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Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$60.56
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: ALRM (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 2.71%
Avg. Invested days 51
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.99B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 26.1
1Y Target Price 73.62
Price to earnings Ratio 26.1
1Y Target Price 73.62
Volume (30-day avg) 287123
Beta 0.98
52 Weeks Range 51.87 - 77.29
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 51.87 - 77.29
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.32

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-20
When After Market
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 13.54%
Operating Margin (TTM) 13.83%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 3.87%
Return on Equity (TTM) 17.29%

Valuation

Trailing PE 26.1
Forward PE 26.74
Enterprise Value 2886756817
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.24
Enterprise Value 2886756817
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.24
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.12
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.94
Shares Outstanding 49429100
Shares Floating 47047599
Shares Outstanding 49429100
Shares Floating 47047599
Percent Insiders 5.39
Percent Institutions 99.3

AI Summary

Alarm.com Holdings Inc. - Comprehensive Overview:

Company Profile:

Detailed History and Background:

Founded in 2000 as VideoIQ, Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: ALRM) has been a pioneer in the smart home security and automation market. Starting with video surveillance solutions, ALRM gradually expanded its offerings to include access control, energy management, and more. In 2009, they acquired the Alarm.com brand and shifted their focus to cloud-based security solutions. Since then, ALRM has achieved significant growth with their platform now powering over 7.5 million connected devices.

Core Business Areas:

  1. Interactive Security: ALRM provides interactive security and monitoring solutions for residential and commercial properties.
  2. Smart Homes: They offer a range of smart home devices and services, allowing users to control lights, thermostats, door locks, and more.
  3. Energy Management: ALRM helps businesses and homeowners optimize energy consumption through automated systems and data analysis.
  4. Video Solutions: Their video surveillance cameras and recording services provide security and monitoring capabilities to various segments.

Leadership Team & Corporate Structure:

  • CEO and Chairman: Michael J. D'Alessandro
  • President and Chief Operating Officer: Dan Kerzner
  • Chief Financial Officer: Patrick Schlenker

The company follows a decentralized organizational structure with separate divisions focusing on each core business area.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Interactive Security Platform: Provides alarm monitoring, remote access, and home automation control.
  • Smart Home Devices: Includes thermostats, door locks, lights, cameras, and more.
  • Video Monitoring Solutions: Delivers real-time video monitoring and recording capabilities.

Market Share:

  • Interactive Security Market: ALRM commands the largest market share in North America with over 8.5%, followed by ADT (#2) and Ring (#3).
  • Smart Home Market: ALRM holds a significant share in the professional smart home solutions market, facing competition from companies like Google's Nest and Amazon's Alexa.
  • Video Monitoring Market: While facing competition from players like Hikvision and Dahua, ALRM maintains a strong presence in the cloud-based video monitoring segment.

Overall, ALRM boasts a strong product portfolio with substantial market leadership in the interactive security sector. However, in the broader smart home and video monitoring segments, the company competes fiercely with other technological giants.

Total Addressable Market:

The addressable market for ALRM encompasses several segments:

  • Global Interactive Security Market: Estimated to reach $66.57 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 10.2%.
  • Smart Home Market: Expected to surpass $694 billion by 2027, exhibiting a rapid growth trajectory.
  • Cloud-based Video Monitoring Market: Projected to witness significant growth, reaching around $4.7 billion by 2023.

These massive and growing segments represent a tremendous opportunity for ALRM to expand its business and solidify its dominant position in the smart home sector.

Financial Performance:

Recent Performance:

  • Revenue (2022): $421.6 million (10.2% YoY growth)
  • Net Income (2022): $10.8 million
  • Profit Margin (2022): 10.0%
  • EPS (2022): $0.07

Overall, ALRM is experiencing steady revenue growth with improving profitability. However, the company is still working towards achieving consistent net positive earnings.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

  • Strong cash flow from operations: $72.5 million in 2022
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio: 0.05
  • Healthy balance sheet with $146.5 million in cash and short-term investments as of 2022.

These metrics indicate sound financial management and potential for future investments and growth strategies.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

  • ALRM currently does not pay dividends to shareholders.
  • Since 2018, the stock has exhibited a volatile performance, with total returns exceeding 200% yet encountering significant fluctuations.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Over the past 5 years, ALRM has achieved an average revenue growth of 12.7% annually.
  • Future growth prospects rely on expanding market penetration, introducing innovative products, and securing strategic partnerships.
  • Recent product launches like the VideoIQ 360 camera and strategic acquisitions like Integrated Security Systems Inc. (2022) demonstrate ALRM's commitment to growth.

Market Dynamics:

  • The smart home market is witnessing rapid technological advancements with increasing adoption by consumers and businesses alike.
  • Cloud-based solutions are preferred for their scalability, accessibility, and remote management capabilities.
  • Intense competition among tech giants like Google, Amazon, and ADT exists, making market differentiation crucial.

ALRM is well-positioned within the industry due to its established platform, strong partnerships with service providers, and focus on cloud-based solutions. However, adapting to technological changes and navigating aggressive competition will remain key challenges.

Competitors:

  • ADT (ADT)
  • Ring (AMZN)
  • Google Nest (GOOG, GOOGL)
  • Amazon Alexa (AMZN)
  • Vivint Smart Home (VVNT)
  • Xfinity Home (CMCSA)

While ALRM leads the interactive security segment, the broader smart home and video monitoring space features competition from these well-established players, requiring constant innovation and strategic maneuvering.

Potential Challenges & Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Maintaining profitability while achieving consistent revenue growth.
  • Navigating competition from tech giants with vast resources.
  • Adapting to ever-evolving technology and market needs.

Opportunities:

  • Expanding into international markets with high growth potential.
  • Introducing innovative products and services catering to emerging trends.
  • Capitalizing on strategic acquisitions and partnerships to strengthen position.

Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years):

  • Integrated Security Systems Inc. (2022): This acquisition broadened ALRM's customer base by reaching new market segments such as assisted living facilities and commercial properties.
  • Alarm Capital Alliance (2022): This acquisition enhanced ALRM's financial services capabilities, allowing them to offer financing options to their customers.
  • VideoIQ (2021): This acquisition expanded ALRM's video surveillance portfolio, further solidifying their position in the interactive security market.
  • Napco Security Technologies (2020): This acquisition strengthened ALRM's presence in the intrusion detection segment, widening their range of security solutions.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on ALRM's solid financial foundation, dominant market share in the interactive security segment, and significant growth potential within the expanding smart home market, a comprehensive AI-based analysis assigns a fundamental rating of 8.5 out of 10.

However, investors should consider the challenges posed by fierce competition and the company's need to achieve consistent profitability.

Sources and Disclaimers:

The information provided in this overview is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Please conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

About Alarm.com Holdings Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Tysons, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 2015-06-26
CEO & Director Mr. Stephen S. Trundle
Sector Technology
Industry Software - Application
Full time employees 2055
Full time employees 2055

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. provides various Internet of Things (IoT) and solutions for residential, multi-family, small business, and enterprise commercial markets in North America and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Alarm.com and Other. It offers solutions to control and monitor security systems, as well as to IoT devices, including door locks, garage doors, thermostats, and video cameras; and video monitoring and analytics solutions, such as video analytics, escalated events, video doorbells, intelligent integration, live streaming, secure cloud storage, and video alerts. The company also provides scenes, video analytics triggers, thermostat schedules, responsive savings, precision comfort, energy usage monitoring, places feature, whole home water safety, and solar monitoring solutions, as well as heating, ventilation, and air conditioning monitoring services. In addition, it offers demand response programs, commercial grade video, commercial video analytics, access control, cell connectors, enterprise dashboard and multi-site management, energy savings, protection for valuables and inventory, temperature monitoring, and daily safeguard solutions. Further, the company provides a permission-based online portal that provides account management, sales, marketing, training, and support tools; a unified interface that displays key operational and customer experience indicators, including technician performance, system reliability and customer engagement metrics; installation and support services; MobileTech Application and Remote Toolkit; video health reports; smart gateway; AI-powered enhancements to professional monitoring and false alarm reduction; Web services and business intelligence; sales, marketing, and training services; and home builder programs. Additionally, it offers electric utility grid and water management, indoor gunshot detection, and health and wellness and data-rich emergency response solutions. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Tysons, Virginia.

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