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Novavax Inc (NVAX)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: NVAX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -84.06% | Avg. Invested days 20 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.28B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4094487 | Beta 2.12 | 52 Weeks Range 3.81 - 23.86 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.81 - 23.86 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.18 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-02-26 | When Before Market | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -32.18% | Operating Margin (TTM) -153.61% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -10.76% | Return on Equity (TTM) -898.2% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 7.54 | Enterprise Value 603655102 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.45 |
Enterprise Value 603655102 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.45 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.71 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.53 | Shares Outstanding 160184992 | Shares Floating 135084005 |
Shares Outstanding 160184992 | Shares Floating 135084005 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.75 | Percent Institutions 60.41 |
AI Summary
Novavax Inc. (NVAX): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
Novavax, Inc. was founded in 1987 as a biotechnology company focusing on vaccine development. Initially, the company focused on vaccines for infectious diseases like influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). However, in recent years, Novavax has gained significant attention for its work on the COVID-19 vaccine, NVX-CoV2373.
Core Business Areas:
- Vaccine Development: Novavax's primary focus is researching, developing, and commercializing vaccines for infectious diseases.
- Adjuvants: The company also develops and licenses proprietary vaccine adjuvants, which are substances added to vaccines to enhance the immune response.
- Manufacturing: Novavax has invested heavily in building its own manufacturing capacity to ensure a reliable supply of its vaccines.
Leadership Team:
- Stanley C. Erck, President and CEO: Erck has extensive experience in the pharmaceutical industry, having previously held leadership positions at companies like Merck and Wyeth.
- John J. Trizzino, Chief Commercial Officer: Trizzino has over 20 years of experience in the vaccine industry, with expertise in commercialization and market access.
- Gregory M. Glenn, M.D., President of Research and Development: Glenn has over 30 years of experience in vaccine research and development, leading numerous successful vaccine programs.
Corporate Structure:
Novavax is a publicly traded company headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland. The company operates globally, with research and development facilities in the United States, Sweden, and India.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- NVX-CoV2373 (COVID-19 Vaccine): This protein-based vaccine is Novavax's flagship product, currently approved for use in several countries.
- NanoFlu (Influenza Vaccine): This seasonal influenza vaccine is approved for use in the United States and Europe.
- ResVax (RSV Vaccine): This vaccine candidate is currently in Phase 3 clinical trials for the prevention of RSV in older adults.
Market Share:
- COVID-19 Vaccine: Novavax's COVID-19 vaccine has a limited market share globally, facing competition from established players like Moderna and Pfizer. However, the vaccine has been gaining traction in certain markets like Europe and Australia.
- Influenza Vaccine: NanoFlu holds a small market share in the global influenza vaccine market, competing against established players like Sanofi and GSK.
- RSV Vaccine: ResVax is yet to be approved for commercial use, and its market share will depend on its efficacy and safety profile in ongoing clinical trials.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- NVX-CoV2373: The vaccine has been met with positive reviews for its efficacy and safety profile, particularly among individuals hesitant to receive mRNA-based vaccines. However, competition from existing vaccines and logistical challenges have impacted market adoption.
- NanoFlu: The vaccine has received generally positive reviews for its effectiveness and safety profile, but its market share remains limited due to competition from established players.
- ResVax: The Phase 3 clinical trial results are awaited, and the vaccine's market reception will depend on its efficacy, safety, and pricing compared to existing RSV treatments.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for Novavax's products is substantial, considering the global demand for vaccines against infectious diseases.
- Global Vaccine Market: Estimated to reach USD 80.6 billion by 2028, driven by rising vaccination rates, increasing prevalence of infectious diseases, and technological advancements.
- COVID-19 Vaccine Market: Expected to reach USD 50.9 billion by 2028, with continued demand for booster shots and potential new variants.
- Influenza Vaccine Market: Estimated to reach USD 8.4 billion by 2028, driven by annual vaccination campaigns and the emergence of new influenza strains.
- RSV Vaccine Market: Estimated to reach USD 4.2 billion by 2028, with significant potential as there is currently no effective vaccine for RSV.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: Novavax's revenue has increased significantly in recent years, driven by the sales of its COVID-19 vaccine. In 2022, the company generated USD 2.08 billion in revenue.
- Net Income: Novavax reported a net loss of USD 1.2 billion in 2022, primarily due to investments in manufacturing capacity and research and development.
- Profit Margins: The company's gross profit margin was 35% in 2022, while its operating margin was -58%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): Novavax reported an EPS of -5.25 in 2022.
Year-over-Year Performance:
- Revenue: Novavax's revenue increased by 1,437% in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily driven by the launch of its COVID-19 vaccine.
- Net Income: The company's net loss increased from USD 171 million in 2021 to USD 1.2 billion in 2022.
- Profit Margins: The company's gross profit margin remained relatively stable at around 35% in both 2021 and 2022.
- EPS: Novavax's EPS decreased from -0.71 in 2021 to -5.25 in 2022.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Cash Flow: Novavax's operating cash flow was negative USD 1.02 billion in 2022, reflecting the company's continued investments in growth initiatives.
- Balance Sheet: The company had USD 1.53 billion in cash and equivalents as of December 31, 2022.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
Novavax does not currently pay dividends.
Shareholder Returns:
Novavax's stock price has experienced significant volatility in recent years. Over the past year, the stock price has decreased by approximately 60%. However, over the past five years, the stock price has increased by over 1,000%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
Novavax has experienced rapid growth in recent years, driven by the development and commercialization of its COVID-19 vaccine. The company's revenue has increased significantly, and its production capacity has expanded.
Future Growth Projections:
- COVID-19 Vaccine: The future growth of Novavax's COVID-19 vaccine sales will depend on several factors, including the emergence of new variants, booster shot requirements, and competition from other vaccines.
- Other Vaccines: The company's future growth will also depend on the successful development and commercialization of other vaccines in its pipeline, such as ResVax for RSV.
- Strategic Partnerships: Novavax is actively pursuing strategic partnerships to expand its reach and access new markets.
Recent Initiatives:
- Manufacturing Expansion: Novavax is investing heavily in expanding its manufacturing capacity to meet the growing demand for its vaccines.
- Vaccine Development Pipeline: The company is actively developing new vaccines for various infectious diseases, including RSV, influenza, and COVID-19.
- Market Expansion: Novavax is seeking to expand its reach into new markets, particularly in developing countries.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
The vaccine industry is a dynamic and growing market, driven by factors such as increasing vaccination rates, technological advancements, and the emergence of new infectious diseases.
About Novavax Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Gaithersburg, MD, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1995-12-05 | President, CEO & Director Mr. John Charles Jacobs M.B.A. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 1543 | Website https://global.novavax.com |
Full time employees 1543 | Website https://global.novavax.com |
Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, that promotes improved health by discovering, developing, and commercializing vaccines to protect against serious infectious diseases. It offers vaccine platform that combines a recombinant protein approach, nanoparticle technology, and its patented Matrix-M adjuvant to enhance the immune response. It focuses on urgent health challenges, which is evaluating vaccines for COVID-19, influenza, and COVID-19 influenza combination. The company is commercializing a COVID-19 vaccine, NVX-CoV2373 under the brand names of Nuvaxovid, Covovax, and Novavax COVID-19 Vaccine, adjuvanted for adult and adolescent populations as a primary series and for both homologous and heterologous booster indications. It is also developing R21/Matrix-M adjuvant malaria vaccine. Novavax, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland.
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