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Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)GPK
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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/05/2024: GPK (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -7.57% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 50 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 07/05/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -7.57% | Avg. Invested days: 50 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 07/05/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.96B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.77 | 1Y Target Price 33.14 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.34% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.34 |
Volume (30-day avg) 2467935 | Beta 0.84 |
52 Weeks Range 19.78 - 30.55 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.96B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.77 | 1Y Target Price 33.14 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.34% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.34 | Volume (30-day avg) 2467935 | Beta 0.84 |
52 Weeks Range 19.78 - 30.55 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.93% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.07% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.99% | Return on Equity (TTM) 27.4% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.77 | Forward PE 10.43 |
Enterprise Value 14096413424 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.99 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.55 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.96 |
Shares Outstanding 300113984 | Shares Floating 296140763 |
Percent Insiders 1.23 | Percent Institutions 108.76 |
Trailing PE 12.77 | Forward PE 10.43 | Enterprise Value 14096413424 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.99 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.55 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.96 | Shares Outstanding 300113984 | Shares Floating 296140763 |
Percent Insiders 1.23 | Percent Institutions 108.76 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.17 | Target Price 28.3 | Buy 4 |
Strong Buy 6 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 4.17 | Target Price 28.3 | Buy 4 | Strong Buy 6 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Graphic Packaging Holding Company: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
1. Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1971 as R & R Packaging Company, focusing on corrugated boxes.
- Grown through acquisitions and expansions, becoming Graphic Packaging International in 2003.
- Renamed Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) in 2018.
- Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, with 15,000+ employees and 144 facilities in North America and Europe.
2. Core business areas:
- Paperboard and specialty paper production: GPK manufactures recycled paperboard and specialty paper used for food packaging and other applications.
- Folding carton and consumer packaging: They design and produce folding cartons, wraps, and labels for food and beverage brands.
- Retail food packaging solutions: GPK offers comprehensive packaging solutions, including design, production, and fulfillment services for retail food products.
3. Leadership and corporate structure:
- Michael Doss, Chairman and CEO
- Adam Langston, Executive Vice President and CFO
- Board of Directors comprises experienced executives from various industries.
Top Products and Market Share
1. Top Products:
- Folding cartons for food and beverages
- Paperboard for food and consumer packaging
- Retail food packaging solutions
- Wraps and labels
2. Market Share:
- US market share for paperboard: 10% (largest US producer)
- Global market share for folding cartons: ~7%
3. Comparison with competitors:
- GPK has strong market share in its core businesses, but faces competition from larger players in the wider packaging industry.
- Competitors include International Paper (IP), WestRock (WRK), and Smurfit Kappa (SKG).
4. Total Addressable Market:
- Global folding carton market: $130 billion
- US paperboard market: $11 billion
Financial Performance
1. Recent financial performance:
- Revenue: $6.4 billion (2022)
- Net income: $414 million (2022)
- Profit margin: 6.4% (2022)
- Earnings per share (EPS): $4.37 (2022)
- Year-over-year performance: Revenue increased 14% year over year, with strong growth in folding carton and retail food packaging segments.
2. Financial health:
- Cash flow statement: Strong cash flow from operations ($544 million in 2022) provides financial flexibility.
- Balance sheet: Solid debt-to-equity ratio (0.55) indicates healthy financial standing.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
1. Dividend History:
- GPK has paid regular dividends since 2005.
- Current annual dividend yield: 2.2%
- Payout ratio: ~30%
2. Shareholder Returns:
- Total shareholder return over the past 5 years: 67%
- Outperformed the S&P 500 index over the same period.
Growth Trajectory
1. Historical growth:
- Steady revenue growth over the past 5 years, driven by acquisitions and expanding into new markets.
2. Future growth projections:
- Projected to grow at a CAGR of 5% over the next five years.
- Growth will be fueled by continued demand for sustainable packaging solutions and expansion into emerging markets.
3. New initiatives:
- Investing in digital printing capabilities to offer customization and shorter lead times.
- Expanding into e-commerce and sustainable packaging solutions.
Market Dynamics
1. Industry overview:
- Global packaging market is expected to reach $1.2 trillion by 2027.
- Increasing demand for sustainable packaging solutions and convenience.
- Competition among major players is intense.
2. GPK's positioning:
- GPK is well-positioned to benefit from growing demand for sustainable packaging.
- The company's strong market share and diverse customer base provide competitive advantages.
Competitors
1. Key Competitors:
- International Paper (IP)
- WestRock (WRK)
- Smurfit Kappa (SKG)
- Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)
2. Market Share Comparison:
- GPK has strong market share in the paperboard and folding carton segments but is relatively smaller than the top competitors in the broader packaging industry.
3. Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Advantages: GPK is a leader in sustainable packaging, has a strong customer base, and is well-positioned in growing markets.
- Disadvantages: GPK is smaller than its larger competitors and faces intense competition in the industry.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
1. Key Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions and rising commodity costs.
- Competition from larger players in the wider packaging industry.
- Regulatory changes related to sustainability.
2. Potential Opportunities:
- Growing demand for sustainable packaging solutions.
- Expansion into new markets and product categories.
- Strategic acquisitions and partnerships to strengthen market position.
Recent Acquisitions
1. 2023:
- AR Packaging Group: Swedish company specializing in paperboard and packaging solutions for the food industry. This acquisition expands GPK's European footprint and strengthens its sustainable packaging offering.
2. 2022:
- Schur Star Systems: A leading provider of automated retail food packaging systems. This acquisition expands GPK's reach in the retail food packaging market and complements its existing product portfolio.
3. 2021:
- Jefferson Smurfit: A corrugated packaging producer in the UK. This acquisition strengthens GPK's position in the European market and enhances its production capabilities.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
1. Rating: 7/10
2. Justification:
- GPK has a strong market position, solid financial performance, and promising growth prospects.
- The company is well-positioned to benefit from growing demand for sustainable packaging solutions.
- However, GPK faces challenges from supply chain disruptions, rising costs, and intense competition.
Sources and Disclaimers
1. Sources:
- Graphic Packaging Holding Company website
- SEC filings
- Bloomberg
- Statista
2. Disclaimer:
This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Graphic Packaging Holding Company
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Atlanta, GA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1992-06-17 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Michael P. Doss |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.graphicpkg.com |
Industry | Packaging & Containers | Full time employees | 23500 |
Headquaters | Atlanta, GA, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Michael P. Doss | ||
Website | https://www.graphicpkg.com | ||
Website | https://www.graphicpkg.com | ||
Full time employees | 23500 |
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, produces, and sells consumer packaging products to brands in food, beverage, foodservice, household, and other consumer products. It operates through three segments: Paperboard Manufacturing, Americas Paperboard Packaging, and Europe Paperboard Packaging. The company offers unbleached, bleached, and recycled paperboard to various paperboard packaging converters and brokers. It also provides paperboard packaging products for consumer packaged goods companies; and cups, lids, and food containers for foodservice companies and quick-service restaurants serving the food, beverage, and consumer product markets, including healthcare and beauty. The company also designs, manufactures, and installs specialized packaging machines. The company sells its products through sales offices, as well as through broker arrangements with third parties in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. Graphic Packaging Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
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