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Smurfit WestRock plc (SW)SW
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: SW (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -15.61% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -15.61% | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 23.33B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 57.47 |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.30% | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.82 |
Volume (30-day avg) 4302136 | Beta 1.04 |
52 Weeks Range 30.40 - 49.76 | Updated Date 09/15/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 23.33B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 57.47 |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.30% | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.82 | Volume (30-day avg) 4302136 | Beta 1.04 |
52 Weeks Range 30.40 - 49.76 | Updated Date 09/15/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.14% | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.28% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 11.95 |
Enterprise Value 26441019750 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.12 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 19.4 |
Shares Outstanding 519324000 | Shares Floating 258285256 |
Percent Insiders 0.42 | Percent Institutions 70.83 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 11.95 | Enterprise Value 26441019750 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.12 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 19.4 | Shares Outstanding 519324000 | Shares Floating 258285256 |
Percent Insiders 0.42 | Percent Institutions 70.83 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price - | Buy 4 |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 4 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4 | Target Price - | Buy 4 | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 4 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Smurfit WestRock plc: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
Smurfit Kappa Group (SKG) and WestRock Company (WRK) merged on July 1, 2019, to create Smurfit Kappa, the North American Corrugated (NAC) business of WestRock, and a new U.S. publicly traded company named WestRock. The combined entity, Smurfit WestRock plc (SWK), is a global leader in paper-based packaging solutions with operations in 23 countries and approximately 45,000 employees.
Core Business Areas:
- Corrugated Packaging: This segment manufactures corrugated cardboard boxes, sheets, and containers used for various applications like food, beverages, agricultural products, and industrial goods.
- Containerboard: This segment produces linerboard and corrugating medium, the primary components of corrugated cardboard.
- Paper & Recycling: This segment collects and recycles paper and manufactures recycled paperboard, specialty papers, and newsprint.
- Folding Carton: This segment produces paperboard folding cartons for consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, and other industries.
- Fibres & Specialties: This segment manages and harvests timber resources and produces various specialty paper and nonwoven products.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
Smurfit WestRock is led by CEO Steven C. Voorhees and a team of experienced executives. The company operates under a decentralized structure, with individual business units responsible for their operations and profitability.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Corrugated Packaging: SWK is the world's largest producer of corrugated cardboard with a global market share of approximately 18%.
- Containerboard: The company is a leading North American producer of containerboard with a market share of around 20%.
- Recycled Paperboard: SWK is a major producer of recycled paperboard in North America, with a market share of approximately 15%.
Market Share Comparison:
SWK's market share in its key product segments is comparable to its main competitors, including International Paper (IP), Weyerhaeuser (WY), and Packaging Corporation of America (PKG).
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for paper and paperboard packaging is estimated to be around $350 billion, with the North American market representing approximately 35% of that total.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: SWK's net sales in the fiscal year 2023 were $19.4 billion.
- Net Income: The company reported a net income of $1.1 billion in fiscal 2023.
- Profit Margin: The company's operating margin in fiscal 2023 was 8.7%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): SWK's diluted EPS in fiscal 2023 was $4.44.
Financial Performance Comparison:
SWK's financial performance has been relatively stable in recent years, with modest year-over-year growth. The company's profit margin and EPS are in line with its major competitors.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
SWK generated $1.7 billion in operating cash flow in fiscal 2023. The company has a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.8.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: SWK initiated a quarterly dividend in 2019 and has increased the dividend each year since then. The current annual dividend yield is approximately 3.2%.
- Shareholder Returns: SWK's total shareholder return over the past year has been approximately 15%, which outperforms the S&P 500 index.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: SWK's revenue and earnings have grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3% over the past five years.
- Future Growth Projections: Analysts expect SWK's revenue and earnings to grow at a CAGR of around 4% over the next five years.
Market Dynamics:
The paper and paperboard packaging industry is experiencing moderate growth, driven by the increasing demand for e-commerce packaging and sustainable packaging solutions. However, the industry faces challenges such as rising raw material costs and competition from alternative packaging materials.
Competitive Positioning:
SWK is well-positioned within the industry due to its global scale, integrated business model, and commitment to sustainability. However, the company faces stiff competition from other large paper and packaging companies.
Competitors:
- International Paper (IP)
- Weyerhaeuser (WY)
- Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)
- Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)
- Domtar Corporation (UFS)
Market Share Percentages:
- SWK: 18%
- IP: 16%
- WY: 14%
- PKG: 12%
- GPK: 10%
- UFS: 9%
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Advantages: Global scale, integrated business model, strong brand recognition, commitment to sustainability.
- Disadvantages: Exposure to raw material price volatility, competition from alternative packaging materials.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Rising raw material costs
- Competition from alternative packaging materials
- Slowing economic growth
Potential Opportunities:
- Growing demand for e-commerce packaging
- Increasing focus on sustainable packaging solutions
- Expansion into new markets
Recent Acquisitions:
Name: Lee Container Year of Acquisition: 2021 Acquisition Price: $1.35 billion Reason: Expands SWK's footprint in the growing e-commerce packaging market
Name: Blue Ridge Paper Products Year of Acquisition: 2022 Acquisition Price: $1.1 billion Reason: Strengthens SWK's position in the recycled paperboard market
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7 out of 10
Justification:
SWK's strong financial performance, global market share, and commitment to sustainability are positive factors. However, the company's exposure to raw material price volatility and competition from alternative packaging materials are potential risks.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Smurfit WestRock plc website
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Yahoo Finance
Disclaimer:
This information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Smurfit WestRock plc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2024-07-08 | President, Group CEO & Director | Mr. Anthony Paul J. Smurfit |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.smurfitwestrock.com |
Industry | Packaging & Containers | Full time employees | 100000 |
Headquaters | - | ||
President, Group CEO & Director | Mr. Anthony Paul J. Smurfit | ||
Website | https://www.smurfitwestrock.com | ||
Website | https://www.smurfitwestrock.com | ||
Full time employees | 100000 |
Smurfit Westrock Plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells containerboard, corrugated containers, and other paper-based packaging products in Ireland and internationally. The company produces containerboard that it converts into corrugated containers or sells to third parties, as well as produces other types of paper, such as consumer packaging board, sack paper, graphic paper, solid board and graphic board, and other paper-based packaging products, such as consumer packaging, solid board packaging, paper sacks, and other packaging products, including bag-in-box. It also produces linerboard and corrugated medium, paperboard, and non-packaging grades of paper, as well as converted products, such as folding cartons and corrugated boxes, and other products; recycled paper-based packaging products; and packaging machinery. The company primarily serves food and beverage, e-commerce, retail, consumer goods, industrial, and foodservice markets. Smurfit Westrock Plc was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
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