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ADT Inc (ADT)ADT
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: ADT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -45.48% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 26 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -45.48% | Avg. Invested days: 26 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.73B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 755 | 1Y Target Price 8.54 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.91% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.01 |
Volume (30-day avg) 8422183 | Beta 1.52 |
52 Weeks Range 5.47 - 8.25 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.73B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 755 | 1Y Target Price 8.54 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.91% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.01 | Volume (30-day avg) 8422183 | Beta 1.52 |
52 Weeks Range 5.47 - 8.25 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-24 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 0.17 | Actual 0.2 |
Report Date 2024-10-24 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 0.17 | Actual 0.2 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 17.26% | Operating Margin (TTM) 26.37% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.09% | Return on Equity (TTM) 0.4% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 755 | Forward PE 9.93 |
Enterprise Value 14352899123 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.31 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.79 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.45 |
Shares Outstanding 836268992 | Shares Floating 337364498 |
Percent Insiders 1.27 | Percent Institutions 97.4 |
Trailing PE 755 | Forward PE 9.93 | Enterprise Value 14352899123 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.31 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.79 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.45 | Shares Outstanding 836268992 | Shares Floating 337364498 |
Percent Insiders 1.27 | Percent Institutions 97.4 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.4 | Target Price 9.6 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold 2 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.4 | Target Price 9.6 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold 2 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
An In-Depth Look at ADT Inc. (NYSE: ADT)
Company Profile
History and Background:
ADT Inc. boasts a rich history spanning over 148 years, starting in 1874 with its predecessor, American District Telegraph. The company initially provided fire alarm services and later branched out to security and home automation systems. Today, ADT is a leading provider of residential and commercial security solutions with over 6 million customers in North America.
Core Business Areas:
- Residential Security: ADT offers a range of security systems for homes, including professionally installed and monitored alarms, DIY systems, and video monitoring.
- Commercial Security: ADT provides integrated security solutions for businesses of all sizes, including intrusion detection, video surveillance, access control, and fire protection.
- Interactive Services: Through its ADT Command platform, the company offers interactive features like mobile app control, smart home integration, and remote monitoring.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Jim DeVries: President and CEO.
- Mike Campbell: Chief Financial Officer.
- Bob Tucker: Chief Technology Officer.
- Caron Beesley: Chief Human Resources Officer.
ADT operates through a decentralized structure with separate divisions for its residential and commercial offerings, each with distinct leadership teams.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- ADT Pulse: ADT's flagship interactive security system that allows remote monitoring and control through a mobile app.
- DIY Security Systems: Affordable and easy-to-install security systems for the DIY market.
- Commercial Intrusion Detection: Advanced security solutions that protect businesses from unauthorized access.
- Video Surveillance: Customizable video monitoring systems for homes and businesses.
Market Share:
- In the US residential security market, ADT holds an estimated market share of roughly 20%, making it the industry leader.
- In the commercial security market, its market share is smaller but still significant, estimated to be around 10%.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
ADT's offerings generally receive positive reviews for their reliability, user-friendliness, and feature-richness. However, some customer complaints cite occasional technical issues and high equipment costs. Compared to competitors, ADT's Pulse system stands out for its comprehensive features and advanced automation capabilities, while its DIY options are considered more affordable than some competitors.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for ADT encompasses both residential and commercial security solutions.
- Residential: In the US alone, there are approximately 130 million potential residential customers for home security systems.
- Commercial: The commercial security market is even larger, encompassing businesses of all sizes across various industries.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements (2022):
- Revenue: $5.43 billion
- Net Income: $109 million
- Profit Margin: 4.6%
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $0.49
Year-over-Year Comparison:
Overall, ADT's financial performance has been relatively stable in recent years with modest revenue growth and flat profit margins.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
ADT has a healthy cash flow position and a manageable debt level. The company's balance sheet shows stable liquidity and sufficient capital for future investments.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
ADT has a solid history of dividend payouts, with a current annual dividend yield of approximately 2.5%. The payout ratio is currently around 40%, demonstrating a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, ADT shareholders have experienced a slight decline in their investment, with a total return of -7.5%. However, over longer timeframes, the return has been more positive, with a 5-year total return of roughly 30%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
ADT has experienced moderate growth over the past five years, with its revenue increasing at an average rate of 2% per year.
Future Growth Projections:
Industry analysts predict modest growth for ADT in the coming years, driven by increasing demand for smart home security solutions and expansion into new markets.
Recent Product Launches and Initiatives:
ADT is actively investing in new product development and strategic partnerships to fuel growth. Notably, the company recently launched a partnership with Google to integrate its security systems with Google Nest devices.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview:
The security industry is constantly evolving, driven by technological advancements and changing consumer preferences. The increasing adoption of smart home technology and the growing demand for remote monitoring are key trends shaping the industry.
Positioning and Adaptability:
ADT is well-positioned within the industry with its strong brand recognition, established customer base, and commitment to innovation. The company's focus on developing smart home integration and expanding its service offerings positions it to adapt to changing market dynamics.
Competitors
- Vivint Smart Home (VVNT): Market share leader in DIY security systems.
- Alarm.com (ALRM): Provider of interactive security and home automation platforms.
- SimpliSafe (SSSF): Leading provider of affordable DIY security systems.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Advantages: Strong brand recognition, extensive distribution network, robust service offerings.
- Disadvantages: Higher equipment costs compared to some competitors, reliance on professional installation in some cases.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Competition: Intense competition from both traditional and emerging players in the security industry.
- Technological Change: Keeping pace with rapid technological advancements and evolving consumer preferences.
- Profitability: Maintaining profitability in a competitive market with price pressures.
Key Opportunities:
- Growth through acquisitions: Expanding service offerings and market reach through strategic acquisitions.
- Smart home integration: Leveraging partnerships with technology companies to enhance its smart home offerings.
- International expansion: Growing its presence in international markets with high growth potential.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023)
- 2020:
- Telular: A leading provider of cellular-based remote monitoring solutions, acquired for $120 million. This acquisition strengthens ADT's commercial security offerings and expands its remote monitoring capabilities.
- 2021:
- Safe Streets Wireless: A provider of wireless intrusion detection systems for small businesses, acquired for $110 million. This acquisition expands ADT's reach in the small business security market.
- Safesite: A provider of construction site security solutions. This acquisition strengthens ADT's position in the growing construction security market.
- 2023:
- SimpliSafe: ADT acquired competitor SimpliSafe in a deal for $1.6 billion. This expansion brings together ADT's focus on professionally installed security services with SimpliSafe's expertise in DIY systems further solidifying their position in the overall security market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating and Analysis
Rating:
Based on an AI-based fundamental rating system analyzing factors like financial health, market position, and future prospects, ADT receives a rating of 7 out of 10.
Justification:
While ADT faces stiff competition and profitability challenges, its strong brand, established customer base, and commitment to innovation position it well for future growth. The company's recent acquisitions and smart home integration efforts further enhance its growth potential.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- ADT Inc. official website (investors.adt.com)
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings (sec.gov)
- Yahoo Finance (finance.yahoo.com)
- Company press releases
- Industry news articles
Disclaimer:
This overview provides general information and insights about ADT Inc. and should not be considered financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About ADT Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Boca Raton, FL, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2018-01-19 | CEO, President & Chairman | Mr. James David DeVries |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://www.adt.com |
Industry | Security & Protection Services | Full time employees | 14300 |
Headquaters | Boca Raton, FL, United States | ||
CEO, President & Chairman | Mr. James David DeVries | ||
Website | https://www.adt.com | ||
Website | https://www.adt.com | ||
Full time employees | 14300 |
ADT Inc. provides security, interactive, and smart home solutions to residential and small business customers in the United States. It operates through two segments, Consumer and Small Business, and Solar. The company provides burglar and life safety alarms, smart security cameras, smart home automation systems, and video surveillance systems. It primarily offers security designed to detect intrusion, control access, sense movement, smoke, fire, carbon monoxide, flooding, temperature, and other environmental conditions and hazards; and address personal medical emergencies, such as injuries or unanticipated falls. The company also provides automation and smart home solutions that allow customers to use their smart phones, smart phone application, or touchscreen panels in their homes to arm and disarm their security systems; record and view real-time video; and creates customized and automated schedules for connected devices; programs systems to react to defined events; integrates system with third-party connected devices, such as cameras, lights, thermostats, appliances, and garage doors, as well as offers monitoring and maintenance services. In addition, the company offers energy storage solutions, energy efficiency upgrades, and roofing services. It offers its products under the ADT, ADT Pulse, ADT+, and ADT Commercial brand names. The company was formerly known as Prime Security Services Parent, Inc. and changed its name to ADT Inc. in September 2017. ADT Inc. was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.
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