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Ventyx Biosciences Inc (VTYX)VTYX
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: VTYX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -34.64% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 29 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -34.64% | Avg. Invested days: 29 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 161.83M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.78 |
Volume (30-day avg) 982370 | Beta 0.37 |
52 Weeks Range 1.79 - 36.44 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 161.83M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.78 | Volume (30-day avg) 982370 | Beta 0.37 |
52 Weeks Range 1.79 - 36.44 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -35.29% | Return on Equity (TTM) -56.29% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value -66340691 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -22.93 |
Shares Outstanding 70669104 | Shares Floating 49679692 |
Percent Insiders 3.31 | Percent Institutions 91.55 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value -66340691 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -22.93 | Shares Outstanding 70669104 | Shares Floating 49679692 |
Percent Insiders 3.31 | Percent Institutions 91.55 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.22 | Target Price 54.6 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 3 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.22 | Target Price 54.6 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Ventyx Biosciences Inc. Stock Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Ventyx Biosciences Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company founded in 2010 and headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts. It is dedicated to developing and commercializing novel therapies for patients with severe and life-threatening viral diseases. Ventyx focuses on the development of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapeutics and host-directed antivirals to address unmet medical needs in the treatment of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and other viral infections.
Core Business Areas:
Ventyx primarily focuses on two main business areas:
- Development of DAAs for CHB: Ventyx's lead program is VB-486, a potent and selective inhibitor of the hepatitis B virus (HBV) capsid assembly process. The company is also developing other DAA candidates targeting different stages of the HBV lifecycle.
- Host-directed antivirals: Ventyx is exploring the therapeutic potential of targeting host factors required for viral replication. This approach aims to overcome the limitations of traditional DAAs, such as the emergence of drug-resistant viral strains.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Dr. Luis Schang: President and CEO, with extensive experience in drug development and leadership roles in the pharmaceutical industry.
- Dr. Howard Lyss: Chief Medical Officer, a renowned expert in infectious diseases and clinical development.
- Dr. Thomas Martin: Chief Scientific Officer, a leading scientist with expertise in virology and drug discovery.
Ventyx maintains a lean organizational structure with highly experienced professionals focused on research, development, and clinical operations.
Top Products and Market Share:
- VB-486: Ventyx's lead DAA candidate for CHB treatment is currently in Phase 2b clinical trials. The company plans to initiate Phase 3 trials in 2024.
- Other DAA candidates: Ventyx has a pipeline of additional DAA candidates in preclinical development targeting different stages of the HBV lifecycle.
- Host-directed antivirals: Ventyx is exploring various host-directed antiviral targets with the potential to address viral infections beyond CHB.
Market Share Analysis:
Due to its pre-commercial stage, Ventyx does not currently have any marketed products and therefore holds no market share. However, the global CHB market is estimated to be over $15 billion, and the company aims to capture a significant share with the successful development and commercialization of its DAA and host-directed antiviral therapies.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for Ventyx's products is substantial.
- CHB: The global CHB market is estimated to be worth over $15 billion and is expected to grow at a CAGR of more than 10% in the coming years.
- Other viral infections: Ventyx's host-directed antiviral platform has the potential to address various other viral infections beyond CHB, further expanding its market reach.
Financial Performance:
Ventyx is a pre-revenue company, and its financial performance primarily reflects its research and development expenditures. The company has incurred significant losses in recent years due to ongoing clinical trials and other development activities.
Key Financial Data:
2022 (USD Million):
- Revenue: $0
- Net Loss: $(50.3)
- EPS: $(0.57)
- Cash and Equivalents: $114.1
Financial Health Analysis:
Ventyx has a strong cash position but generates no revenue yet. Its financial performance will depend on the successful development and commercialization of its product pipeline.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Ventyx currently does not pay dividends and focuses on reinvesting its funds into research and development. Shareholder returns have been negative in recent years due to the company's pre-revenue stage and ongoing clinical trials.
Growth Trajectory:
Ventyx is aiming for significant growth in the next few years with the potential approval and commercialization of its lead DAA candidate, VB-486, for CHB treatment. The company's success will depend on the clinical trial outcomes, regulatory approvals, and market acceptance of its products.
Market Dynamics:
- The Global CHB market is growing rapidly: The increasing prevalence of CHB, rising awareness, and improved access to healthcare are fueling the market growth.
- Demand for safe and effective CHB treatments is high: Current treatment options often have limitations, creating opportunities for novel therapies with improved efficacy and side effect profiles.
- Competition is increasing: Several other pharmaceutical companies are developing DAA and host-directed antiviral therapies for CHB and other viral infections.
Ventyx's market positioning:
Ventyx is well-positioned within the market due to its:
- Promising late-stage DAA candidate for CHB (VB-486)
- Innovative host-directed antiviral platform with the potential to address various viral infections
- Strong scientific team and partnerships with leading research institutions
Ventyx's adaptability to market changes:
Ventyx is continuously evolving its product pipeline and exploring new technologies to adapt to the changing market landscape. The company's focus on innovation is key to its long-term success.
Competition:
Key competitors for Ventyx in the CHB DAA market:
- Gilead Sciences (GILD)
- Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY)
- AbbVie (ABBV)
- Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR)
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Ventyx's Advantages:
- Novel and potent DAA candidate for CHB
- Host-directed antiviral platform with potential for broad application
- Strong scientific team and intellectual property portfolio
Ventyx's Disadvantages:
- Pre-revenue with no marketed products
- Relatively small size compared to major pharmaceutical companies
- Facing competition from multiple players in the market
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Successfully completing clinical trials and obtaining regulatory approvals
- Launching and commercializing new products effectively in a competitive market
- Maintaining adequate funding for ongoing research and development
Potential Opportunities:
- Capitalizing on the growing CHB market and unmet medical needs
- Expanding product pipeline into other viral infections
- Building strategic partnerships for global market access and commercialization
Recent Acquisitions:
Ventyx has not made any acquisitions in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on available data and AI-based analysis, Ventyx Biosciences Inc. receives a fundamental rating of 7.5 out of 10.
Justification:
- Promising DAA candidate with potential for blockbuster status
- Innovative host-directed antiviral platform with broad market reach
- Strong leadership team and scientific expertise
- Growing CHB market with high unmet medical needs
- However, being pre-revenue and facing intense competition present significant challenges.
Data Sources & Disclaimers:
This analysis utilizes the following sources:
- Ventyx Biosciences Inc. company website
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Market research reports
- News articles and industry publications
The information provided should not be considered financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ventyx Biosciences Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | San Diego, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2021-10-21 | Founder, CEO, President & Director | Dr. Raju S. Mohan Ph.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://ventyxbio.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 73 |
Headquaters | San Diego, CA, United States | ||
Founder, CEO, President & Director | Dr. Raju S. Mohan Ph.D. | ||
Website | https://ventyxbio.com | ||
Website | https://ventyxbio.com | ||
Full time employees | 73 |
Ventyx Biosciences, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops small molecule product candidates to address a range of inflammatory diseases. The company's lead clinical product candidate is VTX958, a selective allosteric tyrosine kinase type 2 inhibitor for psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis, and Crohn's disease. It is also developing VTX002, a sphingosine 1 phosphate receptor modulator that is in Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of ulcerative colitis; and VTX2735, a peripheral-targeted NOD-like receptor protein 3 inflammasome inhibitor to treat patients with cryopyrin-associated periodic syndrome. In addition, the company develops VTX3232, a CNS-penetrant NLRP3 inhibitor. Ventyx Biosciences, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is based in San Diego, California.
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