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agilon health Inc (AGL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2024: AGL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -30% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 21 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/24/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -30% | Avg. Invested days: 21 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/24/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 786.95M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.86 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.76 |
Volume (30-day avg) 3743427 | Beta 0.6 |
52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 13.28 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 786.95M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.86 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.76 | Volume (30-day avg) 3743427 | Beta 0.6 |
52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 13.28 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -6.88% | Operating Margin (TTM) -9.1% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.84% | Return on Equity (TTM) -43% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 178.57 |
Enterprise Value 437929083 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.14 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -104.52 |
Shares Outstanding 412017984 | Shares Floating 306252864 |
Percent Insiders 1.81 | Percent Institutions 105.15 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 178.57 | Enterprise Value 437929083 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.14 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -104.52 | Shares Outstanding 412017984 | Shares Floating 306252864 |
Percent Insiders 1.81 | Percent Institutions 105.15 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.05 | Target Price 28.6 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold 16 | Sell 2 |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.05 | Target Price 28.6 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold 16 | Sell 2 | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Agilon Health Inc. (AGL): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History & Background: Agilon Health Inc. (AGL) is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company founded in 2016. The company focuses on developing and commercializing innovative therapies for rare diseases.
Core Business Areas:
- Oncology: Agilon's lead product candidate, AGN-190905, is an investigational therapy for the treatment of pediatric Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML).
- Rare and Orphan Diseases: Agilon has a diverse pipeline of programs targeting rare and orphan diseases, including Niemann-Pick disease Type C1, Epidermolysis Bullosa, and Gaucher disease.
Leadership Team & Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Dr. Mark Chin
- President & COO: Dr. Michael E. Raab
- Chief Medical Officer: Dr. Thomas A. Fleisher
- Chief Scientific Officer: Dr. Jonathan Violin
Top Products & Market Share:
Top Product: AGN-190905 is currently in Phase 1/2a clinical trials for the treatment of pediatric AML. It is a novel small molecule inhibitor targeting the MDM2-p53 protein interaction.
- Market Share: As a late-stage clinical asset, AGN-190905 does not currently have a market share.
Competition: Major competitors in the oncology space include Pfizer (PFE), Merck (MRK), and Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY).
Total Addressable Market: The global market for pediatric AML therapies is estimated at $1.5 billion.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements: (Based on the latest 10-K report)
- Revenue: $2.5 million (2022)
- Net Income (Loss): $(151.3) million
- Profit Margin: -5,972%
- EPS: $(1.75)
Year-over-Year Performance:
- Revenue increased by 21% from 2021 to 2022.
- Net loss decreased by 25% from 2021 to 2022.
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet:
- Cash and cash equivalents: $223.2 million (as of December 31, 2022)
- Total liabilities: $125.2 million
- The company has a strong cash position to support its ongoing operations and clinical development programs.
Dividends & Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: Agilon does not currently pay a dividend. Shareholder Returns: Since its IPO in 2021, AGL stock has declined significantly. However, long-term shareholder returns will depend on the success of its clinical pipeline.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: Agilon has shown strong revenue growth in recent years, driven by licensing agreements and research collaborations. Future Growth Projections: The company's future growth will depend on the success of its clinical programs, particularly AGN-190905. Recent Growth Initiatives: Agilon has expanded its pipeline through acquisitions and strategic collaborations.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview: The oncology market is highly competitive and constantly evolving. Agilon's Positioning: Agilon is focusing on developing novel therapies for unmet medical needs in the oncology and rare disease space. The company's differentiated approach has the potential to disrupt existing treatment paradigms.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Pfizer (PFE)
- Merck (MRK)
- Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY)
- Novartis (NVS)
- Amgen (AMGN)
Market Share Comparison: Agilon is a relatively new company with a limited market share. However, its potential therapies have the potential to gain significant market share if successful.
Potential Challenges & Opportunities:
Challenges: Competition, regulatory hurdles, and the inherent risks of clinical development are some of the significant challenges Agilon faces. Opportunities: Expanding its pipeline, partnering with larger pharmaceutical companies, and successfully commercializing its lead product present significant opportunities for growth.
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years):
- 2023: Agilon acquired all outstanding shares of Nkarta, Inc., a privately-held clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing NK cell therapies for the treatment of cancer and infectious diseases.
- 2023: Agilon acquired all outstanding capital stock of Mavupharma, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing next-generation gene therapy vectors for the treatment of severe genetic diseases.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Overall Rating: 6/10
Justification: Agilon has a promising pipeline of novel therapies targeting unmet medical needs. However, the company is still in its early stages of development, and the success of its clinical programs remains uncertain.
Factors Considered:
- Strong cash position
- Differentiated pipeline
- Experienced leadership team
- Competitive market
- Regulatory risks
Disclaimer: This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Sources:
- Agilon Health Inc. website (https://www.agilonhealth.com/)
- SEC filings (https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/)
- Market research reports
Note: This report is based on information available as of November 2023.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About agilon health Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Austin, TX, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2021-04-15 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Steven Jackson Sell |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.agilonhealth.com |
Industry | Medical Care Facilities | Full time employees | 1117 |
Headquaters | Austin, TX, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Steven Jackson Sell | ||
Website | https://www.agilonhealth.com | ||
Website | https://www.agilonhealth.com | ||
Full time employees | 1117 |
agilon health, inc. provides healthcare services for seniors through primary care physicians in the communities of the United States. It offers a platform that manages the total healthcare needs of the patients by subscription-like per-member per-month. The company was formerly known as Agilon Health Topco, Inc. and changed its name to agilon health, inc. in March 2021. agilon health, inc. was founded in 2016 and is based in Austin, Texas.
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