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Papa John\'s International Inc (PZZA)PZZA

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Papa John\'s International Inc
$47.31
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY3.71%
SELL
upturn advisory
SELL since 3 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: PZZA (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 3 days. Profits (3.71%). Updated daily EoD!

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: SELL
Historic Profit: -6.14%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3
Avg. Invested days: 47
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: SELL
Historic Profit: -6.14%
Avg. Invested days: 47
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.54B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 16.37
1Y Target Price 60.73
Dividends yield (FY) 3.90%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.89
Volume (30-day avg) 1135835
Beta 1.19
52 Weeks Range 39.12 - 75.97
Updated Date 11/20/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.54B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 16.37
1Y Target Price 60.73
Dividends yield (FY) 3.90%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.89
Volume (30-day avg) 1135835
Beta 1.19
52 Weeks Range 39.12 - 75.97
Updated Date 11/20/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-11-07
When BeforeMarket
Estimate 0.43
Actual 0.43
Report Date 2024-11-07
When BeforeMarket
Estimate 0.43
Actual 0.43

Profitability

Profit Margin 4.51%
Operating Margin (TTM) 13.93%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 14.15%
Return on Equity (TTM) -

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 16.37
Forward PE 19.72
Enterprise Value 2481528524
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.74
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.18
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.36
Shares Outstanding 32641600
Shares Floating 32240131
Percent Insiders 1.54
Percent Institutions 129.34
Trailing PE 16.37
Forward PE 19.72
Enterprise Value 2481528524
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.74
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.18
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.36
Shares Outstanding 32641600
Shares Floating 32240131
Percent Insiders 1.54
Percent Institutions 129.34

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.82
Target Price 92.31
Buy 2
Strong Buy 6
Hold 9
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 3.82
Target Price 92.31
Buy 2
Strong Buy 6
Hold 9
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

  • History and Background: Founded in 1984 by John Schnatter in Jeffersonville, Indiana, Papa John's has grown to become the third-largest pizza delivery company in the world. It operates in over 5,500 locations across 49 countries and territories.
  • Core Business Areas: Papa John's core business is franchising and operating pizza restaurants. They offer a variety of pizzas, sides, and desserts for delivery, carryout, and dine-in.
  • Leadership and Corporate Structure: The current CEO is Rob Lynch. The company has a Board of Directors and an executive leadership team overseeing various functions like operations, marketing, and finance.

Top Products and Market Share:

  • Top Products: Signature pizzas like The Original, New York Style, and Garden Fresh, along with sides like chicken wings and breadsticks, are their top offerings.
  • Market Share: Papa John's holds a 5% market share in the US pizza delivery market, trailing behind Domino's (55%) and Pizza Hut (20%). Globally, their market share is estimated to be around 2%.
  • Product Performance and Competition: While Papa John's enjoys brand recognition, its market share has been declining due to increased competition and internal controversies. Domino's focus on technology and delivery speed, and Pizza Hut's broader menu offerings, pose significant challenges.

Total Addressable Market:

The global pizza market is estimated to be worth $157.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $222.3 billion by 2028. This indicates a large and growing market potential for Papa John's.

Financial Performance:

  • Recent Financial Statements (2022): Revenue: $1.85 billion, Net Income: $63.2 million, Profit Margin: 3.4%, EPS: $0.88.
  • Year-over-Year Comparison: Revenue and net income have declined compared to 2021, reflecting the ongoing challenges.
  • Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: The company has a healthy cash flow and a manageable debt load, indicating financial stability.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

  • Dividend History: Papa John's has a sporadic dividend history. In 2022, they paid out $0.22 per share.
  • Shareholder Returns: Total shareholder returns over the past year are negative, reflecting the stock price decline. However, long-term returns (5 and 10 years) have been positive.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Historical Growth: Papa John's experienced significant growth in the past, but this has slowed down in recent years.
  • Future Growth Projections: Future growth depends on regaining market share and expanding internationally. The company's focus on technology and operational improvements offer potential for future growth.
  • Recent Product Launches: New menu items like Shaq-a-roni pizza and collaborations with sports figures aim to attract customers.

Market Dynamics:

The pizza industry is highly competitive and fragmented, with technological advancements playing a crucial role. Papa John's needs to adapt to these trends by focusing on delivery speed, online ordering, and innovative menu options.

Competitors:

  • Domino's Pizza (DPZ): Market leader with a focus on technology and delivery.
  • Pizza Hut (YUM): Offers a broader menu and dine-in options.
  • Little Caesars (LCSA): Value-driven competitor with a strong presence in the US.

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:

  • Advantages: Strong brand recognition, international presence, and focus on quality ingredients.
  • Disadvantages: Recent controversies, declining market share, and intense competition.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

  • Challenges: Maintaining profitability in a competitive market, regaining market share, and managing reputational risks.
  • Opportunities: Expanding international presence, leveraging technology for better delivery and customer experience, and developing new products.

Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):

  • Papa John's has not made any acquisitions in the past 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on publicly available information and AI analysis, Papa John's receives a rating of 6.5 out of 10. The rating considers financial health, market position, and future growth potential. While the company faces challenges, its brand recognition and growth opportunities provide potential for improvement.

Sources:

  • Papa John's International Inc. website (investor.papajohns.com)
  • SEC filings
  • Market research reports
  • News articles

Disclaimer: This information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Papa John's International Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Louisville, KY, United States
IPO Launch date 1993-06-08 President, CEO & Director Mr. Todd Allan Penegor
Sector Consumer Cyclical Website https://www.papajohns.com/international
Industry Restaurants Full time employees 13200
Headquaters Louisville, KY, United States
President, CEO & Director Mr. Todd Allan Penegor
Website https://www.papajohns.com/international
Website https://www.papajohns.com/international
Full time employees 13200

Papa John's International, Inc. operates and franchises pizza delivery and carryout restaurants under the Papa John's trademark in the United States and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Domestic Company-Owned Restaurants, North America Commissaries, North America Franchising, and International Operations. It also operates dine-in and delivery restaurants under the Papa John's trademark internationally. Papa John's International, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is based in Louisville, Kentucky.

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