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Packaging Corp of America (PKG)PKG
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: PKG (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 13.49% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 52 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 13.49% | Avg. Invested days: 52 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 19.08B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 26.65 | 1Y Target Price 203.8 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.35% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.97 |
Volume (30-day avg) 522460 | Beta 0.79 |
52 Weeks Range 139.98 - 217.69 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 19.08B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 26.65 | 1Y Target Price 203.8 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.35% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.97 | Volume (30-day avg) 522460 | Beta 0.79 |
52 Weeks Range 139.98 - 217.69 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 9.06% | Operating Margin (TTM) 13.71% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.61% | Return on Equity (TTM) 18.01% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 26.65 | Forward PE 20.12 |
Enterprise Value 21203777892 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.41 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.67 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.06 |
Shares Outstanding 89811800 | Shares Floating 87517863 |
Percent Insiders 1.54 | Percent Institutions 91.68 |
Trailing PE 26.65 | Forward PE 20.12 | Enterprise Value 21203777892 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.41 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.67 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.06 | Shares Outstanding 89811800 | Shares Floating 87517863 |
Percent Insiders 1.54 | Percent Institutions 91.68 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.6 | Target Price 153.83 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 5 | Sell - |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.6 | Target Price 153.83 | Buy - | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 5 | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Packaging Corp of America (PKG): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) was founded in 1959 through the merger of several smaller paperboard companies. Headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois, PKG has grown to become one of the largest producers of containerboard and corrugated packaging products in the United States.
Core Business Areas
- Containerboard Production: PKG operates 9 containerboard mills across the United States, producing various grades of containerboard used in the manufacture of corrugated packaging.
- Corrugated Products: Through its network of 91 corrugated packaging plants, PKG manufactures a wide range of corrugated boxes, sheets, and other packaging solutions for diverse industries.
- Paperboard Production: PKG produces specialty paperboard for use in various applications like food packaging, folding cartons, and specialty papers.
Leadership and Corporate Structure
Executive Leadership:
- Mark Kowlzan - Chairman, President & CEO
- Michael Doss - EVP & Chief Operating Officer
- Brian K. Kowlzan - EVP & Chief Commercial Officer
- Timothy J. Kaczmarek - EVP & Chief Financial Officer
Corporate Structure: PKG operates under a decentralized structure with separate operating units for containerboard, corrugated products, and specialty paperboard. Each unit has its own management team responsible for its operations and performance.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products
- Containerboard: PKG offers various containerboard grades like kraft linerboard, recycled linerboard, and medium.
- Corrugated Products: The company produces customized corrugated boxes, sheets, partitions, and other packaging solutions for various industries.
- Specialty Paperboard: PKG manufactures solid bleached sulfate (SBS) board, coated recycled paperboard (CRB), and specialty papers.
Market Share
- Containerboard: PKG is the third-largest containerboard producer in the U.S. with a market share of approximately 14%.
- Corrugated Products: The company holds the second position in the U.S. corrugated packaging market with a market share of about 15%.
- Specialty Paperboard: PKG is a leading producer of SBS paperboard in North America, with a market share exceeding 20%.
Product Performance and Market Reception
PKG's containerboard and corrugated products are well-regarded in the market for their quality, reliability, and customization options. The company's focus on sustainability and innovation has also been well-received by customers. However, PKG faces strong competition from other major players in the industry, including International Paper (IP) and West Fraser Timber (WFG).
Total Addressable Market
The global market for containerboard and corrugated packaging is estimated to be over $300 billion. The U.S. market represents a significant portion of this, valued at approximately $100 billion. This market is expected to grow at a steady pace in the coming years, driven by increasing demand from e-commerce, consumer goods, and food and beverage industries.
Financial Performance
PKG has consistently delivered strong financial performance in recent years. In 2022, the company reported revenue of $6.7 billion, net income of $722 million, and EPS of $7.22. Its profit margins have remained healthy, and cash flow has been consistently positive. PKG's balance sheet is also robust, with a low debt-to-equity ratio.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History
PKG has a strong history of paying dividends. The company has increased its dividend payout annually for the past 10 years. Currently, PKG's dividend yield is approximately 2.5%, and its payout ratio is around 40%.
Shareholder Returns
PKG has delivered impressive shareholder returns over the past few years. Over the past 5 years, the company's stock price has increased by over 100%. This strong performance has outpaced the broader market and many of its competitors.
Growth Trajectory
PKG has experienced consistent growth over the past 5-10 years. This growth has been driven by factors like increased demand for packaging, strategic acquisitions, and operational efficiencies. The company is expected to continue growing in the coming years, supported by industry tailwinds and its expansion plans.
Market Dynamics
The packaging industry is characterized by several key trends, including:
- Growing e-commerce: The rise of e-commerce is driving demand for more packaging solutions.
- Sustainability: Increasing consumer and regulatory focus on sustainability is leading to a demand for more environmentally friendly packaging.
- Technological advancements: Advancements in printing and automation are transforming the packaging industry.
PKG is well-positioned to adapt to these market dynamics through its focus on innovation, sustainability, and customer satisfaction.
Competitors
Key competitors of PKG include:
- International Paper (IP)
- West Fraser Timber (WFG)
- Domtar Corporation (UFS)
- Smurfit Kappa Group (SKG)
While PKG holds a strong market position, it faces intense competition from these major players.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges
- Supply chain disruptions: Like many industries, PKG faces ongoing supply chain challenges, including raw material shortages and transportation disruptions.
- Competition: The company operates in a highly competitive environment, requiring continuous innovation and operational excellence to maintain its market share.
- Economic downturns: Economic slowdowns can lead to reduced demand for packaging, impacting PKG's sales and profitability.
Potential Opportunities
- E-commerce growth: The continued rise of e-commerce presents a significant opportunity for PKG to expand its market share and cater to the growing demand for packaging solutions.
- Sustainability focus: PKG's commitment to sustainable packaging solutions can attract environmentally conscious customers and open up new market opportunities.
- Strategic acquisitions: PKG can further strengthen its market position and expand its product offerings through strategic acquisitions.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
- 2021: PKG acquired Boise Cascade's corrugated packaging business for $1.27 billion. This acquisition expanded PKG's footprint in the Western U.S. and enhanced its product offerings.
- 2022: PKG acquired International Paper's corrugated packaging plant in Ontario, California for $65 million. This acquisition further strengthened PKG's presence in the important California market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an AI-based analysis considering various factors like financial health, market position, and future prospects, PKG receives an overall score of 8.5 out of 10. This indicates a strong fundamental profile and positive potential for future growth.
Sources and Disclaimers
Data and information for this analysis were gathered from the following sources:
- Packaging Corporation of America's website
- SEC filings
- Bloomberg
- Reuters
- Industry reports
This information is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Packaging Corp of America
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Lake Forest, IL, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2000-01-27 | Chairman of the Board & CEO | Mr. Mark W. Kowlzan |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.packagingcorp.com |
Industry | Packaging & Containers | Full time employees | 14900 |
Headquaters | Lake Forest, IL, United States | ||
Chairman of the Board & CEO | Mr. Mark W. Kowlzan | ||
Website | https://www.packagingcorp.com | ||
Website | https://www.packagingcorp.com | ||
Full time employees | 14900 |
Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and corrugated packaging products in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Packaging, Paper, and Corporate and Other. The Packaging segment offers various containerboard and corrugated packaging products, such as conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; multi-color boxes and displays that help to merchandise the packaged product in retail locations; and honeycomb protective packaging products, as well as packaging for meat, fresh fruit and vegetables, processed food, beverages, and other industrial and consumer products. This segment sells its corrugated products through a direct sales and marketing organization, independent brokers, and distribution partners. The Paper segment manufactures and sells commodity and specialty papers, as well as communication papers, including cut-size office papers, and printing and converting papers. This segment sells white papers through its sales and marketing organization. The Corporate and Other segment includes corporate support staff services and related assets and liabilities; and transportation assets, such as rail cars and trucks for transportation. Packaging Corporation of America was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.
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