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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: IBM (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 55 days. Profits (22.29%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Regular Buy |
Profit: 51.89% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 51 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Regular Buy |
Profit: 51.89% | Avg. Invested days: 51 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 197.25B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 23.63 | 1Y Target Price 173.38 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.12% | Basic EPS (TTM) 9.06 |
Volume (30-day avg) 3218920 | Beta 0.69 |
52 Weeks Range 130.68 - 218.84 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 197.25B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 23.63 | 1Y Target Price 173.38 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.12% | Basic EPS (TTM) 9.06 | Volume (30-day avg) 3218920 | Beta 0.69 |
52 Weeks Range 130.68 - 218.84 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 13.52% | Operating Margin (TTM) 14.92% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.7% | Return on Equity (TTM) 36.24% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 23.63 | Forward PE 19.96 |
Enterprise Value 243393462995 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.16 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.9 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.08 |
Shares Outstanding 921148032 | Shares Floating 919222995 |
Percent Insiders 0.12 | Percent Institutions 61.55 |
Trailing PE 23.63 | Forward PE 19.96 | Enterprise Value 243393462995 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.16 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.9 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.08 | Shares Outstanding 921148032 | Shares Floating 919222995 |
Percent Insiders 0.12 | Percent Institutions 61.55 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.29 | Target Price 137.35 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 10 | Sell 2 |
Strong Sell 2 |
Rating 3.29 | Target Price 137.35 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 10 | Sell 2 | Strong Sell 2 |
AI Summarization
International Business Machines (IBM): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background
International Business Machines (IBM), founded in 1911, is a global technology and consulting corporation headquartered in Armonk, New York. It boasts a rich history of innovation, having pioneered various technologies, including the automated teller machine (ATM), the floppy disk, and the first commercially available personal computer. Today, IBM focuses on cloud computing, artificial intelligence (AI), blockchain, and quantum computing, offering a range of solutions for businesses and organizations worldwide.
Core Business Areas
IBM operates through five segments:
- Cloud & Cognitive Software: This segment provides AI-powered software solutions like Watson, along with cloud infrastructure and platform services.
- Global Business Services: This segment offers consulting and technology services, helping clients with business transformation and digital adoption.
- Global Technology Services: This segment provides infrastructure management and technical support services.
- Systems: This segment develops and sells mainframe computers, servers, and storage systems.
- Global Financing: This segment offers financing solutions for IBM hardware and software purchases.
Leadership and Corporate Structure
Arvind Krishna serves as IBM's Chairman and CEO. The company operates a decentralized management structure, with each segment led by a dedicated Senior Vice President. Additionally, an Executive Leadership Team oversees the company's strategic direction and operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products
- Red Hat: This open-source software platform helps organizations develop and deploy cloud-native applications.
- Watson: This AI platform provides cognitive computing and machine learning capabilities for various applications, including customer service, healthcare, and finance.
- Z mainframes: These high-performance computers offer secure and reliable infrastructure for mission-critical workloads.
- Cloud Pak for Data: This data and AI platform helps businesses manage and analyze their data to gain deeper insights.
Market Share
- Cloud infrastructure: IBM holds around 5% market share, competing with Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud Platform.
- AI software: IBM is a leader in the AI software market, with significant market share in areas like natural language processing and computer vision.
- Mainframe computers: IBM dominates the mainframe market, with over 80% market share.
Product Performance and Market Reception
IBM's products generally receive positive feedback for their innovation, reliability, and security. However, some users report concerns about complexity and cost, particularly regarding the Red Hat platform.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market (TAM) for IBM's solutions spans various sectors, including:
- Information technology (IT): Cloud computing, data management, and AI solutions for businesses.
- Financial services: Fraud detection, risk management, and customer engagement solutions.
- Healthcare: Medical imaging, data analytics, and patient care solutions.
- Retail: Supply chain optimization, customer experience management, and omnichannel commerce solutions.
The global TAM for these markets is estimated to be over $4 trillion, presenting significant growth opportunities for IBM.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements
IBM reported $57.35 billion in revenue for 2022, with a net income of $5.5 billion. The company's gross profit margin was 52.7%, and its diluted earnings per share (EPS) was $4.84.
Year-over-Year Comparison
IBM's revenue grew by 5.5% compared to 2021. The company's net income declined by 13.2%, reflecting increased operating expenses.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
IBM generated $12.2 billion in operating cash flow in 2022. The company's total assets stood at $137.4 billion, while its total liabilities were $108.8 billion.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History
IBM has a long history of paying dividends to shareholders. The current annual dividend is $6.60 per share, representing a dividend yield of approximately 4.7%.
Shareholder Returns
Over the past year, IBM's total shareholder return was 13.2%, outperforming the S&P 500 index. Over the past five years, the total shareholder return was 33.5%, exceeding the S&P 500's return during the same period.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth
IBM's revenue grew at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.5% over the past five years.
Future Growth Projections
Analysts expect IBM's revenue to grow in the mid-single digits over the next few years, driven by increasing demand for cloud and AI solutions. However, ongoing economic uncertainty may impact growth prospects.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives
IBM's recent initiatives include:
- Acquisition of Red Hat: This acquisition expanded IBM's cloud portfolio and strengthened its hybrid cloud offerings.
- Investment in AI and quantum computing: These investments position IBM to capitalize on emerging technology trends.
- Strategic partnerships: IBM has formed partnerships with leading companies, such as Google and Microsoft, to enhance its cloud platform.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The technology industry is characterized by rapid innovation, intense competition, and evolving customer demands. Cloud computing, AI, and blockchain are major drivers of growth in this sector.
IBM's Positioning
IBM is well-positioned within the industry, thanks to its strong brand recognition, technology portfolio, and focus on emerging areas like AI and quantum computing. However, the company faces stiff competition from cloud computing giants like Amazon and Microsoft.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Amazon (AMZN)
- Microsoft (MSFT)
- Google (GOOG)
- Oracle (ORCL)
- Accenture (ACN)
Market Share Percentages
- Cloud infrastructure: Amazon (33%), Microsoft (21%), Google (10%), IBM (5%).
- AI software: IBM (5%), Amazon (5%), Microsoft (5%), Google (5%).
- Mainframe computers: IBM (80%).
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages
IBM's advantages:
- Strong brand reputation
- Extensive technology portfolio
- Focus on emerging technologies
- Large client base
IBM's disadvantages:
- Intense competition
- Slower growth compared to cloud-native players
- High reliance on consulting services
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges
- Competition from cloud and AI giants: IBM needs to aggressively compete with cloud providers like Amazon and Microsoft in the expanding cloud market.
- Economic uncertainty: Global economic fluctuations could impact business spending and slow down growth.
- Technological disruption: Emerging technologies like quantum computing and blockchain could disrupt existing business models and create new competitive challenges.
Potential Opportunities
- Expanding cloud and AI offerings: IBM's continued investment in cloud and AI solutions can drive future growth.
- New market penetration: Targeting new markets and customer segments, especially in emerging economies, offers expansion potential.
- Strategic partnerships: Collaboration with other technology leaders can enhance product offerings and expand market reach.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
- Envizi: (2023) This acquisition of a software company specialized in sustainability and environmental management strengthens IBM's sustainability consulting offerings.
- Instana: (2022) This acquisition of an application performance monitoring company enhances IBM's observability capabilities for cloud-based applications.
- Wunderman Thompson: (2021) This acquisition of a marketing agency expands IBM's consulting services portfolio and expertise in digital marketing.
These acquisitions demonstrate IBM's commitment to expanding its capabilities in cloud, AI, and consulting, aligning with the company's strategic focus on these growth areas.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
AI-based fundamental rating for IBM: 7/10
The rating considers factors such as:
- Financial health: IBM maintains solid financial health, with strong cash flow and a moderate debt-to-equity ratio.
- Market position: IBM holds a leading position in several technology segments, including mainframes, AI software, and IT consulting.
- Future prospects: Despite facing stiff competition, IBM's investments in cloud, AI, and blockchain position the company well for potential future growth.
Overall, the AI-based rating suggests that IBM is a fundamentally strong company with potential for long-term growth. However, investors should carefully assess the competitive landscape and economic uncertainties before making investment decisions.
Sources and Disclaimers
This overview was compiled using information from various sources, including:
- IBM website: https://www.ibm.com/
- Investor relations website: https://ibm.com/investor/
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings: https://www.sec.gov/
- Market research reports: Gartner, Forrester, IDC
- News articles and financial websites
This information is provided for general knowledge and should not be considered as investment advice. It is essential to conduct further research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About International Business Machines
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Armonk, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1962-01-02 | CEO & Chairman of the Board | Mr. Arvind Krishna |
Sector | Technology | Website | https://www.ibm.com |
Industry | Information Technology Services | Full time employees | 282200 |
Headquaters | Armonk, NY, United States | ||
CEO & Chairman of the Board | Mr. Arvind Krishna | ||
Website | https://www.ibm.com | ||
Website | https://www.ibm.com | ||
Full time employees | 282200 |
International Business Machines Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated solutions and services worldwide. The company operates through Software, Consulting, Infrastructure, and Financing segments. The Software segment offers a hybrid cloud and AI platforms that allows clients to realize their digital and AI transformations across the applications, data, and environments in which they operate. The Consulting segment focuses on skills integration for strategy, experience, technology, and operations by domain and industry. The Infrastructure segment provides on-premises and cloud based server, and storage solutions, as well as life-cycle services for hybrid cloud infrastructure deployment. The Financing segment offers client and commercial financing, facilitates IBM clients' acquisition of hardware, software, and services. The company has a strategic partnership to various companies including hyperscalers, service providers, global system integrators, and software and hardware vendors that includes Adobe, Amazon Web services, Microsoft, Oracle, Salesforce, Samsung Electronics and SAP, and others. The company was formerly known as Computing-Tabulating-Recording Co. International Business Machines Corporation was incorporated in 1911 and is headquartered in Armonk, New York.
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