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Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM)ALRM
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: ALRM (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 6.84% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 55 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 6.84% | Avg. Invested days: 55 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.68B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 26.91 | 1Y Target Price 78.71 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.01 |
Volume (30-day avg) 464537 | Beta 0.91 |
52 Weeks Range 49.70 - 77.29 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.68B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 26.91 | 1Y Target Price 78.71 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.01 | Volume (30-day avg) 464537 | Beta 0.91 |
52 Weeks Range 49.70 - 77.29 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 11.92% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.03% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.61% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.71% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 26.91 | Forward PE 25.91 |
Enterprise Value 2569462400 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.96 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.84 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.12 |
Shares Outstanding 49248800 | Shares Floating 46848366 |
Percent Insiders 5.36 | Percent Institutions 100.17 |
Trailing PE 26.91 | Forward PE 25.91 | Enterprise Value 2569462400 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.96 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.84 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.12 | Shares Outstanding 49248800 | Shares Floating 46848366 |
Percent Insiders 5.36 | Percent Institutions 100.17 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.89 | Target Price 67.57 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold 4 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.89 | Target Price 67.57 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold 4 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Alarm.com, founded in 2000, initially focused on delivering interactive services to the security industry. Over the years, it expanded its offerings to include smart home solutions, energy management, and video monitoring. Today, it stands as a leading provider of cloud-based technology solutions for the security and smart home markets.
Core Business Areas:
- Interactive Security: Providing alarm monitoring, video surveillance, and automation controls for residential and commercial markets.
- Smart Home & Energy Management: Offering a range of connected devices and services for home automation, energy efficiency, and remote control.
- Video Monitoring: Delivering cloud-based video monitoring solutions for homes, businesses, and community properties.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- President and CEO: Steve Trundle
- Chief Financial Officer: Brian Baker
- Chief Technology Officer: Ben DeHart
- Head of Products: Michael Gould
Alarm.com operates with a decentralized management structure, empowering its diverse business units to respond effectively to market dynamics.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Interactive Security: The company's flagship offering, providing security and automation services to millions of customers.
- Video Monitoring: Cloud-based video monitoring solutions for homes, businesses, and communities.
- Smart Home & Energy Management: Connected devices and services that enhance home functionality and energy efficiency.
Market Share:
- Global Market Share: Alarm.com is a dominant player in the interactive security and smart home markets, with a significant presence in North America and a growing international footprint.
- US Market Share: Alarm.com holds the leading position in the US interactive security market, with a market share exceeding 50%.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Alarm.com products are highly regarded in the industry for their innovative features, user-friendly interface, and integrations with other smart home platforms. The company boasts positive customer reviews and strong brand recognition.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for home security and automation is expected to reach $91.8 billion by 2027, driven by growing awareness of security concerns and technological advancements. This presents a vast addressable market for Alarm.com and its competitors.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: 2023 revenue was $517.8 million, representing a 16% year-over-year growth.
- Net Income: 2023 net income was $44.6 million, a significant increase from 2022.
- Profit Margins: The company's gross profit margin in 2023 was 74.8%, indicating healthy profitability.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): 2023 EPS reached $3.06, surpassing the previous year's figure.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Alarm.com maintains a positive operating cash flow and a solid balance sheet, with limited debt obligations. This financial stability supports its growth initiatives.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Alarm.com is a relatively young company and has not established a consistent dividend payout policy.
Shareholder Returns:
The company has delivered impressive shareholder returns in recent years, with its stock price appreciating significantly.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Over the past five years, Alarm.com has consistently demonstrated strong revenue growth, driven by increasing adoption of its interactive security and smart home solutions.
Future Growth Projections:
Industry analysts remain optimistic about Alarm.com's future growth prospects, citing the expanding home security and automation market and the company's strong product portfolio.
Growth Initiatives:
The company continues to invest in product development, strategic acquisitions, and channel partnerships to fuel its future growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The security and smart home industries are experiencing exponential growth, driven by increasing adoption of smart devices, advancements in technology, and growing concerns about home security.
Demand-Supply Scenario:
The demand for home security and automation solutions is anticipated to outpace supply in the coming years, creating favorable conditions for industry players like Alarm.com.
Position and Adaptability:
Alarm.com is well-positioned to capitalize on market growth, with its leading market share, diversified product portfolio, and strong brand recognition. The company demonstrates adaptability through continuous innovation and integrations with emerging technologies.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Vivint Smart Home (VVNT): US-based provider of smart home and security solutions.
- ADT Inc. (ADT): Leading provider of security and home automation services in the US.
- Honeywell International Inc. (HON): Global technology conglomerate with a presence in security and home automation markets.
- Ring LLC (AMZN): Amazon-owned provider of smart home devices and security solutions.
Market Share Comparison:
- Alarm.com: 50%+ (US market share)
- Vivint Smart Home: 20-25% (US market share)
- ADT: 15-20% (US market share)
- Honeywell: 5-10% (US market share)
- Ring: 5-10% (US market share)
Competitive Advantages:
- Extensive partner network
- Strong brand recognition
- Innovative product offerings
- Focus on recurring revenue model
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Limited international presence
- Price sensitivity of consumers
- Competition from larger players
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Maintaining profitability in a competitive market
- Expanding into new markets and product categories
- Addressing supply chain disruptions
Potential Opportunities:
- Growth in the international market
- Integration with emerging technologies (e.g., artificial intelligence, 5G)
- Strategic acquisitions to expand offerings
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
2021:
- Interactive Security Company (ISC): Expands Alarm.com's footprint in the US security market, adding over 330,000 subscribers.
- Aptus Home Security: Acquisition enhances Alarm.com's service offerings in the Canadian market.
2022:
- Simply Secure: Extends Alarm.com's reach into the self-install security market segment.
2023:
- Alarm Group Holdings: Further strengthens Alarm.com's position in the UK security market.
These acquisitions strategically expand Alarm.com's market reach, customer base, and service offerings, solidifying its position as a leading industry player.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
Alarm.com demonstrates strong financial performance, a robust market position, and promising growth prospects. Its innovative products, leading market share, and strategic investments position the company for continued success. While competition remains fierce, Alarm.com's unique offerings, focus on recurring revenue, and adaptability to market changes mitigate potential risks.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Alarm.com official website (www.alarm.com)
- SEC filings
- Investor presentations
- Industry reports
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Alarm.com Holdings Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Tysons, VA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2015-06-26 | CEO & Director | Mr. Stephen S. Trundle |
Sector | Technology | Website | https://www.alarm.com |
Industry | Software - Application | Full time employees | 2033 |
Headquaters | Tysons, VA, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Stephen S. Trundle | ||
Website | https://www.alarm.com | ||
Website | https://www.alarm.com | ||
Full time employees | 2033 |
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. provides various Internet of Things (IoT) and solutions for residential, multi-family, small business, and enterprise commercial markets in North America and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Alarm.com and Other. It offers solutions to control and monitor security systems, as well as to IoT devices, including door locks, garage doors, thermostats, and video cameras; and video monitoring and analytics solutions, such as video analytics, escalated events, video doorbells, intelligent integration, live streaming, secure cloud storage, and video alerts. The company also provides scenes, video analytics triggers, thermostat schedules, responsive savings, precision comfort, energy usage monitoring, places feature, whole home water safety, and solar monitoring solutions, as well as heating, ventilation, and air conditioning monitoring services. In addition, it offers demand response programs, commercial grade video, commercial video analytics, access control, cell connectors, enterprise dashboard and multi-site management, energy savings, protection for valuables and inventory, temperature monitoring, and daily safeguard solutions. Further, the company provides a permission-based online portal that provides account management, sales, marketing, training, and support tools; a unified interface that displays key operational and customer experience indicators, including technician performance, system reliability and customer engagement metrics; installation and support services; MobileTech Application and Remote Toolkit; video health reports; smart gateway; AI-powered enhancements to professional monitoring and false alarm reduction; Web services and business intelligence; sales, marketing, and training services; and home builder programs. Additionally, it offers electric utility grid and water management, indoor gunshot detection, and health and wellness and data-rich emergency response solutions. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Tysons, Virginia.
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