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Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: GPK (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -24.5% | Avg. Invested days 42 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.87B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.14 | 1Y Target Price 30.95 |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.14 | 1Y Target Price 30.95 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2711377 | Beta 0.82 | 52 Weeks Range 24.50 - 30.47 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 24.50 - 30.47 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.69% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.16 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.47% | Operating Margin (TTM) 13.03% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.42% | Return on Equity (TTM) 22.71% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.14 | Forward PE 10.28 | Enterprise Value 12961623272 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.89 |
Enterprise Value 12961623272 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.89 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.47 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.75 | Shares Outstanding 300214016 | Shares Floating 295612177 |
Shares Outstanding 300214016 | Shares Floating 295612177 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.41 | Percent Institutions 109.81 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 32.54 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 4 |
Buy 3 | Strong Buy 4 | ||
Hold 4 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Graphic Packaging Holding Company

Company Overview
History and Background
Graphic Packaging Holding Company was formed in 1998 through the merger of Riverwood International Corporation and Graphic Packaging Corporation. It has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion, evolving into a leading provider of paper-based packaging solutions.
Core Business Areas
- Paperboard Packaging: Manufactures paperboard folding cartons for various markets including food, beverage, and consumer products.
- Foodservice Packaging: Produces paper-based cups, lids, cartons, and containers for restaurants, coffee shops, and other foodservice providers.
- Flexible Packaging: Converted or manufactured from a wide variety of materials and offered in rollstock or pouch form.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by a CEO and a senior management team, with a board of directors overseeing the strategic direction. The organizational structure is based on business segments and functional departments.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Folding Cartons: Paperboard cartons used for packaging various products. Estimated market share is significant in the food and beverage sector. Competitors include WestRock (WRK) and International Paper (IP).
- Paper Cups & Lids: Paper-based cups and lids for hot and cold beverages. Strong presence in the foodservice market. Competitors include Dart Container Corporation and Pactiv Evergreen (PTVE).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The paper-based packaging industry is driven by demand for sustainable and recyclable packaging solutions, with growth influenced by consumer preferences, regulations, and economic trends.
Positioning
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is a major player in the paper-based packaging market, known for its innovation and integrated solutions. It holds competitive advantages through its scale, product range, and customer relationships.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for paper and paperboard packaging is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of USD globally. Graphic Packaging Holding Company is positioned to capture a significant share of this market through its diversified product portfolio and strategic partnerships.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large scale of operations
- Diversified product portfolio
- Strong customer relationships
- Focus on sustainable packaging
Weaknesses
- Exposure to raw material price volatility
- Dependence on key customers
- High capital intensity
- Debt burden
Opportunities
- Growing demand for sustainable packaging
- Expansion into emerging markets
- Acquisitions of smaller players
- New product development
Threats
- Competition from other packaging materials (e.g., plastics)
- Economic downturns affecting consumer spending
- Changing regulations on packaging
- Disruptions in supply chains
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- WRK
- IP
- PTVE
Competitive Landscape
Graphic Packaging Holding Company competes with other large packaging companies, as well as smaller regional players. Its competitive advantages include its scale, product range, and focus on sustainable packaging.
Major Acquisitions
AR Packaging
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1450
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded GPK's presence in Europe and broadened its product portfolio in folding cartons and specialty packaging.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Graphic Packaging Holding Company has experienced steady growth in revenue and earnings over the past few years, driven by acquisitions and organic expansion.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Graphic Packaging Holding Company, driven by demand for sustainable packaging and expansion into new markets.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in new technology, acquisitions of smaller companies, and expansion into new geographic markets.
Summary
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is a strong player in the sustainable packaging market, benefiting from its scale, diversified product portfolio, and focus on innovation. It's navigating raw material price volatility and a high debt burden. Its acquisitions have strategically expanded its reach and capabilities, but its future success depends on its ability to capitalize on growing demand for sustainable packaging and manage its costs effectively.
Similar Companies

IP

International Paper



IP

International Paper

PKG

Packaging Corp of America



PKG

Packaging Corp of America
PTVE

Pactiv Evergreen Inc


PTVE

Pactiv Evergreen Inc

WRK

WestRock Co



WRK

WestRock Co
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Reports
- Industry Analysis
- Financial News Sources
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Market conditions and company performance can change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Graphic Packaging Holding Company
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-06-17 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Michael P. Doss | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Packaging & Containers | Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.graphicpkg.com |
Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.graphicpkg.com |
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, produces, and sells consumer packaging products to brands in food, beverage, foodservice, household, and other consumer products in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Americas Paperboard Packaging, Europe Paperboard Packaging, and Paperboard Manufacturing. The company offers unbleached, bleached, and recycled paperboard to various paperboard packaging converters and brokers. It also provides paperboard packaging products for consumer packaged goods companies; and cups, lids, and food containers for foodservice companies and quick-service restaurants serving the food, beverage, and consumer product markets, including healthcare and beauty. The company also designs, manufactures, and installs specialized packaging machines. The company sells its products through sales offices, as well as through broker arrangements with third parties. Graphic Packaging Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
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