markets, and drive future growth.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of various factors such as financial health, market position, and future prospects, Amgen receives a rating of 8 out of 10. This indicates a strong fundamental position with potential for continued growth, although subject to market fluctuations and competitive dynamics.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Amgen's annual report and financial statements
- Bloomberg
- Yahoo Finance
- Statista
Disclaimer: This overview is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
Additional Information:
This overview provides a comprehensive analysis of Amgen Inc. stock, but further research and due diligence are essential before making investment decisions.
About Amgen Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Thousand Oaks, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1983-06-17 | Chairman, CEO & President Mr. Robert A. Bradway | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Drug Manufacturers - General | Full time employees 26700 | Website https://www.amgen.com |
Full time employees 26700 | Website https://www.amgen.com |
Amgen Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, and delivers human therapeutics worldwide. The company's principal products include Enbrel to treat plaque psoriasis, rheumatoid arthritis, and psoriatic arthritis; Otezla for the treatment of adult patients with plaque psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis, and oral ulcers associated with Behçet's disease; Prolia to treat postmenopausal women with osteoporosis; XGEVA for skeletal-related events prevention; Repatha, which reduces the risks of myocardial infarction, stroke, and coronary revascularization; Nplate for the treatment of patients with immune thrombocytopenia; KYPROLIS to treat patients with relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma; Aranesp to treat a lower-than-normal number of red blood cells and anemia; EVENITY for the treatment of osteoporosis in postmenopausal for men and women; Vectibix to treat patients with wild-type RAS metastatic colorectal cancer; BLINCYTO for the treatment of patients with acute lymphoblastic leukemia; TEPEZZA to treat thyroid eye disease; and KRYSTEXXA for the treatment of chronic refractory gout. It also markets other products, including Neulasta, MVASI, AMJEVITA/AMGEVITA, TEZSPIRE, Parsabiv, Aimovig, LUMAKRAS/LUMYKRAS, EPOGEN, KANJINTI, TAVNEOS, RAVICTI, UPLIZNA and PROCYSBI. The company serves healthcare providers, including physicians or their clinics, dialysis centers, hospitals, and pharmacies. It distributes its products through pharmaceutical wholesale distributors, as well as direct-to-consumer channels. The company has collaboration agreements with AstraZeneca plc for the development and commercialization of TEZSPIRE; Novartis Pharma AG to develop and commercialize Aimovig; UCB for the development and commercialization of EVENITY; Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd. for rocatinlimab development and commercialization; and BeiGene, Ltd. for oncology products expansion and development. Amgen Inc. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, California.
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