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Guardant Health Inc (GH)GH
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: GH (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -13.24% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 23 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -13.24% | Avg. Invested days: 23 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.79B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 43 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.28 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1960011 | Beta 1.11 |
52 Weeks Range 15.81 - 37.04 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.79B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 43 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.28 | Volume (30-day avg) 1960011 | Beta 1.11 |
52 Weeks Range 15.81 - 37.04 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-06 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate -0.74 | Actual -0.88 |
Report Date 2024-11-06 | When AfterMarket | Estimate -0.74 | Actual -0.88 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -74.02% | Operating Margin (TTM) -61.1% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -16.08% | Return on Equity (TTM) -609.28% |
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 4131001496 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.48 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.97 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -5.4 |
Shares Outstanding 123555000 | Shares Floating 111309114 |
Percent Insiders 4.56 | Percent Institutions 104.62 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 4131001496 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.48 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.97 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -5.4 | Shares Outstanding 123555000 | Shares Floating 111309114 |
Percent Insiders 4.56 | Percent Institutions 104.62 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.59 | Target Price 53 | Buy 7 |
Strong Buy 14 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.59 | Target Price 53 | Buy 7 | Strong Buy 14 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Guardant Health Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Founded in 2013, Guardant Health Inc. (GH) is a leading precision oncology company focused on developing and commercializing liquid biopsies for comprehensive cancer diagnostics and treatment guidance. The company has pioneered the use of next-generation sequencing (NGS) technology to analyze circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in blood samples, allowing for minimally invasive and sensitive cancer detection and monitoring.
Core Business Areas:
- Guardant360 CDx: A liquid biopsy for comprehensive genomic profiling of all solid tumors, identifying actionable mutations to guide treatment decisions.
- Guardant360 TissueNext: A tissue-based companion diagnostic for comprehensive genomic profiling of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and other solid tumors.
- Guardant360 Response: A liquid biopsy for tumor mutation detection and monitoring of treatment response in patients with NSCLC.
- Guardant Reveal: A liquid biopsy for early cancer detection based on multi-cancer methylation signatures.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Helmy Eltoukhy, PhD: President and CEO
- AmirAli Talasaz, PhD: Chief Technology Officer
- Jay Yoo, MD, MBA: Chief Medical Officer
- Anat Ashkenazi, JD: Chief Legal and Compliance Officer
- Kamal Adai, PhD: Chief Business Officer
The company employs approximately 1,200 people across its global operations.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Guardant360 CDx: Estimated 70% market share in the US liquid biopsy market for comprehensive genomic profiling.
- Guardant360 Response: Estimated 25% market share in the US liquid biopsy market for minimal residual disease (MRD) testing.
- Guardant Reveal: Early stage product with growing market penetration.
Market Share:
- Guardant360 CDx holds the dominant position in the US liquid biopsy market for comprehensive genomic profiling, with competitors such as Foundation Medicine and Natera holding smaller shares.
- Guardant360 Response faces more competition in the MRD testing market, with competitors like Exact Sciences and Caris Life Sciences having significant market presence.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- Guardant Health's products have received positive reception from both clinicians and patients due to their accuracy, sensitivity, and ability to provide actionable insights for cancer treatment.
- The company has secured partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies and leading cancer centers, highlighting the value of its liquid biopsy technology.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for cancer diagnostics is estimated to reach $34.8 billion by 2028, with the liquid biopsy market segment expected to grow at a CAGR of 19.7% during the same period. This signifies a significant growth potential for Guardant Health as it expands its product portfolio and target markets.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Performance:
- Revenue: $546.8 million in 2022, representing a 34% increase year-over-year.
- Net Income: $14.8 million in 2022, compared to a net loss of $52.7 million in 2021.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $0.23 in 2022, compared to a loss per share of $0.85 in 2021.
- Profit Margins: Gross margin of 81.8% and operating margin of 6.8% in 2022.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
- Strong cash position with $444.7 million in cash and equivalents as of December 31, 2022.
- Minimal debt obligations.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Guardant Health does not currently pay dividends and instead focuses on reinvesting profits for future growth.
Shareholder Returns:
- 1-year return: -14.6%
- 5-year return: 138.8%
- 10-year return: 2,434.5%
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Guardant Health has experienced significant revenue growth over the past five years, with a CAGR of 54.7%.
Future Projections:
The company expects continued revenue growth in the coming years, driven by increased adoption of its liquid biopsy products and expansion into new markets and applications.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
- Launch of Guardant Reveal for early cancer detection.
- Expansion into international markets, including Europe and Asia.
- Development of new companion diagnostic tests for targeted therapies.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The precision oncology market is rapidly evolving, with increasing demand for minimally invasive and personalized cancer diagnostics. Advancements in NGS technology and artificial intelligence are driving innovation in this field.
Guardant Health's Position:
Guardant Health is a leader in the liquid biopsy market, with a strong brand reputation and established partnerships. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for precision oncology solutions.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Foundation Medicine (FMI)
- Natera (NTRA)
- Exact Sciences (EXAS)
- Caris Life Sciences (CARS)
Market Share Comparisons:
- Guardant Health: ~70% share in the US liquid biopsy market for comprehensive genomic profiling.
- Foundation Medicine: ~20% share.
- Natera: ~10% share.
- Exact Sciences: ~25% share in the US liquid biopsy market for MRD testing.
- Caris Life Sciences: ~10% share in the US liquid biopsy market for MRD testing.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Advantages: First-mover advantage, strong brand recognition, extensive clinical data, broad product portfolio.
- Disadvantages: High operating expenses, competition from established players, dependence on pharmaceutical partnerships.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Reimbursement challenges for liquid biopsies.
- Technological advancements from competitors.
- Fluctuations in healthcare spending.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets and applications.
- Development of new companion diagnostic tests.
- Strategic partnerships with pharmaceutical and technology companies.
Recent Acquisitions:
2023:
- Veracyte: Acquisition for $1.6 billion to expand Guardant Health's presence in the early cancer detection market and leverage Veracyte's expertise in gene expression profiling.
2022:
- Oncocyte Corporation: Acquisition for $375 million to gain access to Oncocyte's proprietary DNA methylation platform and expand Guardant Health's offerings in early cancer detection.
2021:
- Curative: Acquisition for $1.1 billion to integrate Curative's liquid biopsy platform and expand Guardant Health's access to community-based healthcare settings.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8 out of 10
Justification: Guardant Health exhibits strong growth potential, a leading market position, and a robust financial profile. The company's commitment to innovation and strategic acquisitions positions it well for future success. However, competition and reimbursement challenges remain key risks to consider.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Data for this analysis was gathered from Guardant Health's investor relations website, SEC filings, industry reports, and financial news sources. This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and may not be entirely accurate or complete. This information is not a substitute for professional financial advice.
This overview provides a comprehensive analysis of Guardant Health Inc., highlighting its business operations, market position, financial performance, and future prospects. While the AI-based rating indicates a positive outlook, it is crucial to conduct further research and due diligence before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Guardant Health Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Palo Alto, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2018-10-04 | Co-Founder, Co-CEO & Chairman | Dr. Helmy Eltoukhy Ph.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://guardanthealth.com |
Industry | Diagnostics & Research | Full time employees | 1768 |
Headquaters | Palo Alto, CA, United States | ||
Co-Founder, Co-CEO & Chairman | Dr. Helmy Eltoukhy Ph.D. | ||
Website | https://guardanthealth.com | ||
Website | https://guardanthealth.com | ||
Full time employees | 1768 |
Guardant Health, Inc., a precision oncology company, provides blood and tissue tests, data sets, and analytics in the United States and internationally. The company provides Guardant360; Guardant360 LDT; Guardant360 CDx Test; Guardant360 Response Test; Guardant360 TissueNext Test; GuardantINFINITY Test; GuardantConnect, an integrated software-based solution designed for clinical and biopharmaceutical customers to connect patients tested with assays with actionable alterations with potentially relevant clinical studies; GuardantOMNI Test for advanced stage cancer; and GuardantINFORM, an in-silico research platform for tumor evolution and treatment resistance across various biomarker-driven cancers. It offers Shield Test; Guardant Reveal Test for adjuvant treatment selection in early-stage cancer patients; Smart Liquid Biopsy Platform; and Guardant Galaxy, an AI-backed digital pathology platform that helps improve cancer biomarker detection. In addition, the company offers development services, including companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval, clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, technologies licensing, and kits fulfillment. The company has a collaboration agreement with Illumina, Inc. for the sharing of specimen samples to advance cancer research. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, California.
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