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Neurocrine Biosciences Inc (NBIX)NBIX

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc
$123.98
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
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Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

11/07/2024: NBIX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -16.59%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 39
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/07/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -16.59%
Avg. Invested days: 39
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/07/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 12.73B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 33.09
1Y Target Price 162.96
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.8
Volume (30-day avg) 899723
Beta 0.35
52 Weeks Range 106.85 - 157.98
Updated Date 11/8/2024
Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 12.73B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 33.09
1Y Target Price 162.96
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.8
Volume (30-day avg) 899723
Beta 0.35
52 Weeks Range 106.85 - 157.98
Updated Date 11/8/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-10-30
When BeforeMarket
Estimate 1.51
Actual 1.24
Report Date 2024-10-30
When BeforeMarket
Estimate 1.51
Actual 1.24

Profitability

Profit Margin 17.21%
Operating Margin (TTM) 29.71%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 11.8%
Return on Equity (TTM) 16.35%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 33.09
Forward PE 17.24
Enterprise Value 11575992025
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.68
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.16
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.82
Shares Outstanding 101247000
Shares Floating 100050173
Percent Insiders 0.99
Percent Institutions 97.01
Trailing PE 33.09
Forward PE 17.24
Enterprise Value 11575992025
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.68
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.16
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.82
Shares Outstanding 101247000
Shares Floating 100050173
Percent Insiders 0.99
Percent Institutions 97.01

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.38
Target Price 133.45
Buy 8
Strong Buy 14
Hold 4
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4.38
Target Price 133.45
Buy 8
Strong Buy 14
Hold 4
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Neurocrine Biosciences Inc. (NASDAQ: NBIX) - Comprehensive Overview

Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Company Profile

History and Background:

Neurocrine Biosciences is a biotechnology company established in 1992 and headquartered in San Diego, California. Their primary focus is discovering and developing novel therapies for neurological and endocrine disorders. The company has a successful track record of bringing innovative products to market, with their first FDA-approved drug, Ongentys, launching in 2010.

Core Business Areas:

  • Endocrinology: Development of treatments for endocrine disorders, including osteoporosis, hypogonadism, and acromegaly.
  • Neurology: Focus on treatments for movement disorders like tardive dyskinesia and chorea.
  • Psychiatry: Investigating potential therapies for psychiatric disorders like schizophrenia and bipolar disorder.

Leadership Team:

  • CEO: Kevin Gorman
  • CFO: Elizabeth Mellody
  • EVP, Research & Development: Christopher Missling, Ph.D.
  • EVP, Chief Medical Officer: Eiry W. Roberts, M.D.

Corporate Structure:

Neurocrine Biosciences operates as a research-focused biopharmaceutical company with an emphasis on internal drug discovery and development. They have a global presence with research and development facilities in the US, Europe, and Asia.

Top Products and Market Share

Top Products:

  • Ingrezza (valbenazine): Approved for the treatment of tardive dyskinesia.
  • Ongentys (opicapone): Adjunct therapy for Parkinson's disease.
  • Elagolix (Elagolix, estradiol, and norethindrone acetate): Oral contraceptive for women with endometriosis.

Market Share:

In the US, Ingrezza holds a dominant market share in the tardive dyskinesia market. Ongentys faces competition in the Parkinson's disease market but remains a significant player. Elagolix competes in the crowded oral contraceptive market but has established itself as a unique option.

Competitive Landscape:

Neurocrine Biosciences competes with various pharmaceutical companies in their respective therapeutic areas. Key competitors include:

  • AbbVie (ABBV): Strong presence in movement disorder and neurology fields.
  • Pfizer (PFE): Leading player in the pharmaceutical industry with a broad portfolio of products.
  • Lundbeck (HLUYY): Focuses on neurological and psychiatric disorders.

Total Addressable Market

The global market for neurological and endocrine disorders is vast and growing. The market for tardive dyskinesia alone is estimated to reach $1.4 billion by 2027. Similarly, the market for Parkinson's disease treatments is expected to exceed $10 billion by 2028.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Highlights (2022):

  • Revenue: $743.9 million
  • Net Income: $248.5 million
  • Profit Margin: 33.4%
  • EPS: $6.44

Growth:

Neurocrine Biosciences has experienced consistent revenue growth over the past five years. They have successfully launched new products and expanded their market share, leading to significant financial gains.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History:

Neurocrine Biosciences initiated a dividend in 2021 and has consistently increased it since. The current annual dividend yield is around 0.8%.

Shareholder Returns:

Shareholders have experienced significant returns over the past five years, with the stock price appreciating by over 200%.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth:

Neurocrine Biosciences has experienced strong historical growth, driven by successful product launches and market expansion.

Future Growth:

The company has a promising pipeline of potential new drugs, including treatments for Parkinson's disease, schizophrenia, and bipolar disorder. These potential future products could fuel further growth in the coming years.

Market Dynamics

Industry Trends:

The neurological and endocrine disorders market is experiencing significant growth due to the aging population and increasing prevalence of chronic diseases. Additionally, there is a growing demand for innovative and effective treatments.

Neurocrine Biosciences' Positioning:

The company is well-positioned within this growing market due to its strong pipeline of potential new drugs and its focus on developing innovative therapies.

Competitors

Key Competitors:

  • AbbVie (ABBV): Market cap of $327 billion, focuses on neuroscience and immunology.
  • Pfizer (PFE): Market cap of $302 billion, diversified pharmaceutical company.
  • Lundbeck (HLUYY): Market cap of $14 billion,专注于神经和精神疾病。

Competitive Advantages:

  • Strong research and development capabilities.
  • Established commercial presence in key markets.
  • Focus on developing innovative and differentiated therapies.

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • Relatively smaller company compared to major pharmaceutical giants.
  • Limited product portfolio compared to larger competitors.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Challenges:

  • Competition from established pharmaceutical companies.
  • Regulatory hurdles and delays in drug development.
  • Potential for clinical trial failures.

Opportunities:

  • Expansion into new markets and therapeutic areas.
  • Strategic acquisitions and partnerships.
  • Development of novel and more effective therapies.

Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years)

  • Ovid Therapeutics (2022): Acquired for $1.9 billion to gain access to Ovid's pipeline of potential new drugs for neurological and endocrine disorders, including OV101, a potential treatment for Angelman syndrome. This acquisition significantly expands Neurocrine Biosciences' product portfolio and strengthens its position in the neurology market.

  • Vedere Bio II (2021): Acquired for $125 million to gain access to Vedere Bio II's pipeline of potential new drugs for neurological and endocrine disorders, including VBI-2601, a potential treatment for Parkinson's disease. This acquisition further strengthens Neurocrine Biosciences' position in the neurology market.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Rating: 8/10

Justification: Neurocrine Biosciences has a strong financial profile with consistent revenue growth, increasing profitability, and a growing dividend. Additionally, the company has a promising pipeline of potential new drugs and is well-positioned in the growing neurological and endocrine disorders market. However, the company faces competition from larger pharmaceutical companies and potential challenges in drug development.

Sources and Disclaimers

This report is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Neurocrine Biosciences Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters San Diego, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 1996-05-23 CEO & Director Mr. Kyle W. Gano Ph.D.
Sector Healthcare Website https://www.neurocrine.com
Industry Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Full time employees 1700
Headquaters San Diego, CA, United States
CEO & Director Mr. Kyle W. Gano Ph.D.
Website https://www.neurocrine.com
Website https://www.neurocrine.com
Full time employees 1700

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. discovers, develops, and markets pharmaceuticals for neurological, neuroendocrine, and neuropsychiatric disorders in the United States and internationally. The company's products include INGREZZA for tardive dyskinesia and chorea associated with Huntington's disease; ALKINDI for adrenal insufficiency; Efmody capsules for classic congenital adrenal hyperplasia; Orilissa tablets for endometriosis; and Oriahnn capsules to treat uterine fibroids. Its product candidates in clinical development include valbenazine to treat dyskinetic cerebral palsy in pediatrics and adults; NBI-921352 to treat developmental and epileptic encephalopathy syndrome in pediatrics and adults; NBI-827104 to treat epileptic encephalopathy with continuous spike-and-wave during sleep; NBI-1076986 to treat movement disorders; crinecerfront to treat congenital adrenal hyperplasia in adults and children; EFMODY to treat congenital adrenal hyperplasia and adrenal insufficiency in adults; valbenazine for the adjunctive treatment of schizophrenia; NBI-1065845 for the treatment of inadequate response to treatment in major depressive disorder; luvadaxistat to treat cognitive impairment related to schizophrenia; NBI-1117568 for the treatment of schizophrenia; NBI-1070770 to treat major depressive disorder; NBI-1117570 for the treatment of symptoms of psychosis and cognition in neurological and neuropsychiatric conditions; and NBI-1117569, NBI-1117567, and NBI-1065890 to treat CNS indications. The company also has license and collaboration agreements with Heptares Therapeutics Limited; Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited; Idorsia Pharmaceuticals Ltd; Xenon Pharmaceuticals Inc.; Voyager Therapeutics, Inc.; BIAL " Portela & Ca, S.A.; Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corporation; and AbbVie Inc. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

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