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agilon health Inc (AGL)AGL
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: AGL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -30% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 21 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -30% | Avg. Invested days: 21 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.50B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.17 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.54 |
Volume (30-day avg) 4207340 | Beta 0.54 |
52 Weeks Range 3.07 - 20.37 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.50B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.17 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.54 | Volume (30-day avg) 4207340 | Beta 0.54 |
52 Weeks Range 3.07 - 20.37 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -5.66% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2.87% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -6.95% | Return on Equity (TTM) -27.85% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 178.57 |
Enterprise Value 1142858526 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.28 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.22 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -104.52 |
Shares Outstanding 411483008 | Shares Floating 305735863 |
Percent Insiders 1.79 | Percent Institutions 111.39 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 178.57 | Enterprise Value 1142858526 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.28 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.22 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -104.52 | Shares Outstanding 411483008 | Shares Floating 305735863 |
Percent Insiders 1.79 | Percent Institutions 111.39 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.47 | Target Price 28.6 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 12 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.47 | Target Price 28.6 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 12 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Agilon Health Inc. (NYSE: AGLN) - Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
- History and Background: Agilon Health is a technology-enabled healthcare services company founded in 2010. The company initially focused on operating and managing skilled nursing and senior living facilities. In recent years, Agilon has shifted its focus towards developing and implementing technology-based solutions for healthcare providers, specifically in post-acute care settings.
- Core Business Areas: Agilon operates in two primary segments:
- Agilon Care Center Network: This segment comprises skilled nursing and senior living facilities that Agilon partners with. The company manages these facilities and provides them with operational and clinical support.
- Agilon Therapeutics: This segment develops and markets technology-based solutions, including telehealth platforms, data analytics tools, and remote patient monitoring devices. Agilon aims to improve care quality, reduce costs, and enhance patient engagement within post-acute care settings.
- Leadership and Corporate Structure: Agilon's current leadership team includes CEO Mark Wilson, CFO Mark Eichorn, COO Michael Schuler, and CMO Michael Sherman. The company has a board of directors composed of experienced individuals from diverse backgrounds in healthcare, technology, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Products:
- CareOps Platform: A cloud-based platform for managing care delivery in post-acute settings, offering features like patient care coordination, clinical documentation, and quality reporting.
- PatientCareConnect: A telehealth solution facilitating virtual visits between post-acute patients and their healthcare providers.
- Market Share: As of March 31, 2023, Agilon operated 45 skilled nursing facilities in 12 states. The company's CareOps platform was utilized in over 2,100 post-acute care facilities across the US. While Agilon holds a strong footprint in the post-acute market, it is difficult to determine its precise market share due to the fragmented nature of the industry.
- Competitors: Key competitors include Amedisys (AMED), LHC Group (LHCG), and Encompass Health Corporation (EHC)
- Market Share Comparison: Agilon falls behind these companies in terms of overall market share. However, it is worth noting that Agilon has a distinct focus on technological solutions, which could differentiate it from competitors in the long run.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
- The TAM for post-acute care services in the US amounted to $252.5 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach $332.8 billion by 2028. This signifies a substantial growth potential for Agilon.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue Growth: Agilon's revenue has grown steadily in recent years. In 2022, the company reported $938 million in revenue, representing a 24% year-over-year increase.
- Profitability: Agilon has transitioned from profitability to reporting net losses in recent quarters. This is partly due to increased investments in technology development and market expansion.
- Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: The company has a healthy cash balance and relatively low debt. However, the recent losses have impacted its cash flow from operations.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Agilon does not currently pay dividends.
- Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, AGLN stock has experienced a significant decline, reflecting the company's recent performance and market sentiment towards growth stocks.
Growth Trajectory & Recent Initiatives:
- Historical Growth: Agilon demonstrated impressive revenue growth over the past five years. However, profitability challenges raise concerns regarding future growth sustainability.
- Future Projections and Initiatives: Agilon has ambitious plans to expand its technology solutions into a wider network of post-acute facilities. The company's success in this endeavor will significantly impact its future growth prospects.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: The post-acute care industry is undergoing a digital transformation, with growing adoption of technology to improve care coordination, reduce costs, and enhance patient experience. This trend presents significant opportunities for companies like Agilon.
- Competitive Landscape and Positioning: While Agilon faces competition from established players, its technology-driven approach holds the potential to differentiate the company and capture a larger market share.
Key Challenges and Opportunities:
- Challenges: Agilon needs to demonstrate consistent profitability and effectively manage operating expenses. Additionally, attracting and retaining skilled nursing facilities to its network remains a key challenge.
- Opportunities: The expanding post-acute care market, the increasing adoption of telehealth solutions, and potential acquisitions present lucrative growth opportunities for Agilon.
Recent Acquisitions (Past 3 Years):
- February 2023: Agilon acquired Kindred at Home, an in-home care provider for $450 million. This acquisition strengthened Agilon's position in the post-acute care continuum by providing a seamless transition between facility-based and home-based care services.
- August 2022: Agilon acquired Altegra Telehealth, a provider of Telehealth services for skilled nursing and long-term care facilities. This move expanded Agilon's CareOps Platform's reach and enhanced its telehealth capabilities.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
- Rating: 7 out of 10.
- Justification: Agilon has a solid business model addressing a large and expanding market. The company's focus on technology-driven solutions holds the potential to disrupt the post-acute care industry. However, its recent financial performance and the competitive landscape pose some challenges. The company's ability to successfully execute its growth strategy will determine the long-term success of its stock.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Sources: This analysis utilized information from Agilon Health's website, SEC filings, press releases, financial news websites, and industry reports.
- Disclaimer: This information is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to invest or trade in AGLN stock. It is essential to conduct thorough due diligence before making investment decisions.
This overview provides key insights into Agilon Health and its position in the post-acute care market. The company's focus on technological innovation presents exciting growth prospects, while addressing profitability challenges remains crucial for its future success.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About agilon health Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Austin, TX, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2021-04-15 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Steven Jackson Sell |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.agilonhealth.com |
Industry | Medical Care Facilities | Full time employees | 1117 |
Headquaters | Austin, TX, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Steven Jackson Sell | ||
Website | https://www.agilonhealth.com | ||
Website | https://www.agilonhealth.com | ||
Full time employees | 1117 |
agilon health, inc. provides healthcare services for seniors through primary care physicians in the communities of the United States. It offers a platform that manages the total healthcare needs of the patients by subscription-like per-member per-month. The company was formerly known as Agilon Health Topco, Inc. and changed its name to agilon health, inc. in March 2021. agilon health, inc. was founded in 2016 and is based in Austin, Texas.
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