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Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
03/27/2025: SCVL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -14.41% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 597.84M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.21 | 1Y Target Price 28 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.21 | 1Y Target Price 28 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 564644 | Beta 1.5 | 52 Weeks Range 20.51 - 46.56 | Updated Date 03/31/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 20.51 - 46.56 | Updated Date 03/31/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.73% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.68 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-03-20 | When - | Estimate 0.44 | Actual 0.54 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.13% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.13% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.26% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.97% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.21 | Forward PE 11.76 | Enterprise Value 842711866 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5 |
Enterprise Value 842711866 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.7 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.54 | Shares Outstanding 27174400 | Shares Floating 17238626 |
Shares Outstanding 27174400 | Shares Floating 17238626 | ||
Percent Insiders 34.14 | Percent Institutions 72.95 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 49 | Buy - | Strong Buy 2 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 2 | ||
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Comprehensive Overview of Shoe Carnival Inc. (SCVL)
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Shoe Carnival Inc. (SCVL) was founded in 1978 as a subsidiary of Deichmann SE, a global footwear retailer. Its first store opened in Evansville, Indiana, and the company quickly expanded across the Midwest. In 1993, SCVL became a publicly traded company on the NASDAQ exchange. Today, it operates over 370 stores in 35 states, employing approximately 4,200 associates.
Core Business Areas:
SCVL focuses on offering a wide selection of affordable footwear and accessories for families. They cater to various demographics, including children, women, and men. The company's core business areas include:
- Family Footwear: This segment represents the largest portion of their business, offering a diverse range of shoes for all ages and styles.
- Men's Footwear: SCVL provides a comprehensive selection of men's shoes, including athletic, casual, and dress options.
- Women's Footwear: The company offers a wide variety of women's shoes, encompassing everything from heels and sandals to boots and sneakers.
- Accessories: SCVL complements its footwear offerings with a range of accessories, including socks, handbags, and shoe care products.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
The current CEO of SCVL is Mark Worden, who has held the position since 2019. The executive leadership team comprises experienced professionals responsible for various aspects of the company's operations. The corporate structure is hierarchical, with a board of directors overseeing the executive team and key decision-making processes.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
SCVL's top products include a wide range of footwear, such as sneakers, sandals, boots, and dress shoes. They also offer various accessories like socks, handbags, and shoe care products. Private label brands, such as Code West, Playkids, and Agile, account for a significant portion of their offerings.
Market Share:
SCVL's market share in the US footwear market is estimated to be around 2.5%, making them a significant player in the industry. They compete with major retailers like Walmart, Target, and Dillard's, along with other footwear-focused chains like Foot Locker and Famous Footwear.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
SCVL's product performance varies depending on the category and target demographic. Their private label brands have been well-received by consumers, offering a balance of affordability and quality. However, they face challenges in competing with established brands in certain segments.
Total Addressable Market:
The US footwear market is estimated to be worth over $80 billion, demonstrating the significant size of the market that SCVL operates in. This market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by factors like population growth and increasing disposable income.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements Analysis:
SCVL's recent financial performance has been mixed. Revenue has grown modestly in recent years, but net income has been volatile. Profit margins are relatively low compared to competitors, and earnings per share (EPS) have fluctuated.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
SCVL's revenue has grown by approximately 5% year-over-year, while net income has decreased slightly. Profit margins have remained relatively stable, while EPS has declined.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
SCVL has a strong cash flow position and a healthy balance sheet. They have consistently generated positive operating cash flow and have a manageable level of debt.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
SCVL has a history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of around 2.5%. The payout ratio has fluctuated in recent years but has generally remained below 50%.
Shareholder Returns:
Shareholder returns have been mixed over the past few years. Over the past year, the stock has declined by approximately 10%. However, over a longer timeframe (5 years), the stock has provided a total return of over 20%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth Analysis:
SCVL has experienced modest growth in recent years, with revenue increasing by around 5% annually. However, net income has been more volatile, and profit margins have been under pressure.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts project SCVL's revenue to grow at a moderate pace in the coming years, driven by factors like store expansion and e-commerce growth. However, profitability remains a concern, and the company faces challenges in a competitive market.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The US footwear market is highly competitive, with major retailers and specialized chains vying for market share. The industry is characterized by thin margins and is sensitive to economic conditions and consumer spending patterns.
Competitive Landscape:
SCVL faces competition from various retailers, including:
- Major Retailers: Walmart, Target, Dillard's
- Footwear-Focused Chains: Foot Locker, Famous Footwear
- Online Retailers: Amazon, Zappos
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
SCVL's competitive advantages include its strong private label brands, focus on value, and expanding e-commerce presence. However, they face challenges in competing with larger retailers on price and brand recognition.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Maintaining profitability in a competitive market
- Managing supply chain disruptions
- Keeping pace with changing consumer preferences
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding e-commerce presence
- Growing private label brands
- Targeting new markets and demographics
Recent Acquisitions:
SCVL has not made any significant acquisitions in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Overall, SCVL receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The company has a strong financial position, a well-established brand, and a growing e-commerce business. However, profitability remains a concern, and the competitive landscape is challenging.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information gathered from sources such as SCVL's annual reports, SEC filings, and industry reports. The information provided should not be considered investment advice.
Disclaimer: I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Shoe Carnival Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Evansville, IN, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1993-03-16 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Mark J. Worden | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Apparel Retail | Full time employees 2500 | Website https://www.shoecarnival.com |
Full time employees 2500 | Website https://www.shoecarnival.com |
Shoe Carnival, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. The company offers various products, including dress and casual shoes, sandals, boots, and athletic shoes; and non-athletics for men's, women's and children's shoes, as well as accessories. It also operates stores. The company sells its products through www.shoecarnival.com and www.shoestation.com, as well as through related mobile app. Shoe Carnival, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Evansville, Indiana.
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