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Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH)MOH
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: MOH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 13.12% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 60 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 13.12% | Avg. Invested days: 60 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 16.85B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 14.99 | 1Y Target Price 369.2 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 19.66 |
Volume (30-day avg) 904001 | Beta 0.59 |
52 Weeks Range 272.69 - 423.92 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 16.85B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 14.99 | 1Y Target Price 369.2 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 19.66 | Volume (30-day avg) 904001 | Beta 0.59 |
52 Weeks Range 272.69 - 423.92 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-23 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 5.81 | Actual 6.01 |
Report Date 2024-10-23 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 5.81 | Actual 6.01 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.05% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.75% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.9% | Return on Equity (TTM) 26.45% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 14.99 | Forward PE 11.34 |
Enterprise Value 10168408000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.45 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.26 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.57 |
Shares Outstanding 57200000 | Shares Floating 56486144 |
Percent Insiders 1.13 | Percent Institutions 99.84 |
Trailing PE 14.99 | Forward PE 11.34 | Enterprise Value 10168408000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.45 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.26 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.57 | Shares Outstanding 57200000 | Shares Floating 56486144 |
Percent Insiders 1.13 | Percent Institutions 99.84 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.73 | Target Price 348.71 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 7 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.73 | Target Price 348.71 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 7 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Molina Healthcare: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History: Founded in 1980, Molina Healthcare Inc. (NYSE: MOH) is a Fortune 500 company specializing in managed healthcare services for government-sponsored healthcare programs. It primarily serves low-income families and individuals enrolled in Medicaid, Medicare, and Children's Health Insurance Programs (CHIP). Initially focused in California, Molina has expanded to serve over 5 million members across 14 states.
Core Business Areas: • Medicaid: Providing healthcare services to low-income families and individuals. • Medicare: Serving dual-eligible beneficiaries (enrolled in both Medicare and Medicaid) and individuals on Medicare Advantage plans. • CHIP: Delivering healthcare coverage to children in families that fall between Medicaid and private insurance eligibility.
Leadership and Corporate Structure: • Joe Molina: Founder, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer. • Michael Rowland: Chief Financial Officer. • Mike Kasunic: Chief Strategy Officer. • The Board of Directors consists of twelve members with diverse backgrounds and expertise.
Top Products and Market Share:
Products: • Managed care plans for Medicaid, Medicare, and CHIP. • Disease management programs for chronic conditions. • Behavioral health services. • Pharmacy benefit management. • Health and wellness programs.
Market Share: Molina holds a significant presence in Medicaid, particularly in California where it serves over 500,000 members. Its national market share in Medicaid is approximately 4%. In Medicare, its reach is smaller, serving around 280,000 beneficiaries with a market share under 1%.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for government-sponsored healthcare programs is enormous. In the US, Medicaid alone covers over 74 million individuals, while Medicare serves over 63 million. Additionally, CHIP provides coverage to around 9 million children. This vast market offers significant growth potential for Molina.
Financial Performance:
Molina’s revenue has consistently grown over the past five years, reaching $34.33 billion in 2022. Net income also increased to $1.43 billion last year. Profit margins have fluctuated, but remain healthy, indicating financial stability. Earnings per share (EPS) have also risen steadily, demonstrating profitability.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Molina has paid dividends consistently since 2010, with a current annual dividend yield of approximately 0.66%. Shareholder returns over the past year have been positive, exceeding 100%. Over five years, shareholder returns have reached over 400%. This reflects the company’s commitment to rewarding its investors.
Growth Trajectory:
Molina has experienced strong historical growth, consistently exceeding analyst expectations. This trend is projected to continue, with analysts forecasting double-digit revenue growth in 2023. Growth drivers include expansion into new markets, organic enrollment growth, and strategic acquisitions.
Market Dynamics:
The managed healthcare industry is highly dynamic, driven by government regulations, technological advancements, and evolving consumer preferences. Molina is well-positioned to adapt to these changes, thanks to its focus on government-sponsored programs and its investments in technology.
Competitors: • Centene Corporation (CNC) • Humana Inc. (HUM) • Anthem Inc. (ANTM) • CVS Health Corporation (CVS) • UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
Recent Acquisitions:
In the last three years, Molina has completed several acquisitions to expand its market reach and diversify its portfolio of services:
• 2021: Molina acquired WellCare Health Plans, Inc., significantly expanding its footprint in the Medicare Advantage market and strengthening its position in Florida. • 2022: Strategic acquisitions included the purchase of select Amerigroup Medicaid assets from Anthem, enhancing market presence in Ohio and Missouri. Additionally, Molina acquired Affinity Health Plan, a Medicaid managed care plan serving low-income residents in New York.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Molina receives a 7.5 AI-based fundamental rating based on its financial health, market position, and future prospects. Its strong financial performance, consistent dividend payouts, and positive growth trajectory are key contributors to this favorable rating. Potential challenges such as increasing competition and regulatory changes are also factored into the analysis.
Data Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis relies primarily on data from Molina Healthcare's financial statements, investor relations materials, industry reports, and news articles. Please note that this information is provided for educational purposes and should not be solely relied upon when making investment decisions.
Conclusion:
Molina Healthcare presents a compelling investment opportunity with its strong market positioning, significant growth potential, and commitment to shareholder returns. While challenges exist, the company's dedication to innovation, adaptation, and operational efficiency positions it favorably for continued success in the evolving healthcare landscape.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Molina Healthcare Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Long Beach, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2003-07-02 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Joseph Michael Zubretsky |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.molinahealthcare.com |
Industry | Healthcare Plans | Full time employees | 18000 |
Headquaters | Long Beach, CA, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Joseph Michael Zubretsky | ||
Website | https://www.molinahealthcare.com | ||
Website | https://www.molinahealthcare.com | ||
Full time employees | 18000 |
Molina Healthcare, Inc. provides managed healthcare services to low-income families and individuals under the Medicaid and Medicare programs and through the state insurance marketplaces. It operates in four segments: Medicaid, Medicare, Marketplace, and Other. The company served in across 19 states. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Long Beach, California.
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