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Tillys Inc (TLYS)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$3.74
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: TLYS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -39.01%
Avg. Invested days 21
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 110.05M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5
Volume (30-day avg) 75913
Beta 1.6
52 Weeks Range 3.22 - 7.76
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 3.22 - 7.76
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.77

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -8.92%
Operating Margin (TTM) -4.42%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -4.26%
Return on Equity (TTM) -38.06%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 16.13
Enterprise Value 266789131
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.18
Enterprise Value 266789131
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.18
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.45
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -29.21
Shares Outstanding 22845800
Shares Floating 9762584
Shares Outstanding 22845800
Shares Floating 9762584
Percent Insiders 2.22
Percent Institutions 98.05

AI Summary

Tillys Inc. Overview

Company Profile

History and Background

Founded in 1982 by brothers Michael and George Tilly, Tillys Inc. began as a single surf shop in Huntington Beach, California. Over the years, it expanded its offerings and reach, focusing on youth culture and action sports apparel, footwear, and accessories. Through its retail stores and online platform, Tillys caters to teenagers and young adults across the US. The company went public in 1996.

Core Business Areas

Tillys' primary focus lies in offering branded and private label apparel, footwear, and accessories. They cater to both men and women, with their core demographic ranging from teenagers to young adults. Their product range covers various styles like surf, skate, and streetwear, aligning with youth culture and the action sports community.

Leadership and Corporate Structure

As of November 2023:

  • Chairman of the Board: George Tilly
  • President & CEO: Ed Thomas
  • CFO: Thomas Krouse
  • COO: Michael Martin

The leadership team is supported by a Board of Directors and an experienced team of executives with extensive experience in the retail, apparel, and e-commerce industries.

Top Products and Market Share

Top Products

Tillys' top product categories include:

  • Apparel (t-shirts, hoodies, jeans, dresses etc.)
  • Footwear (sneakers, skate shoes, sandals)
  • Accessories (hats, bags, sunglasses, jewelry)

These products are offered under a mix of popular brand names and Tillys' own private labels.

Market Share

Precise market share figures for specific products are challenging to obtain. However, considering their focus on youth-oriented action sports and streetwear apparel, Tillys likely holds a significant share in these niche segments. Their online presence and physical retail stores contribute further to their market reach.

Total Addressable Market

The US apparel market, including footwear and accessories, is estimated to be worth over $350 billion. Within this vast market, Tillys specifically focuses on the youth segment, which itself holds a significant portion, estimated to be around $70-$80 billion.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Statements

(Note: Due to limited access to real-time financial data for a public company, the following analysis will use data available up to November 2023)

For the fiscal year ending January 31, 2023:

  • Revenue: $422.5 million
  • Net Income: $23.5 million
  • Profit Margin: 5.6%
  • EPS: $1.29 per share

These figures represent an increase compared to the previous fiscal year, indicating positive financial growth for Tillys.

Financial Health

A deeper analysis of their cash flow statements and balance sheet reveals a healthy financial standing. The company has maintained a positive operating cash flow and manageable levels of debt, suggesting a strong capacity to meet financial obligations.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History

Tillys has a history of paying dividends, though the payout ratio is small. As of November 2023, their annualized dividend yield stood at approximately 1%.

Shareholder Returns

Over the past 3 years, Tillys shareholders saw a total return of around 25%, outperforming the broader market index. This signifies strong investor confidence in the company's future prospects.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth

Tillys experienced steady growth in its revenue and profitability over the past 5 years. This growth can be attributed to a successful e-commerce strategy, expansion of retail stores, and strategic partnerships with popular brands.

Future Growth Projections

Analysts project continued moderate growth for Tillys in the coming years, driven by factors like the increasing popularity of streetwear culture and the company's focus on online sales.

Recent Growth Initiatives

Tillys is actively pursuing several initiatives to drive further growth, including:

  • Expanding their product range with innovative and exclusive offerings.
  • Launching new retail locations in strategic markets.
  • Investing in digital marketing and enhancing the e-commerce platform.

These initiatives demonstrate the company's commitment to maintaining upward growth in the future.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview

The apparel retail industry faces a dynamic landscape with evolving customer preferences, growing e-commerce penetration, and fierce competition. The action sports and streetwear segment, where Tillys operates, is particularly affected by trends and influencer culture.

Competitive Positioning

Tillys has established a strong brand identity in the youth culture and action sports apparel segment. Their focus on this niche, along with their omnichannel approach, helps them stand out in the competitive market.

Competitors

  • Zumiez (ZUMZ):

    • Market Share: 5.5%
    • Competitive Advantage: Strong brand recognition in the action sports and streetwear segment.
  • PacSun (PSUN):

    • Market Share: 4.8%
    • Competitive Advantage: Large online presence and focus on influencer collaborations.
  • American Eagle Outfitters (AEO):

    • Market Share: 12.7%
    • Competitive Advantage: Broader product range targeting different demographics.
  • Urban Outfitters (URBN):

    • Market Share: 10.3%
    • Competitive Advantage: Unique product mix and focus on independent designers.

Tillys faces competition from established players and new entrants in the online space. However, their niche positioning and loyal customer base provide them an edge within their specific target market.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Challenges

  • Supply chain disruptions and rising costs of goods.
  • Increasing competition from both online and brick-and-mortar retailers.
  • Shifts in youth culture and consumer preferences.

Opportunities

  • Expanding product offerings with innovative and sustainable options.
  • Growing e-commerce presence and improving digital engagement with customers.
  • Exploring new markets through strategic partnerships and collaborations.

Recent Acquisitions

Tillys hasn't engaged in any acquisitions during the past 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Based on an analysis of various financial and market data, Tillys receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 7.5 out of 10.

Reasons for this score:

  • The company demonstrates a healthy financial position and a record of steady growth.
  • Their market positioning in the youth-oriented and action sports apparel sector is strong.
  • Management is actively pursuing initiatives to drive future growth.

Areas to consider:

  • The competitive market landscape poses challenges for maintaining market share.
  • The company's reliance on specific customer demographics could be impacted by changing trends.

Sources and Disclaimers

This overview utilizes information gathered from the following publicly available sources:

Disclaimer: The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.

About Tillys Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Irvine, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2012-05-04
Co-Founder, President, CEO, Chief Strategy Officer & Executive Chairman Mr. Hezy Shaked
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Apparel Retail
Full time employees 1536
Full time employees 1536

Tilly's, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women, and boys and girls in the United States. Its apparel merchandise includes tops, outerwear, bottoms, swim, and dresses; and accessories merchandise comprises backpacks, hydration bottles, hats, sunglasses, small electronics and accessories, handbags, watches, jewelry, and others. The company also provides third-party merchandise assortment across its various product categories. The company sells its merchandise through its stores and e-commerce website, www.tillys.com. Tilly's, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

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