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Humana Inc (HUM)HUM
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: HUM (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -15.15% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -15.15% | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 37.96B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 22.22 | 1Y Target Price 392.01 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.14% | Basic EPS (TTM) 14.19 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1150935 | Beta 0.51 |
52 Weeks Range 297.88 - 526.87 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 37.96B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 22.22 | 1Y Target Price 392.01 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.14% | Basic EPS (TTM) 14.19 | Volume (30-day avg) 1150935 | Beta 0.51 |
52 Weeks Range 297.88 - 526.87 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.53% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.57% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.16% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 22.22 | Forward PE 15.41 |
Enterprise Value 44935237899 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.4 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - |
Shares Outstanding 120402000 | Shares Floating 119999519 |
Percent Insiders 0.21 | Percent Institutions 96.25 |
Trailing PE 22.22 | Forward PE 15.41 | Enterprise Value 44935237899 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.4 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 120402000 | Shares Floating 119999519 |
Percent Insiders 0.21 | Percent Institutions 96.25 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.8 | Target Price 587.53 | Buy 4 |
Strong Buy 8 | Hold 13 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.8 | Target Price 587.53 | Buy 4 | Strong Buy 8 |
Hold 13 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Humana Inc. (HUM): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Humana Inc. was founded in 1961 as a nursing home company. Over the years, it evolved into a health and well-being company offering a wide range of Medicare Advantage and health insurance plans. Today, it stands as one of the leading health insurers in the United States, serving over 16 million members across individual, group, and government-sponsored programs.
Core Business Areas:
- Individual Medicare Advantage: Provides Medicare Advantage plans to individuals with various benefits and coverage options.
- Group Medicare Advantage: Offers Medicare Advantage plans to groups and employers.
- Employer Group Health Plans: Designs and administers health plans for employer groups, including commercial and specialty plans.
- Medicaid Plans: Partners with states to provide Medicaid managed care plans.
- Specialty Products: Offers additional products such as dental, vision, and pharmacy benefits.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- President and CEO: Bruce D. Broussard
- Chief Financial Officer: Brian J. Kane
- Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer: William C. Fleming Jr.
- Executive Vice President, Individual Medicare: Andrew Agwunobi
- Executive Vice President, Group & Specialty: Susan M. Diamond
The company operates through two reportable segments: Retail and Group & Specialty.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Medicare Advantage Plans: Humana ranks among the top Medicare Advantage providers in the US, with over 5.2 million members.
- Commercial Health Plans: The company serves over 1.5 million members through its group commercial health plans.
- Medicaid Plans: Humana participates in Medicaid programs in 19 states, serving over 4.4 million members.
Market Share:
- Medicare Advantage: Humana holds approximately 8% of the national Medicare Advantage market share.
- Commercial Health Plans: The company's market share in the commercial health insurance market is around 1%.
- Medicaid: Humana is a leading Medicaid managed care provider, with a market share of approximately 6%.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Humana's Medicare Advantage plans consistently receive high ratings from members and independent organizations. The company's commercial health plans also perform well in terms of member satisfaction and clinical outcomes.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for Humana includes individuals eligible for Medicare, employer groups seeking health insurance for their employees, and individuals requiring Medicaid coverage. This market encompasses millions of potential customers across the United States.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $92.3 billion (2022)
- Net Income: $3.4 billion (2022)
- Profit Margin: 3.7% (2022)
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $19.19 (2022)
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Revenue: Increased by 14.4% from 2021 to 2022.
- Net Income: Increased by 16.5% from 2021 to 2022.
- EPS: Increased by 17.4% from 2021 to 2022.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
Humana maintains a healthy cash flow and a strong balance sheet. The company has consistently generated positive free cash flow in recent years.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Humana has a history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of approximately 0.6%. The company has increased its dividend payout for eight consecutive years.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, Humana's stock has returned approximately 5%. Over the past five years, the total shareholder return has been around 60%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Humana has experienced steady growth over the past five years, driven by increasing enrollment in its Medicare Advantage and Medicaid plans.
Future Growth Projections:
The company expects continued growth in its Medicare Advantage and Medicaid businesses, fueled by favorable market demographics and increasing demand for these plans. Humana is also exploring opportunities in new markets and product lines.
Recent Initiatives:
- Expansion into new markets through acquisitions, such as the acquisition of Kindred at Home in 2021.
- Development of new products and services, such as the launch of HumanaWell, a digital health and wellness platform.
Market Dynamics:
The healthcare industry is undergoing significant changes, driven by factors such as:
- Aging population: The growing number of seniors is increasing demand for Medicare and Medicaid plans.
- Rising healthcare costs: The cost of healthcare continues to rise, putting pressure on insurers to manage costs effectively.
- Technological advancements: New technologies are transforming the delivery and financing of healthcare.
Humana's Positioning:
Humana is well-positioned to benefit from these market trends due to its strong Medicare Advantage franchise, focus on cost management, and investment in technology.
Competitors:
Humana's key competitors include:
- UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
- Anthem (ANTM)
- CVS Health (CVS)
- Centene (CNC)
- Molina Healthcare (MOH)
Market Share and Comparison:
Humana's market share in the Medicare Advantage market is lower than that of its larger competitors, UnitedHealth Group and Anthem. However, Humana is a leading player in the Medicaid market and has a strong presence in certain geographic regions.
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong Medicare Advantage franchise
- Focus on cost management
- Investment in technology
- Experienced management team
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Smaller market share than some competitors
- Limited geographic reach
- Dependence on government programs
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Managing rising healthcare costs
- Maintaining profitability in a competitive market
- Adapting to technological changes
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets
- Developing new products and services
- Partnering with other healthcare providers
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- Kindred at Home (2021): This acquisition expanded Humana's home health and hospice services, allowing the company to offer a more comprehensive suite of care options to its members.
- Parallon Business Solutions (2020): This acquisition strengthened Humana's pharmacy benefit management capabilities, giving the company greater control over prescription drug costs.
- EnvisionRxOptions (2020): This acquisition further expanded Humana's pharmacy network and enhanced its specialty pharmacy offerings.
These acquisitions demonstrate Humana's strategic focus on expanding its care offerings and controlling costs, aligning with its overall growth strategy.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Humana receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. This rating considers various factors such as the company's financial health, market position, and future growth prospects. The company's strong Medicare Advantage business, focus on cost management, and investment in technology are key strengths. However, its smaller market share and limited geographic reach are potential weaknesses.
Sources:
- Humana Inc. Investor Relations
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
- Morningstar
- Yahoo Finance
- S&P Global Market Intelligence
Disclaimer:
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Humana Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Louisville, KY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1993-01-22 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. James A. Rechtin M.B.A. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.humana.com |
Industry | Healthcare Plans | Full time employees | 65000 |
Headquaters | Louisville, KY, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. James A. Rechtin M.B.A. | ||
Website | https://www.humana.com | ||
Website | https://www.humana.com | ||
Full time employees | 65000 |
Humana Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides medical and specialty insurance products in the United States. It operates through two segments, Insurance and CenterWell. The company offers medical and supplemental benefit plans to individuals. It has a contract with Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services to administer the Limited Income Newly Eligible Transition prescription drug plan program; and contracts with various states to provide Medicaid, dual eligible, and long-term support services benefits. In addition, the company provides commercial fully-insured medical and specialty health insurance benefits comprising dental, vision, life insurance, and other supplemental health benefits, as well as administrative services only products to individuals and employer groups; military services, such as TRICARE T2017 East Region contract; and engages in the operations of pharmacy benefit manager business. Further, it operates pharmacies and senior focused primary care centers; and offers home solutions services, such as home health, hospice, and other services to its health plan members, as well as to third parties. The company sells its products through employers and employees, independent brokers and agents, sales representatives, and digital insurance agencies. The company was formerly known as Extendicare Inc. and changed its name to Humana Inc. in April 1974. Humana Inc. was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
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