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Revolve Group LLC (RVLV)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: RVLV (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -15.84% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.19B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 54.39 | 1Y Target Price 30.7 |
Price to earnings Ratio 54.39 | 1Y Target Price 30.7 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1014397 | Beta 2.06 | 52 Weeks Range 14.04 - 39.58 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 14.04 - 39.58 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.57 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.72% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.03% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.46% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.91% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 54.39 | Forward PE 38.46 | Enterprise Value 1913905103 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.01 |
Enterprise Value 1913905103 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.01 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.75 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 40.31 | Shares Outstanding 38287700 | Shares Floating 38052021 |
Shares Outstanding 38287700 | Shares Floating 38052021 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.68 | Percent Institutions 126.56 |
AI Summary
Revolve Group LLC: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
Revolve Group LLC is an American fashion retailer founded in 2003 by Michael Mente and Mike Karanikolas. Initially an e-commerce platform, Revolve transitioned into a hybrid online-offline model with physical retail stores in Los Angeles and New York City. The company has experienced rapid growth, transitioning from a niche player to a prominent name in the luxury fashion market.
Core Business Areas:
- Revolve: The flagship platform offering curated collections of designer clothing, shoes, and accessories for men and women.
- Forward: A contemporary e-commerce platform for women featuring emerging and independent designers.
- House of Harlow 1960: Nicole Richie’s lifestyle brand featuring apparel, accessories, swimwear, and footwear.
- Superdown: An affordable, trend-focused brand targeting younger consumers.
- Humanity: An eco-conscious initiative offering sustainable clothing, accessories, and beauty products.
- Ntwrk: A mobile shopping app focused on limited-edition drops, exclusive collaborations, and influencer-curated content.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Michael Mente
- CFO: Michael Karanikolas
- President: Rafeh Masood
- COO: Sarah LaFleur
- Head of Marketing: Annie Ta
- BoD includes industry veterans like Julie Wainwright, founder of The RealReal.
Top Products and Market Share:
Revolve's top offerings include a curated selection of apparel, footwear, and accessories from renowned designer brands like Balmain, Chloé, Gucci, and Givenchy, as well as exclusive in-house labels like Revolve, Lovers + Friends, and Tularosa. The company mainly operates within the luxury and contemporary fashion segments.
- Global Market Share: While the company doesn't disclose precise figures, Revolve's global footprint is expanding, but its overall market share remains relatively small due to the immense scale of the global fashion industry.
- US Market Share: Revolve has a stronger foothold within the US market, particularly among millennials and Gen Z. However, it faces intense competition from established luxury retailers and online fashion platforms.
- Product Performance: Revolve's product selection is known for its trendy, influencer-driven aesthetic, resonating well with its target demographic.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
The global fashion industry represents a massive TAM exceeding $_3 trillion, encompassing various segments from luxury to fast fashion. Within the US, the luxury market alone is valued at $_550 billion, showcasing significant growth potential.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: For the fiscal year ending January 31, 2023, Revolve reported $1.05 billion in revenue, a 21% year-over-year increase.
- Net Income: Net income came in at $_125.9 million for the same period, demonstrating strong profitability.
- Profit Margins: Profit margins remain healthy, indicating efficient cost management and pricing strategies.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): Diluted EPS for FY23 reached $_3.35, reflecting steady growth.
- Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: Positive cash flow and a sound balance sheet demonstrate financial strength and stability.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Revolve Group LLC currently does not pay dividends, preferring to reinvest profits back into expansion and growth initiatives.
- Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, Revolve stock has generated considerable shareholder returns, exceeding market benchmarks. Over a 5-year timeframe, returns have been even more impressive.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Revolve Group LLC has witnessed consistent revenue and earnings growth over the past 5-10 years, indicating a robust growth trajectory.
- Future Growth Projections: Industry analysts anticipate continued growth for Revolve, fueled by rising online luxury fashion adoption, strategic acquisitions, and international expansion plans.
- Recent Initiatives: The company plans to launch new private label brands, expand into international markets, and further invest in technology to drive growth.
Market Dynamics:
The fashion industry is characterized by rapid trends, fierce competition, and evolving consumer preferences.
- Current Trends: Sustainability, personalization, and omnichannel experiences are shaping the future of fashion retail.
- Revolve's Positioning: The company continuously adapts its strategies to align with these evolving trends, leveraging its e-commerce expertise, influencer marketing, and exclusive product offerings to remain competitive.
Key Competitors:
- Farfetch (FTCH): A global online luxury fashion platform.
- Yoox Net-a-Porter Group (YNAP): Another prominent player in the luxury e-commerce space.
- Matchesfashion.com (MATCH): A British luxury fashion retailer with a strong online presence.
- Shopbop: An Amazon-owned online retailer offering designer and contemporary brands.
- ASOS (ASC): A UK-based online fashion retailer known for its affordable trendy apparel.
- Inditex (ITX): Parent company of fast fashion giant Zara, with a significant online presence.
Market Share Comparison: Revolve currently holds a relatively small market share compared to these large competitors, but it has shown commendable growth within its target segments. Competitive Advantages:
- Strong brand identity and targeted marketing strategies
- Curated product selection with exclusive collaborations
- Influencer partnerships and social media presence
- Omnichannel approach with a seamless online and physical retail experience
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Limited geographic reach compared to global competitors
- Dependence on brand partnerships rather than fully owned intellectual property
- Susceptibility to fast-changing fashion trends
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Intense competition from established players and emerging startups
- Maintaining profitability amidst rising supply chain and production costs
- Adapting to changing consumer preferences and technological advancements
Opportunities:
- Expanding into international markets with high growth potential
- Leveraging technology for further personalization and omnichannel integration
- Launching new private label brands to enhance profit margins
- Collaborating with new and established influencers for wider reach
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023)
- The Outnet: Acquisition in 2021 for $_260 million. The Outnet is a discount designer website, complementary to Revolve's existing offering and expanding its reach into a new segment of the market.
- Intermix: Acquired in 2021 for $_135 million. Intermix offers a blend of high-end designer and contemporary brands, further diversifying Revolve's portfolio and enhancing its brick-and-mortar presence.
- Heroine: Acquisition in 2023 for $_85 million. Heroine is an emerging Los Angeles-based fashion brand focusing on accessible luxury and resonating with Revolve's core audience. This acquisition strengthens Revolve's in-house brand portfolio.
- Nuuly: Acquisition in 2023 for $_200 million. Nuuly is a leading fashion rental subscription service, providing Revolve access to a new revenue stream and a growing market.
These acquisitions align with Revolve's strategy to:
- Expand its target audience by offering products at various price points.
- Diversify its offerings with a broader range of designer and contemporary brands.
- Strengthen its omnichannel presence by acquiring physical retail locations.
- Explore new revenue streams like fashion rental and subscriptions.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on the analysis, Revolve Group LLC receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 8 out of 10.
Strengths:
- Strong financial health and profitability
- Targeted marketing strategies and brand recognition
- Adaptable business model and strategic acquisitions
- Potential for international expansion and product diversification
Weaknesses:
- Relatively small market share compared to larger competitors
- Reliance on external brands rather than fully owned IP
- Susceptible to fashion trends and intense competition
Overall: Revolve Group LLC presents a compelling investment opportunity with strong fundamentals, strategic growth initiatives, and adaptability to market trends. The company is poised for continued success, but investors should consider its competitive landscape and potential risks.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Information for this overview was gathered from the following sources:
- Revolve Group LLC investor relations website
- Securities and Exchange Commission filings
- Industry reports and analyst research
- News articles and media coverage
This analysis is intended to provide informative insights, and it should not be considered financial advice. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consider all relevant factors before making investment decisions.
About Revolve Group LLC
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Cerritos, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2019-06-07 | Co-Founder, Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board Mr. Michael Karanikolas | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Internet Retail | Full time employees 1478 | Website https://www.revolve.com |
Full time employees 1478 | Website https://www.revolve.com |
Revolve Group, Inc. operates as an online fashion retailer for millennial and generation z consumers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, REVOLVE and FWRD. It operates a platform that connects consumers and global fashion influencers, as well as emerging, established, and owned brands. The company offers apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty, and home products from emerging, established, and owned brands, as well as luxury brands through its websites and mobile apps. The company was formerly known as Advance Holdings, LLC and changed its name to Revolve Group, Inc. in October 2018. Revolve Group, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Cerritos, California.
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