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El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc (LOCO)LOCO

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc
$11.98
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: LOCO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -2.15%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 49
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -2.15%
Avg. Invested days: 49
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 361.37M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 15.47
1Y Target Price 14
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.78
Volume (30-day avg) 232180
Beta 1.44
52 Weeks Range 8.17 - 14.25
Updated Date 11/20/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 361.37M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 15.47
1Y Target Price 14
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.78
Volume (30-day avg) 232180
Beta 1.44
52 Weeks Range 8.17 - 14.25
Updated Date 11/20/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-10-31
When AfterMarket
Estimate 0.17
Actual 0.21
Report Date 2024-10-31
When AfterMarket
Estimate 0.17
Actual 0.21

Profitability

Profit Margin 5.11%
Operating Margin (TTM) 8.48%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.35%
Return on Equity (TTM) 9.37%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 15.47
Forward PE 14.03
Enterprise Value 617290457
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.77
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.31
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.16
Shares Outstanding 29939200
Shares Floating 17321040
Percent Insiders 13.17
Percent Institutions 97.16
Trailing PE 15.47
Forward PE 14.03
Enterprise Value 617290457
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.77
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.31
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.16
Shares Outstanding 29939200
Shares Floating 17321040
Percent Insiders 13.17
Percent Institutions 97.16

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.5
Target Price 10.67
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 3
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 3.5
Target Price 10.67
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 3
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO):

Company Profile:

History and Background:

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO) is a restaurant chain specializing in citrus-marinated, fire-grilled chicken. Founded in Los Angeles in 1980, El Pollo Loco currently operates over 500 restaurants across the United States. The company distinguishes itself through fresh, hand-crafted Mexican-inspired food served in a quick-service format.

Core Business Area:

El Pollo Loco's main business area is operating and franchising quick-service restaurants. They primarily focus on serving healthy, flavorful Mexican-inspired dishes, with grilled chicken being its signature offering.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

The company has a Board of Directors, led by Chairman and CEO Bernard Acoca. The executive leadership team includes key personnel like Chief Financial Officer Brandon Solano and Chief Technology Officer Heather Gardea.

Top Products & Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Fire-Grilled Chicken: El Pollo Loco's signature menu item, marinated with a flavorful citrus blend and flame-grilled, is available in various forms like chicken breasts, thighs, and wings.
  • Chicken Tacos: Featuring the signature Pollo Loco chicken, these tacos come in various styles, including al pastor, avocado, and chipotle.
  • Burritos: El Pollo Loco offers burritos with different fillings like chicken, carne asada, and barbacoa, accompanied by fresh vegetables and salsas.
  • Bowl Entrees: Customizable bowls allow customers to combine Pollo Loco's protein options with rice, beans, vegetables, and toppings.
  • Avocado Bacon Cheeseburger: Targeting a broader audience, El Pollo Loco introduces a fire-grilled ½ lb. Angus burger with avocado, crispy bacon, cheese, and special sauce.

Market Share & Competitor Comparison:

El Pollo Loco holds an approximate 0.6% share of the total US chicken QSR market (as of 2022). Its main competitors include:

  • Yum! Brands (YUM): Owning KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and other major fast-food chains.
  • McDonald's (MCD): The global fast-food behemoth with a large chicken sandwich offering.
  • Chick-fil-A: A popular competitor specializing in chicken sandwiches and renowned for its customer service.

El Pollo Loco differentiates itself by its citrus-marinated grilled chicken, focusing on fresh and flavorful Mexican-inspired meals. While holding a smaller market share compared to major competitors, the company's niche strategy and focus on health-conscious options offer potential for growth.

Total Addressable Market (TAM):

The US fast-food industry, including chicken QSRs, represents a significant TAM exceeding $280 billion in 2023. The Mexican-inspired food segment within the QSR market further adds to the overall opportunity. This vast market offers ample room for El Pollo Loco to expand its footprint and increase its market share.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financials:

Revenue: In 2022, El Pollo Loco’s revenue reached $483.97 Million, with a net income of $13.95 Million. The EPS was $0.54, reflecting a significant increase from the previous year.

Profit Margin: The operating profit margin stood at 14.44% in 2022, indicating healthy profitability.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet:

El Pollo Loco's operating cash flow was $47.46 Million in 2022, demonstrating strong cash generation. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with minimal debt compared to its assets.

Dividends & shareholder returns:

Dividend History & Payouts: El Pollo Loco currently does not pay any dividends to shareholders. The company currently prioritizes reinvesting its earnings for growth initiatives.

Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, El Pollo Loco's shareholders have experienced a positive return of approximately 15%. However, long-term shareholder returns (5 years and 10 years) are negative, indicating past challenges and the focus on recent growth initiatives.

Growth Trajectory:

Over the past 5 years, El Pollo Loco has experienced moderate revenue growth, demonstrating its ability to maintain a steady presence in the competitive market. Future growth projections indicate potential for continued expansion, driven by new product launches and strategic initiatives.

Market Dynamics:

The QSR industry, particularly the chicken segment, is highly competitive and dynamic. Key trends include an increasing focus on healthy and fresh food options as well as technological advancements in online ordering and food delivery. El Pollo Loco is well-positioned within this market, emphasizing its fresh ingredients and leveraging technology to enhance customer experience.

Key Competitors:

  • Yum! Brands (YUM): Market share: ~4.5% (US chicken QSR)
  • McDonald's (MCD): Market share: ~14% (US chicken QSR)
  • Chick-fil-A (Private): Estimated market share ~4% (US chicken QSR)

Competitive Advantages & disadvantages:

El Pollo Loco:

  • Advantages: Unique citrus-marinated chicken, focus on fresh ingredients, healthy options, growing digital presence.
  • Disadvantages: Smaller market share, limited brand awareness in certain regions, higher menu prices compared to some competitors.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Costa Mesa, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2014-07-25 CEO & Director Ms. Elizabeth Goodwin Williams
Sector Consumer Cyclical Website https://www.elpolloloco.com
Industry Restaurants Full time employees 4000
Headquaters Costa Mesa, CA, United States
CEO & Director Ms. Elizabeth Goodwin Williams
Website https://www.elpolloloco.com
Website https://www.elpolloloco.com
Full time employees 4000

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, El Pollo Loco, Inc., develops, franchises, licenses, and operates quick-service restaurants under the El Pollo Loco name. It operates and franchises restaurants located in California, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Colorado, Utah, and Louisiana. It also licenses its brand to restaurants in the Philippines. The company was formerly known as Chicken Acquisition Corp. and changed its name to El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. in April 2014. El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Costa Mesa, California.

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