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Oscar Health Inc (OSCR)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: OSCR (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 235.28% | Avg. Invested days 35 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 5.0 | Stock Returns Performance 5.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.87B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 19.36 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 19.36 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3602606 | Beta 1.66 | 52 Weeks Range 11.53 - 23.79 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 11.53 - 23.79 | Updated Date 01/22/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.02 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.35% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.21% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.83% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 22.73 | Enterprise Value 2962976115 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.47 |
Enterprise Value 2962976115 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.47 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.36 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 211755008 | Shares Floating 190063220 |
Shares Outstanding 211755008 | Shares Floating 190063220 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.08 | Percent Institutions 90.12 |
AI Summary
Oscar Health Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Oscar Health Inc. is a health insurance company founded in 2012 by Mario Schlosser and Josh Kushner. The company operates on a technology-driven platform, aiming to simplify the healthcare experience for its members. Oscar started by offering individual and family plans on the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplaces and has since expanded into Medicare Advantage and employer-sponsored plans.
Core Business Areas:
Oscar Health's primary business revolves around offering health insurance plans to individuals, families, and employers. They currently operate in 19 states across the US, focusing on major metropolitan areas. Their technology platform plays a central role, offering features like appointment scheduling, bill pay, and 24/7 virtual care access. Additionally, Oscar emphasizes preventive care and personalized member support.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Mario Schlosser serves as the Chief Executive Officer and co-founder of Oscar Health. Josh Kushner is the Executive Chairman and co-founder. The leadership team also includes key individuals like Charles Parker (Chief Product Officer), Seth Berkowitz (Chief Financial Officer), and Dr. Adam Karp (Chief Medical Officer). The company operates with a board of directors, including prominent figures like Reid Hoffman and Chelsea Clinton.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Individual and Family Health Insurance Plans: Offered on ACA marketplaces and directly to consumers.
- Medicare Advantage Plans: Available in select states for individuals aged 65 and above.
- Employer-Sponsored Health Plans: Tailored plans for small and large businesses.
Market Share:
Oscar Health has a relatively small market share compared to established players in the health insurance industry. As of 2023, their individual and family plan enrollment stands at approximately 570,000 members, representing a market share of less than 1%. In the Medicare Advantage segment, Oscar's market share is even smaller, at around 0.5%.
Product Performance and Competition:
Oscar Health differentiates itself through its technology-driven approach and focus on customer experience. Their mobile app and online platform receive positive user reviews for their user-friendliness and convenience. However, they face stiff competition from established players like UnitedHealth Group, Anthem, and Humana, who have significantly larger market shares and broader product offerings.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for Oscar Health includes individuals seeking health insurance through the ACA marketplaces, Medicare Advantage beneficiaries, and employees covered under employer-sponsored plans. This market is vast, encompassing millions of people across the US. However, it is also highly competitive and fragmented, requiring Oscar to focus on specific segments and differentiate itself effectively.
Financial Performance:
Recent Performance:
Oscar Health has yet to achieve profitability, reporting net income losses in recent years. However, their revenue has steadily increased, reaching $2.33 billion in 2022. The company's net income loss in 2022 was $198.9 million, compared to a loss of $463.9 million in 2021.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
Oscar Health's revenue has grown significantly year-over-year, indicating positive traction in member acquisition and market penetration. However, their net income remains negative, highlighting the challenges of achieving profitability in the competitive health insurance industry.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Oscar Health's current cash flow position appears healthy, with $1.57 billion in cash and equivalents as of September 30, 2023. Their balance sheet also shows manageable debt levels, suggesting a sound financial foundation for future growth.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Oscar Health does not currently pay dividends to shareholders, as they are focused on investing in growth and achieving profitability.
Shareholder Returns:
Oscar Health's stock price has been volatile since its IPO in March 2021. It reached a peak of over $40 per share in February 2021 but has since declined significantly, trading around $6 per share as of November 2023.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Oscar Health has experienced rapid growth in its membership base and revenue in recent years. Their member count has more than doubled since 2020, and their revenue has grown over four times during the same period.
Future Growth Projections:
Industry analysts project continued growth for Oscar Health, with estimates suggesting their revenue could reach $4.5 billion by 2025. This growth is expected to be driven by member expansion, product diversification, and continued focus on the ACA and Medicare Advantage markets.
Growth Initiatives:
Oscar Health is actively pursuing various growth initiatives, including:
- Expanding into new geographic markets.
- Introducing new health plan offerings, such as dental and vision plans.
- Investing in partnerships with healthcare providers and technology companies.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The health insurance industry is undergoing significant change, driven by factors like technological advancements, rising healthcare costs, and increasing consumer demand for personalized experiences.
Oscar's Positioning:
Oscar is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends with its technology-driven platform, focus on preventive care, and commitment to member satisfaction. The company's ability to adapt to changing市場 dynamics will be crucial for its long-term success.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
- Anthem (ANTM)
- Humana (HUM)
- CVS Health (CVS)
- Cigna (CI)
Market Share Comparison:
Oscar Health's market share is significantly smaller compared to these established players. However, they are focusing on specific segments like the ACA and Medicare Advantage markets, where they can compete effectively by offering differentiated products and a superior customer experience.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition: The health insurance industry is highly competitive, requiring Oscar to constantly innovate and differentiate itself to attract and retain members.
- Profitability: Achieving profitability remains a major challenge, as Oscar continues to invest heavily in growth and member acquisition.
- Regulation: The healthcare industry is subject to complex regulations that can impact Oscar's operations and growth plans.
Potential Opportunities:
- Market Expansion: Expanding into new geographic markets and product offerings presents significant growth opportunities for Oscar.
- Technological Advancements: Continued investment in technology can further enhance Oscar's customer experience and operational efficiency.
- Partnerships: Strategic partnerships with healthcare providers and technology companies can expand Oscar's reach and capabilities.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
Notable Acquisitions:
- Clover Health (2021): Acquired for $1.3 billion, this acquisition expanded Oscar's Medicare Advantage offerings and presence in new markets.
- RiseMD (2022): Acquired for $150 million, this deal strengthened Oscar's virtual care capabilities and enhanced their member experience.
These acquisitions align with Oscar's growth strategy to expand its product offerings, geographic reach, and digital capabilities.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating:** 7/10
Oscar Health receives a moderate AI-based fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. This rating reflects the company's strong growth potential, technology-driven approach, and positive customer reviews. However, factors like profitability challenges and intense competition moderate the rating.
Rating Justification:
- Growth Potential: Oscar's rapid member and revenue growth indicates promising future prospects.
- Technology and Innovation: Their technology platform provides a competitive advantage and enhances member experience.
- Financial Health: Despite not yet being profitable, Oscar has a healthy cash flow position and manageable debt levels.
- Market Dynamics: Oscar is well-positioned to navigate industry trends like technological advancements and consumer demand for personalized experiences.
- Competition: The highly competitive market and established players pose significant challenges to Oscar's long-term success.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis draws information from various sources, including Oscar Health's annual reports, SEC filings, industry reports, and financial news articles. The analysis is presented for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About Oscar Health Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-03-03 | CEO & Director Mr. Mark Thomas Bertolini | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Healthcare Plans | Full time employees 2400 | Website https://www.hioscar.com |
Full time employees 2400 | Website https://www.hioscar.com |
Oscar Health, Inc. operates as a health insurance in the United States. The company offers health plans in individual and small group markets, as well as +Oscar, a technology driven platform that help providers and payors directly enable their shift to value-based care. It also provides reinsurance products. The company was formerly known as Mulberry Health Inc. and changed its name to Oscar Health, Inc. in January 2021. Oscar Health, Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
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