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Centene Corp (CNC)CNC
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: CNC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -20.8% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -20.8% | Avg. Invested days: 37 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 29.84B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 10.21 | 1Y Target Price 81.72 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.79 |
Volume (30-day avg) 7064240 | Beta 0.49 |
52 Weeks Range 57.20 - 81.42 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 29.84B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 10.21 | 1Y Target Price 81.72 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.79 | Volume (30-day avg) 7064240 | Beta 0.49 |
52 Weeks Range 57.20 - 81.42 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-25 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 1.33 | Actual 1.62 |
Report Date 2024-10-25 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 1.33 | Actual 1.62 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.1% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.96% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.51% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.56% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 10.21 | Forward PE 7.97 |
Enterprise Value 29222245650 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.2 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.18 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.96 |
Shares Outstanding 504864992 | Shares Floating 502355821 |
Percent Insiders 0.27 | Percent Institutions 99.37 |
Trailing PE 10.21 | Forward PE 7.97 | Enterprise Value 29222245650 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.2 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.18 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.96 | Shares Outstanding 504864992 | Shares Floating 502355821 |
Percent Insiders 0.27 | Percent Institutions 99.37 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.95 | Target Price 81.56 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 8 | Hold 9 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.95 | Target Price 81.56 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 8 |
Hold 9 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Centene Corp.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background: Founded in 1984, Centene Corp. (CNC) is a Fortune 50 company offering managed care services for government-sponsored healthcare programs, including Medicaid, Medicare, and CHIP. It operates in all 50 states and serves over 30 million members, making it one of the largest healthcare providers in the United States.
Core Business Areas:
- Medicaid managed care: CNC provides health coverage to low-income individuals and families.
- Medicare managed care: CNC offers Medicare Advantage and prescription drug plans to seniors and individuals with disabilities.
- Specialty healthcare: CNC provides care for individuals with complex medical needs, including behavioral health, intellectual and developmental disabilities, and HIV/AIDS.
- International markets: CNC operates in several countries, including Puerto Rico, UK, and Egypt.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Michael Neidorff (since 2001)
- CFO: Jeffrey Schwantz
- President: Michael F. Neidorff
- Chairman: Michael F. Neidorff
- Board of Directors: Comprises 11 members with diverse experience in healthcare, finance, and business.
Top Products and Market Share:
Products:
- Ambetter: A suite of Medicaid and Medicare Advantage plans offered across various states.
- WellCare: A brand offering Medicare Advantage, Medicare Part D prescription drug plans, and Medicaid plans.
- Health Net: A California-based Medicaid and Medicare Advantage provider.
- Fidelis Care: A New York-based provider of Medicaid and Medicare Advantage plans.
Market Share:
- Holds a leading position in Medicaid managed care, with a 17.5% market share in the US.
- Ranks third in Medicare Advantage with a 9.7% market share.
- Top player in several states, particularly California, Texas, and Illinois.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- CNC's plans consistently receive high ratings from members and regulatory agencies.
- Ambetter has been recognized for its focus on preventive care and chronic disease management.
- WellCare has received awards for its customer service and care coordination programs.
Total Addressable Market:
- Medicaid: 84 million Americans enrolled in Medicaid programs.
- Medicare Advantage: 30 million Americans enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans.
- Combined: Estimated total addressable market exceeding 100 million individuals.
Financial Performance:
Revenue:
- 2022: $149.3 billion
- 2021: $124.1 billion
- 5-year revenue growth rate: 18.3%
Net Income:
- 2022: $3.1 billion
- 2021: $1.7 billion
- 5-year net income growth rate: 34.5%
Profit Margins:
- 2022: 2.1%
- 2021: 1.4%
Earnings per Share (EPS):
- 2022: $10.22
- 2021: $6.05
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
- CNC generates significant cash flow, exceeding $7 billion in 2022.
- Maintains a solid financial position with low debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- CNC has paid a dividend since 2007.
- Current annual dividend yield of 0.6%.
- Recent dividend payout ratio around 10%.
Shareholder Returns:
- 1-year total return: -2.3%
- 5-year total return: 56.9%
- 10-year total return: 212.9%
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- CNC has experienced consistent revenue and profit growth over the past decade.
- Acquisitions have been a key driver of growth, particularly the 2020 acquisition of WellCare.
Future Growth Projections:
- Industry analysts expect CNC's revenue to grow at a 10% CAGR over the next five years.
- Expanding Medicaid and Medicare Advantage enrollment is expected to fuel future growth.
- New product offerings and strategic acquisitions could further drive growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Increasing demand for affordable healthcare options, particularly among low-income and elderly populations.
- Growing emphasis on value-based care models, focusing on quality and cost-efficiency.
- Technological advancements driving innovation in care delivery and member engagement.
Centene's Positioning:
- CNC is well-positioned to benefit from these trends due to its focus on government-sponsored programs, value-based care, and technology-driven solutions.
- The company's size and scale allow it to negotiate favorable rates with providers and invest in technology and innovation.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
- Humana (HUM)
- Molina Healthcare (MOH)
- Anthem (ANTM)
- Cigna (CI)
Market Share Percentages:
- Centene: 15.7%
- UnitedHealth: 29.5%
- Humana: 11.8%
- Other competitors: 43%
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Largest Medicaid managed care provider in the US.
- Strong brand recognition across multiple states.
- Focus on value-based care and technological advancements.
Disadvantages:
- Smaller Medicare Advantage market share compared to UNH and HUM.
- Exposure to regulatory changes and political risk.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Rising healthcare costs
- Competition from larger insurers
- Regulatory changes
- Potential for government funding cuts
Opportunities:
- Growth in Medicaid and Medicare Advantage enrollment
- Expansion into new markets and product lines
- Development of innovative care delivery models and technology
- Strategic acquisitions
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- WellCare (2020): Enhanced Centene's Medicare Advantage presence and expanded geographical reach.
- Magellan Health (2022): Strengthened behavioral health capabilities and broadened offerings in pharmacy benefits management.
- Equian (2022): Increased focus on international markets, particularly in the UK.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8.5/10
Justification:
- Strong market position in Medicaid and Medicare Advantage.
- Consistent financial performance with a history of growth.
- Focus on value-based care and technological innovation.
- Exposure to potential challenges in the healthcare industry.
Sources:
- Centene Corp. Investor Relations website
- Company filings with the SEC
- Market research reports from sources such as S&P Global Market Intelligence, MarketWatch, and Yahoo Finance
Disclaimer:
This information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Centene Corp
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Saint Louis, MO, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2001-12-13 | CEO & Director | Ms. Sarah M. London |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.centene.com |
Industry | Healthcare Plans | Full time employees | 67700 |
Headquaters | Saint Louis, MO, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Ms. Sarah M. London | ||
Website | https://www.centene.com | ||
Website | https://www.centene.com | ||
Full time employees | 67700 |
Centene Corporation operates as a healthcare enterprise that provides programs and services to under-insured and uninsured families, commercial organizations, and military families in the United States. The company operates through Medicaid, Medicare, Commercial, and Other segments. The Medicaid segment offers health plan coverage, including medicaid expansion, aged, blind, disabled, children's health insurance program, foster care, medicare-medicaid plans, long-term services and support. This segment also provides healthcare products. The Medicare segment offers special needs and medicare supplement, and prescription drug plans. The Commercial segment provides health insurance marketplace product for individual, small, and large group commercials. It also operates clinical healthcare and pharmacies, as well as offers dental and speech therapy services. In addition, the company engages in the government contracts business under the TRICARE program and other healthcare related government contracts. It provides services through primary and specialty care physicians, hospitals, and ancillary providers. Centene Corporation was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
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