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Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: LLY (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 83.93% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 61 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 4 | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 83.93% | Avg. Invested days: 61 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 4 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 690.46B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 82.64 | 1Y Target Price 984.05 |
Dividends yield (FY) 0.78% | Basic EPS (TTM) 9.29 |
Volume (30-day avg) 4114999 | Beta 0.43 |
52 Weeks Range 563.96 - 970.92 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 690.46B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 82.64 | 1Y Target Price 984.05 |
Dividends yield (FY) 0.78% | Basic EPS (TTM) 9.29 | Volume (30-day avg) 4114999 | Beta 0.43 |
52 Weeks Range 563.96 - 970.92 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 20.48% | Operating Margin (TTM) 39.77% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 13.95% | Return on Equity (TTM) 65.32% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 82.64 | Forward PE 33.33 |
Enterprise Value 708868910832 | Price to Sales(TTM) 16.9 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 17.35 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 56.65 |
Shares Outstanding 899315968 | Shares Floating 897256261 |
Percent Insiders 0.15 | Percent Institutions 83.45 |
Trailing PE 82.64 | Forward PE 33.33 | Enterprise Value 708868910832 | Price to Sales(TTM) 16.9 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 17.35 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 56.65 | Shares Outstanding 899315968 | Shares Floating 897256261 |
Percent Insiders 0.15 | Percent Institutions 83.45 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.22 | Target Price 603.57 | Buy 6 |
Strong Buy 14 | Hold 6 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.22 | Target Price 603.57 | Buy 6 | Strong Buy 14 |
Hold 6 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Eli Lilly and Company: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
- Founded in 1876 by Colonel Eli Lilly as a small pharmaceutical laboratory in Indianapolis, Indiana.
- Pioneered the development of insulin and other life-saving medications.
- Grew through acquisitions and internal R&D to become a global leader in the pharmaceutical industry.
Core Business Areas:
- Biomedicines: Innovative medicines for diabetes, oncology, immunology, and neurology.
- Animal Health: Products for animal wellness, disease prevention, and treatment.
- Consumer Health: Over-the-counter medications and consumer healthcare products.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- David A. Ricks: Chairman and CEO.
- Daniel S. Skovronsky: President and COO.
- Joshua J. Smiley: Chief Financial Officer.
- Decentralized structure with separate business units for each core area.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Top Products: Trulicity (diabetes), Humalog (insulin), Taltz (psoriasis), Verzenio (breast cancer), Forteo (osteoporosis).
- Market Share: Strong global market share in several therapeutic areas, including diabetes (
25%), immunology (10%), and oncology (~5%). - Competition: Faces competition from established players like Novo Nordisk, Sanofi, Bristol Myers Squibb, and Pfizer.
Total Addressable Market:
- Global pharmaceutical market estimated to reach $1.5 trillion by 2026.
- Eli Lilly operates in specific segments within this market, with estimated market sizes:
- Diabetes: $50 billion
- Oncology: $150 billion
- Immunology: $40 billion
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: $28.3 billion in 2022, representing a 5.3% increase year-over-year.
- Net Income: $7.2 billion in 2022, reflecting a 12% increase over 2021.
- Profit Margin: 25.4% in 2022, demonstrating strong profitability.
- EPS: $8.23 in 2022, representing a 5.2% increase.
- Cash Flow: Healthy cash flow from operations of $13.4 billion in 2022.
- Balance Sheet: Strong balance sheet with $20.9 billion in cash and equivalents and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Consistent dividend payer, with a current annual dividend of $3.20 per share, representing a yield of 1.27%.
- Shareholder Returns: Delivered a total return of 40.57% in the past year and 285.21% over the past five years.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Revenue has grown at a CAGR of 7% over the past five years.
- Future Growth: Projected to grow revenue by 5-7% annually over the next five years, driven by new product launches and expansion in emerging markets.
- Growth Initiatives: Investments in R&D, strategic acquisitions, and expansion of biosimilar products.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: Increasing focus on chronic disease management, personalized medicine, and digital health.
- Competitive Landscape: Intense competition with large pharmaceutical companies and growing pressure from generic drug manufacturers.
- Eli Lilly's Positioning: Strong brand recognition, diversified portfolio, and commitment to innovation position the company to navigate market changes.
Competitors:
- Key Competitors: Novo Nordisk (NVO), Sanofi (SNY), Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY), Pfizer (PFE), Merck (MRK).
- Market Share: Eli Lilly holds the second-largest market share in insulin globally (behind Novo Nordisk), with approximately 25%. In other therapeutic areas, the company faces strong competition from various players.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
- Challenges: Generic competition, rising development costs, and regulatory hurdles.
- Opportunities: Growing demand in emerging markets, expansion of biosimilar portfolio, and diversification into new therapeutic areas.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- 2023:
- Akros Therapeutics: $487M, acquisition of RNAi therapeutics company to expand cardiovascular portfolio.
- Pardes Biosciences: $1.85B, acquisition of gene therapy company focused on rare diseases.
- Dermira: $1.15B, acquisition of late-stage dermatology company with promising eczema treatment.
- 2022:
- Protomer Technologies: $1B, acquisition of biopharmaceutical company focused on immuno-oncology.
- Disarm Therapeutics: $1.5B, acquisition of specialty biopharmaceutical company focused on rare diseases.
- 2021:
- Prevail Therapeutics: $2.2B, acquisition of gene therapy company focusing on Parkinson’s disease.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
- Rating: 9 out of 10.
- Justification: Strong financials, competitive market position, and robust R&D pipeline point towards continued growth potential. However, challenges like generic competition and rising costs need to be considered.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Financial Data: Eli Lilly and Company's investor relations website, Yahoo Finance.
- Market Share: IQVIA, EvaluatePharma.
- Industry Trends: Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA), McKinsey & Company.
This information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Eli Lilly and Company
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Indianapolis, IN, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1978-01-13 | Chairman, CEO & President | Mr. David A. Ricks |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.lilly.com |
Industry | Drug Manufacturers - General | Full time employees | 43000 |
Headquaters | Indianapolis, IN, United States | ||
Chairman, CEO & President | Mr. David A. Ricks | ||
Website | https://www.lilly.com | ||
Website | https://www.lilly.com | ||
Full time employees | 43000 |
Eli Lilly and Company discovers, develops, and markets human pharmaceuticals worldwide. The company offers Basaglar, Humalog, Humalog Mix 75/25, Humalog U-100, Humalog U-200, Humalog Mix 50/50, insulin lispro, insulin lispro protamine, insulin lispro mix 75/25, Humulin, Humulin 70/30, Humulin N, Humulin R, and Humulin U-500 for diabetes; Jardiance, Mounjaro, and Trulicity for type 2 diabetes; and Zepbound for obesity. It provides oncology products, including Alimta, Cyramza, Erbitux, Jaypirca, Retevmo, Tyvyt, and Verzenio. In addition, the company offers Olumiant for rheumatoid arthritis, atopic dermatitis, severe alopecia areata, and COVID-19; Taltz for plaque psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, and non-radiographic axial spondylarthritis; Omvoh for ulcerative colitis; Cymbalta for depressive disorder, diabetic peripheral neuropathic pain, generalized anxiety disorder, fibromyalgia, and chronic musculoskeletal pain; Ebglyss for severe atopic dermatitis; and Emgality for migraine prevention and episodic cluster headache. Further, it provides Cialis for erectile dysfunction and benign prostatic hyperplasia; and Forteo for osteoporosis. It operates Lilly Seaport Innovation Center (LSC), a research and development facility in the Boston Seaport to advancing Lilly's efforts in RNA and DNA-based therapies as well as discovering new drug targets to create life-changing medicines across several disease states, including diabetes, obesity, cardiovascular diseases, neurodegeneration, and chronic pain. It has collaborations with Incyte Corporation; Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd and Genentech, Inc.; Biologics, Inc., AbCellera Biologics Inc.; Verge Genomics; and Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd, as well as development collaboration with Eli Lilly and Company for developing QIAstat-Dx IVD panel, for the detection of various APOE genotypes. The company was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.
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