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Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc (ARQT)ARQT
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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/23/2024: ARQT (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 56.38% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 08/23/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 56.38% | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/23/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.21B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 18.57 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.07 |
Volume (30-day avg) 2299908 | Beta 1.18 |
52 Weeks Range 1.76 - 13.17 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.21B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 18.57 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.07 | Volume (30-day avg) 2299908 | Beta 1.18 |
52 Weeks Range 1.76 - 13.17 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -150.51% | Operating Margin (TTM) -162.28% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -29.36% | Return on Equity (TTM) -148.92% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 1032738793 | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.18 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.82 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.04 |
Shares Outstanding 116891000 | Shares Floating 85919578 |
Percent Insiders 2.19 | Percent Institutions 110.45 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1032738793 | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.18 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.82 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.04 | Shares Outstanding 116891000 | Shares Floating 85919578 |
Percent Insiders 2.19 | Percent Institutions 110.45 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.43 | Target Price 36.63 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.43 | Target Price 36.63 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc.: Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 2016, Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc. is a dermatology-focused biopharmaceutical company headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
- The company emerged from a merger between Arcutis and Dermatology Therapeutics Inc. in April 2021.
- Arcutis focuses on developing and commercializing novel treatments for inflammatory, immune-mediated skin diseases.
Core Business Areas:
- Arcutis develops and commercializes topical therapies for inflammatory dermatoses, with an emphasis on genetically targeted and differentiated therapeutic solutions.
- Its current pipeline includes eczema, psoriasis, and acne.
Leadership & Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Joshua Goldman, PhD
- CFO: Christopher Mason, CPA, MBA
- Executive Vice President & Chief Medical Officer: Edward B. Lee, MD
- The corporate structure includes a Board of Directors, leadership team, and various committees, with specialists dedicated to research & development, finance, and legal aspects.
Top Products and Market Share:
Product Portfolio:
- ZORYVE™ (roflumilast foam, 0.3%):
- Marketed in the U.S. for topical treatment of plaque psoriasis
- Approved in EU with brand name Enspryng™
- STRATAX™ (roflepinimamab topical ointment) for plaque psoriasis, atopic dermatitis, and other dermatologic inflammatory diseases (Phase 3).
Market Share:
- The dermatology topical market represents approximately $29 Billion globally.
- ZORYVE™ is a new drug competing in the crowded topical PDE4 inhibitor segment for plaque psoriasis, which is estimated to be a $4 bn market in the United States.
- The atopic dermatitis market has a broader reach, estimated at $12 bn in the United States.
Market performance & competitor comparisons:
- ZORYVE™ is achieving market share growth with strong physician acceptance and positive feedback on its efficacy and ease of use.
- It competes with other PDE4 inhibitors like Otezla and PDE4 topical therapies such as Aczone. ZORYVE™ offers advantages like once-daily application compared to twice-daily dosing of other products.
- STRATAX™ is currently in Phase 3 trials and its market performance will depend upon results and future regulatory approval.
Total Addressable Market:
- Global Dermatology Topical Market: Approximately $29 Billion
- Specific Focus Areas:
- Plaque Psoriasis: $4 bn (United States)
- Atopic Dermatitis / Eczema: $12 bn (United States)
Financial Performance:
Recent Financials:
- Q3 2023 Revenue: $43.5 million
- Net Loss: $-43.7 million
- Cash and Cash Equivalents: $202.6 million
- FY 2022 Earnings per share: -2.33 USD
- Year-Over-Year Revenue Growth 85% (Q3 2023 vs Q3 2022)
Cashflow and Balance Sheet Health:
- Arcutis operates with net losses due to its development-stage products and commercial launch of ZORYVE™.
- The company has substantial cash reserves to fund ongoing operations and research & development activities.
- Its current cash position provides runway for continued growth and potential acquisitions.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc. currently does not pay any dividends, as they prioritize reinvesting their earnings in growth opportunities.
- Shareholder total return over the past year (as of Nov 1, 2023) is approximately -42%.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth Rate: 5-year revenue CAGR of 6317%, attributable to the launch and expansion of ZORYVE™.
- Future Projections: Strong launch momentum of ZORYVE™, potential upcoming approval of STRATAX™, and growing product pipeline drive optimistic growth projections.
- Key growth catalysts for the future include expanding market share for ZORYVE™, launching STRATAX™, potential new products from its robust research pipeline, and executing on key acquisitions & out-licensing agreements.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Growth: The global topical dermatology market, particularly for atopic dermatitis and psoriasis therapies, is projected to witness substantial growth due to an increasing prevalence of these chronic skin conditions and a focus on novel therapies.
Key Trends:
- Increased adoption of biologics and targeted therapies
- Rising focus on combination products for better efficacy
- Growing importance of patient convenience and adherence
Arcutis is positioned favorably due to its focus on differentiated and genetically-targeted products that align with these industry trends. The company actively expands and adapts R&D efforts in response to changing market dynamics to stay ahead of competitor offerings.
Competitors:
Key Players:
- Pfizer (PFE)
- AbbVie Inc. (ABBV)
- LEO Pharma A/S (LEO.ST)
- Galderma SA
- Bausch Health Companies Inc. (BHC)
- Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) These players compete with a diverse portfolio in the broader dermatology market with varying product focuses on psoriasis, acne, and other dermatological conditions.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages
- Arcutis's focused strategy in dermatology with innovative product lines like StrataX™ which offers IL-17A and IL-17F dual inhibition.
- However, its reliance on ZORYVE™ and early stages of STRATAX™ development leave the market position somewhat exposed compared to larger, diversified pharmaceutical companies.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Maintaining sales momentum of ZORYVE™ and expanding market presence
- Securing and successfully commercializing future therapies like STRATAX™
- Effectively competing and differentiating against existing treatments
Key Opportunities:
- Addressing unmet patient needs with differentiated product candidates and upcoming clinical development milestones
- Strategic alliances and collaborations for market reach and global expansion
- Potential acquisition and licensing opportunities in an evolving pharmaceutical landscape
Recent Acquisitions:
- Myrexis Inc., 2020: Acquisition focused on expanding its R&D pipeline with an IL-17 siRNA program for potential treatment in various inflammatory diseases including psoriasis and atopic dermatitis. This move strengthens the company's portfolio with novel treatment modalities beyond PDE4 inhibition.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
- Based on available publicly available information as of October 31, 2023, an AI-based fundamental analysis model assigns Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc. an 8.3 out of 10, indicating a positive rating. This is supported by strong revenue growth projections, a promising drug pipeline, and a favorable cash position for continued investment in R&D.
- However, it also considers challenges like potential competitor pressures and clinical setbacks that can affect future growth trajectory.
Sources:
- Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc. (ARCX): www.arcutis.com
- Market data: S&P Global, Yahoo Finance
- Company filings with SEC: Edgar
- Dermatological Society: www.aad.org
- Pharmaceutical research organization and reports as of Nov 04, 2023.
Disclaimer The information above is for illustrative purposes only and not intended as financial advice. Investment decisions should consider the investor's risk tolerance, personal situation, and independent professional guidance as market trends are dynamic and may change over time.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Westlake Village, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2020-01-31 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Todd Franklin Watanabe M.A. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.arcutis.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 296 |
Headquaters | Westlake Village, CA, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Todd Franklin Watanabe M.A. | ||
Website | https://www.arcutis.com | ||
Website | https://www.arcutis.com | ||
Full time employees | 296 |
Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing treatments for dermatological diseases. Its lead product candidate is ARQ-151, a topical roflumilast cream that has completed Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of plaque psoriasis and atopic dermatitis. The company is also developing ARQ-154, a topical ZORYVE for the treatment of scalp and body psoriasis and seborrheic dermatitis; ARQ-252, a selective topical janus kinase type 1 inhibitor for hand eczema and vitiligo; ARQ-255, a topical JAK1 inhibitor for alopecia areata; and ARQ-234, a CD200R fusion protein for the treatment of moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis. The company was formerly known as Arcutis, Inc. and changed its name to Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. in October 2019. Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Westlake Village, California.
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