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agilon health Inc (AGL)AGL
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: AGL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -30% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 21 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -30% | Avg. Invested days: 21 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 655.11M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.63 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.76 |
Volume (30-day avg) 4802332 | Beta 0.6 |
52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 13.76 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 655.11M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3.63 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.76 | Volume (30-day avg) 4802332 | Beta 0.6 |
52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 13.76 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate -0.11 | Actual -0.29 |
Report Date 2024-11-07 | When AfterMarket | Estimate -0.11 | Actual -0.29 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -6.88% | Operating Margin (TTM) -9.1% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.84% | Return on Equity (TTM) -43% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 178.57 |
Enterprise Value 306083373 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.12 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.05 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -104.52 |
Shares Outstanding 412017984 | Shares Floating 306252864 |
Percent Insiders 1.79 | Percent Institutions 104.97 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 178.57 | Enterprise Value 306083373 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.12 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.05 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -104.52 | Shares Outstanding 412017984 | Shares Floating 306252864 |
Percent Insiders 1.79 | Percent Institutions 104.97 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.05 | Target Price 28.6 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold 13 | Sell 2 |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.05 | Target Price 28.6 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold 13 | Sell 2 | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Agilon Health Inc. (NYSE: AGLN) - A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
- Founded in 2013, Agilon Health Inc. is a leading provider of in-home medical care services for chronically ill patients.
- The company operates in two segments: VillageMD and CareAcademy.
- VillageMD manages primary care practices, while CareAcademy provides educational resources and training for healthcare professionals.
- In 2022, Agilon Health merged with Humana Inc. (NYSE: HUM), a major health insurance company, creating a combined organization focused on value-based care delivery.
Core Business Areas:
- VillageMD: Delivering primary care services through physician-led practices, with a focus on chronic care management and preventive health.
- CareAcademy: Providing educational resources and training programs for healthcare professionals, including nurses, pharmacists, and community health workers.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Tim Barry: Chairman and CEO of Agilon Health. Experienced healthcare executive with a track record of leading successful businesses.
- Brent C. Kessel: President of Agilon Health. Extensive experience in healthcare operations and business development.
- Brian D. Henry: CFO of Agilon Health. Strong financial background and experience in managing complex financial operations.
Top Products and Market Share:
- VillageMD Physician Practices: Operating over 700 primary care practices in 15 states, focusing on value-based care delivery.
- CareAcademy: Offering a comprehensive online platform with over 1 million users, providing continuing education and training for healthcare professionals.
- Market Share:
- VillageMD: Holds a significant market share in the growing primary care market, with a focus on value-based care.
- CareAcademy: Leading provider of online education and training resources for healthcare professionals.
- Competitive Landscape: VillageMD competes with other primary care providers such as One Medical (ONEM) and Privia Health (PRVA), while CareAcademy competes with other healthcare training platforms like Medscape and Unbound Medicine.
Total Addressable Market:
- The US primary care market is estimated to be worth over $300 billion, with expected growth driven by an aging population and increasing demand for chronic disease management.
- The global healthcare education and training market is valued at over $20 billion, with significant growth potential due to the evolving healthcare landscape and increasing demand for skilled healthcare professionals.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: Agilon Health's revenue has grown significantly in recent years, driven by the expansion of VillageMD and CareAcademy.
- Net Income: The company has been profitable in recent quarters, with increasing profitability expected as the VillageMD integration progresses.
- Profit Margins: Both VillageMD and CareAcademy have healthy profit margins, indicating strong operational efficiency.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS has grown steadily in recent years, reflecting the company's strong financial performance.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Agilon Health does not currently pay a dividend.
- Shareholder Returns: The company's stock has performed well in recent years, with strong total shareholder returns driven by revenue growth and positive market sentiment.
Growth Trajectory:
- Agilon Health has experienced significant historical growth, driven by the expansion of VillageMD and CareAcademy.
- Future growth projections are positive, with the company expecting continued expansion and increasing profitability.
- Recent product launches and strategic initiatives, including the Humana merger, are expected to further drive growth.
Market Dynamics:
- The primary care market is experiencing a shift towards value-based care models, which aligns with Agilon Health's business strategy.
- The healthcare education and training market is growing rapidly due to the evolving healthcare landscape and increasing demand for skilled professionals.
- Agilon Health is well-positioned to capitalize on these market trends with its focus on value-based care and online education.
Competitors:
- VillageMD: One Medical (ONEM), Privia Health (PRVA), CVS Health (CVS), Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA)
- CareAcademy: Medscape, Unbound Medicine, HealthStream (HSTM), Kaplan (KAP)
Competitive Advantages:
- VillageMD: Strong network of primary care practices, focus on value-based care, partnership with Humana.
- CareAcademy: Comprehensive online platform, large user base, focus on emerging healthcare trends.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Integrating VillageMD with Humana.
- Maintaining profitability in a competitive market.
- Adapting to changing healthcare regulations.
Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets.
- Developing new product offerings.
- Partnering with other healthcare organizations.
Recent Acquisitions:
- Humana Inc. (2022): This acquisition created a combined organization focused on value-based care delivery, providing Agilon Health with access to a large network of Humana members and significant resources to further expand its business.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on the analysis above, Agilon Health's stock fundamentals receive an AI-based rating of 8/10. This rating is driven by the company's strong financial performance, growth trajectory, and favorable market position. However, potential challenges such as integration risks and competition should be considered.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview was compiled using information from Agilon Health's website, SEC filings, and industry reports. Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About agilon health Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Austin, TX, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2021-04-15 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Steven Jackson Sell |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.agilonhealth.com |
Industry | Medical Care Facilities | Full time employees | 1117 |
Headquaters | Austin, TX, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Steven Jackson Sell | ||
Website | https://www.agilonhealth.com | ||
Website | https://www.agilonhealth.com | ||
Full time employees | 1117 |
agilon health, inc. provides healthcare services for seniors through primary care physicians in the communities of the United States. It offers a platform that manages the total healthcare needs of the patients by subscription-like per-member per-month. The company was formerly known as Agilon Health Topco, Inc. and changed its name to agilon health, inc. in March 2021. agilon health, inc. was founded in 2016 and is based in Austin, Texas.
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