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El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc (LOCO)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$10.79
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

03/27/2025: LOCO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -9.68%
Avg. Invested days 44
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 03/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 312.65M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.26
1Y Target Price 15.33
Price to earnings Ratio 12.26
1Y Target Price 15.33
Volume (30-day avg) 287690
Beta 1.44
52 Weeks Range 8.17 - 14.25
Updated Date 04/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 8.17 - 14.25
Updated Date 04/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.84

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-03-05
When Before Market
Estimate 0.135
Actual 0.2

Profitability

Profit Margin 5.43%
Operating Margin (TTM) 7.49%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.38%
Return on Equity (TTM) 10.05%

Valuation

Trailing PE 12.26
Forward PE 14.03
Enterprise Value 567539004
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.66
Enterprise Value 567539004
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.66
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.2
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.97
Shares Outstanding 29777200
Shares Floating 21239188
Shares Outstanding 29777200
Shares Floating 21239188
Percent Insiders 9.21
Percent Institutions 99.91

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.5
Target Price 14
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 3
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc

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Company Overview

History and Background

El Pollo Loco was founded in 1975 in Guasave, Mexico. The first U.S. restaurant opened in 1980 in Los Angeles. El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and went public that same year. The company focuses on fire-grilled chicken and related Mexican-inspired cuisine.

Core Business Areas

  • Company-owned Restaurants: Operation of El Pollo Loco restaurants directly owned and managed by the company.
  • Franchising: Franchising the El Pollo Loco brand and restaurant system to independent operators, generating revenue through franchise fees and royalties.

Leadership and Structure

As of October 2024, Larry Roberts serves as the interim Chief Executive Officer, Maria Hollandsworth as Chief Operating Officer, and Ira Fils as Chief Financial Officer. The company operates with a standard corporate structure, including a Board of Directors overseeing executive management.

Top Products and Market Share

Key Offerings

  • Fire-Grilled Chicken: El Pollo Loco's signature product, marinated and fire-grilled chicken. Market share is difficult to pinpoint precisely, but this is the core of their brand and drives significant revenue. Competitors include KFC, Church's Chicken, and other QSR chicken chains.
  • Mexican-Inspired Dishes: A variety of Mexican-inspired dishes such as bowls, burritos, salads, and quesadillas featuring the signature chicken. Competitors include Chipotle, Qdoba, and other fast-casual Mexican restaurants.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview

The QSR (Quick Service Restaurant) industry is highly competitive and fragmented. Demand is driven by convenience, affordability, and evolving consumer preferences. Trends include healthier options, digital ordering, and delivery services.

Positioning

El Pollo Loco positions itself as a fast-casual restaurant offering higher-quality, healthier alternatives to traditional fast food, particularly through its focus on fire-grilled chicken. It caters to consumers seeking authentic Mexican flavors and a more premium experience than typical fast-food chains.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The US QSR market is estimated to be several hundred billion dollars. El Pollo Loco is positioned in a subsegment of the market centered on grilled chicken and Mexican-inspired cuisine with a focus on growth in the Southwestern US and California.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition in California and the Southwest
  • Unique fire-grilled chicken cooking process
  • Emphasis on fresh ingredients and authentic flavors
  • Franchise model for expansion

Weaknesses

  • Limited geographic presence
  • Sensitivity to chicken prices and supply chain disruptions
  • Higher price point compared to some competitors
  • Dependence on a specific regional cuisine

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Menu innovation and introduction of new flavors
  • Increased focus on digital ordering and delivery
  • Partnerships with third-party delivery services

Threats

  • Intense competition in the QSR industry
  • Rising labor costs and inflationary pressures
  • Changing consumer preferences and health trends
  • Economic downturn impacting consumer spending

Competitors and Market Share

Key Competitors

  • YUM
  • CMG
  • ARCO

Competitive Landscape

El Pollo Loco's advantages lie in its differentiated fire-grilled chicken and authentic Mexican flavors. Disadvantages include its smaller scale, limited geographic presence, and higher price point compared to some competitors. The industry is intensely competitive.

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: El Pollo Loco's growth has been focused on expanding its restaurant base primarily through franchising, with slower growth in company-owned locations. Performance has fluctuated based on economic conditions and competitive pressures.

Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on the company's ability to expand into new markets, innovate its menu, and effectively manage its cost structure. Analyst estimates should be consulted for specific revenue and earnings forecasts.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in digital ordering platforms, menu enhancements focused on health and flavor, and strategies to improve operational efficiencies.

Summary

El Pollo Loco is a niche player in the QSR market known for its fire-grilled chicken. Its strengths are brand recognition in specific regions and a differentiated product. However, limited geographic reach and competition pose challenges. Continued focus on digital innovation and strategic expansion are crucial for future growth.

Similar Companies

  • YUM
  • CMG
  • QSR
  • JACK

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (e.g., 10-K reports)
  • Industry reports
  • Analyst estimates
  • Company website

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on available information and general market conditions. Financial data is illustrative and needs to be updated with the latest reports. This is not financial advice.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Costa Mesa, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2014-07-25
CEO & Director Ms. Elizabeth Goodwin Williams
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 4143
Full time employees 4143

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, El Pollo Loco, Inc., develops, franchises, licenses, and operates quick-service restaurants under the El Pollo Loco name. The company operates and franchises restaurants located in California, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Colorado, Utah, and Louisiana. It also licenses its brand to restaurants in the Philippines. The company was formerly known as Chicken Acquisition Corp. and changed its name to El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. in April 2014. El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Costa Mesa, California.

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