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Natera Inc (NTRA)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/17/2024: NTRA (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 25 days. Profits (24.49%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Regular Buy |
Historic Profit: 132.63% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 45 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 5 | Last Close 12/17/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Regular Buy |
Historic Profit: 132.63% | Avg. Invested days: 45 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 5 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/17/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 20.87B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 167.9 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.75 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1455293 | Beta 1.53 |
52 Weeks Range 58.53 - 175.63 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 20.87B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 167.9 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.75 | Volume (30-day avg) 1455293 | Beta 1.53 |
52 Weeks Range 58.53 - 175.63 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -14.01% | Operating Margin (TTM) -8.94% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.96% | Return on Equity (TTM) -25.82% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 20424569801 | Price to Sales(TTM) 13.62 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.33 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -26.8 |
Shares Outstanding 132021000 | Shares Floating 127170371 |
Percent Insiders 3.45 | Percent Institutions 93.96 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 20424569801 | Price to Sales(TTM) 13.62 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.33 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -26.8 | Shares Outstanding 132021000 | Shares Floating 127170371 |
Percent Insiders 3.45 | Percent Institutions 93.96 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.56 | Target Price 71.2 | Buy 5 |
Strong Buy 12 | Hold - | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.56 | Target Price 71.2 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 12 |
Hold - | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Natera Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History & Background:
Founded in 1998, Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA) is a leading global genetic testing company specializing in non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) and oncology testing. The company's mission is to transform the way healthcare professionals diagnose and manage genetic diseases.
Core Business Areas:
- Prenatal Testing: Natera is a pioneer in NIPT, offering tests like Panorama and Horizon that screen for genetic abnormalities in developing fetuses.
- Oncology Testing: Natera provides a range of tests for cancer patients, including Signatera, which detects minimal residual disease (MRD), and myChoice CDx, which aids in treatment decisions.
- Women's Health and Other Testing: Natera also offers tests for women's health, such as the carrier screening test, and other tests for inherited diseases.
Leadership & Corporate Structure:
- Leadership: Led by President and CEO Matthew Rabinowitz, PhD, Natera boasts a team of experienced leaders across various fields, including genetics, medicine, and business.
- Corporate Structure: Natera operates through distinct business segments, including prenatal testing, oncology, and women's health, each driving innovation within their respective areas.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Panorama: NIPT for common genetic conditions like Down syndrome.
- Horizon: NIPT for both common and rare genetic conditions.
- Signatera: Detects minimal residual disease (MRD) in cancer patients.
- myChoice CDx: Predicts response to specific targeted therapies in metastatic breast cancer.
Market Share:
- Global NIPT Market: Natera holds a significant market share, estimated to be around 40%.
- US NIPT Market: Natera is the market leader with a share exceeding 50%.
Product Performance & Comparison:
- Panorama: Considered the gold standard in NIPT, with high accuracy and sensitivity.
- Signatera: Demonstrates high accuracy in detecting MRD, leading to better treatment decisions.
- myChoice CDx: Offers a personalized approach to cancer therapy, potentially improving patient outcomes.
Competition:
- Prenatal Testing: Illumina (ILMN), Ariosa Diagnostics (ARTW), Sequenom (SQNM)
- Oncology Testing: Guardant Health (GH), Foundation Medicine (FMI), Genomic Health (GHDX)
Total Addressable Market:
- Global NIPT Market: Estimated to reach $10.5 billion by 2028.
- US NIPT Market: Projected to reach $5.5 billion by 2028.
- Oncology Testing Market: Expected to reach $35 billion by 2028.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: Natera's revenue has grown steadily in recent years, reaching $607 million in 2022.
- Profitability: The company has transitioned from losses to profitability, with a net income of $71 million in 2022.
- Cash Flow: Natera has a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow exceeding $100 million in 2022.
Dividends & Shareholder Returns:
- Dividends: Natera does not currently pay dividends.
- Shareholder Returns: Natera's stock has experienced significant growth in recent years, with a five-year total return exceeding 1000%.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Natera has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the past five years.
- Future Growth: The company expects continued growth driven by increasing adoption of NIPT and expansion into new markets.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: The genetic testing market is rapidly growing, driven by technological advancements and increasing awareness of the benefits of testing.
- Demand-Supply: The demand for genetic testing is expected to continue to outpace supply, creating opportunities for companies like Natera.
- Technological Advancements: Natera is actively involved in developing new and innovative genetic testing solutions.
Key Challenges & Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Competition: Natera faces intense competition from other genetic testing companies.
- Regulation: The regulatory landscape for genetic testing is constantly evolving, which could impact Natera's business.
- Reimbursement: Natera's tests are not always covered by insurance, which could limit patient access.
Opportunities:
- New Markets: Natera is expanding into new markets, such as international markets and new applications for its tests.
- Product Innovation: The development of new and innovative tests could drive further growth.
- Strategic Partnerships: Natera is actively pursuing strategic partnerships to expand its reach and capabilities.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- 2023: Vincent Bio (May 2023): Acquired for $100 million, Vincent Bio's technology expands Natera's capabilities in liquid biopsy and enhances its offering in the oncology market.
- 2021: Elucida Oncology (September 2021): Acquired for $300 million, Elucida Oncology's artificial intelligence (AI)-powered platform enhances Natera's Signatera test, improving its accuracy and ability to detect MRD.
- 2020: GPS Cancer (December 2020): Acquired for $165 million, GPS Cancer's technology strengthens Natera's oncology portfolio by providing a comprehensive genomic profiling solution for cancer patients.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Natera receives a rating of 8 out of 10 based on its strong financial performance, market leadership, and future growth prospects. The company's robust product portfolio, strong cash flow, and expansion into new markets indicate a promising future.
Sources & Disclaimers:
This overview is based on information gathered from Natera's website, financial reports, news articles, and industry reports. Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice.
Disclaimer: I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Natera Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Austin, TX, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2015-07-02 | CEO & Director | Mr. Steven Leonard Chapman |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.natera.com |
Industry | Diagnostics & Research | Full time employees | 3282 |
Headquaters | Austin, TX, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Steven Leonard Chapman | ||
Website | https://www.natera.com | ||
Website | https://www.natera.com | ||
Full time employees | 3282 |
Natera, Inc., a diagnostics company, develops and commercializes molecular testing services worldwide. Its products include Panorama, a non-invasive prenatal test that screens for chromosomal abnormalities of a fetus, as well as in twin pregnancies; Horizon carrier screening test for individuals and couples determine if they are carriers of genetic variations that cause certain genetic conditions; Vistara single-gene NIPT screens for 25 single-gene disorders that cause severe skeletal, cardiac, and neurological conditions; Spectrum, preimplantation genetic tests for couples undergoing IVF; Anora that analyzes miscarriage tissue from women; Empower, a hereditary cancer screening test; and non-invasive prenatal paternity product, which allows a couple to establish paternity without waiting for the child to be born. The company also provides Signatera, a ctDNA blood test for molecular residual disease assessment and surveillance of disease recurrence in patients previously diagnosed with cancer; Altera, a tissue based comprehensive genomic profiling test; Prospera to assess active rejection in patients who have undergone kidney, heart, and lung transplantation; and Renasight, a kidney gene panel test. In addition, it offers Constellation, a cloud-based software product that enables laboratory customers to gain access through the cloud to the company's algorithms and bioinformatics to validate and launch tests. The company offers products through its direct sales force, as well as through a network of laboratory and distribution partners. It has a partnership agreement with BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize NGS-based genetic testing assays; and Foundation Medicine, Inc. to develop and commercialize personalized circulating tumor DNA monitoring assays. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
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