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Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/26/2025: SCVL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $19
1 Year Target Price $19
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 13.35% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 494.39M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.6 | 1Y Target Price 19 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.6 | 1Y Target Price 19 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 1.32 | 52 Weeks Range 15.21 - 34.51 | Updated Date 12/28/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 15.21 - 34.51 | Updated Date 12/28/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.21% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.1 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.06% | Operating Margin (TTM) 6.27% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.77% | Return on Equity (TTM) 8.78% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.6 | Forward PE 12.21 | Enterprise Value 749519922 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.43 |
Enterprise Value 749519922 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.43 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.66 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.78 | Shares Outstanding 27374968 | Shares Floating 17904324 |
Shares Outstanding 27374968 | Shares Floating 17904324 | ||
Percent Insiders 35.59 | Percent Institutions 75.81 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Shoe Carnival Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Shoe Carnival Inc. was founded in 1984 by Mark L. Word. The company went public in 1995. It has grown to become a leading retailer of athletic and casual footwear, operating a significant number of stores across the United States. A key milestone was the acquisition of Shoe Station in 2019, expanding its store count and market presence.
Core Business Areas
- Footwear Retail: Shoe Carnival operates brick-and-mortar stores selling a wide range of athletic, casual, dress, and novelty footwear for men, women, and children. They focus on offering a broad selection of national brands at competitive prices.
- E-commerce: The company maintains an online presence through its website, allowing customers to browse and purchase footwear and accessories, complementing its physical store operations.
Leadership and Structure
Shoe Carnival Inc. is led by its executive management team, which includes the Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and other key operational leaders. The company operates under a traditional corporate structure with distinct departments for merchandising, marketing, operations, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Athletic Footwear: Includes sneakers, running shoes, basketball shoes, and training shoes from major brands. Competitors include Foot Locker (FL), Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS), and online retailers like Amazon and Zappos.
- Casual Footwear: Features everyday shoes such as sandals, loafers, fashion sneakers, and boots for various occasions. Competitors include Kohl's, JCPenney, and department stores.
- Children's Footwear: A significant segment offering a variety of shoes for toddlers, children, and teenagers, often with a focus on comfort and durability. Competitors include specialty children's shoe stores and larger general retailers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The footwear retail industry is highly competitive and influenced by fashion trends, economic conditions, and the shift towards e-commerce. The athletic footwear segment, in particular, is driven by brand popularity and innovation. The casual footwear market is more diverse and responsive to changing consumer lifestyles.
Positioning
Shoe Carnival positions itself as a value-oriented footwear retailer, offering a wide selection of popular brands at accessible price points. Its strength lies in its extensive store footprint, allowing for broad customer reach and convenient shopping experiences. They also focus on providing a family-friendly shopping environment.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for footwear in the US is substantial, estimated in the tens of billions of dollars annually. Shoe Carnival operates within a significant segment of this market, focusing on the mid-price range for athletic and casual footwear. While it holds a notable share, the market is fragmented with numerous large and small players, as well as direct-to-consumer brands.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive physical store footprint
- Strong brand recognition in its segment
- Broad product assortment from national brands
- Loyalty program and customer engagement initiatives
Weaknesses
- Reliance on physical retail can be a disadvantage in a growing e-commerce market
- Competition from specialized athletic retailers and discount chains
- Inventory management challenges with a wide product variety
Opportunities
- Expansion of e-commerce capabilities and digital marketing
- Partnerships with emerging footwear brands
- Leveraging data analytics for personalized marketing and inventory optimization
- Growth in specific product categories like athleisure
Threats
- Intensifying competition from online retailers and direct-to-consumer brands
- Economic downturns impacting discretionary spending
- Changing consumer preferences and fashion trends
- Supply chain disruptions and rising costs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Foot Locker, Inc. (FL)
- Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS)
- DSW Designer Shoe Warehouse (VFC - indirectly through other brands, but DSW is a direct competitor in terms of store type)
- Kohl's Corporation (KSS)
- Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
Competitive Landscape
Shoe Carnival's advantages lie in its broad national presence and value-driven pricing strategy. However, it faces disadvantages against larger, more diversified retailers like Dick's Sporting Goods and e-commerce giants like Amazon, which have greater economies of scale and broader reach. Foot Locker competes directly in the athletic segment, often with a stronger brand focus. DSW offers a more curated, fashion-forward selection.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Shoe Carnival has experienced periods of consistent growth driven by store expansion, strategic acquisitions, and adapting to market trends. Its historical performance indicates an ability to navigate the cyclical nature of retail.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Shoe Carnival are influenced by analyst estimates, which typically consider same-store sales growth, e-commerce expansion, and the success of new initiatives. Analysts often project moderate single-digit growth, contingent on market conditions and competitive pressures.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely focused on enhancing the in-store customer experience, optimizing inventory management through technology, expanding the e-commerce platform, and targeted marketing campaigns to drive traffic and sales.
Summary
Shoe Carnival Inc. is a well-established footwear retailer with a significant store presence and a focus on value. Its strengths lie in its brand assortment and customer reach. However, it faces considerable challenges from intense competition, particularly from online retailers and larger sporting goods chains. The company needs to continue its digital transformation and adapt to evolving consumer preferences to maintain and grow its market share.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Shoe Carnival Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Market Research Reports (e.g., Statista, NPD Group)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and general industry knowledge. It is not financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Shoe Carnival Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Evansville, IN, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1993-03-16 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Mark J. Worden | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Apparel Retail | Full time employees 2500 | Website https://www.shoecarnival.com |
Full time employees 2500 | Website https://www.shoecarnival.com | ||
Shoe Carnival, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. The company offers various products, including dress and casual shoes, sandals, boots, and athletic shoes; and non-athletics for men's, women's and children's shoes, as well as accessories. It also operates stores. The company sells its products through www.shoecarnival.com and www.shoestation.com, as well as through related mobile app. Shoe Carnival, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Evansville, Indiana.

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