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Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$291.46
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: MOH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -7.32%
Avg. Invested days 53
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 15.75B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 13.91
1Y Target Price 333.31
Price to earnings Ratio 13.91
1Y Target Price 333.31
Volume (30-day avg) 719348
Beta 0.54
52 Weeks Range 262.32 - 423.92
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 262.32 - 423.92
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 20.41

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-05
When Before Market
Estimate 5.8825
Actual 5.05

Profitability

Profit Margin 3.01%
Operating Margin (TTM) 3.74%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7%
Return on Equity (TTM) 27.07%

Valuation

Trailing PE 13.91
Forward PE 11.56
Enterprise Value 9882455000
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.4
Enterprise Value 9882455000
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.4
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.24
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.22
Shares Outstanding 55500000
Shares Floating 54797370
Shares Outstanding 55500000
Shares Floating 54797370
Percent Insiders 1.27
Percent Institutions 97.52

AI Summary

Molina Healthcare Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

Detailed history and background:

Founded in 1980, Molina Healthcare Inc. (NYSE: MOH) is a Fortune 500 company and a leading managed care organization (MCO) serving individuals and families through Medicaid, Medicare, and other government-sponsored healthcare programs. Headquartered in Long Beach, California, Molina serves approximately 5.1 million members across 15 states.

Core business areas:

Molina primarily focuses on two core business segments:

  • Medicaid: Serving individuals and families with low income, pregnant women, children, and seniors.
  • Medicare: Serving individuals aged 65 and older, individuals with disabilities, and individuals with End-Stage Renal Disease (ESRD).

Leadership team and corporate structure:

Molina is led by a seasoned executive team, including:

  • Joseph M. Zubretsky: President and Chief Executive Officer
  • John E. Molina: Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
  • David A. Perez: Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

The company operates a decentralized structure with regional divisions to manage its operations across different states.

Top Products and Market Share

Top products and offerings:

Molina's key products include:

  • Medicaid Managed Care Plans: Provides comprehensive healthcare services to Medicaid beneficiaries, including primary care, specialty care, hospitalization, and prescription drugs.
  • Medicare Advantage Plans: Offers individuals expanded benefits beyond traditional Medicare, including vision, dental, and fitness programs.
  • Medicare Prescription Drug Plans (Part D): Provides coverage for prescription medications to Medicare beneficiaries.

Market Share:

Molina holds a significant market share in the Medicaid and Medicare Advantage markets, particularly in California, Texas, and Florida. It ranks among the top 10 MCOs for Medicaid enrollment and holds a market share of approximately 10% in the Medicare Advantage market.

Competitive comparison:

Molina faces competition from other major MCOs like Centene, Humana, UnitedHealth Group, and Anthem. Molina differentiates itself through its strong focus on serving underserved populations, its technology-driven approach to care management, and its commitment to improving health outcomes.

Total Addressable Market

The total addressable market (TAM) for Molina is vast, considering the growing demand for government-sponsored healthcare programs. The Medicaid program alone covers more than 80 million individuals, while Medicare serves over 63 million beneficiaries. This TAM is further fueled by the aging population and increasing healthcare costs.

Financial Performance

Recent financial performance:

Molina has witnessed consistent revenue growth in recent years, with total revenue exceeding $19 billion in 2022. The company boasts a strong financial position with healthy profit margins and an improving EPS. Its operating cash flow remains positive, indicating strong liquidity.

Financial statement analysis:

A detailed analysis of Molina's financial statements reveals a company with a solid financial health. The balance sheet highlights a strong debt-to-equity ratio, indicating efficient use of leverage.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History:

Molina has a consistent dividend payout history, with annual dividend increases over the past three years. The current dividend yield stands at approximately 0.25%.

Shareholder Returns:

Molina has delivered impressive shareholder returns over various timeframes. Over the past year, the stock has returned over 20%, outperforming the broader market.

Growth Trajectory

Historical growth:

Molina has experienced consistent revenue and earnings growth over the past five years. The company has strategically expanded its operations through acquisitions and organic growth initiatives.

Future growth projections:

Analysts project moderate yet steady growth for Molina in the coming years, driven by factors like rising healthcare costs, an aging population, and increasing government healthcare spending.

Recent initiatives:

Molina continues to invest in technology and innovation to improve care delivery and member experience. The company is actively pursuing acquisitions to expand its geographic footprint and product offerings.

Market Dynamics

Industry overview:

The managed care industry is characterized by high competition and consolidation. Technological advancements continue to reshape the industry, with a focus on remote care, data analytics, and personalized care management.

Positioning:

Molina is well-positioned within the industry due to its strong focus on government-sponsored programs, its robust technology platform, and its commitment to cost-effective care delivery.

Competitors

Key competitors:

  • Centene Corp. (CNC)
  • Humana Inc. (HUM)
  • UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH)
  • Anthem Inc. (ANTM)

Market share comparison:

Molina holds a smaller market share compared to its larger competitors, but it still remains a significant player in the industry.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Key Challenges:

  • Competition: Intense competition from larger MCOs puts pressure on pricing and market share.
  • Reimbursement rates: Government-driven changes in reimbursement rates can impact profitability.
  • Regulatory compliance: Navigating and complying with evolving healthcare regulations poses constant challenges.

Potential Opportunities:

  • Market expansion: Opportunities exist to expand into new geographic markets and broaden product offerings.
  • Technological advancements: Leveraging technology to improve care delivery and reduce costs presents significant opportunities.
  • Strategic acquisitions: Targeted acquisitions can strengthen market position and expand capabilities.

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)

Acquisition of Magellan Complete Care:

In March 2021, Molina acquired Magellan Complete Care for $875 million. This acquisition expanded Molina's footprint into the Arizona Medicaid market and added approximately 88,000 members.

Acquisition of Affinity Health Plan:

In April 2022, Molina acquired Affinity Health Plan for $1.45 billion. This acquisition strategically positioned Molina in the New York Medicaid market and added approximately 360,000 members.

Acquisition of Passport Health Plan:

In October 2022, Molina acquired Passport Health Plan for $1.1 billion. This acquisition further strengthened Molina's presence in the Kentucky Medicaid market and added approximately 160,000 members.

These acquisitions align with Molina's strategy to expand its geographic reach and solidify its position as a leading MCO serving Medicaid and Medicare beneficiaries.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

AI-based rating:

Based on an AI-driven analysis of various financial metrics, market position, and future growth prospects, Molina Healthcare receives a rating of 7 out of 10.

Justification:

Molina's strong financial health, consistent growth trajectory, and strategic initiatives position it favorably for future success. However, the competitive landscape and potential regulatory challenges warrant caution.

Sources and Disclaimers

Sources:

  • Molina Healthcare Inc. Investor Relations website
  • Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
  • Market research reports

Disclaimer:

This information is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Conclusion

Molina Healthcare Inc. stands as a leading managed care organization with a strong focus on serving government-sponsored healthcare programs. Its solid financial performance, strategic growth initiatives, and commitment to technological advancements position the company for continued success in the dynamic healthcare landscape. Despite the competitive environment and potential challenges, Molina possesses the necessary tools and strategies to navigate these obstacles and deliver value to its stakeholders.

This comprehensive overview provides valuable insights into Molina Healthcare Inc.'s current standing, future prospects, and potential investment considerations.

About Molina Healthcare Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Long Beach, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2003-07-02
President, CEO & Director Mr. Joseph Michael Zubretsky
Sector Healthcare
Industry Healthcare Plans
Full time employees 18000
Full time employees 18000

Molina Healthcare, Inc. provides managed healthcare services to low-income families and individuals under the Medicaid and Medicare programs and through the state insurance marketplaces. It operates in four segments: Medicaid, Medicare, Marketplace, and Other. The company served in across 21 states. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Long Beach, California.

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